Core Insights - The report highlights the significant growth of China's retail sales, which are approximately 80% of the United States in absolute terms, and exceed the US in terms of purchasing power by 1.6 times according to World Bank data [4] - The establishment of the new state-owned enterprise, China Yajiang Group, with a total investment of about 1.2 trillion yuan, indicates a strong push for infrastructure and industrial development [6] - The report emphasizes the importance of innovation in future industries such as humanoid robots, metaverse, and brain-computer interfaces, as promoted by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [6] Industry Updates - The National Export Control Work Coordination Mechanism has initiated a special action to combat the smuggling of strategic minerals, impacting related stocks such as Northern Rare Earth and Dongfang Zuoye [6] - The report notes that the market is experiencing a shift towards value investing, with large-cap stocks showing a trend of upward movement, replacing pure concept speculation [10] - The rare earth sector is leading the market rally, driven by government policies on illegal exports and new mineral discoveries, alongside increased demand for humanoid robots [10] Company Focus - China Unicom is exploring the layout of a 100,000-card computing cluster, aiming for a computing scale of 45 EFLOPS by the end of the year [8] - Betta Pharmaceuticals is advancing its clinical projects targeting the KRAS gene, with plans to submit clinical trial applications soon [8] - Luxshare Precision has commenced construction of its robotics headquarters project in Changshu, with a total investment of 5 billion yuan, expected to achieve an annual output value of 10 billion yuan upon reaching full production [8] - Yinlun Machinery has delivered its liquid cooling system for data centers as scheduled, with expectations for accelerated order acquisition due to high investments in digital energy thermal management [8]

2025.07. 21 本文字数：3393，阅读时长大约5.5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 祝嫣然 封图 | 7月19日，观众在第三届链博会数字科技链展区与机器人握手。来源：新华社 二季度中国经济能实现5.2%的增速，工业发挥了"压舱石"作用。下半年，除钢铁、石化等重点行业将陆 续公布新一轮稳增长方案外，工信部还将推进培育各类未来产业。 国家统计局数据显示，今年上半年，规上工业增加值同比增长6.4%，增速较2024年全年加快0.6个百分 点。6月份，规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.8%，比上月大幅加快1个百分点，远超市场预期。 工信部总工程师谢少锋日前在国新办发布会上表示，下半年将实施新一轮钢铁、有色金属、石化、建材 等十大重点行业稳增长工作方案，具体工作方案将在近期陆续发布。与此同时，持续培育发展动能。加 快发展生物制造、低空产业。推动人形机器人、元宇宙、脑机接口等未来产业创新发展，超前布局新领 域新赛道。 7月18日，国务院新闻办公室在北京举行新闻发布会，工业和信息化部总工程师谢少锋，工业和信息化部新闻发言人、运行监 测协调局局长陶青，工业和信息化部信息通信发展司司长谢存介绍2025年上半年工业和信息化发展情况 ...

Core Insights - The industrial economy in Hebei's Xingtai City is experiencing positive developments through smart workshop upgrades and digital transformation, leading to enhanced capacity and efficiency [2] - The industrial economy is characterized by stability, innovation, and quality improvement, with significant growth in key sectors [3][4][5] Group 1: Industrial Performance - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.4% year-on-year in the first half of the year, demonstrating strong resilience [3] - The manufacturing sector's added value accounted for 25.7% of GDP, maintaining stability [3] - Key industries such as electrical machinery, automotive, electronics, and chemicals have shown rapid growth, contributing significantly to overall industrial growth [3] Group 2: Digital Transformation - The digital industry achieved a business revenue growth of 9.3% year-on-year, with a notable acceleration compared to the previous year [4] - By the end of June, the total number of 5G base stations reached 4.55 million, with 2.26 million users of gigabit broadband [4] - The digital transformation of industries is accelerating, with a digital R&D tool penetration rate of 86.2% among large-scale light industry enterprises [6] Group 3: Innovation and Technology - There were nearly 410,000 registered technology contracts nationwide, with a transaction value exceeding 3 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.2% [5] - The integration of artificial intelligence in various sectors is creating new business models and driving economic growth [6] - The establishment of national manufacturing innovation centers and pilot platforms is ongoing, with a goal to cultivate over five national-level pilot platforms by the end of the year [5] Group 4: Future Development Strategies - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to implement strategies to stabilize growth in key industries such as steel and non-ferrous metals [7] - There is a focus on enhancing the quality of development through technological innovation and the integration of industry and technology [7] - Efforts will be made to optimize the