格隆汇8月28日｜科创50指数涨超4%。 | 上证指数 | 3813.57 | +13.22 | +0.35% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | | | | | 创业板指 | 2770.73 | +47.53 | +1.75% | | 399006 | | | | | 深证成指 | 12419.12 | +124.05 | +1.01% | | 399001 | | | | | 科创50 | 1317.53 | +44.98 | +3.53% | | 000688 | | | | | 北证50 | 1545.46 | -4.97 | -0.32% | | 899050 | | | | | 沪深300 | 4421.82 | +35.69 | +0.81% | | 000300 | | | | | 上证50 | 2934.54 | +16.16 | +0.55% | | 000016 | | | | (责任编辑：宋政 HN002) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明 ...

格隆汇8月22日｜A股主要指数走强，创业板指涨超1%，沪指涨0.24%，深成指涨0.48%，算力、半导体 芯片、稀土永磁、有色金属等方向涨幅居前，沪深京三市上涨个股近2200只。 (责任编辑：宋政 HN002) 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

Group 1: Core Views - Recent leveraged funds continue to flow in, with the total margin trading balance exceeding 2 trillion this week. The market sentiment remains optimistic, but the increase in the ratio of margin trading to market capitalization is limited. The 2 trillion mark has stronger signaling meaning than practical meaning and may trigger reverse trading, weakening risk appetite [2]. - Seven departments including the central bank jointly issued the "Guiding Opinions on Financial Support for New - type Industrialization", creating credit demand for banks through monetary structured tools, supporting the manufacturing industry, and stimulating a rapid rebound in the banking sector [2]. - US employment data released last week plunged, increasing market bets on interest rate cuts. The US dollar index has continued to decline to around 98, and foreign capital has replenished A - share positions, supporting the sentiment in the mainland market after the A - share index correction [2]. - This week's total A - share trading volume slightly decreased compared to last week, with daily trading around 1.6 trillion. Most broad - based indices recovered last week's losses, with small - and medium - cap stocks remaining strong. The CSI 1000 rose more than 2%, and together with the CSI 2000 and micro - cap stock indices, reached new highs for the year. Large - cap broad - based indices rose slightly more than 1% this week [2]. - The downward support for basis has weakened, and the intraday structured divergence in trends among varieties has increased. The risk appetite shown in the futures market has declined, and there is a need to guard against the risk of a slowdown in the index's upward rate or even a continuous adjustment [2]. - As of Friday, the annualized basis of each variety was basically the same as last week, with the annualized discounts of IC and IM still around 10% and 11% respectively [2]. Group 2: Weekly Forecast - The model's judgment on the movement direction of the basis of IH, IF, IC, and IM next week is: strengthening, weakening, strengthening, and weakening respectively [4].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share index continues to strengthen, with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to 3600 points, marking the second highest position since October 8, 2024 [1] Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index has shown resilience, indicating positive market sentiment [1] - The index's recovery to 3600 points reflects investor confidence and potential growth opportunities in the market [1] - This performance may attract further investments and bolster market stability moving forward [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market is showing strength, with the index recovering from previous declines, but sectors like liquor and real estate are not performing well [1][3] - The current market rebound to 3400 points is fundamentally different from the previous one, as it lacks the strong upward momentum from liquor and real estate, indicating a more natural market recovery [3][5] - The index's performance is primarily driven by heavyweight sectors, and without the participation of liquor and real estate, further upward movement may be limited [1][3] Group 2 - There are two key signals observed: the index has risen, but many retail investors have not outperformed the index, indicating a disconnect between individual stock performance and index movements [5][7] - The market is experiencing net capital inflow, with major players focusing on broad-based ETFs rather than individual stocks, suggesting a shift in investment strategy [7][8] - The current index levels are 3400 for the Shanghai Composite and 24000 for the Hang Seng Index, reflecting a general upward trend in both markets [5][7]