美国总统特朗普于当地时间8月11日签署了一项旨在将部分对华关税再次延期90天的总统 令。美国多家主流媒体报道了这一消息。美国把目前累计为30％的额外关税税率维持到11月 上旬，并继续与中国进行贸易磋商。在签署总统令之前，特朗普还向中国施压，要求中国进 口更多的美国产大豆。 中美在7月底的第三次部长级会谈中，大致上就关税暂停期限再次延长90天达成协议，但一直在等待特 朗普的最终批准。此次特朗普终于在期限临近之时作出了最终批准。特朗普还要求中国进口更多的美国 产大豆…… 根据中美双方5月在瑞士举行的部长级磋商达成的协议，双方各自把针对对方的额外关税下调 了115％。其中，相当于对等关税"附加税率"的24％部分暂停90天至8月12日凌晨0时1分 （北京时间中午0时1分），并继续与中国进行谈判。中国也同样将24％的对美额外关税暂停 90天。 中美两国在7月底于瑞典举行的第三次部长级会谈中，大致上就关税暂停期限再次延长90天达 成协议，但一直在等待特朗普的最终批准。此次特朗普终于在关税附加税率暂停期限临近之 时作出了最终批准。 日经中文网 https://cn.nikkei.com 另一方面，特朗普10日通过自己的社交 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The cotton market is in a destocking state, with tight supply before the new cotton is on the market. The demand side shows characteristics of the off - season in the textile industry, with low profitability and a decreasing operating rate of spinning enterprises. The new cotton planting area has increased, but there are high - temperature risks in some areas of Xinjiang. As prices rise, downstream procurement is cautious, demand is weak, and the upward momentum of the market is gradually weakening. The cotton 2509 contract has recently declined, showing an adjustment trend. It is recommended to wait and see, focusing on weather and the results of Sino - US trade negotiations. [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Zhengzhou cotton main contract closed at 13,925 yuan/ton, down 150 yuan; cotton yarn main contract closed at 19,995 yuan/ton, down 240 yuan. - Cotton futures' top 20 net positions were - 27,006 hands, an increase of 6,225 hands; cotton yarn futures' top 20 net positions were - 264 hands, an increase of 293 hands. - The main contract positions of cotton were 413,662 hands, a decrease of 55,334 hands; those of cotton yarn were 7,641 hands, a decrease of 1,770 hands. - Cotton warehouse receipts were 9,156 sheets, a decrease of 70 sheets; cotton yarn warehouse receipts were 91 sheets, unchanged. - China Cotton Price Index (CCIndex:3128B) was 15,580 yuan/ton, down 29 yuan; China Yarn Price Index (pure cotton carded yarn 32 - count) was 20,720 yuan/ton, down 60 yuan. [2] 现货市场 - China's imported cotton price index (FCIndexM:1% tariff) was 13,721 yuan/ton, down 82 yuan; the arrival price of imported cotton yarn price index (pure cotton carded yarn 32 - count) was 22,116 yuan/ton, up 24 yuan. - China's imported cotton price index (FCIndexM:sliding - scale tariff) was 14,430 yuan/ton, down 59 yuan; the arrival price of imported cotton yarn price index (pure cotton combed yarn 32 - count) was 23,994 yuan/ton, up 26 yuan. [2] Upstream Situation - The national cotton sowing area was 2,838.3 thousand hectares, an increase of 48.3 thousand hectares; the national cotton output was 6.16 million tons, an increase of 0.54 million tons. - The cotton - yarn price difference was 5,140 yuan/ton, down 31 yuan; the industrial inventory of cotton nationwide was 850,000 tons, an increase of 24,000 tons. [2] Industry Situation - The monthly import volume of cotton was 30,000 tons, a decrease of 10,000 tons; the monthly import volume of cotton yarn was 110,000 tons, an increase of 10,000 tons. - The profit of imported cotton was 1,179 yuan/ton, an increase of 119 yuan; the commercial inventory of cotton nationwide was 2.8298 million tons, a decrease of 0.6289 million tons. [2] Downstream Situation - The yarn inventory days were 23.86 days, an increase of 1.52 days; the inventory days of grey cloth were 35.46 days, an increase of 2.57 days. - The monthly output of cloth was 2.779 billion meters, an increase of 0.109 billion meters; the monthly output of yarn was 2.065 million tons, an increase of 0.114 million tons. - The monthly export value of clothing and clothing accessories was 1.5266714 billion US dollars, an increase of 0.1688977 billion US dollars; the monthly export value of textile yarns, fabrics and products was 1.2048207 billion US dollars, a decrease of 0.0583566 billion US dollars. [2] Option Market - The implied volatility of cotton at - the - money call options was 16.15%, an increase of 1.88 percentage points; the implied volatility of cotton at - the - money put options was 16.14%, an increase of 1.87 percentage points. - The 20 - day historical volatility of cotton was 8.65%, an increase of 0.45 percentage points; the 60 - day historical volatility of cotton was 8.52%, a decrease of 0.08 percentage points. [2] Industry News - As of the week ending July 27, 2025, the good - to - excellent rate of US cotton was 55%, compared with 57% the previous week and 49% the same period last year. - On Monday, the December contract of ICE cotton closed up 0.1%, the cotton 2509 contract fell 1.87%, and the cotton yarn 2509 contract fell 1.91%. [2]

