加油站要开始卖芯片了？ 日前，和顺石油（603353.SH）宣布，为寻找新的业绩增长点，以推动公司未来持续发展，拟以不高于 5.4亿元的金额，取得上海奎芯集成电路设计有限公司（下称"奎芯科技"）控制权，跨界进入半导体行 业。 需要指出的是，在和顺石油发布股权收购公告的前一个交易日，公司股价开盘后直冲涨停板，截至收盘 仍处于涨停状态。《华夏时报》记者就此致电公司董秘办，截至发稿电话未能接通。 一位券商投资顾问告诉《华夏时报》记者，石油和半导体是两个跨度很大的行业，从石油跨界做半导 体，对管理层的管理能力有很高的要求。对于并购重组题材，资本市场炒作成分会稍微大一些，但投资 者需要关注后续进展情况，从而做出投资决策。 豪掷5.4亿元 根据公告，和顺石油拟以现金方式，通过收购股权及增资购买奎芯科技不低于34%的股权，同时通过表 决权委托，合计控制其51%表决权，从而取得奎芯科技的控制权。 本次交易完成后，和顺石油委派董事将占据奎芯科技董事会席位的三分之二，奎芯科技财务总监将由和 顺石油推荐的人员担任，和顺石油将对奎芯科技的经营、人事、财务等事项拥有决策权，奎芯科技将纳 入和顺石油合并报表范围，成为其控股子公司。 由于 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent acquisition plan by Heshun Petroleum to purchase a stake in Kuixin Technology has stirred the capital market, highlighting the company's shift from traditional fuel retailing to the semiconductor industry amid declining performance in its core business [1][3]. Company Overview - Heshun Petroleum primarily operates in the retail of refined oil in Hunan, facing challenges as the market for fuel vehicles declines with the rise of electric vehicles [3]. - The company has experienced a significant drop in profitability since its IPO in 2020, with net profit decreasing from 170 million yuan to approximately 29.27 million yuan in 2024 [3]. Acquisition Details - Heshun Petroleum plans to acquire at least 34% of Kuixin Technology, aiming to control 51% of voting rights, with the total transaction value not exceeding 540 million yuan [1]. - Kuixin Technology, established in 2021, specializes in semiconductor solutions and has raised over 100 million yuan in funding since its inception [5][6]. Market Reaction - Following the acquisition announcement, Heshun Petroleum's stock price surged nearly 60% within a short period, raising concerns about the sustainability of this price increase given the company's poor financial performance [4][12]. - The stock's rapid rise has been attributed to speculation surrounding the semiconductor acquisition rather than fundamental business improvements [4][12]. Financial Performance of Kuixin Technology - Kuixin Technology reported revenues of 146 million yuan in 2023, with projected revenues of 193 million yuan in 2024 and 110 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [7]. - The company has a high asset-liability ratio of 65.29%, indicating potential financial instability [10]. Valuation Concerns - Heshun Petroleum's market capitalization has approached 6 billion yuan, leading to concerns of overvaluation, with a price-to-earnings ratio exceeding 741 times [12]. - Analysts suggest that the valuation is disconnected from the company's declining profitability and that the stock price may face corrections if the acquisition does not meet expectations [12].

交银国际研究 公司更新 科技 2025 年 11 月 21 日 英伟达 (NVDA US) 收盘价 目标价 潜在涨幅 美元 180.64 美元 245.00↑ +35.6% 业绩和指引均超预期，可持续性和供应链依然是焦点 个股评级 买入 1 年股价表现 资料来源： FactSet 11/24 3/25 7/25 11/25 -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% NVDA US 标普500 股份资料 | 52周高位 (美元) | 207.04 | | --- | --- | | 52周低位 (美元) | 94.31 | | 市值 (百万美元) | 4,389,552.00 | | 日均成交量 (百万) | 336.22 | | 年初至今变化 (%) | 34.51 | | 200天平均价 (美元) | 168.49 | | 资料来源： FactSet | | 王大卫, PhD, CFA Dawei.wang@bocomgroup.com (852) 3766 1867 童钰枫 Carrie.Tong@bocomgroup.com (852) 3766 1804 财 ...

本次交易完成后，公司委派董事占据标的公司董事会席位三分之二，标的公司财务总监将由公司推荐的 人员担任，公司将对标的公司的经营、人事、财务等事项拥有决策权，标的公司将纳入公司合并报表范 围，成为公司控股子公司。本次交易的评估/审计工作尚未完成，交易价格尚未确定。双方确认，标的 公司100%的股权价值不高于15.88亿元(增资后估值)，预计最终交易金额不高于5.4亿元，在此基础上最 终的交易价格以公司聘请的符合《证券法》规定的资产评估机构出具的评估结果作为依据确定，双方将 签署正式股权收购协议予以约定。 格隆汇11月16日丨和顺石油(603353.SH)发布公告，公司拟以现金方式，通过收购股权及增资购买上海 奎芯集成电路设计有限公司(以下简称"奎芯科技"或"标的公司")不低于34%的股权，同时通过表决权委 托，合计控制标的公司51%表决权，即取得标的公司的控制权(以下简称"本次交易")。 标的公司成立于2021年，专注于打造高速接口IP和Chiplet解决方案。标的公司是国内少数具备完整的高 速接口IP产品矩阵的企业，填补国内空白，逐步打破外商垄断。协议迭代及工艺制程比部分同行有一代 的领先优势。目前已覆盖UCI ...

