Workflow
运气
icon
Search documents
读懂巴菲特的“谢幕信”,我才知道人的运气从哪里来
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 13:49
其实我们生活中有很多这样的人,他们似乎总是被好运环绕。 表面上看起来是命运垂青,但究其原因,所谓的好运并非偶然。 在我看来,一个人的好运气,多半离不开下面这五点。 01 这几天,很多人的朋友圈被一封信刷屏了——巴菲特的"谢幕信"。 如果说五月份的伯克希尔·哈撒韦股东大会是巴菲特的最后一次谢幕演讲,那这次就是巴菲特写给股东 的最后一封信了。 出人意料的是,这位投资界的传奇,在"谢幕信"里没有提及他在70年投资生涯中的"丰功伟绩",而是反 复提及自己的运气。 比如:出生在1930年的美国,赶上了一个大时代;命运垂青,让他躲开各种意外而长寿;幸运地遇到了 无数出色的朋友。 他觉得自己之所以有今天的成就,不是因为自己有多厉害,而是幸运女神的垂青。 保持善良 在"谢幕信"的开始,巴菲特花了大量的篇幅来回忆自己的童年和故乡。 1938年的一天,七岁的巴菲特突然肚子剧痛。 他的家庭医生哈利·霍茨看完之后,觉得没有大碍,让他好好休息。 但是回家的霍茨医生始终不放心巴菲特的病情,深夜让他去医院做阑尾手术。 也正是这个决定,救了巴菲特一命。 巴菲特说:"不是因为我是谁的儿子,而是因为他忘不掉一个孩子的症状。" 住院期间,他收到了 ...
读懂巴菲特的“谢幕信”,我才知道人的运气从哪里来?
洞见· 2025-11-12 12:21
洞见 ( DJ00123987 ) —— 不一样的观点,不一样的故事, 3000 万人订阅的微信大号。点击标题下 蓝字 " 洞见 " 关注,我们将为您提供有价值、有意思的延伸阅读。 世间从无侥幸,运气也从不是命运的随机馈赠。 ♬ 点上方播放按钮可收听洞见主播晏娇 朗读音频 这几天,很多人的朋友圈被一封信刷屏了——巴菲特的"谢幕信"。 如果说五月份的伯克希尔·哈撒韦股东大会是巴菲特的最后一次谢幕演讲,那这次就是巴菲特写 给股东的最后一封信了。 出人意料的是,这位投资界的传奇,在"谢幕信"里没有提及他在70年投资生涯中的"丰功伟 绩",而是反复提及自己的运气。 比如:出生在1930年的美国,赶上了一个大时代;命运垂青,让他躲开各种意外而长寿;幸运 地遇到了无数出色的朋友。 他觉得自己之所以有今天的成就,不是因为自己有多厉害,而是幸运女神的垂青。 其实我们生活中有很多这样的人,他们似乎总是被好运环绕。 表面上看起来是命运垂青,但究其原因,所谓的好运并非偶然。 作者: 洞见yimo 在我看来,一个人的好运气,多半离不开下面这五点。 01 保持善良 在"谢幕信"的开始,巴菲特花了大量的篇幅来回忆自己的童年和故乡。 19 ...
人味浓了,运气就好了
洞见· 2025-10-31 12:21
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of kindness, integrity, and gratitude in building relationships and attracting opportunities in life. It suggests that one's character and how they treat others can significantly influence their fortune and success. Group 1: Kindness in Interactions - The story of Zhu Kaishan and Han Laohai illustrates how kindness can mend relationships and lead to mutual support, ultimately benefiting both parties in their endeavors [12][18]. - A study from Harvard indicates that acts of kindness can create a ripple effect, with over 70% of people feeling compelled to reciprocate kindness [20]. - The narrative of Sun Shaoan from "Ordinary World" shows that those who act with kindness and integrity tend to gain respect and support from their community, leading to success in their ventures [23][28]. Group 2: Integrity in Actions - The tale of Liu Mazi in "Teahouse" serves as a cautionary example of how exploiting others can lead to isolation and downfall, as he faced dire consequences for his unscrupulous behavior [30][34]. - The character Abao from "Blossoms" demonstrates that maintaining integrity in business dealings can attract mentorship and support, which can be pivotal for success [30][32]. Group 3: Gratitude and Acknowledgment - The story of mathematician Hua Luogeng highlights the significance of gratitude in nurturing relationships, as he consistently acknowledged and repaid the kindness of his mentor, leading to his own success [37][40]. - The article suggests that recognizing and repaying kindness strengthens social networks, making individuals more appealing to potential benefactors [36][38].
