Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports. Core Views - **Rubber Industry**: Supply is affected by rainy seasons and typhoons, and future supply expectations suppress raw material prices. Downstream tire factories' pre - holiday restocking is mostly completed, and inventory reduction has slowed. Demand is lackluster with sub - optimal sales performance. The 01 contract range is 15000 - 16500, and follow - up attention should be paid to the raw material output during the peak season in major producing areas [1]. - **Log Industry**: Logs are in an oscillatory pattern. With the approaching of the "Golden September and Silver October" season, attention should be paid to whether the shipment volume improves. In the short - term, the market is expected to oscillate within a range, and it is recommended to go long at low prices [3]. - **Glass and Soda Ash Industry**: Soda ash has a fundamental oversupply problem, and the inventory has shifted to the middle and lower reaches. In the medium - term, demand will continue the previous rigid pattern. It is recommended to hold short positions. Glass prices were driven up by rumors, and the spot market is expected to improve in the short - term, but the mid - stream inventory in some areas is high, and the long - term outlook depends on capacity clearance [4]. - **Polysilicon Industry**: The supply - side regulation is ineffective, and the industry has over - capacity. Downstream component inventory is high, and prices are unstable. Before the National Day holiday, polysilicon prices will oscillate within the range of 48,000 - 53,000 yuan/ton [5]. - **Industrial Silicon Industry**: From September to October, the supply of industrial silicon increases, and the balance turns loose. The price is expected to oscillate between 8000 - 9500 yuan/ton. Attention should be paid to the fourth - quarter production reduction rhythm of silicon material enterprises and Sichuan and Yunnan industrial silicon enterprises [6]. Summary by Directory Rubber Industry - **Spot Prices and Basis**: On September 24, the price of Yunnan Guofu full - latex increased by 100 yuan/ton to 14,800 yuan/ton, and the full - latex basis increased by 5 yuan/ton to - 820 yuan/ton [1]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: The 9 - 1 spread decreased by 55 yuan/ton to - 30 yuan/ton, the 1 - 5 spread increased by 35 yuan/ton to 75 yuan/ton, and the 5 - 9 spread increased by 20 yuan/ton to - 45 yuan/ton [1]. - **Fundamentals**: In July, Thailand's rubber production increased by 1.61%, Indonesia's by 12.09%, while India's and China's decreased. In August, domestic tire production increased by 9.10%, and exports decreased by 5.46% [1]. - **Inventory Changes**: The bonded area inventory decreased by 0.95%, and the Shanghai Futures Exchange's factory - warehouse futures inventory decreased by 3.07% [1]. Log Industry - **Futures and Spot Prices**: On September 25, the 2511 log contract closed at 803 yuan/cubic meter, down 2 yuan/cubic meter. The spot prices of major benchmark delivery products remained unchanged [3]. - **Cost and Import**: The import theoretical cost increased slightly, and the RMB - US dollar exchange rate was stable [3]. - **Supply and Demand**: As of September 19, the total national coniferous log inventory decreased by 100,000 cubic meters. The daily log shipment volume decreased by 3100 cubic meters as of September 12. This week, the number of expected arriving ships from New Zealand increased by 4, and the arrival volume increased by 126,000 cubic meters [3]. Glass and Soda Ash Industry - **Glass - related Prices and Spreads**: On September 26, the prices in North China, Central China, and South China increased slightly, and the prices of the 2505 and 2509 contracts increased by 3.35% and 2.52% respectively [4]. - **Soda Ash - related Prices and Spreads**: The prices in all regions remained unchanged, and the prices of the 2505 and 2509 contracts increased by 2.42% and 1.84% respectively [4]. - **Supply and Inventory**: Soda ash production and glass melting volume decreased slightly. Glass factory inventory and soda ash factory