Group 1 - The report compiles 16 representative cases of cross-border mergers and acquisitions (M&A) by companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, showcasing how these companies leverage global resources to drive industrial upgrades [1][7][9] - M&A strategies exhibit innovative characteristics, including cash acquisitions, cash and stock privatizations, cross-border share swaps, and private equity fund acquisitions, with a focus on both mature and emerging industries [1][2][9] - Key cases highlight strategic orientation and synergy effects, such as Wanhua Chemical's acquisition of BC Company, which resulted in a 145.19% overachievement of performance commitments [2][12][56] Group 2 - The report indicates a clear trend of policy support for cross-border M&A, with initiatives like the "M&A Six Guidelines" simplifying processes and lowering barriers for companies [3][9] - Challenges include complex cross-border regulatory approvals, cultural integration difficulties, and geopolitical risks, which companies are addressing through compliance reviews and risk hedging mechanisms [3][9] - Successful cross-border M&A requires a clear strategic direction aligned with industrial upgrade needs, innovative transaction structures, and deep integration of technology, market, and management post-acquisition [3][9][56] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the importance of a clear internationalization strategy, as seen in Wanhua's proactive approach to overseas expansion and M&A during the 2008 financial crisis [57] - The acquisition of BC Company not only enhanced Wanhua's global footprint but also established a benchmark for Chinese enterprises in cross-border M&A and state-owned enterprise reform [56][57] - The successful integration of BC Company into Wanhua Chemical's operations led to significant profitability improvements, with net profits exceeding commitments by 53.35 million [56][55]

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China have highlighted the critical dependence of the US on Chinese rare earth elements, particularly in military and semiconductor industries, as China implements export controls to protect its strategic interests [1][2][4]. Group 1: Rare Earth Elements - The US is facing a significant shortage of rare earth elements, with domestic stocks only sufficient for two to three months, raising concerns about delays in electric vehicle and missile projects [1][2]. - China controls over 90% of the global rare earth supply chain, with recent export controls on seven heavy rare earth elements directly targeting US vulnerabilities [1][2]. - The price of rare earths has increased by 8% following China's new regulations, indicating heightened market tension [2][4]. Group 2: US Response and Industry Impact - The US has attempted to counteract China's dominance by suspending exports of critical components, such as the LEAP-1C engine for the C919 aircraft, which has reduced delivery plans from 50 to 25 units [6]. - The US government has also restricted sales of semiconductor design software to Chinese companies, significantly impacting their research and development timelines [8]. - Major US defense contractors, like Lockheed Martin, are exploring alternative materials due to the supply chain risks posed by China's export controls, but performance has reportedly decreased by over 20% [2][4]. Group 3: China's Strategic Position - China's rare earth industry, exemplified by the performance of Ganzhou Rare Earth Group, has shown resilience with a production output of 240,000 tons in the first half of the year, maintaining a complete supply chain from mining to refining [2]. - The Chinese government is prioritizing approvals for EU companies in its rare earth export policies, indicating a strategic pivot towards strengthening ties with Europe while sidelining the US [10]. - The CJ-1000A engine, developed by China, is expected to meet the needs of the C919 aircraft and is on track for certification, showcasing China's advancements in aviation technology despite US sanctions [10][11]. Group 4: Long-term Implications - The US's sanctions may inadvertently accelerate China's innovation in both rare earth and aviation sectors, as China continues to solidify its market position and technological capabilities [11]. - The US's efforts to rebuild its supply chains are projected to take several years, during which time China's production lines remain active, further entrenching its competitive advantage [11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US) with a target price raised to $275 from $248, indicating a potential upside of 10% from the current price of $250.05 [4][17]. Core Insights - AMD's 3Q25 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of $9.246 billion and a Non-GAAP gross margin of 54%. The guidance for 4Q25 is also optimistic, with a revenue midpoint of $9.6 billion and a gross margin of approximately 54.5% [2][7]. - The report highlights strong performance in the data center CPU segment, driven by the successful rollout of the MI350 series and increasing demand for AMD's CPU products, particularly in the context of AI data center expansion [7][10]. - The forecast for AMD's revenue and earnings per share (EPS) has been revised upwards for 2025, 2026, and 2027, reflecting a more optimistic outlook on data center CPU revenue and recovery in gaming demand [7][10]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for AMD are as follows: - 2023: $22.68 billion - 2024: $25.785 billion - 2025E: $33.995 billion - 2026E: $44.686 billion - 2027E: $59.541 billion - The expected growth rates are 13.7% in 2024, 31.8% in 2025, 31.5% in 2026, and 33.2% in 2027 [3][18]. - Non-GAAP EPS is projected to grow from $2.65 in 2023 to $9.23 in 2027, with significant year-on-year increases [3][18]. Market Position and Strategy - AMD is focusing on expanding its market share in the data center segment, particularly with the introduction of new products like the MI450 series, which is expected to contribute significantly to revenue in 2026 and beyond [10][11]. - The collaboration with OpenAI is seen as a critical factor for AMD's growth, providing opportunities to secure large orders from major cloud service providers and enhance its competitive position in the industry [8][10]. Stock Performance - AMD's stock has shown a significant increase of 107.01% year-to-date, reflecting positive market sentiment and performance expectations [6]. - The stock's 52-week high is $264.33, while the low is $78.21, indicating substantial volatility and potential for growth [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a Neutral rating for the company with a target price adjusted to RMB 76.00, reflecting a potential upside of 0.9% from the current closing price of RMB 75.31 [1][10][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of RMB 1.07 billion in Q3 2025, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of RMB 0.23 billion, which is a significant improvement from a loss of RMB 1.01 billion in Q2 2025 [8]. - The L-PAMiD product has begun mass production, leveraging the company's technological advantages in filters to penetrate key customer markets. The 6-inch production line is nearing full capacity, and the 12-inch line has started large-scale shipments [8]. - Recent consolidation in the overseas RF front-end market, particularly the merger between Qorvo and Skyworks, indicates a phase of capacity integration and efficiency improvement in the industry. This could benefit domestic manufacturers in gaining market share [8]. - The report highlights that the RF front-end industry may see significant changes following the implementation of new mobile communication network standards, with recent product launches and upgrades driving performance [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been revised down to RMB 39.2 billion, RMB 49.7 billion, and RMB 57.7 billion, respectively, from previous estimates of RMB 41.8 billion, RMB 51.7 billion, and RMB 61.2 billion [8][9]. - Net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have also been adjusted to losses of RMB 1.32 billion, and profits of RMB 3.67 billion and RMB 5.81 billion, respectively, down from previous forecasts [8][9]. - The report anticipates that depreciation will remain relatively high in 2026, impacting profitability [8].

