每经AI快讯，11月14日，现货黄金日内跌1.51%，回落至4110美元/盎司下方；现货白银跌1.49%，报 51.49美元/盎司。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The A - share market is in a repricing adjustment after the quarterly reports, with common short - term rebounds and limited downside risks [2]. - The bond market pricing may tilt towards fundamentals as credit data is expected to weaken in October, and the strong equity market suppresses the bond market [2]. - International gold prices will mainly show a volatile consolidation trend, with silver following gold's fluctuations [2]. - The shipping index (European line) will be volatile in the short term [2]. - The supply of iron elements in the steel market is loose, and there are various trading strategies for different steel - related products [2]. - The prices of some chemical products are affected by supply - demand and cost factors, with limited rebound space or downward pressure [2]. - Agricultural product prices are influenced by factors such as trade negotiations, supply, and production, showing different trends [2]. - Special and new energy products have their own price trends and trading logics [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures**: After the market冲高兑现预期, there is a slight callback, and the technology sector recovers. A - shares are in repricing adjustment, with short - term rebounds and limited downside risks. It is recommended to wait and see [2]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The bond market pricing may tilt towards fundamentals, and the strong equity market suppresses the bond market. It is recommended to go long on a single - side strategy and pay attention to the positive arbitrage strategy due to the rising IRR [2]. - **Precious Metals Futures**: International gold prices will oscillate between 3900 - 4030 dollars, and silver will fluctuate between 47 - 49 dollars [2]. - **Shipping Index Futures (European Line)**: It will be volatile in the short term, and it is recommended to buy on dips for the December contract [2]. Black Metals - **Steel**: The supply of iron elements in the January contract is loose. It is recommended to hold a strategy of going long on coking coal and short on hot - rolled coils, and to go short on the iron ore contract at high prices [2]. - **Iron Ore**: After the shipping volume declines and the arrival volume increases, the port inventory rises, and the iron ore price drops after rising. It is recommended to go short at high prices and consider an arbitrage strategy of going long on coking coal and short on iron ore [2]. - **Coking Coal**: The coal price in the producing area is strong, and the Mongolian coal price is firm. It is recommended to go long on coking coal at low prices and consider an arbitrage strategy of going long on coking coal and short on coke [2]. - **Coke**: The third - round price increase of mainstream coking enterprises has been implemented, and coking coal provides cost support. It is recommended to go long on coke at low prices and consider an arbitrage strategy of going long on coking coal and short on coke [2]. Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: The copper price center has回调, and the downstream demand has briefly recovered. Pay attention to the support at 84000 and the pressure at 86500 [2]. - **Aluminum**: The aluminum price has increased in both volume and price, but the short - term fundamentals restrict the upward height. The main operation range is 20800 - 21600 [2]. - **Other Non - ferrous Metals**: Each metal has its own price range and trading suggestions, such as zinc oscillating at a high level between 22300 - 23000, tin maintaining a high - level oscillation, etc. [2]. Chemical Products - **PX, PTA, Short - fiber, Bottle - chip**: The supply - demand expectations are weak, and the cost - end support is limited, with limited rebound space [2]. - **Ethanol**: The supply is abundant, and there is an expectation of inventory accumulation. It is recommended to hold out - of - the - money call options and consider a reverse arbitrage strategy [2]. - **Other Chemicals**: Each chemical product has its own supply - demand situation and trading suggestions, such as PVC being recommended to go short on rebounds [2]. Agricultural Products - **Grains and Oils**: The prices of some grains and oils are affected by factors such as trade negotiations and production. For example, the price of palm oil is weak, and it is recommended to close the long positions of some contracts [2]. - **Livestock and Poultry**: The pig price is oscillating, and it is recommended to hold a 3 - 7 reverse arbitrage strategy [2]. - **Other Agricultural Products**: Each product has its own price trend and trading suggestions, such as sugar being recommended to trade short on rebounds [2]. Special and New Energy Products - **Glass**: There is support at the bottom due to the peak construction season and production line disturbances. It is recommended to pay attention to the spot market for short - term long - trading opportunities [2]. - **Rubber**: The negative factors have been gradually digested, and the rubber price has rebounded. It is recommended to wait and see [2]. - **Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon**: They are mainly oscillating, with specific price ranges [2]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The trading logic has changed recently, and it is in a weak adjustment [2].

