重要新闻提示 国家发展改革委和市场监管总局发布《关于治理价格无序竞争维护良好市场价格秩序的公告》 照明龙头时空科技：筹划重大资产重组，公司股票10月9日起停牌 牧原股份：2025年半年度每10股派9.3元，分红总额50.02亿元 今日提示 北交所新股奥美森（920080）今日上市 央行公开市场今日有6000亿元14天期逆回购到期 国家统计局今日公布流通领域重要生产资料市场价格变动情况 中央国债登记结算有限责任公司、全国银行间同业拆借中心今日将联合推出集中债券借贷业务 第13届中国移动全球合作伙伴大会将于10月10日—12日举办 2025中国国际电池应用大会暨第三届中国国际新型储能发展峰会10月10日—12日在深圳举办 财经新闻 1. 10月9日，中国人民银行以固定利率、数量招标方式开展6120亿元7天期逆回购操作。由于当日有 20633亿元逆回购到期，实现净回笼14513亿元。从逆回购到期情况看，10月10日还有6000亿元逆回购到 期，本周逆回购到期量合计为2.66万亿元。为保持银行体系流动性充裕，央行在国庆假期后首个工作日 开展10月首次买断式逆回购操作。 2. 10月9日，国家发展改革委和市场监管总局发 ...

消息面上，国盛证券表示，今年在经济筑底，美联储降息周期背景下，金、铜等主要金属价格震荡上 行，有色板块持续大涨，矿产资源丰富的建筑企业价值亟待重估，重点推荐中国中冶H。兴业证券指 出，矿产资源赋能，有望提升公司估值。公司现有海外矿山7座，主要集中在镍、钴、铜、铅、锌等金 属品种。其中重点矿产资源：巴布亚新几内亚瑞木镍钴矿，受益于探矿权范围内的勘探找矿成果，该项 目估算保有镍资源量进一步增至211.46万吨、钴资源量增至21.94万吨；巴基斯坦山达克铜金矿，该项目 估算保有铜资源量179.13万吨；此外，巴基斯坦锡亚迪克铜矿项目、阿富汗艾娜克铜矿项目开发有序推 进，有望为公司业绩贡献较大弹性，提升公司估值水平。 中国中冶（601618）(01618)涨超7%，截至发稿，涨6.94%，报2.62港元，成交额2.71亿港元。 ...

9月28日，工信部等八部门印发的《有色金属行业稳增长工作方案（2025—2026年）》指出， 实施新一轮找矿突破战略行动，加强 铜、铝、锂、镍、钴、锡等资源调查与勘探，形成一批找矿新成果。支持有条件的地区建立再生资源回收基地，强化废铜、废铝等废 有色金属综合利用，以及废旧动力电池、废旧光伏组件等新兴固废综合利用。推进氧化铝、电解铝、铜冶炼、铅冶炼、锌冶炼等行业 节能减污降碳改造。规范开展赤泥、锂渣、高铝粉煤灰等大宗固废的安全处置及资源化利用。 以下为原文 工业和信息化部等八部门关于印发《有色金属行业稳增长工作方案（2 025—2026年）》的通知 各省、自治区、直辖市及计划单列市、新疆生产建设兵团工业和信息化、自然资源、商务、国资主管部门、粮食和物资储备局，中国人 民银行上海总部，各省、自治区、直辖市、计划单列市分行，海关总署广东分署、各直属海关，中国证监会各监管局： 现将《有色金属行业稳增长工作方案（2025—2026年》印发给你们，请结合实际认真抓好落实。 工业和信息化部 自然资源部 商务部 中国人民银行 国务院国资委 海关总署 中国证监会 国家粮食和储备局 20 25年8月28日 有色金属行业稳增长工作 ...