Market Performance - The Nikkei 225 index has reached a historic high, surpassing 52,000 points for the first time, with an intraday increase of over 1,000 points and a peak gain of more than 2% [1] - The Tokyo Stock Exchange index also hit a record high, with semiconductor, consumer, and electric sectors leading the gains [1] Company Highlights - Semiconductor design company Socionext saw its stock hit the limit up, with a gain of 16.72%, and is set to hold an earnings meeting on October 31, where it will announce mid-term performance up to September 30, 2025 [2] - Socionext has begun developing 3nm ADAS and customized SoCs for autonomous driving, expected to enter mass production in 2026, utilizing TSMC's N3A process [2] - Other notable stocks include Renesas Electronics and Hitachi, both rising over 9%, while Kansai Electric Power increased by over 6% [2] Economic Indicators - Tokyo's core consumer price index (CPI) for October rose by 2.8% year-on-year, exceeding the Bank of Japan's 2% inflation target for over three years [2][3] - The CPI increase was higher than the market expectation of 2.6% and up from 2.5% in September [2] Monetary Policy - The Bank of Japan decided to maintain the policy interest rate at approximately 0.5%, marking the sixth consecutive meeting without a rate change [4] - The decision was made despite predictions of a potential rate hike to curb unexpected inflation, with a vote of 7 in favor and 2 against maintaining the current rate [4] - Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated that external economic uncertainties, particularly from the U.S., will be closely monitored [4][5]

Core Viewpoint - The Japanese stock market is experiencing a strong upward trend, with the Nikkei 225 index reaching a historic high of over 52,000 points, driven by gains in sectors such as semiconductors, consumer goods, and electricity [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Nikkei 225 index surged over 1,000 points, achieving a gain of more than 2% during trading, and closed at 52,058 points, reflecting a 1.43% increase [1]. - The Tokyo Stock Exchange index also reached a historic high, with significant contributions from the semiconductor sector, particularly Socionext, which saw a price increase of 16.72% [1][2]. Group 2: Company Highlights - Socionext, a fabless semiconductor design company, is set to hold an earnings meeting on October 31, where it is expected to announce mid-term performance results up to September 30, 2025. The company has begun developing 3nm ADAS and customized SoCs, with production expected to start in 2026 [2]. - Other notable companies include Renesas Electronics and Hitachi, both of which saw stock increases of over 9%, while Kansai Electric Power rose over 6% [3]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The core consumer price index (CPI) in Tokyo rose by 2.8% year-on-year in October, exceeding the Bank of Japan's target of 2% for the third consecutive year, and surpassing market expectations of 2.6% [3]. - The Bank of Japan decided to maintain its policy interest rate at approximately 0.5%, marking the sixth consecutive meeting without a rate change, despite prior predictions of a potential rate hike [4]. Group 4: Monetary Policy Insights - Analysts suggest that the Bank of Japan's decision to keep interest rates unchanged reinforces expectations of a cautious approach to monetary tightening under Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's leadership [5]. - The market's perception of a prolonged low-interest-rate environment may lead to increased short positions on the yen, especially in the context of the U.S. Federal Reserve's easing cycle [5][6].