International Gold and Silver Market Dynamics - London spot gold closed at $4094.23 per ounce [3] - London spot silver closed at $46.9 per ounce [3] Domestic Real-Time Gold and Silver Prices - Domestic gold price is currently at ¥937.42 per gram [3] - Domestic silver price is currently at ¥10.8 per gram [3] - Domestic platinum price is currently at ¥356.6 per gram [3] Shanghai Gold Exchange Market Overview - Gold 9999 latest price is ¥935.77 per gram, up by ¥3.89, a 0.18% increase [3] - Gold 9995 latest price is ¥933.9 per gram, down by 0.73% [3] - Gold 100g latest price is ¥946 per gram, up by 0.59% [3] - mAuT D latest price is ¥933.5 per gram, down by 0.75% [3] - Gold T D latest price is ¥932.8 per gram, down by 0.94% [3] - Silver T D latest price is ¥11,352 per kilogram, up by 0.02% [3] Major Jewelry Brand Retail Prices - Major jewelry brands like Chow Tai Fook, Luk Fook, and others have retail prices for 99.9% pure gold at ¥1223 per gram [3] - Lao Feng Xiang and Lao Miao gold have retail prices at ¥1220 per gram [3] - Cai Bai Jewelry and China Gold have retail prices for 999 gold products at ¥1172 per gram [3] Precious Metal Recycling Price Reference - Gold (99.9% purity) recycling price is ¥915 per gram [4] - Silver (99.9% purity) recycling price is ¥9.1 per gram [5] Brand Product Structure Adjustments and Performance Analysis - Jewelry brands are shifting towards higher-margin "fixed-price" gold products to cope with rising gold prices and weak market demand [6] - Chow Tai Fook reported a 105.5% increase in sales of fixed-price gold products, but overall revenue fell by 17.5% year-on-year [6] - Net profit for Chow Tai Fook decreased by 8.98% year-on-year [6] - Fixed-price product retail value increased by 43.7% in Q2 2025, significantly boosting its revenue share [6] - Luk Fook Group also faced challenges, with same-store sales of fixed-price gold products up by 35.25%, but overall revenue and net profit down by 12.95% and 37.77% respectively [7] Factors Influencing International Gold Prices - The current exchange rate is 1 USD to ¥7.1215 [8] - Geopolitical risks may increase safe-haven demand, impacting gold prices [9] - Macroeconomic data, especially inflation and interest rate policies, significantly influence gold prices [10]

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices experienced a significant drop of over 5% on the 21st, marking the largest single-day decline in five years, primarily due to profit-taking by investors and other factors [1][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - On the 21st, the international spot gold price fell approximately 5.3% to $4,123.85 per ounce, with an intraday drop of 6.3%, the largest decline in 12 years [1]. - On the following day, gold continued to decline, reaching a low of $4,005.01 per ounce, a drop of 8.01%, while spot silver fell to $47.529 per ounce, down 2.1% [5]. - The recent sell-off in gold is attributed to concerns that the historical price increases have led to overvaluation, compounded by a strengthening dollar which diminishes the appeal of precious metals [6]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - A recent survey by Bank of America indicated that 43% of fund managers view "going long on gold" as the most crowded trade, surpassing the 39% for "going long on the seven major U.S. stocks" [7]. - Since late August, international gold prices surged from around $3,300 per ounce to over $4,000, driven by geopolitical changes, global economic uncertainty, Federal Reserve rate cuts, and central bank purchases of gold [7]. - Despite the recent downturn, analysts believe that the long-term drivers for gold prices remain intact, with expectations for a recovery in the coming months [7].