负背离
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银价波动部分人坚守“信念” 伦敦银现负背离
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-02-04 06:57
【最新伦敦银行情解析】 白银价格在近期盘内交易中上涨,试图重新测试此前被突破的主要看涨趋势线,试图确认该突破后再探 测下一趋势。尽管交易低于EMA50,负压仍在持续,但该多头走势仍存在,这仍是限制当前反弹力量 的动态阻力。 杰弗里.詹宁斯(Jeffrey Jennings)是佛罗里达州迈尔斯堡一名退休的IT技术员,现已转为日内交易员。他 表示,由于黄金和白银各自的波动性不同(白银往往更不稳定),他目前做多黄金,做空白银。然而,他 现在正考虑买入一只白银ETF并将其加入自己的退休账户,因为他认为白银已经变得便宜,年底前将会 翻倍。 "白银短缺的基本面并没有消失,"詹宁斯说,"但简单的事实是,黄金在过去三四天里变得过热了。"他 表示,过去一个月里,他通过白银和买入矿业公司的股票赚了钱。 对于对贵金属感兴趣的人来说,Formynder Wealth Management的理财顾问奥门.奎尔沃格(Omen Quelvog)认为,只要保持投资组合平衡,现在"和任何时候一样是买入的好时机"。 今日周三(2月4日)亚盘时段,伦敦银目前交投于87.46一线上方,今日开盘于84.75美元/盎司,截至发 稿,伦敦银暂报87.73 ...
伦敦银警惕回调风险 特朗普再称将公布主席人选
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-28 03:27
Group 1 - The current trading price of London silver is above $113.72, with an opening price of $112.14 and a peak of $114.34, indicating a bullish short-term trend [1] - President Donald Trump announced plans to appoint a new Federal Reserve Chair, aiming for a leadership that aligns with his monetary policy goals, which he believes will lead to significant interest rate cuts [1] - Trump criticized the current Fed Chair Jerome Powell, referring to him as "slow-moving Powell," and has been vocal about the need for the Fed to lower interest rates more aggressively [1] Group 2 - The technical analysis of silver prices shows a parabolic upward trend, but there are signs that buying momentum may be waning, indicated by a divergence between price highs and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) [2] - For a continuation of the bullish trend, silver prices need to break above $110.00; otherwise, the risk of a pullback increases, especially if prices fall below $100.00 [2] - The first support level for silver is at the January 23 low of $96.14, followed by the swing low of $90.46 from January 21 [2]
美股涨势看似不可阻挡?小心!多个危险信号暗示反转或将到来
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-11-13 05:39
不仅如此,从更长远的角度来看,股市的上涨正变得近乎抛物线般。对于任何在加密货币时代之前就经 验丰富的投资者来说,那个时代的所谓"HODL"一族(意指坚定持币不动的人)对近乎垂直的市场走势 几乎毫无畏惧,而这种走势通常是一个警示信号。 AI播客:换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 音频由扣子空间生成 美股看似势不可挡,但投资者不应沾沾自喜,因为有多个迹象表明,这轮涨势比表面看起来更为脆弱。 对市场而言,今年是如坐过山车般的一年,市场经历了关税战、局部冲突、对美元武器化的担忧、人工 智能领域的支出热潮,以及一些备受瞩目的破产案——用摩根大通首席执行官杰米·戴蒙令人印象深刻 的措辞来说,就是"蟑螂"。 然而,尽管市场动荡不安,但美股仍非常接近历史最高点。 而且,下跌可能会非常剧烈。估值虽然不能告诉你市场何时会下跌,但可以很好地预示它最终会跌多 深。目前,美国股市的多项估值指标综合平均值达到了百年来有记录的最高水平。如果市场可能像在其 他估值异常高企时期那样下跌30%至50%,这并不能给今天投资股票的人带来太大信心。 从一个非常现实的层面来看,估值也正在变得高昂。以平均收入计算,购买一份标普500指数合约所需 的工作时长已飙 ...
别被牛市冲昏头!美股涨势可能比你想象的更脆弱
智通财经网· 2025-11-12 13:43
Group 1 - The current rally in the U.S. stock market appears fragile, with multiple indicators suggesting underlying vulnerabilities that exceed surface appearances [1] - The market has experienced significant volatility in 2025, influenced by trade wars, real conflicts, concerns over the weaponization of the dollar, and a surge in AI investments, alongside notable bankruptcy cases [1] - Despite ongoing turbulence, stock indices remain near historical highs, which may signal a warning for seasoned investors who have weathered previous market cycles [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis reveals a concerning trend: while the S&P 500 index reaches new highs, the number of constituent stocks hitting new lows is increasing, indicating a "negative divergence" [4] - Historical patterns suggest that high valuation levels can lead to substantial market corrections, with past instances showing declines of 30% to 50% when valuations peaked [4] - The current valuation metrics for U.S. stocks have surpassed a century-old record, raising alarms about potential future declines [4] Group 3 - From a purchasing power perspective, the time required to earn enough to buy a contract of the S&P 500 index has exceeded 200 hours, significantly higher than pre-pandemic levels and the peak in 2000 [7] - The high proportion of stock ownership among U.S. households indicates a potential for significant selling pressure, as retail investors often drive valuations to unsustainable levels [10] - Despite prevailing optimism in the market, numerous warning signs suggest a possible trend reversal, emphasizing the importance of protective investment strategies [10]