Group 1 - The core business of the company focuses on the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of power and terminal equipment, along with non-ferrous metal mining and selection [1] - The company also engages in smart agriculture as a supplementary business [1] - Currently, the company is not involved in the smart robotics sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company primarily focuses on the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of power and terminal equipment, along with non-ferrous metal mining and selection, supplemented by smart agriculture business [1] Group 1 - The company's main business includes power and terminal equipment R&D, manufacturing, and sales [1] - The company is also involved in non-ferrous metal mining and selection [1] - Currently, the company does not engage in the smart robotics business [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the recent trading performance and financial metrics of Hunan Silver, indicating a decline in stock price and significant trading activity in margin financing and securities lending [1][2]. - As of September 4, Hunan Silver's stock price dropped by 3.67%, with a trading volume of 1.247 billion yuan. The margin financing data shows a net buy of 4.9439 million yuan for the day, with a total margin balance of 630 million yuan [1]. - The margin financing balance of Hunan Silver accounts for 4.92% of its circulating market value, indicating a high level of leverage compared to the past year [1]. Group 2 - As of June 30, the number of shareholders for Hunan Silver increased to 88,000, a rise of 21.3%, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 17.56% to 25,127 shares [2]. - For the first half of 2025, Hunan Silver reported a revenue of 4.529 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35.59%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 62.197 million yuan, up 7.01% year-on-year [2]. Group 3 - Hunan Silver has cumulatively distributed 162 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with no dividends paid in the last three years [3].

Group 1 - The stock price of Shengda Resources closed at 16.30 yuan on August 27, down 0.70 yuan, a decrease of 4.12% from the previous trading day [1] - The trading volume on that day was 233,500 hands, with a transaction amount of 389 million yuan [1] - Shengda Resources operates in the non-ferrous metals industry, focusing on the mining and sales of non-ferrous metal ores, with main products including lead concentrate, zinc concentrate, and silver ingots [1] Group 2 - The company announced on August 27 that its subsidiary Dongsheng Mining has mining and exploration rights in different mining areas, and will adjust the names of ongoing construction projects as development progresses [1] - Additionally, the company revealed that gold and silver concentrate produced by Jinshan Mining in the first half of the year has started to be sold gradually from the third quarter [1] Group 3 - On August 27, the net outflow of main funds was 20.34 million yuan, accounting for 0.19% of the circulating market value [1] - Over the past five trading days, the cumulative net outflow of main funds reached 118 million yuan, representing 1.08% of the circulating market value [1]

➢ 核心看点：①矿服板块斩获新订单，有望继续稳健增长，高毛利率海外业务 不断扩张，营收占比持续提升。②资源端持续放量。Lonshi 矿一期爬坡至满产， D 矿满产，贵州磷矿持续增长，Lubembe 铜矿技改持续推进，公司资源端预计 继续放量，且后续 Lonshi 矿二期扩建、San Matias 的后续开发建设均具备较大 空间，公司成长性十足。 金诚信（603979.SH）2025 年半年报点评 资源板块持续放量，业绩表现亮眼 2025 年 08 月 27 日 ➢ 事件：2025 年上半年公司实现营业收入 63.16 亿元，同比增长 47.82%， 归母净利润 11.11 亿元，同比增长 81.29%。2025Q2 公司实现营业收入 35.05 亿元，同比增长 52.39%，环比增长 24.70%，归母净利润 6.89 亿元，同比增长 103.25%，环比增长 63.30%。 ➢ 矿服板块基本完全全年计划一半，非洲业务持续取得突破。（1）25 年上半 年矿服板块业务基本完成全年计划一半。2025 年上半年掘进总量 187.78 万立 方米，完成年计划的 48.53%；采供矿量 2084.16 万吨，完成年计划 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report The report provides a comprehensive analysis of various financial and commodity markets, including macro - strategies, agricultural products, black metals, non - ferrous metals, and energy chemicals. It evaluates market trends, influencing factors, and offers corresponding investment suggestions based on different market segments. Summary by Catalog 1. Financial News and Reviews 1.1 Macro Strategy (Foreign Exchange Futures - US Dollar Index) - **News**: Trump's potential removal of Fed governors may affect the Fed's independence, and the US housing price growth in June 2023 was the slowest since 2023 [11][12]. - **Review**: Trump's actions pose a challenge to the Fed's independence, putting downward pressure on the US dollar index [13]. - **Investment Suggestion**: The US dollar index faces downward pressure [14]. 