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - On October 22, the prices of precious metals continued to decline significantly due to factors such as the cooling of risk - aversion sentiment, the strengthening of the US dollar, and investors' concentrated profit - taking. The transfer of silver inventories from the US and China to the London market alleviated the shortage of physical silver in London, further triggering the risk of silver selling [5]. - The sharp decline in precious metal prices indicates that the historic upward trend of this round has temporarily ended. In the short term, with the Fed still having expectations of a rate cut in October, precious metals may enter a wide - range shock. It is recommended that investors participate rationally, avoid short - term chasing up or selling down, and focus on long - term allocation. In the long run, the bullish logic of precious metals remains unchanged, and long - term investors can wait for the adjustment to complete and then go long on dips [5]. - In the long term, factors such as the Fed's potential rate cuts within the year, continuous global geopolitical uncertainties, the unsustainable US debt, intensified great - power competition increasing the risk of US dollar credit, and the continuation of global central bank gold purchases suggest that the long - term center of gold prices is likely to continue to rise [5]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price Tracking - **Precious Metal Prices**: On October 22, compared with October 21, London gold spot dropped by 4.3% to $4153.64 per ounce, London silver spot fell by 5.0% to $49.16 per ounce, COMEX gold decreased by 4.3% to $4167.10 per ounce, and CONEX silver declined by 4.4% to $48.47 per ounce. In the domestic market, AU2512 dropped by 4.2% to 952.56 yuan per gram, AG2512 decreased by 3.4% to 11404 yuan per kilogram, AU (T + D) fell by 4.1% to 950.25 yuan per gram, and AG (T + D) declined by 3.4% to 11391 yuan per kilogram [3]. - **Price Spreads and Ratios**: From October 21 to October 22, the spread of gold TD - SHFE active price increased by 120.0% to 2.71 yuan per gram, and the spread of silver TD - SHFE active price increased by - 16.8% to - 1133 yuan per kilogram. The SHFE gold - silver ratio decreased by 0.8% to 83.53, and the COMEX gold - silver ratio increased by 0.1% to 85.98 [3]. Position Data - **COMEX Positions**: As of October 21, compared with October 20, COMEX gold non - commercial long positions increased by 1.85% to 332808 contracts, non - commercial short positions increased by 9.43% to 66059 contracts, and non - commercial net long positions increased by 0.13% to 266749 contracts. CONEX silver non - commercial long positions increased by 0.97% to 72318 contracts, non - commercial short positions decreased by 0.21% to 20042 contracts, and non - commercial net long positions increased by 1.43% to 52276 contracts [3]. - **ETF Positions**: As of October 21, compared with October 20, the gold ETF - SPDR remained unchanged at 1058.66 tons, and the silver ETF - SLV decreased by 0.59% to 15676.6372 tons [3]. Inventory Data - **SHFE Inventories**: On October 22, compared with October 21, SHFE gold inventory increased by 0.52% to 87015 kilograms, and SHFE silver inventory decreased by 7.70% to 691688 kilograms [3]. - **COMEX Inventories**: On October 21, compared with October 20, COMEX gold inventory decreased by 0.03% to 39020901 troy ounces, and COMEX silver inventory decreased by 0.52% to 503832524 troy ounces [3]. Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Data - **Interest Rates**: From October 21 to October 22, the US 2 - year Treasury yield increased by 0.03% to 7.10, and the US 10 - year Treasury yield increased by 0.35% to 3.98 [4]. - **Exchange Rates and Other Data**: The NYMEX crude oil price decreased by 0.29% to 17.87, the US dollar index decreased by 0.50% to 98.97, the VIX decreased by 1.97% to 3.45, the S&P 500 remained unchanged at 6735.35, and the US dollar/Chinese yuan central parity rate increased by 1.14% to 57.58 [4].

