转债结构性机会
Search documents
可转债周度追踪:新一轮宏观事件主导期-20251012
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-10-12 13:06
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The document does not provide the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - Short - term equity markets are expected to adjust due to Sino - US relations, but the long - term trend of stronger stocks and weaker bonds may not reverse. The adjustment of the equity market will determine the subsequent trend of convertible bonds, which are likely to show resilience. [1][2][11] - Structural opportunities in convertible bonds are better than overall market conditions. Low - premium varieties are more resilient, and mid - and low - priced convertible bonds have strong gaming value. Investors can select varieties with "double - low" (low price + low premium) or "low price + high elasticity" potential. [2][11] - Convertible bonds in a high - valuation state show stagnation and vulnerability. However, there are positive signals on the supply side, and the market may improve marginally in 2026. The recent tariff issue is likely to be a one - time shock rather than a trend - setting impact. [4][9][10] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 1. Convertible Bond Weekly Thinking - High - valuation convertible bonds show stagnation and vulnerability. ETF and "fixed - income +" funds have small net outflows, but the pace has slowed. [9] - There are positive signals on the supply side, with an increase in issuance plans and faster regulatory approvals, which may alleviate the "few bonds and high prices" situation. [4][10] - The recent tariff issue is more of a threat than an actual operation, and the market may view it as a one - time shock. [4][10] - Short - term equity market adjustment is expected, but convertible bonds are likely to be resilient. Structural opportunities are better, and specific convertible bonds are recommended for October. [11][12] 3.2 2. Convertible Bond Market Tracking - **2.1 Convertible Bond Market Conditions**: The document provides the performance of various convertible bond indices in different time periods, such as the WanDe Convertible Bond Energy Index, WanDe Convertible Bond Materials Index, etc. [17] - **2.2 Convertible Bond Individual Securities**: The document does not provide specific summarized content for this part. - **2.3 Convertible Bond Valuation**: The document shows the valuation trends of different types of convertible bonds, including bond - type, balanced, and stock - type convertible bonds. [21][23][25] - **2.4 Convertible Bond Price**: The document presents the proportion trend of high - price bonds and the median price trend of convertible bonds. [32][34]
可转债周报:“反内卷”背景下如何配置转债-20250708
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-08 12:53
丨证券研究报告丨 固收资产配置丨点评报告 [Table_Title] "反内卷"背景下如何配置转债 ——可转债周报 20250705 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 当周转债市场延续温和回暖,风格以稳健配置为主,市场重心由成长向低估值、基本面改善方 向切换。"反内卷"政策持续推进,钢铁、建材、汽车等周期行业供需格局优化预期升温,有望 带动转债结构性机会显现。估值层面平价区间整体拉伸,市价区间估值整体压缩则结构略有分 化,隐含波动率小幅上行,情绪边际回暖或应关注短期过热风险。个券方面,中久期、具备弹 性与正股催化预期品种表现突出。一级市场供给平稳推进,条款博弈与赎回公告频出,反映局 部资金博弈意愿持续。建议在防守基础上关注政策驱动下的中期估值修复与轮动机会。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 熊锋 朱承志 SAC:S0490524080003 SAC:S0490524120004 SFC:BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 相关研究 [Table_Title "反内卷"背景下如何配置转债 2] ——可转债周报 ...