business environment, reduce the burden on small and medium-sized enterprises, and strengthen industry standards [8]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is showing positive signals with the Shanghai Composite Index remaining above 3500 points, driven by multiple factors including "anti-involution" policies, stable capital market policies, and improvements in corporate earnings [1][2] Group 1: Market Trends - The A-share market is expected to continue its upward trend, with the main index potentially reaching new highs [2] - The stability of capital market policies has created a "buffer" against macroeconomic disturbances, enhancing investor confidence [2][3] - The "anti-involution" policies are connecting short-term economic highlights with medium-term supply-demand improvements, alleviating concerns about demand decline in Q3 [2][4] Group 2: Sector Performance - The technology sector is experiencing high growth, with recent performance in the AI computing industry exceeding expectations, contributing to a shift from value to growth stocks [2][6] - Companies with significant overseas revenue, particularly in sectors like computer equipment and general machinery, are showing notable earnings upgrades, indicating the strength of the "going abroad" trend [4][5] Group 3: Investment Strategies - Institutions suggest focusing on companies with strong earnings certainty during the semi-annual report period, particularly those benefiting from the "going abroad" trend [4][5] - A balanced asset allocation strategy is recommended, combining high-dividend assets and bonds with growth-oriented technology sectors to achieve risk and return balance [5][6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the machinery industry [1][5] Core Views - The machinery industry is experiencing accelerated growth in production and sales, particularly in general equipment and engineering machinery, with a positive outlook for the second half of the year [3][4][5] - The manufacturing PMI in June 2025 rose to 49.7%, indicating a recovery in manufacturing demand, which is expected to support machinery equipment demand [5] Summary by Sections General Automation Equipment - In June 2025, the production of metal cutting machine tools reached approximately 70,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 12.7%, with a cumulative production of about 403,000 units in the first half of the year, up 13.5% year-on-year [3] - The production of industrial robots in June 2025 was about 75,000 units, showing a year-on-year growth of 37.9%, indicating a recovery in downstream manufacturing demand [3] Engineering Machinery - In June 2025, 8 out of 12 types of engineering machinery saw sales growth, including excavators (13.3%) and truck cranes (39.0%), while 4 types experienced declines [4] - The overall performance of engineering machinery exceeded expectations, with a positive outlook for continued growth driven by domestic demand recovery and increased penetration of new energy products [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the engineering machinery sector, which is expected to benefit from domestic demand recovery and strong export growth, highlighting companies such as Anhui Heli, HANGCHA Group, SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, and Hengli Hydraulic [5] - The general equipment sector is also recommended, particularly companies like Haomai Technology, which are expected to benefit from the recovery in manufacturing sector [5] Market Performance - Over the past 12 months, the machinery industry has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a relative return of 27.5% and an absolute return of 42.2% [2][9] - As of July 20, 2025, the machinery industry's PE (TTM) was 33.2 times, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to historical levels [12] Key Companies and Forecasts - Key companies in the machinery sector include Huichuan Technology, SANY Heavy Industry, Hengli Hydraulic, and XCMG, all rated as "Buy" with positive revenue and profit growth forecasts for the coming years [19]