X @何币
何币· 2025-09-20 05:50
阿奶,你自己说这次欠我多少个嫩模??十个不过分吧??币圈慈善家 (@cryptocishanjia):承认自己靠运气赚钱很难么?为什么没有人承认自己atser赚钱真的就是靠运气呢?奶子哥aster真的就是靠运气投的,靠运气赚的。奶子哥想表达的是:靠运气赚的就是靠运气赚的,靠实力赚的就是靠实力赚的,实事求是,客观理性。 ...
如果赚钱的人认知高,为啥被骗的普遍还挺有钱?
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-27 00:11
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the relationship between cognitive ability, skill, and wealth, emphasizing that merely enhancing cognitive skills does not guarantee financial success. Instead, practical skills and the ability to sell are crucial for earning money [1][16]. Group 1: Wealth and Social Stratification - Society is stratified into three layers: the lowest layer sells pure time with no technical skills, the middle layer sells both time and skills, while the top layer engages in high-risk, high-reward activities [2][3][4]. - The lower layer's jobs are easily replaceable and lack scarcity, while the middle layer includes professionals like programmers and doctors who add value through their skills [2][4]. - The top layer, consisting of entrepreneurs and high-risk investors, can earn quickly but also faces significant risks, including potential financial ruin [5][16]. Group 2: The Role of Skills and Luck - For most individuals, the only reliable way to earn money is by continuously improving their skills and technical abilities [6][8]. - Many people mistakenly believe that enhancing their cognitive skills alone will lead to wealth, but they often end up acquiring knowledge that does not translate into practical financial benefits [6][8]. - Successful individuals often possess a combination of luck and skill, with many achieving wealth by seizing opportunities in their areas of expertise [13][14]. Group 3: Misconceptions about Knowledge and Wealth - High cognitive ability does not necessarily correlate with financial success; many knowledgeable individuals struggle financially due to a lack of practical skills or luck [8][9]. - Wealth is often a reward for selling products or services rather than a direct result of high-level cognitive understanding [10][16]. - The article highlights that many wealthy individuals may not have deep knowledge but excel in marketing and risk-taking [11][16]. Group 4: Practical Advice for Ordinary People - The article suggests that ordinary individuals should focus on their interests and engage in repetitive practice to improve their skills, which can lead to better financial outcomes [18]. - It emphasizes the importance of taking action based on genuine desire and the need to avoid pitfalls through enhanced cognitive awareness [18].
X @Yuyue
Yuyue· 2025-06-25 22:13
Investment Strategy & Risk Management - Ineffective opportunity assessment leads to missed chances [1] - Suboptimal position sizing and premature exits result in lost potential gains [1] - FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) driven over-allocation at unfavorable entry points increases risk [1] - Success is partially attributed to luck, specifically recovering from initial losses [1] Trading Psychology - Trading behavior mirrors poker playing, highlighting the influence of psychological factors [1]
如果赚钱的人认知高,为啥被骗的普遍还挺有钱?
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-25 02:46
Group 1 - The article discusses the relationship between wealth, skills, and cognitive ability, emphasizing that for most ordinary people, the primary way to earn money is through selling their skills and time rather than relying solely on cognitive enhancement [8][12][24] - It highlights the societal stratification in terms of income generation, where the lowest tier sells pure time, the middle tier sells skills along with time, and the top tier engages in high-risk, high-reward activities [2][3][4] - The article suggests that many individuals mistakenly believe that enhancing their cognitive abilities will directly lead to wealth, while in reality, practical skills and the ability to sell are more crucial [17][24][25] Group 2 - The text points out that a significant number of people with high cognitive abilities still struggle financially due to a lack of practical skills or luck, indicating that cognitive enhancement alone is insufficient for financial success [12][26] - It mentions that many wealthy individuals often rely on marketing and risk-taking rather than deep knowledge, suggesting that practical experience and the ability to sell are more valuable in the marketplace [18][24] - The article concludes that for ordinary people, the best approach to achieving success is through passion and repetition, which can lead to skill improvement and increased opportunities [29][31]
印度空难唯一幸存者:运气,真是一门玄学
商业洞察· 2025-06-15 09:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of luck through the lens of survival stories, particularly focusing on the recent plane crash in India where one passenger survived against all odds [12][21][23]. Group 1: Plane Crash Incident - On June 12, a plane crash in India resulted in 241 fatalities, with only one survivor, Vishwas Kumar Ramesh [2][3]. - The survivor, seated in position 11A, was fortunate as his seat was located in a structurally safer area of the aircraft, which provided a stable point during the crash [15][16]. - Ramesh made a call to his father just before the crash, indicating the plane took off and crashed within a minute [12][9]. Group 2: Luck and Survival Stories - The article reflects on the nature of luck, suggesting it is a complex phenomenon that can lead to miraculous outcomes [24][25]. - It shares historical examples of individuals who survived catastrophic events, such as Yamaguchi Tsutomu, who survived both atomic bombings in Japan [26][30][32]. - Another example is Violet Jessop, who survived multiple maritime disasters, earning her the nickname "Miss Unsinkable" [37][49]. Group 3: Personal Reflections on Luck - The author shares personal anecdotes highlighting moments of luck that could have led to different outcomes, emphasizing the fragility of life [50][51]. - The narrative concludes with a reminder to appreciate the luck that allows individuals to navigate through life's challenges and disasters [54][56].
