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【环时深度】“新右翼”渐起,拉美政治“拉锯战”更频繁
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-09-24 23:00
Core Viewpoint - Latin America is entering a critical election cycle from 2025 to 2026, with several countries including Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Brazil set to elect new presidents, while Argentina will hold parliamentary elections in October 2023. This series of elections will significantly influence the region's political and economic direction [1]. Group 1: Rise of the New Right - The emergence of the "New Right" in Latin America is characterized by a complex blend of restoring order and anti-establishment sentiments, marking a shift from the leftist governance that has dominated for the past two decades [2][3]. - The "New Right" wave began with the election of Bolsonaro in Brazil in 2018, followed by Bukele in El Salvador in 2019, and continued with the elections of Milei and Noboa in Argentina and Ecuador in 2023, respectively [2][3]. - Scholars note that the concept of the "New Right" was first introduced in 1970 by Argentine scholar José Luis Romero, emphasizing the need to understand political movements within their historical and contextual frameworks [2]. Group 2: Political Dynamics and Challenges - The rise of the "New Right" is seen as a response to the decline of the left's "golden age," influenced by factors such as the end of the commodity price boom and political corruption scandals [5]. - The "New Right" has capitalized on public concerns regarding crime and safety, positioning itself as the only viable option willing to take extreme measures to address these issues [5]. - The political landscape is increasingly polarized, with traditional leftist parties struggling to maintain voter enthusiasm, as evidenced by the upcoming elections in Chile where the extreme right candidate Kast is gaining traction [8][9]. Group 3: Cultural and Social Dimensions - The "New Right" distinguishes itself from traditional right-wing politics by focusing on cultural issues, attacking "political correctness," and mobilizing support from affluent groups and conservative-minded citizens [4][6]. - The movement has gained significant traction among younger voters, utilizing social media to engage and provoke, which has allowed it to challenge the dominance of leftist narratives [7]. - The global rise of right-wing politics has also influenced the "New Right" in Latin America, with connections to conservative movements in the U.S. and Europe, particularly through platforms like the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The upcoming election cycle is expected to intensify the struggle between left and right, with predictions that many leftist governments may be replaced by right-wing candidates [9][10]. - Despite the rise of the "New Right," there are indications that leftist movements still possess significant mobilization capabilities and may regain influence if they can effectively address public concerns [10].
查理·柯克之死背后,“两个美国”的文化战争
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-09-22 03:25
Group 1 - The core argument of the articles revolves around the contrasting narratives of American history, particularly the coexistence of liberalism and illiberalism [3][4][16] - The book "The Trouble with Freedom" by Steven Hahn aims to challenge the mainstream narrative that views liberalism as the sole core tradition in American history, highlighting the persistent presence of illiberalism [4][16] - Hahn's work suggests that the current societal divisions in the U.S. are not new but rather a continuation of historical tensions between freedom and non-freedom [4][16] Group 2 - The historical context provided includes references to Alexis de Tocqueville's observations on American democracy and Abraham Lincoln's warnings about societal threats, illustrating the duality in American political thought [2][3] - The book discusses the evolution of the concept of freedom in America, from classical liberalism focused on individual rights to a broader understanding that includes social justice and identity issues [17][18] - The narrative also critiques the oversimplification of political ideologies in contemporary discourse, emphasizing the complexity of American political culture and the need for nuanced understanding [19][20]
跟特朗普对杠的加州州长纽森,究竟是何许人也
首席商业评论· 2025-06-13 04:28
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the political conflict between California Governor Gavin Newsom and former President Donald Trump, highlighting Newsom's rise as a prominent figure in the Democratic Party and his strategic maneuvers in response to Trump's actions [3][5][12]. Group 1: Newsom's Background and Political Rise - Gavin Newsom's early life was marked by challenges, including his parents' divorce and financial struggles, but he leveraged his family's political connections to advance his career [6][8]. - Newsom became a millionaire through his business ventures, particularly in the wine industry, before entering politics [8][10]. - He gained recognition as a progressive leader by signing the first same-sex marriage licenses in the U.S. and has since maintained a strong progressive stance as California's governor [10][12]. Group 2: Political Strategies and Challenges - Newsom's political career is at a crossroads as he approaches the end of his second term, with potential presidential ambitions for 2028 [13]. - In response to recent challenges, including criticism over his handling of wildfires, Newsom has shifted his political stance towards a more centrist position to attract a broader voter base [13][15]. - The recent conflict with Trump over immigration enforcement in Los Angeles provided Newsom an opportunity to bolster his political image by positioning himself as a defender of state rights [16][18]. Group 3: The Conflict with Trump - The conflict began when Trump federalized California's National Guard without Newsom's consent, leading to accusations of overreach and constitutional violations [16][18]. - Newsom responded by filing a lawsuit against the federal government and publicly criticizing Trump's actions, framing them as a threat to democracy [18][20]. - He also mobilized support from other Democratic governors and utilized media appearances to enhance his image as a rational leader opposing Trump's authoritarian tendencies [20][22]. Group 4: Public Perception and Media Strategy - Newsom's handling of the situation allowed him to shift public perception from being seen as ineffective to a courageous leader standing against Trump [22][23]. - The article suggests that Newsom's team strategically downplayed violence during protests while emphasizing Trump's controversial actions, thus controlling the narrative in his favor [23].
