风险厌恶
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刚刚!黑色星期二!原因,找到了
中国基金报· 2025-11-18 07:55
Core Viewpoint - The global stock market experienced a significant downturn on November 18, with major indices in Asia and the U.S. showing substantial declines, attributed to various factors including geopolitical tensions, economic concerns, and anticipation of key earnings reports [2][4][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Nikkei 225 index fell by 3.22%, marking its largest single-day drop since April, closing below 49,000 points [4]. - The KOSPI index in South Korea dropped by 3.32%, reflecting worsening risk sentiment, particularly in the semiconductor sector [4]. - A total of 4,106 stocks declined in the A-share market, with only 1,278 stocks rising, indicating a broad market sell-off [10]. Group 2: Contributing Factors - Concerns over Sino-Japanese relations heightened market anxiety, contributing to the overall decline [12]. - The Japanese bond market faced significant selling pressure, especially in ultra-long-term bonds, due to fears surrounding the government's expanding economic stimulus plans and potential fiscal risks [12]. - The market is recalibrating expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, with analysts noting that volatility in the cryptocurrency sector is spilling over into other high-risk assets [13]. - Anticipation of Nvidia's earnings report is causing investors to reassess the high valuations in the AI sector, with concerns that the upcoming report could impact the broader market, particularly the tech-heavy Nasdaq index [14].
期刊Risk Management and Insurance Review 2025年28卷第1期目录及摘要|保险学术前沿
13个精算师· 2025-09-21 02:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the significant flood protection gap in the EU, highlighting that to achieve a uniform flood insurance penetration rate of 75%, total premiums must at least double, with current uninsured flood losses estimated at €27 billion annually. Increasing insurance penetration could reduce these losses by up to 50% [2][7][8] - It also addresses the financial vulnerability of low-income households in the U.S. regarding vehicle flood damages, revealing that FEMA provided over $160 million in assistance from 2007 to 2022, with a significant portion of recipients being low-income renters [9][11] - The potential for public-private partnership (PPP) models in pandemic insurance is explored, suggesting that intertemporal risk-sharing and capital accumulation could enhance resilience against future pandemics [12][13] - The impact of risk aversion on insurance premium rigidity is analyzed, indicating that risk-averse companies may maintain current premium rates despite changes in risk, contrasting with risk-neutral companies that would adjust rates [5][6][14] Summary by Sections Flood Protection Gap - The EU needs to double its total insurance premiums to reach a 75% flood insurance penetration rate, with current average annual uninsured losses at €27 billion. Increasing penetration could lead to a potential loss reduction of up to 50% [2][7][8] Household Disaster Assistance - From 2007 to 2022, FEMA awarded over $160 million to applicants for uninsured vehicle flood damages, with more than half of the applicants being renters and nearly two-thirds earning $30,000 or less annually. The median award represented about 33% of the median annual household income [9][11] Pandemic Insurance - The article examines the feasibility of pandemic insurance in Switzerland, emphasizing the need for a PPP model that incorporates risk-sharing and capital accumulation to mitigate revenue losses faced by firms during pandemics [12][13] Risk Aversion and Premium Rigidity - A risk-averse insurance company may choose not to change premium rates despite having information on client demand, while a risk-neutral company would adjust rates accordingly. The degree of risk aversion significantly affects the size of premium adjustments [5][6][14]