Group 1: Core Conclusions - The report presents three key thoughts on the current real estate dilemma, emphasizing that the existing supply exceeds demand, making "net supply" reduction crucial for stabilizing the market [2] - The report highlights that second-hand housing prices provide stronger guidance and leading signals compared to new housing prices, which can be understood from the perspectives of supply, demand, price, and policy [2] - It stresses the importance of recognizing the tail risks associated with the current real estate adjustment, particularly concerning developers, homebuyers, and banks, indicating potential risks may concentrate on banks, especially smaller banks [2] Group 2: Policy Recommendations - Four feasible policy measures are suggested to reduce net supply: optimizing land acquisition, revitalizing distressed and idle properties for public service needs, accelerating the replacement of aging housing, and allowing market forces to phase out "ghost town" housing in lower-tier cities [2] Group 3: Industry Performance Insights - The report provides insights into industry performance, noting that the defense and military industry showed a 59.9% increase over the past year, while the non-ferrous metals sector increased by 103.4% [1] - It also indicates that the banking sector experienced a decline of 2.3% in January, with a modest annual growth of 6.3%, reflecting ongoing challenges in the financial landscape [1]

美的集团B端业务打造第二增长曲线，其中数据中心液冷业务开拓潜力较大。目前其市盈率相对较低， 该行认为估值尚未充分反映B端业务价值。海尔智家当前以"数据驱动智能决策-闭环优化"为核心打造全 新运营体系，在产品、成本和供应链端都实现竞争力的有效提升。海信系C端协同效率仍有较大提升空 间，B端需要高效资源整合，或有望以资本运作为抓手，探索"中间路径"。充电宝行业有望迎来新规带 动格局改善。《移动电源安全技术规范》计划于2026年一季度正式发布。该行认为认证过程趋严提升行 业门槛，大量白牌有望出清，目前行业集中度&高端化仍有很大空间。绿联科技&安克创新有望受益。 智通财经APP获悉，国盛证券发布研报称，2026年年家电轻工行业应重点把握四条投资主线：内需端1) 需求侧有以旧换新政策托底的白电行业有望依托股息率具有较好的配置价值，供给侧充电宝行业有望迎 来新规带动格局改善、国产五金市占率提升正当时;2)服务消费正当其时，人、货、场重构对应消费降 级中的利基消费品——潮玩、折叠自行车、3D打印。外需端1)传统品类走出关税干扰恢复趋势明确， 关注具有海外生产能力+强渠道产品力标的;2)新的品类和新的市场开拓带来的机遇。 国 ...