Core Viewpoint - The industrial production growth in China is expected to slow down in the second half of the year due to export-related factors, but supportive policies and the cultivation of new growth drivers will help maintain stable industrial growth [1][5][8]. Group 1: Industrial Production and Economic Growth - The export delivery value accounts for nearly 40% of China's industrial output, indicating a significant reliance on exports [1][5]. - In the first half of the year, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises grew by 6.4% year-on-year, with June seeing a notable increase of 6.8%, exceeding market expectations [1][6]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) plans to implement new growth stabilization plans for key industries such as steel and petrochemicals in the second half of the year [1][6][9]. Group 2: Key Industry Performance - Major industrial provinces have shown strong performance, with all 31 provinces reporting year-on-year growth in industrial added value, and several provinces achieving over 8% growth [6][7]. - Key industries such as electrical machinery, automobiles, and electronics have contributed significantly to industrial growth, with high-tech manufacturing sectors showing robust performance [6][7]. Group 3: Future Growth Drivers - Emerging industries like humanoid robots and 3D printing are expected to provide new growth points for the economy, with the potential to become new pillars of growth [7][12]. - The MIIT is focusing on nurturing new industries and developing future sectors such as bio-manufacturing and low-altitude industries [9][11]. Group 4: Support for Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) - The MIIT plans to enhance the development environment for SMEs by addressing issues like overdue payments and providing policy support [13][14]. - The National SME Development Fund has completed the establishment of its seventh batch of sub-funds, with a total scale of 8.287 billion yuan, focusing on hard technology sectors [14][15].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Report's Core View The report comprehensively tracks national news, economic data, and market trends in multiple areas including national policies, Henan's economy, bond markets, stock markets, and the brokerage sector. It presents the latest policies, economic indicators, and market performance, aiming to provide a basis for investment analysis and decision - making. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 National News and Data Tracking - **National Policies**: From July 14 - 20, 2025, multiple important policies were issued, such as the "Green Finance Support Project Directory (2025 Edition)" by the central financial regulatory authorities, aiming to promote green financial development [10][11]. - **Economic Data**: In June 2025, new social financing was 4.20 trillion yuan, an increase of 900.8 billion yuan year - on - year, with a growth rate of 8.9%. In the first half of 2025, national GDP showed stable growth in various aspects such as agriculture, industry, and consumption [20][28]. 3.2 Henan Economic and Policy Tracking - **Policies**: Henan issued the "Opinions on Building a Pro - clean Government - business Relationship and Creating a First - class Business Environment" and held a work promotion meeting on integrating into and serving the national unified market [38][39]. - **Economic Situation**: In the first half of 2025, Henan's economy showed strong demand - side pull, emerging kinetic energy growth, and improved development quality and efficiency. For example, high - tech manufacturing investment increased by 12.1%, and online retail sales increased by 16.3% [46]. 3.3 Bond Market Operation Tracking - **Interest Rates**: This week, short - term government bond yields declined, while long - term yields increased. Credit bond yields also showed different degrees of decline [55][62]. - **Liquidity**: The net investment in the open market and MLF this week was 126.11 billion yuan, and the money market interest rate increased [59]. - **Supply Structure**: As of July 18, 2025, the cumulative issuance of national bonds and local government bonds increased compared to the same period in 2024, while the issuance of short - term financing and corporate bonds decreased [60]. 3.4 Stock Market Operation Tracking - **Global Markets**: Among global markets, the Russian index led with a 4.82% increase, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average lagged with a - 0.07% change [73][74]. - **Domestic Markets**: In the domestic A - share market, the ChiNext Index led with a 3.17% increase, and the top three industries with the highest increases were communication (7.56%), pharmaceutical biology (4%), and automobiles (3.28%) [79][82]. 3.5 Brokerage Sector Weekly Market Tracking - **Brokerage Index**: The securities II index of the CITIC secondary industry had a - 0.95% change this week, with an excess return of - 2.04% compared to the CSI 300 index. The top three brokerage firms with the highest increases were Huaxi Securities (3.27%), Guoxin Securities (3.26%), and China Merchants Securities (2.46%) [106]. - **Valuation**: As of the end of this week, the average P/B of the brokerage sector was 1.46 times, with 28 companies having a PB lower than the industry average, an increase of 1 compared to the previous period [110].

