Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference hosted by CITIC Securities emphasizes the transformation of Chinese companies into global players and the evolution of the A-share market from an emerging to a mature market, setting the stage for a low-volatility bull market [3][12]. Economic Outlook - CITIC Securities forecasts a moderate recovery in China's economy, with a growth target of approximately 5.0% in 2025 and around 4.9% in 2026, indicating a "front low, back high" growth pattern [8]. - The fiscal policy for 2026 is expected to be more proactive, maintaining a deficit ratio around 4%, with an increase in special bond quotas directed towards project construction [8]. - Monetary policy may continue to have room for rate cuts, with structural monetary tools remaining in play, supporting economic growth [8]. Market Dynamics - The positive momentum in the capital market is attributed to the increasing international influence of China, the rising position of Chinese enterprises in the global value chain, and the maturation of market systems [5]. - The A-share market is transitioning to a global perspective, with Chinese companies expected to enhance their pricing power in the global value chain during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3][12]. Investment Strategy - The investment strategy for 2026 highlights three key areas: 1. Upgrading traditional manufacturing and resource industries to enhance pricing power and profit margins [13]. 2. The globalization of Chinese enterprises, which significantly expands profit growth potential and market capitalization [13]. 3. The continued commercialization of AI applications, which will amplify the competitive advantages of Chinese companies in the tech sector [13]. Industry Focus - The conference identified three major themes for industry allocation: 1. Upgrading traditional manufacturing and resource sectors [13]. 2. The international expansion of Chinese companies [13]. 3. The broadening application of AI technologies [13].

Core Viewpoint - The conference highlighted the transformation of Chinese companies from local to global players, indicating a shift in the A-share market towards a more mature market structure, which is expected to lead to a stable and gradual bull market [3][11]. Economic Outlook - The Chinese economy is projected to achieve a growth rate of approximately 5.0% in 2025 and around 4.9% in 2026, with a "front low, back high" growth pattern anticipated for 2026 [7][9]. - Fiscal policy is expected to remain proactive, with a deficit rate around 4% and an increase in special bond quotas directed towards project construction [7]. - Monetary policy may continue to have room for adjustments, including potential rate cuts and structural monetary tools [7][9]. Market Dynamics - The capital market is accumulating positive momentum due to the enhancement of China's international discourse power and the improvement of Chinese companies' positions in the global value chain [5][9]. - The A-share market is transitioning from being an emerging market to a more mature market, with Chinese companies gaining pricing power in the global value chain [3][11]. Investment Strategy - The investment strategy for 2026 emphasizes three key areas: 1. Upgrading traditional manufacturing industries to enhance pricing power and profit margins [12]. 2. The globalization of Chinese companies, which opens up significant profit growth potential and market capitalization [12]. 3. The expansion of AI applications, which continues to enhance the competitive advantages of Chinese enterprises in the technology sector [13]. Asset Allocation - The global macro environment is generally accommodative, with expectations for a mild appreciation of the RMB and continued attractiveness of gold as a long-term asset [8].

Group 1 - The 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference of CITIC Securities focuses on the theme "Striving for a New Journey," discussing global macro trends and investment strategies under new circumstances [1] - The conference features over 100 speakers and representatives from more than a thousand listed companies and investment institutions, highlighting its significance in the industry [1] - The general manager of CITIC Securities, Zou Yingguang, emphasizes the new mission and characteristics of the capital market during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, driven by international and domestic trends [2] Group 2 - Zou Yingguang notes that the global landscape is undergoing profound restructuring, presenting new opportunities for external breakthroughs [2] - The transition of China's economy from old to new driving forces is expected to create new opportunities in the capital market [2] - The improvement in the inclusiveness and adaptability of China's capital market system is anticipated to bring a new atmosphere to the market ecology [2] Group 3 - CITIC Securities' chief economist, Ming Ming, forecasts a recovery trend in China's economy, projecting a growth rate of around 5.0% in 2025 and approximately 4.9% in 2026 [2] - The economic growth in 2026 may exhibit a "low first, high later" pattern due to base factors and policy rhythms [2] - The chief analyst for macro and policy, Yang Fan, predicts a mild recovery in the economy with a structural differentiation, alongside resilient exports and gradually warming investments [3] Group 4 - The chief A-share strategist, Qiu Xiang, believes that A-share companies are transitioning from local to global exposure, indicating a shift from emerging to mature market characteristics [3] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan, Chinese companies are expected to enhance their position in the global value chain, converting share advantages into pricing power [3] - Three key investment themes are highlighted: upgrading traditional manufacturing, the globalization of Chinese enterprises, and the expansion of AI applications, which will enhance competitive advantages [3]

