Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the deepening and improvement of management policies in the rare earth industry, ensuring China's position in this sector [1] - Announcement No. 56 strengthens the regulation of rare earth processing equipment and raw materials [1] - Announcement No. 57 expands the scope of export controls on medium and heavy rare earths, adding five new elements: holmium, erbium, thulium, europium, and ytterbium, thus all medium and heavy rare earth elements and related items are now regulated [1] Group 2 - Announcement No. 61 addresses regulatory gaps by requiring foreign organizations or individuals exporting products containing Chinese-origin rare earth items or using Chinese technology to apply for export licenses [1] - Announcement No. 62 includes key technologies and related carriers for rare earth exploration, mining, selection, smelting, separation, and deep processing under regulation, marking the first time that rare earth recycling technology is included in the control scope [1] - The policies enhance the autonomous controllability of the entire rare earth industry chain [1] Group 3 - Concerns over increased trade tariffs have strengthened gold's safe-haven attributes, while silver prices have surged due to spot market shortages and warehouse congestion [1] - The mining ETF (561330) tracks the non-ferrous mining index (931892), which selects securities from companies involved in the development of copper, aluminum, lead-zinc, and rare metals to reflect the overall performance of the non-ferrous metal mining industry [1] - The mining ETF (561330) has an excess return of over 10% compared to the CSI non-ferrous index, with a higher concentration of leading companies and a greater proportion of gold, copper, and rare earths [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting the strengthening of gold's safe-haven attributes and further management of the rare earth industry [1]. Core Views - The report emphasizes the impact of trade tariff concerns on gold's safe-haven demand, while silver prices are accelerating due to spot market shortages and warehouse squeezes [7]. - The rare earth industry is seeing enhanced management policies, ensuring the strategic security of China's rare earth industry [7]. - The cobalt market is expected to experience upward price pressure due to the announced export quotas from the Democratic Republic of Congo [7]. Industry Overview - **Industrial Metals**: The report notes that trade tariff concerns are increasing gold's safe-haven demand, with silver prices rising due to market shortages. The SPDR Gold ETF saw a decrease in holdings by 2.3 tons to 1013.44 tons, while iShares Silver ETF increased by 35.28 tons to 15443.76 tons [7]. - **Rare Earths**: Recent announcements from the Ministry of Commerce regarding export controls on rare earth materials are expected to enhance the management of the industry, ensuring strategic security [7]. - **Cobalt**: The Democratic Republic of Congo's export quota policy is likely to support cobalt prices, with the average price of electrolytic cobalt rising by 4.8% to 349,500 CNY/ton [9]. Stock Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies in the precious metals sector such as Zhongjin Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, and Shandong Gold, as well as silver companies like Xingye Silver and Shengda Resources [2]. - For cobalt, companies such as Huayou Cobalt, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Tengyuan Cobalt are highlighted as potential beneficiaries of rising cobalt prices [10].

（原标题：AIB经济展望称贸易关税升级可能导致爱尔兰今年和明年经济增长放缓） 爱尔兰RTE新闻5月26日报道，根据爱尔兰联合银行最新的经济展望报告《资产负债表的视角看爱 尔兰能否经受住关税和外国直接投资 (FDI) 冲击》，爱尔兰经济已具备抵御短期内潜在贸易和外国直接 投资冲击的韧性。然而，永久性关税或美国税法的改变将降低爱尔兰的外国直接投资吸引力，从而带来 更大的长期挑战。预计爱尔兰国内需求今年增长2.3%，2026年增长 2%，2027年将增长 2.6%。预计爱尔 兰家庭将削减支出，而一些商业部门可能会推迟计划投资，特别是出口导向型行业的投资。近期消费支 出强劲，公共和私营部门的资产负债表总体债务水平较低，储蓄率较高。尽管经济风险偏向下行，但资 产负债表的韧性仍是一个缓解因素。报告发现，美国关税和未来的美国税收政策是爱尔兰经济面临的主 要下行风险。爱尔兰本土的一些出口行业（如农产品行业）受到美国关税的影响，但主要风险集中在爱 尔兰跨国公司主导的行业。跨国公司部门的任何负面溢出效应都可能损害国内部门的产出和就业。然 而，爱尔兰经济面临的关键中期风险在于税基集中于跨国公司部门的公司税和所得税。预测劳动力市场 ...