2026年，券商债券融资开局火热。 1月28日，首创证券、国联民生证券同日公告获批发债，额度各不超过30亿元，前者为短期公司债，后者为永续次级债。 开年至今不足一个月，东方财富、长江证券、申万宏源、广发证券等多家券商已密集斩获发债批文，头部机构融资规模优势明显。 券商密集发债 1月28日，首创证券发布公告称，公司近日收到中国证监会批复，同意公司向专业投资者公开发行短期公司债券的注册申请，本次债券面值余额不超过 30亿元。 同日，国联民生证券公告，公司近日收到中国证监会批复，同意公司向专业投资者公开发行面值总额不超过30亿元永续次级债券的注册申请。 值得注意的是，这两家机构均非开年首次获批发债。其中，首创证券在1月8日已率先获批发行不超过50亿元的永续次级公司债券。国联民生证券近期更 是动作频频，1月27日公告公司及子公司民生证券分别获批发行不超过180亿元、80亿元公司债，短短两日又添新额度。 开年以来，券商发债获批案例密集落地，行业融资节奏明显提速。1月26日，东北证券、西部证券同步公告获批，发债额度分别为不超过100亿元、180 亿元。此前，东方财富、长江证券、申万宏源、广发证券等多家机构也已先后拿到发债 ...

Core Viewpoint - The bond issuance by securities firms has surged significantly at the beginning of 2026, driven by a strong A-share market and increased capital demand for business expansion and transformation [1][2]. Group 1: Bond Issuance Growth - As of January 17, 2026, the total bond issuance by securities firms reached 119.52 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 71.87% [2]. - The number of bonds issued totaled 44, which is an increase of 2 compared to the same period last year [2]. - Major firms like China Galaxy and Shenwan Hongyuan have received approval for substantial bond issuances, indicating a trend towards diversification in bond issuance among both traditional and internet-based securities firms [2]. Group 2: Market and Policy Factors - The increase in bond issuance is attributed to a combination of business transformation, policy guidance, and a low-cost financing environment [3]. - The active A-share market has led to a growing demand for capital-intensive business models, prompting securities firms to seek additional capital through bond issuance [3]. - The current low interest rate environment has made bond issuance an attractive option for firms looking to refinance existing high-interest debt and optimize their financial structures [3][4]. Group 3: Implications for the Industry - The bond issuance trend is expected to continue in the short to medium term, as long as market activity remains robust [5]. - The competitive landscape is shifting towards a "stronger gets stronger" dynamic, where leading firms are more willing and able to finance their operations [6]. - Increased capital strength among securities firms is likely to enhance their market-making and liquidity provision capabilities, contributing to market stability and supporting the real economy [6][7]. Group 4: Differentiation Among Firms - The current bond issuance trend is characterized by a concentration among leading firms, which benefit from higher credit ratings and lower financing costs [7]. - This differentiation may lead to a widening gap in financing capabilities between large and small securities firms, potentially increasing industry concentration [7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant surge in bond issuance by securities firms at the beginning of 2026, driven by a strong A-share market and an increase in capital demand, with a total issuance of 119.52 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 71.87% [1][2] - The bond issuance is characterized by diversification, with both traditional leading firms like China Galaxy and internet brokers like East Money participating, and various types of products being issued, including conventional corporate bonds and perpetual subordinated bonds [2][3] - The bond issuance trend is a continuation from 2025, where the total issuance exceeded 1.89 trillion yuan, with both the number and scale of bonds issued showing over 44% year-on-year growth [3] Group 2 - The increase in bond issuance is attributed to a combination of business transformation, policy guidance, and a low-cost environment, with firms transitioning from traditional channel businesses to capital-intensive models [4][5] - The active A-share market has led to a growing demand for capital-intensive business expansion, prompting firms to leverage debt financing to seize profit opportunities [4][6] - The current low interest rate environment has made bond issuance an attractive option for firms to refinance high-interest debt and optimize financial structures, thereby enhancing profit margins for future business expansion [4][6] Group 3 - The regulatory environment has positively influenced the expansion of financing channels, with securities firms being included in the issuance of technology innovation bonds, aligning fundraising with national strategic goals [5][6] - The bond issuance trend is expected to continue in the short to medium term, as long as market activity remains robust, sustaining the demand for capital [6][7] - The competitive landscape is shifting towards a "stronger gets stronger" dynamic, where leading firms are better positioned to capitalize on low-cost debt