Group 1 - The third round of China-US trade negotiations is scheduled to take place in Stockholm, Sweden, next week, aiming to postpone the deadline for tariff increases set for August 12 [1] - The Swedish Prime Minister confirmed the hosting of the talks, emphasizing their significance for global trade and economy [1] - Discussions may include China's purchases of oil from Russia and Iran, which could complicate the trade dialogue [1] Group 2 - Experts suggest that using trade negotiations as a geopolitical tool could jeopardize the newly established trade consultation mechanism between the US and China [2] - The US is attempting to pressure other countries to help curb the Russian economy, but it is unlikely that China will comply with such demands [2]

据美国彭博社报道，美国财政部长贝森特当地时间7日表示，他预计将在未来几周内与中方官员会面， 以推动中美在贸易及其他议题上的磋商。"我将在接下来几周某个时候与我的中国同行会面。"贝森特当 天在接受美国消费者新闻与商业频道(CNBC)采访时表示，"我们此前在日内瓦、伦敦举行了很好的会 谈，双方都秉持高度尊重的态度。""若中方有意愿，美中双方可在更多领域开展合作。"贝森特表示， 双方将讨论将合作范围从贸易扩展到其他领域。(环球网) ...

| TCTERETT | H 用 策略参 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 夜命合国言:ZOUUUI | 人业资格号: F075 发 | 趋势研判 | 行业板块 | 逻辑观点精粹及策略参考 | 品种 | | | 当前国内因素对股指的驱动力不强,基本面表现偏弱,最新通胀 | 和外贸数据显示价格继续低位运行、出口增速放缓,政策面也处 | 于相对真空期。海外因素主导了股指的短期波动,需关注中美经 | | | | | | 股指 | 農汤 | 贸谈判的最新进展。预计在无明显利好出现的情况下, 股指向上 | 突破的可能性较低。操作节奏上需警惕中美关税信号的反复,建 | | | | | 宏观金融 | 议以观望为主。 | 资产荒和弱经济利好债期,但短期央行提示利率风险,压制上涨 | 震荡 | 国债 | | | | 空间。 | 震荡 | 短期或震荡运行:中长期上涨逻辑仍旧坚实。 | 東金 | | | | | 震荡 | 冲高回落后,银价短期料进入震荡走势。 | 日银 | 中美新一轮会谈提振市场风险偏好,铜价偏强运行,但下游需求 | 第二 | | | ...

Group 1 - The current total holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, stand at 935.91 tons, reflecting a decrease of 0.31 tons from the previous trading day [4] - On June 10, spot gold experienced fluctuations, reaching a high of $3349.20 per ounce and a low of $3300 per ounce, with a daily range of nearly $50, closing at $3322.49 per ounce, down $2.85 or 0.09% [4] - Market sentiment is relatively positive due to ongoing US-China trade negotiations, which may suppress gold prices in the short term if positive outcomes are reported [4] Group 2 - Analysts are closely monitoring the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May, which will help assess the health of the US economy and predict the Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory [4] - Recent strong performances in silver and platinum have drawn attention, with silver prices soaring over 35% since April's low, surpassing the $36 mark for the first time in 13 years [4][5] - UBS attributes the strong performance of platinum and silver to five common factors, including expected supply shortages and relative value attractiveness compared to gold [5] Group 3 - Technically, the overall outlook for gold remains bullish, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding above the midpoint, indicating a positive short-term outlook [5] - If gold prices gain upward momentum, they may test the strong resistance level at $3350, with further resistance at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $3375 [5] - Conversely, if the daily close falls below the strong support level of $3300, it may challenge the 50-day moving average at $3260, followed by $3230 [5]