Core Insights - The 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference hosted by CITIC Securities focuses on the theme "Advancing on a New Journey," discussing global macro trends and investment strategies in the context of China's 14th Five-Year Plan and emerging topics like AI applications and new energy storage [1][3] Economic Outlook - CITIC Securities' Chief Economist Mingming forecasts a recovery trend for the Chinese economy, projecting a growth rate of approximately 5.0% for 2025 and around 4.9% for 2026, with a potential "low first, high later" growth pattern [3][4] - Fiscal policy is expected to remain proactive, with a deficit ratio around 4% and an increase in special bond quotas directed towards project construction [4] - Monetary policy may see room for rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, with structural monetary tools continuing to play a role [4] Market Environment - The global macro environment is generally accommodative, with expectations of a mild appreciation of the RMB and ongoing attractiveness of gold as a long-term asset [4] - The international landscape presents both challenges and opportunities, with a restructuring of global industrial and financial orders prompting Chinese enterprises to explore international markets and enhance RMB internationalization [5] Investment Strategy - The A-share market is transitioning from domestic-focused companies to global players, with expectations that Chinese firms will gain more pricing power in the global value chain during the 14th Five-Year Plan [6] - Key investment themes include upgrading traditional manufacturing, the globalization of Chinese enterprises, and the expansion of AI applications, which are expected to enhance competitive advantages for Chinese companies [6] Conference Highlights - The conference features over 100 speakers and representatives from thousands of listed companies and investment institutions, providing a platform for extensive discussions on various topics including global economic outlook, emerging market investments, and AI innovations [8]

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Capital Market Annual Conference hosted by CITIC Securities focuses on the theme "Advancing the New Journey," discussing the global macro landscape and investment strategies under new circumstances, including topics like the 14th Five-Year Plan, Chinese enterprises going global, new productivity, AI applications, and innovative energy storage [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Outlook - CITIC Securities' Chief Economist predicts China's economy will grow by approximately 5.0% in 2025 and around 4.9% in 2026, with a "front low, back high" growth pattern expected due to base factors and policy rhythms [5]. - The macro policy environment is anticipated to remain supportive, with fiscal policies becoming more proactive, maintaining a deficit ratio around 4%, and structural monetary tools continuing to be utilized [5][6]. - The economic growth center for the 14th Five-Year Plan period is expected to stabilize around 4.8%, with a focus on balancing demand-side policies [7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The A-share market is transitioning from domestic-focused companies to global multinational corporations, with Chinese enterprises expected to enhance their position in the global value chain, contributing to a low-volatility, slow-bull market [7][8]. - The global macro environment is generally accommodative, with expectations of a mild appreciation of the RMB and continued attractiveness of gold as a long-term asset [6][8]. - The A-share market's performance will increasingly depend on global market demand rather than solely domestic demand, influenced by the dynamics of US-China relations [8]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Key investment themes include upgrading traditional manufacturing, the globalization of Chinese enterprises, and the expansion of AI applications, which are expected to enhance profit growth and market valuation [8][9]. - The conference features discussions on various sectors, including technology, energy, and finance, with insights from industry leaders on future trends and investment directions [11][12]. - The conference serves as a platform for over 100 speakers and numerous companies, facilitating extensive discussions on macroeconomic outlooks and investment strategies [12].