1.2 Macro Strategy (US Stock Index Futures) - **News**: The US consumer confidence index in August fell slightly to 97.4, and the Fed responded to Trump's attempt to fire a governor [15][16]. - **Review**: If Trump successfully fires the governor and nominates a dovish official, market expectations of interest - rate cuts will rise, and US stocks may perform well [18]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Interest - rate cut trading continues to support market risk appetite, and US stocks are expected to fluctuate strongly [19]. 1.3 Macro Strategy (Stock Index Futures) - **News**: The State Council promotes high - quality development of service trade, and China will implement the "Artificial Intelligence +" action [20][21]. - **Review**: The A - share market sentiment has cooled slightly, but there is still upward momentum from the perspective of sentiment and capital [21]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Hold long positions in stock index futures [22]. 1.4 Macro Strategy (Treasury Bond Futures) - **News**: The 17th meeting of the 14th National People's Congress Standing Committee will be held from September 8th to 12th, and the central bank conducted a 405.8 - billion - yuan 7 - day reverse repurchase operation [23][24]. - **Review**: The bond market is mainly in a volatile state, and it is difficult to have a sustainable upward trend without special circumstances [26]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Be cautious with unilateral long positions; consider using long bond positions to hedge potential stock price corrections [26]. 2. Commodity News and Reviews 2.1 Agricultural Products (Soybean Oil/Rapeseed Oil/Palm Oil) - **News**: Malaysia's palm oil production decreased in August, the US may exempt tariffs on Indonesian palm oil, and Malaysia seeks tax exemption for palm oil raw materials [27][28]. - **Review**: The oil market is in a weak and volatile state, and the impact of production changes is not significant [29]. - **Investment Suggestion**: The oil market is in a volatile state, and it is recommended to buy on dips [30]. 2.2 Black Metals (Coking Coal/Coke) - **News**: The price of metallurgical coke in Lvliang is strong, and some coking enterprises have proposed an 8th - round price increase [31]. - **Review**: The coking coal futures may adjust in the short term, but there is strong support below [32]. - **Investment Suggestion**: The futures price has short - term adjustment pressure, but strong support after adjustment [33]. 2.3 Agricultural Products (Sugar) - **News**: Pakistan initially bought 30,000 tons of sugar, India urged the sugar industry to reach a consensus on export quotas, and Brazil's sugar exports in August increased slightly [34][35][36]. - **Review**: Zhengzhou sugar futures fell due to factors such as approaching delivery and weak market sentiment [36]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Pay attention to the opportunity of going long on the 1 - month contract after a correction, with a target price of around 5,500 yuan/ton [37]. 2.4 Black Metals (Rebar/Hot - Rolled Coil) - **News**: The daily output of key steel enterprises in mid - August increased, and the national construction machinery start - up rate in July was 44.43% [38][39]. - **Review**: Steel prices continued to fluctuate downward, and the market sentiment was slightly weak [39]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Adopt a volatile trading strategy for steel prices [40]. 2.5 Agricultural Products (Pigs) - **News**: Aonong Bio's net profit in the first half of 2025 was 361 million yuan [41]. - **Review**: Near - month pig futures have limited rebound space, and there is a safety margin for the reverse spread structure [41]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Hold a short - term volatile view on the single - side, and pay attention to reverse spread opportunities [41]. 2.6 Agricultural Products (Red Dates) - **News**: The growth of red dates in Xinjiang is normal, and the futures price of the main contract is slightly up [42]. - **Review**: The supply and demand of red dates are weak, and there is uncertainty in production [43]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Adopt a wait - and - see strategy and focus on weather and research results [43]. 2.7 Agricultural Products (Corn Starch) - **News**: Corn starch continues to be weak in both production and sales areas [44]. - **Review**: The spot price of starch is weak, and the CS11 - C11 spread is under pressure [44]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Pay attention to the opportunity of widening the spread [44]. 