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馬斯克為何砍掉百億Dojo項目?這不是失敗,是教科書級的商業決策!#特斯拉 #馬斯克 #Musk Tesla #電動車 #大魚聊電動 #Dojo
大鱼聊电动· 2025-08-11 04:35
Company Focus - The content focuses on Tesla and its developments in the electric vehicle market [1] - Key areas of interest include Tesla's FSD (Full Self-Driving) and Dojo technologies [1] Promotional Offers - JOWUA products are promoted with a 5% discount using the code BIGFISH95 [1] - Specific JOWUA products highlighted include a hidden screen storage base, car headrests, a CCS2 mobile charger, a folding electric scooter, and an inflator charging kit [1] Community Engagement - The content encourages viewers to join the "大魚電動車" (Big Fish Electric Vehicle) channel for in-depth and up-to-date information on electric vehicles, particularly Tesla [1] - The channel aims to provide daily 9-minute videos covering Tesla news, FSD, and Dojo updates [1]
Dojo已死?不!特斯拉組建「晶片復仇者聯盟」,野心更大!#特斯拉 #馬斯克 #Musk #Tesla #電動車 #fsd #大魚聊電動 #Dojo
大鱼聊电动· 2025-08-08 04:43
Company Focus - The content focuses on Tesla and its developments, including FSD and Dojo [1] - The content creator aims to provide in-depth, comprehensive, and up-to-date information about electric vehicles, with a particular emphasis on Tesla [1] Promotional Offers - JOWUA products are promoted with a 5% discount using the code BIGFISH95 [1] - Specific JOWUA products are highlighted, including a hidden screen storage base, car headrests, a CCS2 portable charger, a folding electric scooter, and an air pump charging kit [1] Community Engagement - The content encourages viewers to join the channel for updates on electric vehicles and Tesla [1] - The creator seeks to connect with like-minded individuals interested in electric vehicles and innovative technology [1]
突發!特斯拉砍掉5000億美元Dojo計畫!FSD的未來懸了?#特斯拉 #馬斯克 #Musk #Tesla #電動車 #fsd #大魚聊電動 #Dojo #Optimus
大鱼聊电动· 2025-08-08 04:32
Company Focus - The content focuses on Tesla and its developments, including FSD (Full Self-Driving) and Dojo [1] - The content creator aims to provide in-depth, comprehensive, and up-to-date information on electric vehicles, with a particular emphasis on Tesla [1] Promotional Offers - JOWUA products are promoted with a 5% discount using the code BIGFISH95 [1] - Specific JOWUA products are highlighted, including a hidden screen storage base, car headrests, a CCS2 dual-use mobile charger, a folding electric scooter, and an air pump charging kit [1] Content Updates - Daily updates of approximately 9-minute videos on electric vehicles are provided [1] - The channel shares the latest information on Tesla, FSD, and Dojo [1] Community Engagement - The content encourages viewers to join the channel and explore the world of electric vehicles together [1] - The creator welcomes like-minded individuals to join and explore innovative technology [1]
特斯拉-电动汽车业务之困与机器人业务之得-Tesla Inc-EV Pain vs. Robo Gain
2025-07-24 05:03
Summary of Tesla Inc Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tesla Inc - **Industry**: Automotive, specifically Electric Vehicles (EVs) - **Market Cap**: $1,170,279 million as of July 23, 2025 - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Price Target**: $410.00 Key Financial Highlights - **2Q Results**: Slight beat with Free Cash Flow (FCF) near break-even [1][2] - **Deliveries**: FY25 deliveries forecast lowered to 1.53 million, down 14.2% year-over-year [8] - **Revenue**: FY25 revenue forecast largely unchanged at $63.4 billion [8] - **Auto Gross Margin**: FY25 Auto Gross Margin (ex-ZEV credits) increased to 13.4% [8] - **Operating Margin**: FY25 GAAP Operating Margin decreased to 2.9% [8] - **EPS**: FY25 Non-GAAP diluted EPS decreased to $1.37 from $1.58 previously [8] - **Free Cash Flow**: FY25 forecasted at ~$1 billion, up from a previous burn of ~$250 million [8] Core Insights and Concerns - **Outlook Transparency**: Tesla's outlook lacks specific targets on revenues or margins, raising concerns about future performance [6] - **Robotaxi Progress**: Limited information on the current fleet size or performance, despite ambitious expansion targets [6] - **Optimus Production**: Production ramp for Optimus pushed slightly, with a target of 1 million units annually within 5 years [6] - **Market Headwinds**: Elon Musk indicated that the next few quarters may be 'rough' due to demand changes and regulatory environment [6] - **Consensus Direction**: Likely modestly lower, especially for FY26, with updated FY25 EPS 14% lower than prior forecasts [6] Changes to Estimates - **Deliveries**: FY26 deliveries forecast lowered to 1.85 million from 1.89 million [8] - **Revenue Adjustments**: FY26 revenues slightly lower due to lower deliveries [8] - **Operating Expenses**: Increased R&D and SG&A expenses impacting margins [8] - **Free Cash Flow**: FY26 forecast lowered to $2.4 billion from $5.3 billion [8] Valuation and Price Target Methodology - **Price Target Components**: - Core Tesla Auto business valued at $76/share - Network Services at $159/share - Tesla Mobility at $90/share - Energy at $68/share - Third-party supplier at $17/share [19][24] Investment Thesis - **Growth Potential**: Tesla's capabilities in physical AI, robotics, and energy storage present significant growth opportunities beyond traditional EV business [12][13] - **Market Position**: Tesla is well-positioned in data, robotics, and manufacturing, with a strong competitive edge [12][13] - **Risk Factors**: Potential risks include competition from traditional OEMs and execution risks related to factory ramps and market recognition of service opportunities [36] Additional Insights - **Analyst Sentiment**: The consensus rating distribution shows 44% Overweight, 37% Equal-weight, and 19% Underweight [27] - **Long-term Projections**: Forecasts suggest Tesla could sell 4.6 million units by 2030 with a 25% revenue CAGR [26] This summary encapsulates the key points from Tesla Inc's earnings call, highlighting financial performance, strategic insights, and market outlook.
