马斯克经济体
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大摩:市场低估了xAI对特斯拉的意义,FSD 14.3或将成为自动驾驶的“蒸汽机时刻”
华尔街见闻· 2025-11-11 05:59
当全市场的目光集中在马斯克的天价薪酬上,大摩指出市场忽略了特斯拉股东大会的战略要点。 据追风交易台,摩根士丹利分析师Adam Jonas在最新的报告中表示,股东们批准马斯克惊人的薪酬方案早已是意料之中,但这只是噪音。报告的真正价值在 于,它揭示了几个被市场忽视、却将在未来6-12个月内深刻影响股价的关键信号。 摩根士丹利认为,特斯拉与xAI的关系、全自动驾驶(FSD)的突破性进展、芯片垂直整合战略、分布式推理云网络、太空AI卫星,以及Cybercab的革命性生产方 式,都将重塑特斯拉的长期价值。这些战略布局远超传统汽车制造商的范畴,指向一个由AI驱动的"马斯克经济体"(Muskonomy)。 大摩认为,两家公司在数据、软硬件和制造上形成递归循环,其价值体系更源于同一位创造者。这种深度绑定对特斯拉物理AI和自动驾驶的未来成败起着决定 性作用。 同时,为支撑数以十亿计的机器人(汽车、人形机器人等)宏大计划, 马斯克暗示特斯拉可能亲自下场建造"巨型芯片工厂",以确保这个"机器人大脑"最宝贵 资源的供应与创新。 机器人最重要的部分是推理大脑,特斯拉希望在推理芯片制造方面实现一定程度的垂直整合。 股东大会上,马斯克对于 ...
大摩:市场低估了xAI对特斯拉的意义,FSD 14.3或将成为自动驾驶的“蒸汽机时刻”
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-11 02:48
Core Insights - The market has focused on Elon Musk's high compensation, but Morgan Stanley emphasizes that the strategic points from Tesla's shareholder meeting are being overlooked [1] - Key signals that will profoundly impact Tesla's stock price in the next 6-12 months include the relationship with xAI, advancements in Full Self-Driving (FSD), vertical integration of chips, distributed inference cloud networks, space AI satellites, and revolutionary production methods for Cybercab [1] Group 1: Tesla and xAI Relationship - The relationship between Tesla and xAI is crucial for Tesla's long-term success, with both companies forming a recursive loop in data, hardware, and manufacturing [4] - Tesla may build a "gigantic chip factory" to support its ambitious plans for billions of robots, ensuring supply and innovation in reasoning chips [4] - The market has underestimated the significance of Musk's confidence in FSD V14.3, which will allow texting while driving [4] Group 2: Technological Breakthroughs - Transitioning driving responsibility from humans to pure visual algorithms represents a historic technological breakthrough in transportation [5] - Musk proposed a "massive" distributed inference cloud, offering $100 or $200 monthly to car owners for AI processing when their vehicles are idle, potentially creating an unprecedented edge computing network [5] Group 3: Future Innovations - The report highlights two future-oriented concepts: solar AI satellites and the production target for Cybercab [6] - The collaboration between Tesla and SpaceX in space computing is underscored by the potential of solar AI satellites, which could address human demands for computing and power [6] - Tesla aims for a production rate of "one vehicle every 10 seconds" for Cybercab, significantly faster than traditional automotive manufacturing, indicating a major leap in mass production methods [6]