基本面分析策略 外汇交易市场，作为全球规模宏大且流动性极高的金融市场，吸引着众多投资者参与。在这个充满机遇 与风险的市场中，了解并运用适合的交易策略对于投资者来说至关重要。以下将对外汇交易的一些常用 策略进行科普介绍。 波段交易策略旨在捕捉市场短期波动带来的利润。与趋势跟随策略不同，波段交易并不追求长期趋势， 而是关注较短时间内的价格波动。交易者会根据技术分析工具来识别市场中的支撑位和阻力位，在价格 接近支撑位时买入，在价格接近阻力位时卖出。支撑位是指价格下跌到一定程度后，由于买盘力量的增 强而停止下跌的价位；阻力位则是价格上涨到一定程度后，由于卖盘力量的增强而停止上涨的价位。波 段交易需要交易者密切关注市场动态，及时调整交易策略，以适应市场的变化。 以上信息由金融界利用 AI 助手整理发布。金融界作为专业的金融媒体，致力于为广大投资者提供全 面、准确、及时的金融信息和知识。不仅聚焦于各类金融市场，包括外汇、股票、债券等，还涵盖宏观 经济形势、金融法规政策解读等，助力投资者不断提升金融认知和投资素养。 基本面分析策略主要是通过分析宏观经济数据、政治局势、货币政策等基础层面的因素，来判断货币的 价值及其未来走势 ...

Group 1: Oil Market Insights - Trend-following strategies (CTA) are shifting focus to shorting the dollar and going long on gold after a significant short covering in crude oil [1] - WTI crude oil futures surged 13% last week, with a notable 4.9% increase on Wednesday driven partly by forced large-scale liquidations by trend followers [1][4] - Geopolitical factors, such as Israel's strikes on Iran, contributed to the recent price surge, indicating a potential positive trend for crude oil futures in the medium term [4] Group 2: Currency Market Dynamics - The dollar's short positions are nearing extreme levels, with CTAs showing strong consensus on shorting the dollar against the euro, pound, and Mexican peso [6] - Current dollar positions have not yet reached liquidation trigger levels, but a sharp rebound in the dollar could pose risks [11] - The extreme bearish positioning on the dollar reflects deep market pessimism, which could lead to a chain reaction if large-scale liquidations occur [11] Group 3: Gold Market Positioning - Gold is positioned as a key asset in CTA's portfolio, with 100% bullish positioning across all trend models, indicating unprecedented optimism towards the precious metal [12] - Current gold prices are at $3,451 per ounce, with no sell signals triggered in various price path forecasts, reflecting concerns over inflation and geopolitical risks [14] - The one-sided positioning in gold could expose potential systemic risks, as sudden shifts in market sentiment may lead to significant price volatility [14] Group 4: Equity and Fixed Income Trends - There is a noticeable divergence in trend-following models within the equity and bond markets, with long-term models shorting Russell 2000 and Nikkei 225 futures, while short- and medium-term models are bullish on S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Nikkei 225 futures [15] - In fixed income, CTAs are shorting 10-year U.S. Treasury futures, while showing a more diversified approach in other global bond futures [16]