产品老化、竞争激烈、品牌受损!汇丰大幅下调特斯拉未来三年利润预测
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-27 09:47
Core Viewpoint - HSBC warns that Tesla's profitability will continue to be disappointing, facing three significant challenges in scaling its Robotaxi business [1][3] Group 1: Delivery and Financial Forecasts - HSBC maintains a "reduce" rating on Tesla with a target price of $120, indicating a 63% downside from the current stock price [1][4] - Based on actual sales data from April and May, HSBC predicts that Tesla's Q2 delivery volume will remain flat quarter-over-quarter, which is 15% lower than market expectations [2][3] - The firm expects operational revenue to be 8% lower than consensus due to weak delivery volumes, with free cash flow expected to be slightly positive [2][3] Group 2: Challenges Facing Robotaxi - Tesla's Robotaxi business must overcome three major challenges: proving the robustness of its pure camera solution compared to competitors' sensor combinations, changing consumer perceptions about vehicle ownership, and demonstrating profitability in the Robotaxi operation [3] - Early signs from the Austin pilot raise concerns about the reliability of Tesla's approach [3] Group 3: Valuation and Business Segments - HSBC uses a DCF valuation and peer multiples, each accounting for 50% of the valuation, maintaining a target price of $120 [4] - The DCF valuation covers six business segments, including automotive, energy storage, full self-driving, Dojo, Optimus, and services, yielding a fair value of $180 per share [5]
BARCLAYS-特斯拉_第一季度初步观察 - 营收未达预期 + 撤回业绩指引,但毛利率良好,基本面未变
2025-04-27 03:56
Summary of Tesla, Inc. 1Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) - **Date of Call**: April 22, 2025 Key Financial Metrics - **Revenue**: $19.3 billion, missing consensus of $20.0 billion but beating Barclays' estimate of $19.0 billion [9] - **Auto Revenue**: $13.967 billion, below consensus of $14.119 billion [11] - **Energy Revenue**: $2.730 billion, missing consensus of $3.157 billion [12] - **Adjusted EPS**: $0.27, missing consensus of $0.38 [12] - **GAAP EBIT**: $399 million, missing consensus of $861 million [12] - **Auto Gross Margin (ex-regulatory credits)**: 12.5%, beating consensus of 11.6% [12] - **Adjusted Free Cash Flow**: $664 million, beating consensus of $0 million [12] Core Insights - **Mixed Results**: Tesla's 1Q25 results were mixed, with a headline miss on EPS but better-than-expected margins, indicating a resilient operational performance despite revenue shortfalls [2][3]. - **Operational Expenses**: The EPS miss was attributed to elevated operating expenses and "other expenses," likely linked to cryptocurrency losses [3]. - **Volume Growth Guidance**: Tesla pulled its previous guidance for year-over-year volume growth, citing macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly political sentiment [4][10]. - **Tariff Impact**: The company noted that tariffs are impacting its Energy business more significantly than its automotive segment, particularly concerning LFP batteries sourced from China [4]. Future Outlook - **Affordable Model Launch**: Plans for the launch of a more affordable model in 1H25 remain intact, despite earlier media reports suggesting delays [5][12]. - **Robotaxi Pilot**: Tesla reiterated its plans for a pilot launch of Robotaxi in Austin by June 2025, with volume production expected in 2026 [5][12]. - **Battery Production**: The U.S. Model 3/Y now utilizes 100% U.S.-built battery packs, and the 4680 battery cell is IRA compliant, with lithium refining and cathode production set to start in 2025 [12]. Industry Context - **Industry Rating**: The U.S. Autos & Mobility sector is rated as Negative, reflecting deteriorating fundamentals and valuations [8][38]. - **Price Target**: The price target for Tesla is set at $275.00, with a current price of $237.97, indicating a potential upside of 15.6% [8][48]. Risks and Considerations - **Demand Weakness**: Continued demand weakening could necessitate larger-than-expected price cuts [56]. - **Regulatory Challenges**: Potential regulatory actions regarding Tesla's Autopilot and Full Self-Driving (FSD) features pose risks [56]. - **Competition**: Increasing competition from both legacy OEMs and new entrants in the EV market could impact Tesla's market share and pricing strategy [56]. Additional Notes - **Analyst Conflicts**: Barclays may have conflicts of interest due to its business relationships with Tesla, which should be considered when interpreting this report [6].