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江南布衣(3306.HK)首次覆盖报告:聚焦小众细分赛道的高ROE+高股息优质标的
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-05 01:02
Core Insights - Jiangnan Buyi, established in 1994, is a leading designer brand fashion company with a strong market presence and high dividend payout since its listing in 2016 [1][2] - The company has maintained a high return on equity (ROE), averaging 35.7% over the past three years and 33.4% over the past five years, positioning it among the top in the consumer goods sector [1] Group 1: Growth Strategies - The company employs three main strategies for growth: multi-brand matrix, design-driven approach, and fan-driven engagement [1] - Multi-brand matrix: Revenue contributions from mature brands, growth brands, and emerging brands are 56.2%, 41.7%, and 2.1% respectively, with compound annual growth rates (CAGR) of 9.4% and 9.2% for mature and growth brands from FY2019 to FY2024 [1] - Design-driven: The founder is directly involved in design, with strong incentives and high investment in core designers, including initiatives like the Sesame Laboratory to explore sustainable fashion [1] - Fan-driven: The company has a strong membership base with 319,000 active members contributing over 60% of offline retail sales, supported by digital retail initiatives [1] Group 2: Market Potential and Financial Outlook - The designer brand market shows significant potential, with a CAGR of 5.5% from 2017 to 2022, and an expected CAGR of 14.5% from 2023 to 2027, ranking among the top two in its segment [2] - The company has a high-quality channel presence, with 45.3% of stores located in first and second-tier cities, and a comparable store growth rate of 10.7% for FY24 [2] - Financial projections indicate revenue growth to reach 5.59 billion yuan, 5.98 billion yuan, and 6.39 billion yuan for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.7%, 7.0%, and 6.9% [2] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 890 million yuan, 950 million yuan, and 1.02 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.4%, 7.6%, and 7.1% [2]
江南布衣(03306.HK)FY2025H1业绩点评:FY2025H1业绩稳健 新兴品牌增长强劲
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-05 01:02
Core Viewpoint - Jiangnan Buyi reported a steady performance in FY2025 H1 with total revenue of 3.156 billion yuan, up 5% year-on-year, and net profit of 604 million yuan, up 5.5% year-on-year, while proposing an interim dividend of 0.45 HKD per share [1][2] Financial Performance - FY2025 H1 total revenue reached 3.156 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5% and net profit of 604 million yuan, reflecting a 5.5% year-on-year growth [1] - The overall gross margin slightly declined to 65.1%, down 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased to 19.1%, up 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [1][2] - Revenue breakdown by brand shows JNBY at 1.76 billion yuan (up 3.6%), Sketch at 388 million yuan (down 6%), jnby by JNBY at 476 million yuan (down 0.6%), LESS at 338 million yuan (up 0.8%), and emerging brands at 194 million yuan (up 147.3%) [1] Channel Performance - Revenue by channel indicates direct sales at 1.117 billion yuan (down 7.7%), distributor channel at 1.437 billion yuan (up 14.2%), and online channel at 602 million yuan (up 11.9%) [1] - The overall expense ratio increased, with sales and marketing expenses at 32.35% (up 1.1 percentage points) and administrative expenses at 8.62% (up 0.4 percentage points) [2] Store Expansion and Brand Development - As of December 31, 2024, the group operated 2,126 independent retail stores globally, an increase of 101 stores since June 30, 2024, with JNBY having 960 stores [3] - The company upgraded store images and optimized supply chain management, contributing to retail performance improvement, alongside the acquisition of Hangzhou Muli Brand Management Company to expand its brand matrix [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 5.53 billion, 5.96 billion, and 6.42 billion yuan for FY2025-2027, with net profits of 880 million, 930 million, and 1 billion yuan respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [4] - The current closing price corresponds to a PE ratio of 8.0, 7.5, and 7.0 for the respective years, suggesting the company is a low-valuation, high-dividend quality stock [4]
关闭最后一家店,知名设计师品牌将退出中国?
3 6 Ke· 2025-04-29 03:34
关闭亚洲首家旗舰店一年后,保加利亚小众设计师品牌By Far在北京国贸商城的门店将于5月14日正式闭店。这也是By Far在中国市场的最后一家门店。 从2022在上海张园开出亚洲首家旗舰店,到2025年门店全部关闭,曾因"腋下包"爆火的By Far,在中国市场仅用了三年时间,就走向没落。 01 全面退出中国市场? 2022年12月,By Far在上海张园开设了继加州洛杉矶店后的全球第二家、亚洲首家旗舰店,成为首批入驻张园的品牌之一。一个创新的举措是,开业期 间,By Far还宣布进军美妆领域,推出创新性可穿戴香氛"白日梦DREAM"系列,以此来扩充品牌内容和丰富门店可逛性。 或许是太想「趁热」布局中国市场,By Far用一连串的开业布局主要城市。根据By Far官方微信披露,2023年,By Far先后在北京太古里(1月)、南京德基 广场(4月)、北京国贸城(5月)、上海One ITC(6月)、上海国金中心(7月)、苏州仓街商业广场(10月)共计开出6家门店,加上上海张园店,By Far合计在中国 市场开出7家门店。 不过这些门店并未运营太久就先后关闭。2024年4月,By Far张园店宣布关闭,其他门店也先 ...