印度空难唯一幸存者:运气,真是一门玄学
商业洞察· 2025-06-15 07:49
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the concept of luck through the lens of survival stories, particularly focusing on the recent plane crash in India where one passenger survived while 241 others did not [25][57]. Group 1: Incident Overview - On June 12, an airplane crash occurred in India, resulting in 241 fatalities and only one survivor [2][3]. - The sole survivor, Vishwas Kumar Ramesh, sustained only minor injuries and was able to walk unaided after the crash [5][6]. - The crash happened just one minute after takeoff, and the survivor was seated in position 11A, which experts believe provided a more stable point during the impact [14][17]. Group 2: Personal Stories of Luck - The article shares historical examples of individuals who experienced extraordinary luck in life-threatening situations, such as Yamaguchi Tsutomu, who survived two atomic bombings in Japan [28][34]. - Another example is Violet Jessop, who survived the sinking of three different ships, earning her the nickname "Miss Unsinkable" [39][51]. - These stories illustrate the randomness of survival and the concept of luck in the face of disaster [25][57]. Group 3: Reflection on Luck - The author reflects on personal experiences of narrowly escaping danger, emphasizing the role of luck in survival [52][56]. - The narrative encourages readers to appreciate their fortunate circumstances and to maintain a sense of gratitude for each day [56][59].
你能走多远,取决于什么?
伍治坚证据主义· 2025-04-24 03:27
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses how far an individual can go in their career depends on persistence, effort, and the ability to seize opportunities, rather than solely on educational background or initial circumstances [1]. Group 1: Case Studies - Case A: A, a managing director at a London-based firm, overcame a challenging background, including dyslexia and a lack of initial academic success, to rise through the ranks in the automotive sales industry before transitioning to finance and eventually becoming a managing director responsible for multi-million dollar investment decisions [2]. - Case B: B, a Singaporean intern, started from a modest educational background but worked diligently to secure an internship, which led to a position at a fund company and eventually a role in Deutsche Bank's investment banking division, demonstrating that hard work can lead to significant career advancements despite initial disadvantages [3][4]. - Case C: The author, with a higher starting point due to strong academic performance, leveraged educational opportunities to enter a global talent program, which facilitated international experience and career growth, ultimately founding a capital firm in Singapore [5]. Group 2: Common Themes - The commonality among the three cases is the emphasis on long-term persistence and continuous effort, highlighting that success is not solely defined by wealth or fame but by the ability to progress from humble beginnings through hard work and determination [6]. - Each individual's journey illustrates that every step taken, whether it be pursuing further education or gaining relevant work experience, plays a crucial role in achieving career goals, reinforcing the idea that low starting points do not equate to low achievements [7]. Group 3: The Role of Education - The article argues that while education is important, it should not be viewed as the only path to success. The experiences of A and B show that high academic qualifications are not the sole determinants of career success, especially as practical experience and skills become more significant over time [8][9]. - The author emphasizes that a strong educational background can provide more opportunities, but it is the combination of effort, experience, and timing that ultimately shapes career trajectories [10]. Group 4: The Importance of Timing and Luck - The article acknowledges that timing and luck also play critical roles in career success, as seen in the favorable economic conditions during the author's and A's career advancements, which provided them with opportunities that may not be available in different circumstances [11]. - The conclusion suggests that success is a product of sustained effort over time, combined with a bit of luck, reinforcing the idea that gradual progress can lead to significant achievements [12].