特朗普的民调支持率持续下滑，接近历史最低点。根据盖洛普、纽约时报等机构最新发布的调查数据，特朗普的支持率已降至36%，接近其个人 历史最低。这一数据不仅低于拜登的43%，还远逊于奥巴马和小布什任内的支持率。更值得关注的是，独立选民的支持率只有25%，而民主党人 的支持率更是跌至3%。这些数据表明，特朗普正在失去跨党派支持。从民调数据分析来看，经济问题无疑是导致特朗普支持率低迷的最主要原 因。晨间咨询公司的调查显示，选民普遍希望政府能够有效控制物价，但只有少数人认为特朗普将通胀问题视为优先事项。自特朗普加征关税以 来，物价始终是美国消费者最担心的问题，尽管特朗普曾表示关税不会导致物价上涨，但事实证明，消费者成了关税负担的主要承受者。为了解 决这一问题，特朗普近期下调或取消了对巴西的关税，尤其是影响到美国消费者喜欢的商品如汉堡、咖啡等，这些产品价格大幅上涨。因此，如 果能进一步降低关税，从而减缓物价上涨的压力，或许能提高特朗普的支持率。SSRS调查进一步显示，在共和党及倾向共和党的独立人士中，约 40%的受访者将经济和生活成本问题列为主要担忧。NORC公共事务研究中心的数据显示，只有31%的美国人认可特朗普对经济 ...

来源：莆田网 美国总统特朗普17日晚发表全国电视讲话时说，将很快宣布下一任美国联邦储备委员会主席的提名人 选，并表示所提名的候选人需"支持大幅降低利率"。 多家媒体报道，特朗普仍在考察候选人。他在17日面试了美联储理事克里斯托弗·沃勒。此前，特朗普 在12日表示，美联储前理事凯文·沃什是下一任美联储主席职位的头号候选人，白宫国家经济委员会主 任凯文·哈西特也很出色。 特朗普2日表示，他很可能在2026年初公布下任美联储主席提名人选，接替将于2026年5月结束任期的现 任主席鲍威尔。特朗普多次公开施压鲍威尔大幅降息，称下任主席应在制定利率政策时咨询他的意见， 相关表态引发对美联储独立性的担忧。 特朗普还表示，住房抵押贷款还款金额会进一步下降，将在2026年初公布"美国历史上最激进的"住房改 革计划。 美国《华尔街日报》16日发布的文章指出，作为选民关心的问题，经济问题已成为关乎特朗普"最不利 的议题之一"。 新华社记者 刘亚南 熊茂伶 据新华社纽约12月17日电 美国全国广播公司14日报道，美国民众对通胀和生活成本仍感担忧，民调显示这在购物、节日开支等日 常消费决策方面"尤为明显"。64%的美国民众认为，美国" ...

Core Points - Trump's urgent return to the U.S. after the China-U.S. meeting is linked to addressing domestic economic issues and preparing for the upcoming midterm elections [1][2] - The urgency reflects the need to resolve economic dissatisfaction among the public, which could impact his presidency and the Republican Party's performance in the 2024 elections [1][6] - Trump's strategy may involve a significant shift in approach towards China, emphasizing the importance of stable relations [4][6] Economic Context - The article highlights that Trump's administration has faced criticism for its economic policies, particularly following a trade war that has negatively impacted the U.S. economy [1][6] - The upcoming midterm elections are crucial for Trump, especially after a previous defeat in 2018, making economic recovery a priority [1][2] Political Strategy - Trump's recent comments about the China-U.S. relationship suggest a desire to maintain peace and stability, which may be a strategic move to bolster his domestic standing [4][6] - The Democratic Party has recognized Trump's potential shift in strategy, leading to increased criticism from figures like Obama, who challenge Trump's leadership and economic management [6][7] Domestic Security Measures - Reports indicate that Trump has ordered the formation of a rapid response force to address potential domestic unrest, indicating a proactive approach to managing political tensions [7][9] - This move may reflect Trump's intent to involve the military in domestic affairs, reminiscent of past actions during civil unrest [7][9]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the benchmark interest rate to between 4% and 4.25%, with plans for two more cuts this year, raising questions about whether this decision was influenced by political pressure or economic needs [1][3][12]. Economic Context - The primary reason for the rate cut is the slowdown in the U.S. job market, with employment growth significantly decreasing and a slight uptick in the unemployment rate, indicating rising employment risks [3][12]. - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that the current job market slowdown is a major concern for policymakers, and the rate cut aims to provide a buffer for the economy [3][12]. Political Dynamics - President Trump has been vocal in criticizing the Federal Reserve and has called for more aggressive rate cuts, leading to speculation about the influence of political pressure on the Fed's decision-making [1][5][6]. - The voting outcome for the rate cut showed internal divisions within the Federal Reserve, with 10 out of 11 members supporting the cut, while one member, Stephen Moore, appointed by Trump, voted against it, advocating for a larger cut [8][10][12]. Market Reactions - Following the announcement, U.S. stock indices initially surged, particularly in technology stocks, but later stabilized as investors recognized the underlying economic challenges that the rate cut does not fully address [16][18]. - The dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields exhibited mixed reactions, indicating cautious market sentiment regarding the effectiveness of the rate cut in stabilizing the economy [16][18]. Future Outlook - There is uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's future actions, as internal divisions and external pressures from the Trump administration may influence upcoming decisions on interest rates [12][18]. - The balance between stabilizing the economy and maintaining independence from political influence presents a significant challenge for the Federal Reserve moving forward [18][20].

Core Viewpoint - The decline of the US dollar, influenced by Trump's tariffs and rising national debt, is prompting global investors to reconsider their reliance on the dollar [1][3][5]. Group 1: Dollar Decline and Economic Impact - The dollar index fell by 10.8% in the first half of 2025, marking the worst start since the end of the gold-backed Bretton Woods system [1]. - The US economy is facing significant issues, including a 0.5% contraction in Q1 GDP and a consumer confidence index drop to 93, alongside a national debt exceeding $37 trillion [3]. - The trend of de-dollarization is evident, with BRICS countries increasing their local currency settlements by 47%, and the dollar's share in global foreign exchange reserves dropping to 58%, the lowest since 1995 [3]. Group 2: Trump's Influence on Dollar Value - Trump's imposition of widespread tariffs during his second term has contributed to the dollar's decline, creating market uncertainty [3][6]. - The weakening dollar is seen as beneficial for US exports, potentially reducing the trade deficit, as it makes American goods cheaper on the international market [6][10]. - Despite the short-term benefits of a weaker dollar, there are concerns that it may undermine the dollar's credibility and accelerate the trend of de-dollarization [6][10]. Group 3: Historical Context and Comparisons - The current dollar crisis mirrors the events of 1973, when the dollar depreciated due to the end of the gold standard and the oil crisis, leading to global inflation and a significant stock market decline [4]. - The weakening dollar has led to a stronger euro and yen, with capital flowing back to European and Japanese markets, while emerging markets like India attract foreign investment [4].