美国霸权衰退

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特朗普最大麻烦来了,美国政府正式“关门”,到底有什么影响?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 06:43
这次美国政府的"关门"并不是因为债务危机、战争或政权更替,而是源自于美国国内的政治分歧。问题的根源是美国国会未能批准新的财政预算,导致政府 运转停滞。简单来说,就是"你们公司发不了工资了,80万名联邦员工只能无休止地待在家里。" 之所以没能通过预算案,是因为民主党和共和党在医疗补贴方面产生了重大分歧。尽管共和党在参议院占据多数席位,但任何财政拨款案都需要至少60票才 能通过程序障碍,而民主党拒绝投支持票,最终导致预算案搁置。可以想象,就像公司账上有资金,但股东们意见不合,董事长决定冻结资金,直到问题解 决,员工就只能待命,工资也拿不到。 在中国人眼中,这种"关门"似乎是新鲜事,但其实在美国,这并不是第一次。过去因为两党斗争,美国政府已经停摆过二十多次。最近一次发生在2018年, 当时特朗普总统提出的修建边境墙计划遭到民主党强烈反对,最终也导致了政府关门。 那么,这次"关门"会带来哪些影响呢? 今天早晨一觉醒来,历史再次被写下——美国政府正式"关门"了!这并非是某种经济危机或战争引起的,而是因为美国的政治斗争导致的。那么,究竟发生 了什么?这种情况会带来哪些影响,特别是对中国有何影响? 第三,对美国政府形象的影 ...
7500亿购买美国产品!还要拿6000亿美元投资?欧盟不死也脱层皮
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 07:39
Group 1 - The EU is responding to pressure from the US by deepening trade relations with India and other emerging markets, aiming to reduce reliance on the US market [1][3][4] - EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has committed to completing negotiations for a free trade agreement with India within this year, indicating a proactive approach to trade expansion [3][4] - The EU is currently negotiating with South Africa, Malaysia, and the UAE, and has already signed agreements with Mexico, Switzerland, and the Southern Common Market of South America, showcasing a strategic shift towards diversifying trade partnerships [3][4] Group 2 - The EU is facing significant challenges in the ongoing trade dispute with the US, having made concessions that include accepting higher tariffs and committing to substantial purchases of US energy products and AI chips [4][7] - European businesses are experiencing a survival crisis, prompting calls from major economic organizations for reforms to simplify administrative processes, control energy prices, and ease burdens on small and medium-sized enterprises [4][5][7] - The effectiveness of the EU's new trade agreements in addressing core issues such as energy and talent shortages remains to be seen, with the business community emphasizing the need for tangible results rather than mere discussions [7][9] Group 3 - India stands to benefit significantly from the EU's trade expansion, gaining access to new markets while reducing its dependence on the US, which may alter the balance of economic influence [3][9] - The current situation reflects a decline in US hegemony, as the Trump administration's aggressive policies have alienated traditional allies, leading to a collective pushback against US dominance [9]
中美如果决战战场会在哪里?美国智库曾分析:决战将在四个地方?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-27 13:27
Group 1 - The article discusses the decline of American hegemony and the rise of China's economy, suggesting that the U.S. is losing its status as the world's economic engine, especially after the 2008 financial crisis [3][5] - It highlights the increasing military presence of the U.S. in the Asia-Pacific region as a response to its economic challenges, with new defense agreements with Japan and enhanced cooperation with South Korea [5][10] - The article notes that the bilateral trade between China and the U.S. exceeded $700 billion in 2022, emphasizing the interdependence of the two economies [7] Group 2 - The article points out the shrinking middle class in the U.S., with the percentage of middle-class individuals dropping from 61% in 1971 to 50% in 2021, indicating growing economic inequality [8] - It references Henry Kissinger's warning about the need for a new type of relationship between China and the U.S. to avoid escalating tensions that could lead to conflict [10][12] - The article concludes by reflecting on the historical context of American imperialism and its implications for current global dynamics, suggesting that the essence of American imperialism remains unchanged despite economic and social developments [12]