Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiaomi Group [6][8] Core Insights - Xiaomi Group's Q2 revenue and adjusted net profit reached new highs, with revenue of RMB 116 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30.5%, marking three consecutive quarters of over RMB 100 billion [8] - The adjusted profit was RMB 10.8 billion, exceeding Bloomberg's expectation of RMB 10.2 billion, and represented a year-on-year increase of 75% [8] - Key growth drivers include strong performance in IoT business, improved EV gross margins from the delivery of high-value models, and a slight offset from a decline in smartphone revenue [8] - The management reiterated the R&D expense guidance for 2025 at RMB 30 billion, with a quarter allocated to AI [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are revised to RMB 4,854 billion, RMB 5,972 billion, and RMB 7,258 billion respectively, with adjusted net profit forecasts of RMB 436 billion, RMB 512 billion, and RMB 649 billion [2][8] - The expected growth rates for revenue are 33% in 2025, 23% in 2026, and 22% in 2027 [2] - The expected earnings per share for 2025 is RMB 1.63, with a net asset return rate of 20.1% [2] Market Data - As of August 19, 2025, Xiaomi's closing price was HKD 52.40, with a market capitalization of HKD 136.37 billion [3] - The stock has a 52-week high of HKD 61.45 and a low of HKD 17.10 [3] Business Segments Performance - Smartphone revenue in Q2 was RMB 45.5 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2%, with a gross margin of 11.5% [8] - IoT revenue grew by 45% year-on-year to RMB 38.7 billion, with a gross margin of 22.5% [8] - The electric vehicle segment reported revenue of RMB 21.3 billion with a gross margin of 26.4%, and a delivery of 81,300 units [8]

Core Insights - Xiaomi reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 1112.93 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 47.4%, exceeding market expectations [1] - Adjusted net profit for the same period was 106.76 billion RMB, marking a 64.5% increase and setting a historical record, with an overall gross margin of 22.8% [1] Business Segments - The "Mobile × AIoT" segment generated revenue of 927 billion RMB, up 22.8% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.8%. Smartphone revenue was 506 billion RMB, a growth of 8.9%, while IoT and lifestyle product revenue surged by 58.7% to 323 billion RMB [1] - Xiaomi's global smartphone shipments reached 41.8 million units in Q1 2025, with a market share of 18.8% in mainland China, ranking first in the market [1] - Internet services revenue was 91 billion RMB, reflecting a 12.8% year-on-year growth, with a gross margin of 76.9%. The global monthly active user count reached 719 million, a 9.2% increase, with 181 million users in mainland China, up 12.9% [1] Innovative Business Growth - Revenue from smart electric vehicles and AI-related businesses rose significantly from 2.6 million RMB in Q1 2024 to 18.6 billion RMB in Q1 2025, with a gross margin of 23.2% and an operating loss of approximately 500 million RMB [2] - The smart electric vehicle revenue was 18.1 billion RMB, with 76,000 units of the Xiaomi SU7 series delivered in Q1 2025, totaling over 258,000 units since launch [2] - Xiaomi plans to expand production capacity and has entered the luxury car market with the launch of the Xiaomi SU7 Ultra and the upcoming SUV model YU7 [2] Research and Development Investment - R&D expenditure for Q1 2025 was 6.7 billion RMB, a 30.1% increase year-on-year, with a commitment to invest 200 billion RMB over the next five years [2] - The total number of R&D personnel reached a record high of 21,731 by March 31, 2025 [2] - Xiaomi has made significant advancements in core areas such as chips, operating systems, and AI, including the release of its self-developed 3nm flagship SoC chip and the open-sourcing of its first inference model, Xiaomi MiMo [2]