financing, potentially widening the gap between them and smaller firms [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The bond issuance by securities firms in China has surged significantly at the beginning of 2026, driven by a strong A-share market and increased capital demand for business expansion and transformation [2][4]. Group 1: Bond Issuance Growth - As of January 17, 2026, the total bond issuance by securities firms reached 119.52 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 71.87% [4]. - The number of bonds issued totaled 44, which is an increase of 2 compared to the same period last year [4]. - The bond issuance is characterized by diversification, with both traditional and internet securities firms participating, and various types of bonds being issued, including conventional corporate bonds and perpetual subordinated bonds [4]. Group 2: Drivers of Bond Issuance - The increase in bond issuance is attributed to three main factors: business transformation, policy guidance, and a low-cost financing environment [6]. - The active A-share market has led to a growing demand for capital-intensive business models, prompting securities firms to seek additional capital [6]. - The current low interest rate environment has made bond issuance an attractive option for refinancing high-interest debt and optimizing financial structures [6][10]. Group 3: Policy and Market Impact - Regulatory support has expanded financing channels for securities firms, allowing them to issue bonds aligned with national strategies, particularly in technology innovation [7]. - The trend of bond issuance is expected to continue in the short to medium term, as long as market activity remains robust [10]. - The issuance of bonds by securities firms is likely to enhance market liquidity by providing high-quality assets and facilitating capital flow into the market [10][11]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The bond issuance trend is leading to a "stronger gets stronger" dynamic, where leading firms are better positioned to capitalize on financing opportunities due to their higher credit ratings and larger business scales [11]. - The differentiation among firms is expected to accelerate, with larger firms solidifying their competitive advantages through low-cost debt, while smaller firms may struggle to keep pace [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 26.15 HKD, compared to the current price of 21.14 HKD [4][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for the first three quarters, with a year-on-year growth of 130%. This growth is attributed to improvements across various business segments [2][10]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) improved to 5.7%, up by 3.1 percentage points year-on-year. Key financial metrics such as leverage ratio, return on assets (ROA), and net profit margin also showed positive trends [2][10]. - The overall revenue for the reporting period reached 207 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 54.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 65.7 billion CNY, up by 129.8% [7][10]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's total assets, excluding client funds, amounted to 587.3 billion CNY, an increase of 764.3 billion CNY year-on-year. The net assets reached 115.5 billion CNY, up by 66.9 billion CNY [8]. - The company’s interest-bearing liabilities increased to 312 billion CNY, with a quarter-on-quarter rise of 255.1 billion CNY [8]. - The self-operated business income totaled 109.7 billion CNY, with a quarterly self-operated yield of 1.2%, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous quarter but an increase year-on-year [8][9]. Business Segment Performance - Brokerage business revenue was 45.2 billion CNY, with a significant year-on-year increase of 135.5%. The average daily trading volume in the market rose to 21,119.5 billion CNY, up by 67.1% [9]. - Investment banking revenue showed slight recovery, reaching 29.4 billion CNY, with a year-on-year increase of 4.9 billion CNY [9]. - Asset management revenue was reported at 10.6 billion CNY, with a year-on-year increase of 1 billion CNY [9]. Future Earnings Projections - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.87, 1.97, and 2.13 CNY respectively, reflecting an upward revision from previous estimates [10][11]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the respective years are estimated at 10.6, 10.1, and 9.3 times [10][11]. Valuation Metrics - The report suggests a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.1 times for the 2026 earnings, indicating a favorable valuation outlook based on historical performance and current market conditions [10].

