Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for Anta Sports (02020.HK) [4] Core Views - Anta's main brand retail sales showed low single-digit year-on-year growth in Q3 2025, while FILA's retail sales also grew at a low single-digit rate. Other brands experienced a significant retail sales increase of 45%-50% [2][3] - The retail discount for Anta remained stable, with offline discounts at 71% and online discounts around 50%. FILA's offline discount was 74% and online discount was 58% [2] - The company is expected to face challenges due to a weak external consumption environment and intensified industry competition, but FILA and outdoor brands continue to perform strongly [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of October 27, 2025, Anta's closing price was HKD 87.80, with a year-to-date high of HKD 106.30 and a low of HKD 73.55. The circulating market value was HKD 246.473 billion [1] Financial Data and Valuation - Projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are expected to be HKD 4.85, HKD 5.42, and HKD 6.19 respectively. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the same years are 16.5, 14.8, and 12.9 [4][6] - Revenue for 2025 is estimated at HKD 77.434 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 9.3%. Net profit for 2025 is projected to be HKD 13.622 billion, reflecting a decline of 12.7% year-on-year [6][7] Brand Performance - Anta's brand retail sales growth was below internal expectations, while FILA's retail sales remained healthy. The outdoor brands, including Descente and KOLON Sports, saw retail sales growth of 45%-50% [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - Company reported a low single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for Q2 2025, continuing the trend from Q1 2025 [1] Group 1: Operational Performance - For Q2 2025, retail sales (excluding Li Ning YOUNG) showed low single-digit year-on-year growth, consistent with Q1 performance [1] - Offline channel sales experienced a low single-digit year-on-year decline, with direct sales down in the mid-single digits and wholesale channel sales up in the low single digits [1] - E-commerce channel sales grew in the mid-single digits, outperforming offline retail growth [1] - The running and fitness categories continued to lead market performance, with expected high single-digit year-on-year growth in sales [1] - Basketball category remains under pressure, while sports lifestyle category sales were flat year-on-year; smaller categories like outdoor and badminton showed rapid growth [1] Group 2: Channel and Store Strategy - As of June 30, the number of sales points (excluding Li Ning YOUNG) decreased by 18 to 6099, with a net increase of 11 from Q1 [2] - Li Ning YOUNG sales points decreased by 33 to 1435, with a net decrease of 18 from Q1 [2] - Company maintains a steady store strategy focused on optimizing individual stores amid a fluctuating consumer environment [2] - The company expects to see stable store expansion throughout the year, entering a peak opening season in the second half [2] Group 3: Marketing and Future Outlook - Company plans to focus marketing efforts around themes of Yang Hansheng and the Olympics, leveraging his NBA selection for promotional activities [2] - The company has resumed its role as the official sportswear partner for the Chinese Olympic Committee and the Chinese sports delegation, with a marketing focus on "Olympics + Technology" in the second half [2] - Company forecasts revenue growth of 1.7%/5.3%/4.5% for 2025-2027, reaching 29.15/30.69/32.07 billion yuan, with net profit projections of -12.6%/+6.6%/+6.1% to 2.63/2.81/2.98 billion yuan [3] - The company maintains a "buy" rating with corresponding valuations of 15/14/13 times for the years 2025-2027 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Li Ning announced that its retail sales (excluding Li Ning YOUNG) recorded low single-digit growth year-on-year in the first quarter across all platforms [1] Group 1 - The company reported a low single-digit growth in retail sales for the first quarter [1]