inventory decreased, while soda ash delivery warehouse inventory increased [4]. - **Real Estate Data**: New construction area increased by 0.09%, construction area decreased by 2.43%, completion area decreased by 0.03%, and sales area decreased by 6.50% [4]. Polysilicon Industry - **Spot Prices and Basis**: On September 24, the average price of N - type re - feed decreased by 0.28%, and the N - type material basis decreased by 53.14% [5]. - **Futures Prices and Inter - month Spreads**: The main contract price increased by 2.23%, and the spread between the current month and the first - continuous contract increased significantly [5]. - **Fundamentals**: Weekly polysilicon production decreased by 0.64%, and monthly production increased by 23.31%. Weekly silicon wafer production increased by 0.29%, and monthly production increased by 6.24% [5]. - **Inventory Changes**: Polysilicon inventory decreased by 6.85%, and silicon wafer inventory increased by 1.93% [5]. Industrial Silicon Industry - **Spot Prices and Basis**: On September 24, the prices of various types of industrial silicon remained mostly unchanged, and the basis of some types decreased [6]. - **Inter - month Spreads**: The spreads between some contracts changed slightly [6]. - **Fundamentals**: Monthly national industrial silicon production increased by 14.01%, and the export volume increased by 3.56%. The production of related industries such as organic silicon DMC and polysilicon increased [6]. - **Inventory Changes**: The inventory in Xinjiang decreased by 1.07%, and the social inventory increased by 0.74% [6].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the decline in the stock price of Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co., Ltd., which fell by 5.17% to 76.28 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 856 million CNY and a turnover rate of 2.16%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 39.839 billion CNY [1] - Hubei Feilihua was established on January 22, 1999, and listed on September 10, 2014. The company primarily engages in the production and sales of high-performance quartz glass materials and products for various sectors, including optical communications, semiconductors, solar energy, and aerospace [1] - The revenue composition of Hubei Feilihua is as follows: quartz glass materials account for 70.80%, quartz glass products for 28.91%, and other products for 0.30% [1] Group 2 - According to data, one fund under Bank of China, the Zhongyin Jingfu Return Mixed A Fund (005274), holds a significant position in Feilihua, with 12,700 shares, representing 0.75% of the fund's net value, making it the fifth-largest holding [2] - The Zhongyin Jingfu Return Mixed A Fund was established on April 17, 2018, with a latest scale of 86.5139 million CNY. Year-to-date, it has achieved a return of 4.93%, ranking 6739 out of 8173 in its category, and a one-year return of 10.55%, ranking 6689 out of 8003 [2] - The fund manager, Tu Haiqiang, has been in the position for 9 years and 273 days, managing assets totaling 730 million CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 60.72% and the worst being -5.75% [3]

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证号：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 玻璃早报 2025-9-25 每日观点 玻璃： 1、基本面：玻璃生产利润回落，行业冷修高位，开工率、产量下降至历史同期低位；下游深加工 订单整体偏弱，不及往年同期，地产终端需求疲弱；偏空 2、基差：浮法玻璃河北沙河大板现货1080元/吨，FG2601收盘价为1237元/吨，基差为-157元，期 货升水现货；偏空 3、库存：全国浮法玻璃企业库存6090.80万重量箱，较前一周减少1.10%，库存在5年均值上方运 行；偏空 4、盘面：价格在20日线上方运行，20日线向上；偏多 5、主力持仓：主力持仓净空，空减；偏空 6、预期：玻璃基本面疲弱，短期预计震荡偏空运行为主。 影响因素总结 利多： 1、"反内卷"政策影响下，浮法玻璃行业存产能出清预期。 利空 ...

| 乖 亦安期货 | | --- | 玻璃纯碱早报 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 华北重碱 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 (500) 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 华北氨碱法利润 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 (1,000) (500) 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 华北联碱法利润 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 华北轻碱 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 39083 39096 39109 39122 39135 39148 39161 39174 39187 39200 39213 39226 39239 3925 ...