Core Insights - International gold prices reached a historic closing high on Monday but saw a sharp decline on Tuesday, with New York Mercantile Exchange gold futures dropping over 6% during the day [1] - The silver market followed suit, with silver futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange falling more than 7% [1] - As of 7:30 PM Beijing time, gold futures were priced at $4034.9 per ounce, reflecting a daily decline of 1.81%, while London spot gold was at $4020.44 per ounce, down 2.5% [1] Market Reactions - In Shenzhen's Shui Bei gold market, many gold retailers expressed shock at the significant price fluctuations, with one retailer noting that gold prices dropped from 990 yuan to 930 yuan per gram in a single day, a decline unprecedented in their experience [3] - Despite the price adjustments, there were still consumers visiting gold shops, although the sales volume decreased compared to recent trends [5] - A sales manager indicated that while foot traffic remained decent, most customers were in a wait-and-see mode, hoping for further price drops before making purchases [7] Silver Market Dynamics - The recent drop in silver prices has led to a significant decrease in consumer interest, with some retailers reporting that previously popular silver products are now unsold following the price crash on the 21st [9] - A retailer noted that silver had previously seen a surge in demand, with prices rising approximately 20% in just ten days, but the recent volatility has cooled interest significantly [11] Impact on Gold Recycling - The decline in gold prices has also affected the gold recycling market, with a chief analyst reporting a more than one-third drop in customer visits compared to when gold prices were around 1000 yuan per gram [13]

Core Viewpoint - The recent significant decline in precious metal prices is attributed to multiple factors, including improved investor risk appetite due to easing international trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The weakening of the Japanese yen against the US dollar, influenced by domestic political factors, has led to a stronger dollar index, which reached a near one-week high of 98.93, putting additional pressure on precious metal prices [1] - Following a period of substantial increases in gold prices, many investors opted to take profits ahead of the release of the US September CPI data [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Despite the recent price drop, demand for gold investment remains strong, and there has been no fundamental alleviation of the physical silver shortage, suggesting that international gold and silver prices are likely to maintain an upward trend in the medium to long term [1]

Group 1 - The stock price of Laopu Gold fell by 8.21%, closing at 704 HKD on October 22 [1] - On October 21, international spot gold prices dropped over 6%, falling below 4100 USD per ounce, marking the largest single-day decline in 12 years [1] - International spot silver prices also saw a significant drop, falling over 8% to below 48 USD per ounce, the largest single-day decline since 2021 [1] Group 2 - Laopu Gold announced a product price adjustment scheduled for October 26, marking the third price adjustment since 2025 [1] - The previous two price adjustments occurred in February and August, both resulting in price increases for respective products [1]

Core Viewpoint - International precious metal prices have experienced significant fluctuations this week, with gold prices dropping from a historical high of $4,381 per ounce to around $4,000, and silver prices plummeting by 7% on October 21 [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Shanghai Futures Exchange has adjusted the trading margin ratios and price fluctuation limits for gold and silver futures, with limits set at 14% and margin ratios at 15% for hedging and 16% for general positions [1] - The recent price adjustments in precious metals are attributed to several factors, including a reduction in global geopolitical risks and a shift of silver inventories from the US and China to the London market, alleviating physical silver shortages [1] Group 2: Investor Guidance - Analysts recommend that investors exercise caution due to increased market volatility and avoid blind speculation, emphasizing the importance of risk management [2] - It is suggested that the long-term upward trend in precious metal prices remains intact, but the rapid price increase since late August may be coming to an end, advising investors to focus on long-term allocations rather than short-term trading [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market saw a significant decline in gold and precious metal stocks, driven by a sharp sell-off in the precious metals market after weeks of price increases, with gold experiencing its largest single-day drop in 12 years [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Gold and precious metal stocks opened lower across the board, with notable declines including Long Resources down 9%, Datang Gold down nearly 9%, and Zijin Gold International, Shandong Gold, and Jihai Resources down over 6% [1] - The sell-off in the precious metals market was marked by a nearly $280 drop in spot gold, which fell below $1,900, and spot silver plummeting over 8%, falling below $48, marking its largest drop since February 2021 [1] Group 2: Contributing Factors - Multiple factors contributed to the decline in precious metals, including positive developments in international trade negotiations, a strengthening US dollar, technical overbought conditions, uncertainty due to the US federal government shutdown, and the end of seasonal buying in India [1]