二 〇 二 五 年 度 2025 年 06 月 08 日 豆粕：关注天气与贸易磋商，盘面重心上移 豆一：现货稳中偏强，盘面偏弱震荡 吴光静 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0011992 wuguangjing@gtht.com 报告导读： 上周（06.02-06.06），美豆期价先跌后涨，期价下跌因为美豆产区天气良好、中美贸易局势紧张。 期价上涨因为中美元首通电话并同意进一步磋商、市场对美国与中国贸易关系持乐观态度。此外，越南签 署谅解备忘录，将购买价值 20 亿美元美国农产品，包括玉米、小麦和豆粕，也提供支撑。周内没有美豆 大额出口销售订单。从周 K 线角度，6 月 6 日当周，美豆主力 07 合约周涨幅 1.51%，美豆粕主力 07 合约 周跌幅 0.10%。 上周（06.03-06.06），国内豆粕期价先跌后涨，豆一期价小幅反弹。豆粕方面，期价下跌主要因为 菜粕下跌影响（中加贸易摩擦缓和预期）；期价上涨则因为美豆和巴西升贴水上涨的成本带动作用。豆一 方面，现货价格稳中偏强，盘面小幅反弹主要受到豆二、豆粕偏强反弹的带动效应。从周 K 线角度，6 月 6 日当周，豆粕主力 m2509 合约周涨幅 1.42%，豆一主 ...

特朗普在自己的社交媒体上表示"我们进行了一次非常有意义的磋商。通话持续了一个半小时，达成了 对两国非常积极的结论"。关于稀土出口管制的问题，他提到"（问题）应该没有了"。据中方称，特朗 普表示"美方欢迎中国留学生来美学习"…… 美国总统特朗普与中国国家主席习近平6月5日进行了电话磋商。双方讨论了中国对稀土的出口管制问题 等，确认将尽快围绕关税政策举行第二轮中美部长级磋商。 中国外交部及特朗普自身披露了这一消息。中国对两位领导人的电话磋商进行正式发表属于特朗普1月 20日第二次上台以来首次。中国外交部称，此次是应约同美国总统特朗普通电话。 特朗普在自己的社交媒体上表示"我们进行了一次非常有意义的磋商。通话持续了一个半小时，达成了 对两国非常积极的结论"。关于稀土出口管制的问题，他提到"（问题）应该没有了"，但没有透露详细 内容。 日经中文网 https://cn.nikkei.com 据中国外交部发表的内容，双方在通话中还提及了特朗普政府宣布的部分中国留学生签证被取消的问 题。特朗普表示"美方欢迎中国留学生来美学习"。 中美两国政府于5月10日至11日在瑞士举行了第一轮部长级磋商，达成了相互降低115%加征关税 ...

下游涤丝库存压力缓解，聚酯原料盘面下方存支撑 通惠期货研发部 李英杰 从业编号：F03115367 投资咨询：Z0019145 手机：18516056442 www.thqh.com.cn 一、日度市场总结 1. PTA&PX 05月19日，PX 主力合约收6752.0元/吨，较前一交易日收涨0.12%，基差为122.0 元/吨。PTA 主力合约收4776.0元/吨，较前一交易日收涨0.04%，基差为214.0元/ 吨。 成本端，05月19日，布油主力合约收盘65.33美元/桶。WTI收61.93美元/桶。 需求端，05月19日，轻纺城成交总量为818.0万米，15 日平均成交为1005.0万 米。 供应端，PX：中海油惠州150万吨3月29日检修50天左右，扬子石化重整检修至5 月上旬，PX有降负预期，天津石化PX计划6-7月份检修，海南炼化计划4-5月检 修，浙石化250万吨装置已重启，盛虹炼化400万吨原计划4月检修，目前推迟至 5月。PX国内装置开工率为73%，亚洲开工率为67.9%。PTA：台化兴业150万吨 5月6日检修，逸盛大连225万吨计划4月26日检修6周，另375万吨4月21日重启。 嘉兴 ...

格里尔说"这么快就达成协议意味着两国的分歧没有想象的那么大"，暗示达成了某些协议。指出协议内 容将有助于消除美国的对华贸易逆差。 路透社报道称，中国副总理何立峰与贝森特同样表示取得了建设性和实质性的进展。表示中美已就设立 贸易问题磋商框架达成一致，今后也将继续进行磋商。 美国财政部长贝森特接受媒体采访（Reuters） 美国财政部长贝森特对美国媒体等表示，"有实质性的进展，磋商具有建设性"。美国贸易代表办公室代 表格里尔说："这么快就达成协议意味着两国的分歧没有想象的那么大"…… 中美两国政府围绕应对特朗普关税在瑞士举行的首次部长级磋商于当地时间5月11日下午（北京时间12 日凌晨）结束。出席会议的美国财政部长贝森特对美国媒体等表示，"有实质性的进展，磋商具有建设 性"。 中美两国政府计划12日公布磋商的详细内容。被认为将发表联合声明。 10日～11日的部长级磋商在联合国日内瓦办事处瑞士常驻代表官邸举行。美国方面由贝森特和美国贸易 代表办公室（USTR）代表格里尔出席。中国由负责经济政策的副总理何立峰出席会议。 中国新华社5月10日发表评论，指出"中美作为全球最大的两个经济体，经贸关系健康稳定发展关乎两国 人 ...