Group 1: Industry Transformation - The coal industry in the Zhuoerqi region is undergoing a significant transformation, moving from traditional methods to advanced technologies such as autonomous trucks and smart mining operations [3][4] - The black daigou open-pit coal mine has implemented intelligent projects including 5G-enabled autonomous trucks and slope warning systems, enhancing operational efficiency [3] - The coal-based industry chain is extending into advanced fields, with companies like Ordos New Innovative Materials Co., Ltd. producing coal-derived materials for lithium-ion batteries [4] Group 2: Diversification of Economy - The region is diversifying its economy beyond coal, with agricultural innovations leading to the establishment of apple orchards and the introduction of smart farming technologies [4][5] - The Inner Mongolia Guohua Food Technology Development Co., Ltd. has successfully launched seabuckthorn juice products, capturing markets in North America and generating new overseas orders [5] - The Inner Mongolia Gaoyuan Almond Beverage Co., Ltd. is implementing a company-base-farmer model, significantly increasing income for local farmers through almond production [6] Group 3: Emerging Enterprises - New energy equipment manufacturers like Inner Mongolia Tichen Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. are developing autonomous mining vehicles, contributing to the modernization of mining operations [6] - Companies such as Inner Mongolia Yujing Technology Co., Ltd. are producing high-quality specialty glass, with production lines for photovoltaic backplane glass already operational [6] - The emergence of these new enterprises is enriching the industrial ecosystem of Zhuoerqi, supporting the region's transition to a more diversified and sustainable economy [6]

格隆汇9月24日丨安彩高科(600207.SH)在投资者互动平台表示，公司主营业务包括光伏玻璃、浮法玻 璃、天然气和药用玻璃等。目前，公司产品及原料未使用到人形机器人。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jin Jing Technology's stock price increased by 6.48% to 5.26 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 260 million CNY and a turnover rate of 3.63%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 7.455 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Shandong Jin Jing Technology Co., Ltd. is located in Zibo City, Shandong Province, established on December 31, 1999, and listed on August 15, 2002. The company primarily engages in the production and sales of float glass, online coated glass, and ultra-white glass [1] - The revenue composition of the company's main business includes: glass 67.75%, soda ash 31.18%, and others (supplementary) 1.07% [1] Shareholder Information - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Jin Jing Technology, a fund under Southern Fund holds a significant position. The Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) increased its holdings by 1.7352 million shares in the second quarter, totaling 9.223 million shares, which accounts for 0.65% of the circulating shares [2] - The Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) was established on September 29, 2016, with a latest scale of 64.953 billion CNY. Year-to-date returns are 25.67%, ranking 1948 out of 4220 in its category; the one-year return is 67.42%, ranking 1298 out of 3814; and since inception, the return is 11.21% [2] - The fund manager of Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) is Cui Lei, who has a cumulative tenure of 6 years and 323 days, managing total fund assets of 94.976 billion CNY, with the best fund return during the tenure being 139.52% and the worst being -15.93% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Jin Jing Technology's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a recent increase of 2.23%, but a year-to-date decline of 9.90%, indicating potential volatility in the market [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Jin Jing Technology reported a revenue of 2.394 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.56% [2]. - The company experienced a net profit loss of 96.27 million yuan, representing a significant year-on-year decline of 135.04% [2]. Shareholder Information - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 94,600, with an average of 15,110 circulating shares per person, a slight decrease of 0.14% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 999.2 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 205 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - As of September 24, 2023, Jin Jing Technology's stock was trading at 5.05 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 7.158 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a trading volume of 91.2 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 1.30% [1]. - The net inflow of main funds was 6.25 million yuan, with significant buying activity from large orders [1]. Business Overview - Jin Jing Technology, established on December 31, 1999, and listed on August 15, 2002, specializes in the production and sale of float glass, online coated glass, and ultra-white glass [1]. - The company's main business revenue composition includes glass (67.75%), soda ash (31.18%), and other (1.07%) [1]. - The company operates within the building materials sector, specifically in glass manufacturing, and is involved in concepts such as perovskite batteries and solar energy [1].

