铁矿石行情

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国庆假期前存补库需求 铁矿石后市维持看涨格局
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-26 07:56
9月26日,国内期市黑色金属板块全线飘绿。其中,铁矿石期货主力合约开盘报804.0元/吨,今日盘中 低位震荡运行;截至收盘,铁矿石主力最高触及806.0元,下方探低788.0元,跌幅达1.74%。 目前来看,铁矿石行情呈现震荡下行走势,盘面表现偏弱。对于铁矿石后市行情将如何运行,相关机构 观点汇总如下: 申银万国期货指出,钢厂近期开启复产,原料端在利润驱动下需求表现较强韧性,铁水产量已恢复至之 前水平,主要还是在于重大事件带来的短期减产,钢厂利润情况尚可,生产动能较强,铁矿需求仍有支 撑。全球铁矿发运近期有所减量,主要是澳洲发运前段时间受阻,港口库存去化速率较快,关注后续钢 厂生产进度。关注本周联储降息周期开启对整体商品板块的溢出效应,临近十一假期钢厂有阶段性补库 需要,维持后市震荡偏强看涨格局。 西南期货分析称,从产业逻辑来看,需求仍对铁矿石价格仍有支撑效果;供应端上,铁矿石进口量和国 产矿产量二季度后环比回升,但前8个月铁矿石进口量和国产原矿产量同比下降态势并未改变;铁矿石 港口库存绝对量低于去年同期的水平;综合来看,铁矿石市场供需格局短期内仍对价格有支撑作用,但 中期来看供需格局或将转弱。从技术面来看, ...
港口库存仍然居高不下 预计铁矿石期货震荡走势
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-11 06:07
Group 1 - The domestic futures market for black metals shows a predominantly positive trend, with iron ore futures experiencing fluctuations around 700.0 CNY/ton, reaching a high of 708.0 CNY and a low of 699.0 CNY, reflecting an increase of approximately 1.14% [1] - Copper Crown Jin Yuan Futures indicates a slight increase in port inventory, suggesting a slightly loose supply due to a rise in overseas shipments and arrivals, which are at the highest level for the same period in the last three years [1] - Demand from steel mills is weakening as maintenance and shutdowns increase during the off-season, leading to a continued decline in molten iron production [1] Group 2 - Zhongcai Futures analyzes that the overall supply of iron ore is strong while demand is weak, with an increase in shipments and arrivals expected to lead to a loose supply situation [1] - The average daily molten iron production is expected to continue declining as steel mills operate based on demand, indicating a weakening demand side [1] - Despite high port inventories, the high daily consumption of molten iron is expected to provide short-term support for iron ore prices, maintaining a view of weak fluctuations [2]