Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q2 2025 operational data, showing performance in line with expectations, with a double-digit revenue growth overall, while the main brand Anta experienced low single-digit growth [1][2]. Group 1: Anta Brand Performance - In Q2 2025, Anta's brand revenue growth was low single-digit, while the first half of the year showed mid single-digit growth, which was below internal expectations due to several factors [2]. - The company accelerated store upgrades in lower-tier cities, impacting short-term sales but laying a foundation for future growth [2]. - The competitive landscape during the online 618 shopping festival led to a cautious approach on discounts to maintain brand health [2]. - A new e-commerce head was appointed to enhance product differentiation across platforms, with expectations for improved sales performance in the second half of the year [2]. Group 2: New Retail Formats and Other Brands - Anta's new retail formats, such as champion stores and SV collection stores, have shown significant effectiveness, with champion stores achieving 80% higher sales efficiency than regular stores [3]. - FILA continued its steady growth with mid single-digit revenue growth in Q2, driven by a recovery in main products and strong e-commerce performance [3]. - New brands like Descente, KOLON, and Maia Active showed exceptional growth, with Descente exceeding 40% and KOLON over 70% in Q2 [3]. Group 3: Inventory and Financial Outlook - Inventory levels remained healthy, with a stock-to-sales ratio of around five months for Anta and FILA [4]. - The company maintained effective cost control, which is beneficial for stabilizing overall operating profit margins [4]. - The multi-brand matrix is seen as a valuable asset, with expectations for continued growth potential, maintaining a "buy" rating and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [4].

Group 1: Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) - The second quarter revenue met expectations, with management reaffirming the annual guidance for 2025, indicating low single-digit, mid single-digit, and 50-55% year-on-year revenue growth for Anta, FILA, and other brands respectively [3] - Despite intense industry competition, management maintains growth guidance for all brands, expecting high single-digit, mid single-digit, and over 30% year-on-year growth for Anta, FILA, and other brands respectively [3] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is projected to be between RMB 13.41 billion and RMB 16.54 billion, with a target price of HKD 110.20 based on a 20x P/E ratio for 2026, maintaining a buy rating [3][4] Group 2: Junda Co., Ltd. (002865 CH) - The company expects a loss of RMB 0.94 billion to RMB 1.94 billion in Q2 2025, which is an increase from the loss of RMB 1.06 billion in Q1 2025, primarily due to a decline in battery prices following a surge in installations in mainland China [5] - Junda has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Turkey and Europe's largest photovoltaic module manufacturer to jointly build a solar cell production base with a capacity of up to 5GW [5] - The outlook remains positive for the company, anticipating a turnaround in performance in 2026 driven by the commencement of production in Oman and supply-side reforms [5] Group 3: E-commerce Industry - In Q2 2025, adjusted year-on-year growth for physical e-commerce retail sales was 6.3%, with categories like home appliances and cosmetics experiencing a decline in growth [7] - E-commerce platforms are increasing investments in instant retail to drive cross-selling with traditional shelf e-commerce, enhancing user engagement [7] - Major players like Alibaba and JD.com are expected to maintain double-digit year-on-year growth, although profitability may be pressured due to increased investments in flash sales and delivery services [8] Group 4: Economic Data Insights - The consumer price index for June is expected to show a month-on-month increase of 0.30% in both the US and China, with the previous data being 0.10% [9] - The industrial product factory price index is anticipated to rise by 0.20% year-on-year in the US for June [9]

安踏体育 20250703 摘要 安踏主品牌受控货策略及国际品牌竞争影响，618 期间表现略低于预期， 但 FILA 和迪桑特等品牌表现优异，整体上半年收入达标或超预期。 安踏体育下半年预计通过优化电商渠道、强化兴趣电商布局及投资新店 型（Arena、超级安踏等）来改善业绩，虽新店型费用投放较高，但预 期盈利能力将逐步提高。 FILA 上半年经营利润率有所下调，但实际下滑幅度小于市场预期，新任 CEO 推动架构营运以保持流水增长，确保符合对外指引。 受利率环境影响，安踏体育今年利息收入预计减少。去年财务数据受 a 码 IPO 及 placement 收益等一次性利得影响，今年 a 码预计将有盈利 贡献。 狼爪品牌于今年 6 月完成交割并入安踏集团报表，目前仍处于亏损状态， 公司正进行人员重组和战略规划，短期内虽有拖累，但长期发展潜力可 期。 安踏计划通过提升高端城市门店占比和电销、丰富高端产品线、推出黑 标产品及超级安踏冠军店等新业态，在三年内超越耐克。 安踏体育调整营销策略，聚焦核心零售业务，加强与女性消费者联系， 优化供应链，并明确户外品牌差异化定位，以应对市场竞争。 Q&A 安踏体育在 2025 年第二 ...