Core Viewpoint - Qibin Group's stock has shown a mixed performance in recent trading, with a year-to-date increase of 16.80% but a decline of 4.13% over the last five trading days [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Data - As of September 24, Qibin Group's stock price reached 6.50 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 17.443 billion CNY [1] - The company experienced a net inflow of main funds amounting to 7.9549 million CNY, with significant buying and selling activities recorded [1] - The stock's performance over various periods includes a 5.52% increase over the last 20 days and a 19.71% increase over the last 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Qibin Group reported a revenue of 7.393 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 6.55%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 9.77% to 891 million CNY [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the company's A-share listing amount to 7.92 billion CNY, with 1.666 billion CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Group 3: Shareholder and Institutional Holdings - As of September 10, the number of shareholders for Qibin Group was 100,500, a decrease of 5.36% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 5.66% to 26,690 shares [2] - Notable changes in institutional holdings include a decrease in shares held by Invesco Great Wall New Energy Industry Fund and an increase in holdings by Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and Southern CSI 500 ETF [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information is provided in the documents regarding industry investment ratings. 2. Core Views Glass and Soda Ash - The glass and soda ash futures markets continued to weaken yesterday. The soda ash market has an oversupply problem, and the inventory has transferred to the mid - downstream. There is no significant increase in downstream demand in the medium term. It is recommended to hold short positions. The glass spot market trading has become dull, and the industry needs capacity clearance to solve the oversupply problem. Track policies and the inventory - building performance of mid - downstream enterprises during the "Golden September and Silver October" [1]. Natural Rubber - Future supply increase expectations have weakened raw material prices, and the cost support has changed from strong to weak. The downstream tire factory's pre - holiday inventory replenishment is basically completed, and the de - stocking rhythm of natural rubber spot inventory has slowed down. Some enterprises may control production flexibly. Pay attention to the impact of typhoon weather on domestic production areas, and the 01 contract range is 15,000 - 16,500. Follow the raw material output in the main production areas during the peak season [3]. Logs - The log futures market fluctuated and closed flat. The inventory has decreased significantly, the demand has declined, and the supply is expected to increase. The market is in a volatile pattern. As the "Golden September and Silver October" approaches, pay attention to whether the shipment volume improves significantly during the seasonal peak season. It is recommended to go long at low prices [5]. Polysilicon - The polysilicon market continued to decline. Substantial support policies have not been implemented, and the industry's over - capacity pattern remains unchanged. The downstream component inventory is high, and prices are loosening. Follow national policies, the actual production start - up rate of polysilicon enterprises, and the inventory digestion progress of downstream photovoltaic component factories [6]. Industrial Silicon - From September to October, the supply of industrial silicon is increasing, and the market balance is gradually turning to looseness. The expected supply surplus is more obvious in October and narrows in November. The cost increase in the dry season in the southwest has boosted market sentiment. In the short term, the upward driving force of industrial silicon is insufficient, and the price may fluctuate between 8,000 - 9,500 yuan/ton. Pay attention to the production reduction rhythm of silicon material enterprises and industrial silicon enterprises in Sichuan and Yunnan in the fourth quarter [7]. 3. Summaries by Relevant Catalogs Glass and Soda Ash Prices and Spreads - Glass prices in North China, East China, Central China, and South China remained unchanged. Glass 2505 decreased by 1.28% to 1312, and Glass 2509 decreased by 0.64% to 1389. The 05 basis increased by 9.50% to - 162. Soda ash prices in North China, East China, Central China, and Northwest China remained unchanged. Soda ash 2505 decreased by 1.66% to 1361, and Soda ash 2509 decreased by 1.08% to 1423. The 05 basis increased by 27.38% to - 61 [1]. Supply - The soda ash operating rate decreased by 2.02% to 85.53%, and the weekly output decreased by 2.02% to 74.57 tons. The float glass daily melting volume decreased by 0.47% to 15.95 tons, and the photovoltaic daily melting volume remained unchanged at 89,290 tons [1]. Inventory - The glass factory inventory decreased by 