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八部门联合发文!
券商中国· 2025-02-28 07:21
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the "Several Measures for Promoting High-Quality Development of Inclusive Elderly Care Services" released by the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments, focusing on creating a sustainable, affordable, and quality elderly care service system [1][3]. Group 1: Service Supply Enhancement - The primary task is to improve the quality and expand the supply of services, particularly for elderly individuals with disabilities or dementia [3]. - Encouragement for elderly care institutions to open community facilities such as rehabilitation care and senior dining services, and to promote the application of AI-assisted diagnostic equipment to enhance home care service quality [3][4]. Group 2: Asset Utilization and Support - The measures advocate for the coordinated use of existing assets, with local development and reform departments leading efforts to repurpose government and state-owned enterprise facilities for elderly care services [3]. - Local governments are encouraged to provide support in terms of land use, utility pricing, and operational costs for inclusive elderly care institutions [3]. Group 3: Development of Service Institutions - The measures promote the development of chain and group inclusive elderly care institutions, with state-owned enterprises playing a leading role in brand creation and service standardization [5]. - Public elderly care institutions are encouraged to open surplus beds to the community, while private institutions should enhance facilities for the elderly, particularly those who are elderly or disabled [5]. Group 4: Pricing Mechanism - The affordability of services is emphasized, with local governments required to consider costs, subsidies, and community affordability when setting prices [5]. - Public institutions will have their basic service fees guided by government pricing, while private institutions will be managed through government guidance or reference pricing [5]. Group 5: Regulatory and Collaborative Framework - The measures stress the need for collaboration among civil affairs, development reform, and market regulation departments to ensure the proper operation and pricing of inclusive elderly care services [5]. - Local regions are urged to align their strategies with demographic aging trends and the development level of the elderly care industry to better meet the needs of the elderly population [5].
大国人口:少子老龄化时代的新挑战与新机遇
泽平宏观· 2024-12-23 14:14
文:任泽平团队 人口问题既十分重要,又充满争议;既事关国家兴衰,又关系每个人的幸福。 少子化、老 龄化、不婚化、阶层固化等现象带来的挑战及应对,在学术界和国家战略层面长期存在不同观 点。人口因素是长周期、慢变量,势大力沉,是典型的"灰犀牛",人口问题日益成为世界各国 重点关注的议题。 在经济学中,人口与资本、技术一起在供给侧决定经济潜在增长率,是引发经济增速变 动、经济结构转型的长周期变量,同时,人口的数量和结构还在需求侧影响着消费、投资等领 域。 因此,人口研究至关重要。 我们长期以来专注于人口研究,试图以科学家的精神、建设 性的态度,系统客观地对人口方面的问题进行分析研究,旨在帮助读者厘清逻辑、明晰真相、 看清未来,推动社会进步。我们长期以来建言放开生育、鼓励生育、降低生育养育教育成本, 与梁建章、黄文政等老师一起发起成立育娲人口研究这一公益研究机构。 一、中国视角:少子老龄化时代来临,人口变迁带来哪些挑战和机遇 人口周期是指人口经历老一代陆续死亡、新一代不断出生、世代更替的人口再生产过程及 其引发的经济社会变化。个体生命周期的加总成为人口周期,主要表现为生育率下滑、老龄化 加重、人力资本水平提高、人口迁 ...
大国人口:少子老龄化时代的新挑战与新机遇
泽平宏观· 2024-12-17 14:53
文:任泽平团队 人口问题既十分重要,又充满争议;既事关国家兴衰,又关系每个人的幸福。 少子化、老 龄化、不婚化、阶层固化等现象带来的挑战及应对,在学术界和国家战略层面长期存在不同观 点。人口因素是长周期、慢变量,势大力沉,是典型的"灰犀牛",人口问题日益成为世界各国 重点关注的议题。 在经济学中,人口与资本、技术一起在供给侧决定经济潜在增长率,是引发经济增速变 动、经济结构转型的长周期变量,同时,人口的数量和结构还在需求侧影响着消费、投资等领 域。 因此,人口研究至关重要。 我们长期以来专注于人口研究,试图以科学家的精神、建设 性的态度,系统客观地对人口方面的问题进行分析研究,旨在帮助读者厘清逻辑、明晰真相、 看清未来,推动社会进步。我们长期以来建言放开生育、鼓励生育、降低生育养育教育成本, 与梁建章、黄文政等老师一起发起成立育娲人口研究这一公益研究机构。 少子老龄化带来一系列重大而深远的影响和挑战,比如经济潜在增速下降、储蓄投资率下 降、劳动力成本上升、创新创业活力下降、资产估值中枢下行、社会负担加重等。 过去,中 国依靠庞大且年轻的人口红利和高储蓄投资率带来的高资本投入,支撑改革开放后经济的快速 增长。2 ...