如何走好人生下坡路?
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-11 00:05
Group 1 - The article discusses the impact of a progressive narrative on individuals, highlighting the hidden costs associated with it [1] - It emphasizes the importance of understanding the social structures and environments that shape individual destinies, rather than attributing failures solely to personal shortcomings [2][3] - The narrative reflects a growing recognition of the emotional crises faced by students within a performance-driven educational system, where success is narrowly defined [2][3] Group 2 - The conversation explores the need to redefine success and failure in light of the increasingly limited avenues for achievement, suggesting that personal value should not be solely anchored in traditional metrics [3][5] - The article highlights the challenges faced by young individuals in navigating their life choices, particularly in the context of societal expectations and personal aspirations [6][7] - It points out the significance of acknowledging failures and the emotional struggles associated with them, advocating for a more compassionate understanding of individual experiences [9][28] Group 3 - The discussion includes the role of educational institutions in perpetuating a singular narrative of success, which can lead to emotional distress among students [22][23] - It critiques the societal pressure on individuals to maintain a facade of stability and success, even in the face of personal challenges [24][25] - The article suggests that a more nuanced understanding of human experiences, including failures and emotional struggles, is essential for fostering a supportive educational environment [26][27] Group 4 - The narrative reflects on the cultural shift towards individualism, contrasting it with historical perspectives that valued collective experiences and the complexities of human emotions [12][28] - It emphasizes the need for educational frameworks that allow for emotional expression and the acceptance of diverse life paths, rather than rigid adherence to performance metrics [35][36] - The article concludes with a call for a broader understanding of success that encompasses various roles and contributions beyond traditional achievements [33][37]
追美国梦,去俄罗斯?
虎嗅APP· 2025-02-27 13:21
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trend of Western conservatives migrating to Russia, viewing it as a refuge from what they perceive as the moral decline in their home countries. This migration reflects a significant ideological shift and highlights the growing divide in societal values between the West and Russia [12][16][18]. Group 1: Migration Trends - Since early 2022, nearly 5,000 Westerners have obtained temporary residency in Russia, a significant increase compared to previous decades [12]. - The Russian government has introduced the "Common Values Visa," simplifying the immigration process for Western citizens, which does not require language or history exams [14]. - There is speculation that if immigration policies are further relaxed, up to one million Americans could consider moving to Russia [14]. Group 2: Motivations for Migration - Many migrants, particularly from the U.S., are conservative individuals disillusioned with the progressive agenda in their home country, seeking a place that aligns with their traditional values [16][18]. - The perception of Russia as a bastion of traditional Christian values is a driving factor for these migrants, who feel that their values are under threat in the West [17][18]. - The article notes that the majority of these migrants are aged between 40 and 60, often with families, who wish to raise their children in a more traditional environment [15]. Group 3: Societal Reactions - The influx of immigrants has raised concerns among Russians, with a survey indicating that the percentage of people viewing immigration as a worrying issue has increased from 19% to 25% [12]. - The article highlights a growing sentiment among Russians regarding the challenges posed by immigration, including economic and social implications [12][13]. Group 4: Historical Context - The article draws parallels between the current migration trends and historical instances of American migration to the Soviet Union during the Great Depression, where many sought a better life in a seemingly prosperous regime [20][21]. - It emphasizes that the current wave of migration is driven by a desire to escape perceived moral decay rather than economic hardship, contrasting with past migrations [21][22].