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十大机构看后市:A股市场延续震荡特征,科技占优的条件依然未变
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-14 07:59
Group 1 - The core focus of the Central Economic Work Conference is to expand domestic circulation, similar to last year, but with significant differences in expectations and pricing for domestic and foreign demand stocks [10][11] - There is a strong performance expectation for overseas exposure stocks, but the difficulty in valuation increases, while domestic demand stocks have potential for valuation recovery if they exceed expectations [10][11] - The market is expected to see a short-term positive trend following the conference, with historical data indicating that the market style tends to perform well in the week following the conference [12] Group 2 - The spring market is anticipated to be a small-scale rally, with a focus on short-term price-performance opportunities in technology and cyclical sectors [13][14] - Key themes from the conference include commercial aerospace, robotics, and other sectors related to the ocean economy and energy security [13][14] - The investment strategy should focus on sectors benefiting from supply-side reforms and consumer demand stimulation, particularly in services and non-durable goods [13][14] Group 3 - The market is characterized by volatility, with a recommendation to adopt a cautious approach and wait for better entry points [16][17] - Specific sectors to watch include brokerage firms, home appliances, and mechanical equipment, with a focus on stocks that are currently undervalued [16][17] - The policy environment is expected to support structural adjustments and "anti-involution" measures, creating opportunities in social services and resource sectors [16][17] Group 4 - The investment outlook for 2026 suggests a shift from valuation-driven to earnings-driven market dynamics, with continued monetary easing expected [18] - Key narratives for the future include AI technology, safety, and industry expansion, which are anticipated to provide medium to long-term investment certainty [18] - Asset allocation strategies should focus on passive investments for risk diversification and active management for capitalizing on market trends [19]
东吴证券:除了商业航天 还有哪些产业趋势值得关注?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-14 06:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for a self-reliant approach in technology and security, focusing on deepening reforms to enhance internal growth resilience [1][3] - The industry configuration for 2026 will revolve around two main lines: technology and security, and reform and growth [1][4] Group 2 - In the technology and security sector, there is a focus on AI capabilities, resource and energy security, and the development of cutting-edge industries [1][4] - The AI industry is expected to benefit from domestic computing power and chip manufacturing, with attention on AI power infrastructure, new AI glasses, humanoid robots, and B2B AI applications [1][4] - Resource and energy security will involve the reassessment of strategic resources and the establishment of a new energy system, with a focus on metals like copper, aluminum, and tin, as well as new energy developments such as solid-state batteries and nuclear energy [1][4] Group 3 - The reform and growth aspect will address supply-side anti-involution and demand-side consumption promotion, with a shift from trading policy expectations to pricing recovery points [1][4] - Key areas of interest include the electrolyte, positive and negative electrodes, membranes, and the photovoltaic industry chain, as well as improvements in the chemical, steel, and thermal coal sectors due to capacity reduction [1][4] - There will be an increased emphasis on service and non-durable goods consumption, particularly in travel, aviation, hotels, duty-free shopping, and essential consumer goods like frozen foods and health products [1][4]