1.10% to 6090.80 (unit not clear), the soda ash factory inventory decreased by 2.33% to 175.56 tons, and the soda ash delivery warehouse inventory increased by 10.69% to 61.49 tons. The glass factory's soda ash inventory days remained unchanged at 20.4 [1]. Real Estate Data - The year - on - year change of new construction area was - 0.09% (improved from - 0.19%), the construction area decreased by 2.43% to 0.05%, the completion area decreased by 0.03% to - 0.22%, and the sales area decreased by 6.50% to - 6.55% [1]. Natural Rubber Spot Prices and Basis - The price of Yunnan Guofu hand - made rubber remained unchanged at 14,700 yuan/ton, the full - latex basis increased by 9.84% to - 855 yuan/ton, the Thai standard mixed rubber price decreased by 0.34% to 14,800 yuan/ton, and the non - standard price difference increased by 5.23% to - 725 yuan/ton [3]. Month - to - Month Spreads - The 9 - 1 spread increased by 150.00% to 15 yuan/ton, the 1 - 5 spread increased by 14.29% to 40 yuan/ton, and the 5 - 9 spread decreased by 44.44% to - 25 yuan/ton [3]. Fundamental Data - In July, Thailand's production increased by 1.61% to 421.60 tons, Indonesia's production increased by 12.09% to 197.50 tons, India's production decreased by 2.17% to 45.00 tons, and China's production decreased by 1.27% to 101.30 tons. The weekly operating rate of semi - steel tires increased by 0.20% to 73.66%, and the weekly operating rate of full - steel tires increased by 0.07% to 65.66%. In August, domestic tire production increased by 9.10% to 10,295.40 million pieces, and tire exports decreased by 5.46% to 6,301.00 [3]. Inventory Changes - The bonded area inventory decreased by 0.95% to 286,639 (unit not clear), the natural rubber factory - warehouse futures inventory on the SHFE decreased by 3.07% to 44,553, the dry - rubber bonded warehouse inbound rate in Qingdao increased to 2.47, and the outbound rate decreased to 6.44 [3]. Logs Futures and Spot Prices - Log 2511 remained unchanged at 805 yuan/cubic meter, Log 2601 increased by 0.06% to 819 yuan/cubic meter, and Log 2603 decreased by 0.18% to 823.5 yuan/cubic meter. The prices of main benchmark delivery spot goods remained unchanged [5]. Cost - The RMB - US dollar exchange rate remained unchanged at 7.115, and the import theoretical cost increased by 0.10 to 797.53 [5]. Supply - The port shipping volume decreased by 3.87% to 166.6 million cubic meters, the number of ships from New Zealand to China, Japan, and South Korea decreased by 6.38% to 44. The inventory in China decreased by 3.31% to 292.00 million cubic meters, and the inventory in Shandong decreased by 3.50% to 176.60 million cubic meters [5]. Demand - The average daily outbound volume in China decreased by 5% to 5.98 million cubic meters, and the average daily outbound volume in Shandong decreased by 11% to 3.06 million cubic meters [5]. Polysilicon Spot Prices and Basis - The average price of N - type multi - feedstock remained unchanged at 52,650 yuan/ton, the average price of N - type granular silicon remained unchanged at 49,500 yuan/ton, and the N - type material basis increased by 43.98% to 2,390 yuan/ton [6]. Futures Prices and Month - to - Month Spreads - The main contract decreased by 1.43% to 50,260, the current - month - to - first - continuous spread decreased by 127.27% to - 45, and the first - continuous - to - second - continuous spread increased by 5.99% to - 2355 [6]. Fundamental Data - Weekly: The silicon wafer production increased by 0.29% to 13.92 GW, and the polysilicon production decreased by 0.64% to 3.10 tons. Monthly: The polysilicon production increased by 23.31% to 13.17 tons, the polysilicon import volume decreased by 9.63% to 0.10 tons, and the polysilicon export volume increased by 40.12% to 0.30 tons [6]. Inventory Changes - The polysilicon inventory decreased by 6.85% to 20.40 tons, and the silicon wafer inventory increased by 1.93% to 16.87 GW [6]. Industrial Silicon Spot Prices and Main - Contract Basis - The price of East China oxygen - passing SI5530 industrial silicon remained unchanged at 8500 yuan/ton, the basis increased by 4.55% to 575, the price of East China SI4210 industrial silicon remained unchanged at 9700 yuan/ton, and the basis increased by 50.00% to - 25 [7]. Month - to - Month Spreads - The 2510 - 2511 spread decreased by 75.00% to - 35, the 2511 - 2512 spread decreased by 1.27% to - 400, and the 2512 - 2601 spread increased by 133.33% to 35 [7]. Fundamental Data - Monthly: The national industrial silicon production increased by 14.01% to 38.57 tons, the Xinjiang industrial silicon production increased by 12.91% to 16.97 tons, and the Yunnan industrial silicon production increased by 41.19% to 5.81 tons. The national operating rate increased by 6.20% to 55.87%, the Xinjiang operating rate increased by 15.25% to 60.61%, and the Yunnan operating rate increased by 44.09% to 47.39% [7]. Inventory Changes - The Xinjiang factory - warehouse inventory decreased by 1.07% to 12.04 tons, the Yunnan factory - warehouse inventory increased by 5.45% to 3.10 tons, and the social inventory increased by 0.74% to 54.30 tons [7].