瑞银认为，在实际收益率低迷、持续的全球经济担忧以及美国国内政策不确定性(尤其是与中期选举和 不断增加的财政压力相关的不确定性)的支撑下，2026年黄金需求将稳步增长。 策略师们在报告中写道："如果政治或金融风险加剧，黄金价格可能会涨至每盎司5400美元(此前预期为 每盎司4900美元)。" 智通财经APP获悉，瑞银(UBS)本周再次大幅上调了黄金价格预期，强调在全球经济担忧、美国财政压 力及政治不确定性等因素的推动下，黄金将持续上涨。这家瑞士银行巨头在不到两个月内，已频繁调整 其预期。在最新报告中，瑞银宣布将 2026 年前三季的黄金价格目标上调至每盎司 5000 美元。同时，若 与美国中期选举相关的政治或经济动荡加剧，分析师预计这一贵金属价格可能进一步攀升至5400美元， 此前该上行风险预期为4900美元。 此外，瑞银的大宗商品策略师们还预计，到2026年底，黄金价格将回落至每盎司4800美元——比之前的 预测每盎司4300美元高出500美元。 ...

瑞银认为，在实际收益率低迷、持续的全球经济担忧以及美国国内政策不确定性（尤其是与中期选举和 不断增加的财政压力相关的不确定性）的支撑下，2026年黄金需求将稳步增长。 随着黄金的价格在今年"一路狂飙"，华尔街分析师们的2026年展望报告也在被不断"撕碎重写"。 在周一最新发布的一份报告中，瑞银宣布，其对2026年前三个季度（截至9月）黄金价格的预期将上调 至每盎司5000美元。而如果围绕美国中期选举的政治或经济动荡加剧，黄金价格甚至可能涨至每盎司 5400美元。 此外，瑞银的大宗商品策略师们还预计，到2026年底，黄金价格将回落至每盎司4800美元——比之前的 预测每盎司4300美元高出500美元。 事实上，在短短两个月不到的时间里，瑞银已多次调整其预期。11月初，在金价回落之际，瑞银分析师 就曾指出那是暂时的，他们认为地缘政治或市场风险加剧的上行前景可能会推动金价升至4,700美元的 高位。 他们还引用了世界黄金协会第三季度黄金需求趋势报告，该报告证实了各国央行和个人投资者的购买 力"非常强劲且正在加速增长"。 随后在11月20日，瑞银将2026年年中黄金目标价格上调至每盎司4500美元——此前为每盎司42 ...

Group 1: West African Gold Reserves - The total gold reserves in West African countries are increasing significantly, with Ghana's reserves projected to grow from 8.7 tons in Q2 2022 to over 31 tons by Q1 2025, marking a 255% increase [1] - Ghana has signed an agreement with nine mining companies to directly purchase 20% of their gold production at a 1% discount to the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) price [1] - Nigeria has initiated a national gold purchasing program, enhancing the central bank's ability to acquire domestic gold through legislation [1] - Burkina Faso's government has nationalized gold mines and aims to reserve at least 5% of the country's annual gold production [1] - Zimbabwe has reintroduced gold-backed currency to stabilize its financial system [1] Group 2: Gold Price Forecasts - WisdomTree's latest report predicts gold prices could reach $3,850 per ounce by Q2 2026, with a conservative target of $5,355 if the Trump administration pursues a clear dollar devaluation policy [2] - China's central bank reported a gold reserve of 23,004.1 tons as of the end of July, marking a month-on-month increase of 1.86 tons, continuing a nine-month trend of increasing gold reserves [2] - France's official reserve assets rose to €303.04 billion by July 2025, with gold reserves increasing by €6.87 billion to €22.625 billion [2] - Citigroup raised its gold price forecast for the next three months from $3,300 to $3,500 per ounce, citing factors such as weak U.S. labor data and geopolitical risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict [2] Group 3: Demand and Price Trends - Since mid-2022, total gold demand has increased by over 33%, contributing to a near doubling of gold prices in Q2 2023 [3] - Strong investment demand, ongoing central bank purchases, and resilient jewelry demand are key factors driving the rise in gold prices [3] - Citigroup's optimistic outlook contrasts sharply with its previous forecast, which had predicted a potential drop in gold prices below $3,000 by year-end [3] - As of August 7, 2023, spot gold was priced at $3,383.06 per ounce, reflecting a 0.41% increase [3]

Group 1 - HSBC has significantly raised its gold price forecast for 2025 from $3015 to $3215 per ounce, and for 2026 from $2915 to $3125, reflecting a 7.2% increase [1] - The bank attributes the long-term value of gold to the evolving global risk landscape and rising sovereign debt, noting that gold's role as a safe-haven asset increases during economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions [1] - As of July 1, 2023, international gold prices are fluctuating around $3360 per ounce, with expectations that prices will range between $3100 and $3600 for the remainder of 2025, and a target price of $3175 by the end of 2025 [1] Group 2 - The report highlights a significant correlation between gold price movements and central bank purchasing behavior, indicating that if gold prices exceed $3300, central banks may slow their buying pace [2] - If gold prices retreat to around $3000, it could trigger a new wave of reserve asset allocation, while sustained prices above $3500 may lead to demand pressures in major consumer markets like India and China [2] - The market is closely monitoring U.S. policy developments, including potential tax reform and trade tensions, which could inject further uncertainty into the gold market [2]