2.8 Agricultural Products (Corn) - **News**: The growth of new - season corn in Henan is basically normal, with some local drought [45]. - **Review**: Corn futures fluctuate around 2,150 yuan/ton, and attention should be paid to new - crop production [46]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Hold short positions and 11 - 3 reverse spreads, and pay attention to 11 - 1 reverse spreads if the spread strengthens [46]. 2.9 Black Metals (Steam Coal) - **News**: The price of steam coal in Beigang was stable on August 26 [47]. - **Review**: The seasonal pressure on coal prices is increasing, and prices are expected to be weak [48]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Coal prices are expected to remain seasonally weak [48]. 2.10 Black Metals (Iron Ore) - **News**: The scale of the air - conditioning market from January to July reached 172 billion yuan [49]. - **Review**: Iron ore prices are in a weak and volatile state, and the impact of short - term factors on iron ore is limited [49]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Iron ore prices are expected to continue weak and volatile with limited decline [49]. 2.11 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lead) - **News**: Tibet Summit's metal production increased significantly in the first half of the year, and the US may add lead to the key minerals list [50][51]. - **Review**: Lead prices fluctuated upward, but there are concerns about supply and demand [51]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Adopt a wait - and - see strategy in the short term [53]. 2.12 Non - Ferrous Metals (Zinc) - **News**: Tibet Summit's metal production increased significantly in the first half of the year [54]. - **Review**: Zinc prices may fluctuate due to the influence of macro and fundamental factors [55]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Adopt a wait - and - see strategy for single - side trading, and pay attention to mid - line positive spread opportunities [55]. 2.13 Non - Ferrous Metals (Polysilicon) - **News**: Tongwei sold 161,300 tons of polysilicon in the first half of the year, and there were new developments in photovoltaic project component procurement [56][57]. - **Review**: The price of polysilicon is expected to rise, but there are concerns about over - supply [58]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Adopt a bullish view on dips for single - side trading, and pay attention to the 11 - 12 reverse spread opportunity at around - 2,000 yuan/ton [59]. 2.14 Non - Ferrous Metals (Industrial Silicon) - **News**: The US may add industrial silicon to the key minerals list [60]. - **Review**: The fundamentals of industrial silicon are weakening, but the price may be affected by other factors [61]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Pay attention to the production resumption of large factories and trade within the range of 8,200 - 9,500 yuan/ton [61][62]. 2.15 Non - Ferrous Metals (Lithium Carbonate) - **News**: Galan plans to start production of a lithium project in Argentina in the first half of 2026 [63]. - **Review**: The short - term inventory reduction may support the price, but there is supply uncertainty [64]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Pay attention to the opportunity of going long on dips and positive spreads [64]. 2.16 Non - Ferrous Metals (Nickel) - **News**: Indonesia's sovereign wealth fund signed a framework agreement with GEM to develop a green nickel processing center [65]. - **Review**: Nickel prices may be affected by factors such as inventory and supply - demand [66]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Pay attention to short - term trading opportunities and mid - line short - selling opportunities [67]. 2.17 Non - Ferrous Metals (Copper) - **News**: The US may add copper to the key minerals list, and there are developments in copper mining projects [68][69][70]. - **Review**: Copper prices are in a high - level volatile state, and the short - term upward trend is not obvious [71]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Adopt a short - term long - on - dips strategy for single - side trading and a wait - and - see strategy for spreads [71]. 2.18 Energy Chemicals (Crude Oil) - **News**: API crude oil and refined product inventories decreased [72]. - **Review**: Oil prices are in a range - bound state, waiting for new drivers [72]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Maintain range - bound trading and wait for new drivers [73]. 