Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury Secretary's statement that tariffs do not lead to inflation has sparked significant debate, especially given his previous stance that tariffs would raise prices [1] - The January Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, which is below market expectations and indicates a slowdown from December's 2.7% [3] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, remained steady at 2.5%, marking the slowest growth since March 2021 [3] Group 2 - Following the CPI data release, market expectations shifted towards the likelihood of multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with predictions of two to three cuts in 2026 [4] - Goldman Sachs forecasts the first rate cut in June and a second in September, each by 25 basis points, while some analysts suggest the cuts could exceed current market expectations [4] Group 3 - The decline in inflation has led to a renewed focus on commodities, driven by three macro forces: changes in financial attributes, a shift in demand drivers, and a reallocation of capital [6][7] - The demand for commodities is now linked to broader themes such as the AI revolution, energy transition, and supply chain security, termed "supercycle 2.0" [6] Group 4 - The supply side of commodities is under pressure, with declining ore grades and a lack of large new projects, leading to historically low inventory levels [9] - The chemical sector is experiencing significant value differentiation, with high-end chemical products gaining pricing power compared to traditional petrochemical products [9] Group 5 - Gold is increasingly viewed as a hedge against credit risk, with central banks continuing to purchase gold, reflecting concerns over the U.S. dollar's credit system [10] - Predictions for gold prices in 2026 range between $4,500 and $5,000 per ounce, while silver's industrial demand is also expected to rise due to its dual financial and industrial roles [10] Group 6 - The macroeconomic environment is shifting, moving away from reliance on single-country urbanization to a new paradigm driven by technological revolution, energy security, and geopolitical dynamics [11] - The focus is now on tangible "hard materials" that support these transformations, with attributes of copper, silver, specialty chemicals, and gold becoming critical for future wealth allocation [11]

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 而铜铝等工业金属需关注供需格局。投资者应关注品种轮动，警惕波动风险。 南方基金崔蕾：当前资源板块并非完全由短期情绪驱动，而是处于"超级周期2.0"的进程中。 资源板块集体狂飙！ 2025年有色金属板块涨幅近90%，2026年初黄金、白银价格连续刷新历史纪录！ 【导读】基金经理解读2026年资源板块投资机会 来源：中国基金报 记者 方丽 孙晓辉 资源板块是否仍处于"超级周期"中？在逆全球化、供应链重构及主要央行持续购金的背景下，全球资金 配置资源股的逻辑发生了哪些根本性变化？未来哪些金属更具投资价值？ 南方基金有色金属ETF基金经理崔蕾、中欧资源精选混合基金经理叶培培、中银周期优选混合与中银稳 进策略混合基金经理郭昀松、长城周期优选基金经理陈子扬、创金合信资源主题基金经理黄超以及诺德 基金研究员孙小明等六位资深投研人士一致认为，当前资源板块并非完全由短期情绪驱动，而是处 于"超级周期2.0"的进程中，价格景气周期远未终结。 这些基金经理指出，逆全球化背景下，资源品战略配置价值凸显。但经历前期一轮大涨后，后续更多机 会可能将集中在板块内部的 ...

【导读】基金经理解读2026年资源板块投资机会 中国基金报记者 方丽 孙晓辉 资源板块集体狂飙！ 2025年有色金属板块涨幅近90%，2026年初黄金、白银价格连续刷新历史纪录！ | | | 伦敦金现 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | | 4981.309 | | 昨结 | 4935.960 | 开盘 | | 4937.000 | | +45.349 | +0.92% | 总量(kg) | 0.00 | 现手 | | 0 | | 最高价 | 4990.170 | 持 仓 | 0 | 分 | 물 | 0 | | 最低价 | 4899.360 | 壇 仓 | 0 | 内 | 물 | 0 | | 分时 | 王日 | 日K | | 月K | 曲式 | 0 | | 叠加 设均线 EXPMA 12:3785.900 50:2703.190 | | | | | | | | 5328.676 | | | | | | 4990.170 | | 3386.636 | | | | | | | | ...