Core Viewpoint - The bond issuance scale of securities firms remains high in 2022, with a total of 430.765 billion yuan issued, and the cost of bond issuance has significantly decreased due to more relaxed market liquidity [1][2]. Group 1: Bond Issuance and Financing Costs - The median coupon rate for newly issued bonds by securities firms in 2022 is 3%, down from 3.43% in the same period last year [1][2]. - The largest single issuance in 2022 was by Industrial Securities, with a bond size of 5.9 billion yuan and a coupon rate of 3.02% [2]. - The financing costs have decreased, as evidenced by the comparison of similar bonds; for instance, the "22 Dongxing G2" bond was issued at a rate of 2.9%, compared to 3% for a similar bond issued earlier [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Strategic Adjustments - Securities firms are increasingly recognizing the importance of capital-intensive businesses, leading to a strong impulse for financing [4]. - East Securities plans to use the proceeds from its bond issuance to repay maturing debt, highlighting the need for effective risk management in a more market-oriented capital environment [4]. - The competition among securities firms is intensifying, with financing capability becoming a core competency as they seek to expand financing channels and reduce financial risks [6]. Group 3: Trends in Equity Financing - Since 2021, there has been a surge in equity financing among securities firms, with many announcing plans for private placements and rights issues, with the latter being the most frequent [4]. - For example, CITIC Securities launched a 28 billion yuan rights issue plan, indicating a trend towards large-scale financing [4][5]. Group 4: Debt Levels and Leverage - The total bond balance of listed securities firms reached 1.93 trillion yuan, with CITIC Securities leading at 158 billion yuan [5][6]. - The leverage ratios of leading firms are significantly higher than the industry average, with only three firms exceeding a leverage ratio of 5 in 2021 [6]. - The disparity in profitability and leverage between top and bottom firms is widening, indicating a strengthening of the "Matthew Effect" in the industry [6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tianfeng Securities is "Neutral" (maintained) [1][7]. Core Views - The report highlights that the negative profit is mainly influenced by heavy capital business, while the quarterly ROE has improved sequentially [1][5]. - The total operating revenue for the year was 2.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 21.9%, with a quarterly revenue of 1.3 billion RMB, showing a sequential increase of 7.3 billion RMB [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -30 million RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 109.7%, with a quarterly profit of 510 million RMB, reflecting a sequential increase of 7.2 million RMB and a year-on-year increase of 6.2 million RMB [5]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's financial leverage ratio at the end of the reporting period was 3.63 times, a decrease of 0.21 times year-on-year, remaining stable sequentially [5]. - The asset turnover rate was 3.1%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the quarterly asset turnover rate was 1.6%, up 0.8 percentage points sequentially [5]. - The net profit margin for the reporting period was -1.1%, a decrease of 10.2 percentage points year-on-year, with a quarterly net profit margin of 37.9%, up 73% sequentially [5]. Business Segment Performance - The net income from heavy capital business was 620 million RMB, with a quarterly income of 740 million RMB, showing a sequential increase of 590 million RMB [5]. - The self-operated business revenue totaled 2.34 billion RMB, with a quarterly revenue of 1.12 billion RMB, reflecting a sequential increase of 530 million RMB [5]. - Brokerage business revenue was 820 million RMB for the quarter, showing a significant sequential increase of 98% and a year-on-year increase of 40.6% [5]. Regulatory Indicators - The risk coverage ratio was 122.7%, an increase of 6.5 percentage points from the previous period, with a risk capital reserve of 12.5 billion RMB [5]. - The net stable funding ratio was 103.8%, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous period [5]. - The capital leverage ratio was 16.6%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous period [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 17.21 [2][10]. Core Views - The company's performance is in line with expectations, showing significant growth in light capital business. The return on equity (ROE) for the reporting period is 4.9%, with a quarterly ROE of 2.5%, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.9 percentage points [2][10]. - The total revenue for the reporting period, excluding other business income, is HKD 21.3 billion, representing a year-on-year decrease of 7.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is HKD 5.7 billion, down 7.5% year-on-year [7][10]. Financial Performance Summary - The company's financial leverage ratio at the end of the reporting period is 4.74 times, a decrease of 0.06 times year-on-year [2][8]. - The asset turnover ratio is 3.9%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin stands at 26.8%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [2][8]. - The self-operated business revenue is HKD 10.12 billion, with a quarterly revenue of HKD 2.66 billion, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of HKD 0.55 billion [3][10]. - Interest income from credit business is HKD 8.71 billion, with a quarterly income of HKD 2.26 billion, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of HKD 0.23 billion [3][10]. - Brokerage business revenue has shown significant growth, reaching HKD 4.26 billion, with a quarterly revenue of HKD 1.7 billion, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 115.1% and a year-on-year increase of 67.6% [9][10]. Future Earnings Forecast - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be RMB 1.38, RMB 1.49, and RMB 1.61 respectively, with corresponding price-to-book ratios (PB) of 0.70, 0.66, and 0.63 [10][11].