2.19 Energy Chemicals (Carbon Emissions) - **News**: The closing price of CEA on August 26 was 69.69 yuan/ton [73]. - **Review**: The carbon market price is in a narrow - range volatile state [73]. - **Investment Suggestion**: CEA prices are expected to fluctuate in the short term [74]. 2.20 Energy Chemicals (Caustic Soda) - **News**: The price of caustic soda in Shandong was stable on August 26 [75]. - **Review**: The price of caustic soda is expected to remain high, but the upward space is limited [77]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Be cautious when chasing high prices [77]. 2.21 Energy Chemicals (Pulp) - **News**: The price of imported wood pulp showed mixed trends [78]. - **Review**: The fundamentals of pulp are weak, and the price is expected to fluctuate [78]. - **Investment Suggestion**: The pulp market is expected to fluctuate [79]. 2.22 Energy Chemicals (PVC) - **News**: The price of PVC powder decreased slightly [80]. - **Review**: The fundamentals of PVC are weak, but the price is expected to fluctuate [80]. - **Investment Suggestion**: The PVC market is expected to fluctuate in the short term [80]. 2.23 Energy Chemicals (Bottle Chips) - **News**: The export price of bottle chips was partially raised [81]. - **Review**: The inventory of bottle chips is decreasing, but attention should be paid to new capacity [83]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Pay attention to the impact of new capacity on processing fees [83]. 2.24 Energy Chemicals (PTA) - **News**: A 2.5 - million - ton PTA plant in East China will be under maintenance [84]. - **Review**: The short - term supply - demand pattern of PTA has improved, and the price is expected to be strong [84]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Adopt a short - term long - on - dips strategy [85]. 2.25 Energy Chemicals (Styrene) - **News**: A 500,000 - ton/year styrene plant in Shandong is under maintenance [86]. - **Review**: The situation of styrene in September has improved marginally, but there may be pressure in the fourth quarter [87]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Pay attention to policy variables at home and abroad [87]. 2.26 Energy Chemicals (Soda Ash) - **News**: The production of a 5 - million - ton/year soda ash plant in Inner Mongolia is reduced [88]. - **Review**: The price of soda ash is weak, and the market sentiment is not strong [88]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Adopt a short - selling strategy on rallies and pay attention to supply - side disturbances [88]. 2.27 Energy Chemicals (Float Glass) - **News**: The price of float glass in Shahe was stable on August 26 [89]. - **Review**: The glass market is in a volatile state, and the demand improvement is limited [89]. - **Investment Suggestion**: Be cautious with single - side trading and focus on spread trading [90]. 2.28 Shipping Index (Container Freight Rate) - **News**: Premier Alliance adjusted its shipping routes [91]. - **Review**: The spot freight rate is weak, and the supply - demand situation is not optimistic [92]. - **Investment Suggestion**: The 10 - month contract will test the support level of 1,300 yuan/FEU [92].

Core Viewpoint - Hunan Gold's subsidiary, Xinlong Mining, experienced a fatal accident resulting in the death of an employee, leading to a temporary halt in operations for safety measures and investigations [1][3][5]. Group 1: Accident Details - The accident occurred on August 24 during the handling of anchor net loose stones at the 7 vein 310-813 mining site, resulting in one fatality [3]. - Following the incident, Xinlong Mining activated its emergency response plan and reported the accident to relevant authorities while ceasing operations [3][5]. Group 2: Company Background and Financials - Xinlong Mining, established on February 18, 2004, has a registered capital of 300 million yuan and is primarily engaged in the mining and sales of gold, antimony, and other non-ferrous metals [4]. - For the fiscal year 2024, Xinlong Mining reported a total asset value of 1.069 billion yuan and a net asset value of 851 million yuan, with revenues of 472 million yuan and a net profit of 129 million yuan [4]. - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenues of 330 million yuan and a net profit of 114 million yuan, with total assets at 1.062 billion yuan and net assets at 885 million yuan [4]. Group 3: Company Response and Future Outlook - Hunan Gold expressed condolences to the victim's family and emphasized the importance of safety training and hazard identification to prevent future incidents [6]. - The timeline for resuming operations at Xinlong Mining remains uncertain due to ongoing investigations, which may impact the company's production and operations [5].