Group 1: Company Overview and Strategy - The company provides various valve products for nuclear power plants, with a single nuclear power unit's valve order value exceeding 8,000,000 RMB [5] - The company emphasizes compliance with commitment letters and information disclosure regulations [2] - Future R&D investments will focus on meeting the growing demand for valves and flanges in domestic nuclear power construction [6] Group 2: Product Lifecycle and Maintenance - Nuclear valves have a design lifespan of up to 60 years, but require preventive maintenance and replacement due to environmental factors [3] - Metallurgical valves typically need maintenance or replacement every 2 to 3 years due to harsh operating conditions [3] - Chemical valves, often cast, also require regular maintenance and replacement under extreme conditions [3] Group 3: Market Position and Product Development - The company has developed a comprehensive product matrix for nuclear-grade valves, including butterfly valves, ball valves, and filter valves [7] - The domestic nuclear valve market has a localization rate of 85%-90%, indicating significant progress in the industry [17] - The company aims to enhance its market share through technological innovation and market expansion [17] Group 4: Certification and Competition - All nuclear-grade valves must undergo rigorous testing and certification, typically taking about two years [8] - The company has established a competitive edge in the nuclear valve market, with over 150,000 nuclear valves currently in operation [9] - Continuous innovation and product iteration are key strategies to maintain competitiveness in the nuclear valve sector [13] Group 5: Energy Efficiency and New Markets - The subsidiary, Shentong New Energy, focuses on high-pressure hydrogen valves, covering the entire hydrogen energy supply chain [12] - The energy-saving service model of the subsidiary Ruifan Energy involves contract energy management, providing stable returns over 5 to 8 years [14] - The company is actively participating in marine engineering projects, leveraging its production capabilities to meet current order demands [10]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing significant changes, with the Hang Seng AH Premium Index declining and reaching a new low for the year, indicating a narrowing premium of A-shares relative to H-shares, reflecting improved liquidity and value reassessment in the market [1] Group 1: AH Premium Rate Trends - The trend of narrowing AH premium rates is particularly evident at the individual stock level, with all 160 A+H listed companies seeing their AH premium rates drop below 200% [3] - The highest premium rate is for Chenming Paper, at 199.54%, contrasting sharply with the end of 2024 when over 10 stocks had premium rates exceeding 200% [3] - As of July 18, the number of stocks with premium rates over 100% has decreased to 32, down from 57 at the end of 2024, with BYD and Hongye Futures leading at 185.83% and 185.47% respectively [3] - Notably, four stocks are now trading at a discount of A-shares relative to H-shares, with CATL showing the largest discount at 24.63% [3] Group 2: Foreign Investment Trends - H-shares have performed strongly this year, supporting the narrowing premium rates, with seven H-shares doubling in value, including Rongchang Bio, which surged by 3.91 times [4] - Foreign institutions are increasingly favoring leading assets in the Hong Kong market, as evidenced by Wellington Management's purchase of 1.14 million shares of Hengrui Medicine for approximately 84.93 million HKD [4] - CATL's H-shares have seen a cumulative increase of 50.19% since their listing on May 20, with JPMorgan increasing its stake to 5.26% after purchasing 851,600 shares [4] - WuXi AppTec also attracted foreign investment, with FMR LLC increasing its holdings to 14.04% after buying 1.72 million shares [4] Group 3: Structural Changes in the Market - The Hong Kong stock market is undergoing structural changes, with new economy sectors like innovative pharmaceuticals, new energy, and consumer electronics rapidly emerging [5] - These sectors demonstrate stronger profit growth certainty and align better with global investors' long-term allocation preferences [5] - There is a noticeable differentiation in market structure, with large-cap companies having significantly lower premium rates compared to small-cap companies, indicating institutional investors' growing recognition of industry leaders and companies with solid fundamentals [5]

Core Viewpoint - The industrial economy in China has shown resilience in the first half of the year, with significant growth in various sectors, particularly high-tech manufacturing and equipment investment, while facing challenges from external uncertainties and structural issues in the industry [1][2][3]. Group 1: Industrial Growth - The industrial added value for large-scale industries grew by 6.4% year-on-year in the first half of the year, with a contribution rate from high-tech manufacturing of 23.3% [1][2]. - The manufacturing value added accounted for 25.7% of GDP, indicating stability in the industrial sector [2]. - Key industries such as electrical machinery, automobiles, electronics, and chemicals have experienced rapid growth, contributing significantly to the overall industrial growth [2]. Group 2: Investment and Innovation - Manufacturing investment increased by 7.5% year-on-year, supported by large-scale equipment updates and technological upgrades [1]. - The number of large-scale industrial enterprises reached 520,000, with a year-on-year profit growth of 5.4% in the manufacturing sector [2]. - The production of industrial robots and service robots increased by 35.6% and 25.5% respectively, highlighting the acceleration of technological innovation [4]. Group 3: Digital Transformation and Green Development - Over 18,500 "5G + Industrial Internet" projects have been established, with a digital R&D tool penetration rate of 86.2% among large-scale light industry enterprises [7]. - The green development of industries has made significant progress, with over 20% of manufacturing output coming from green factories [7][8]. - The focus on traditional industries for transformation and upgrading is emphasized, particularly in steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and building materials [8]. Group 4: Future Directions - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology plans to enhance pilot programs for digital transformation in small and medium-sized enterprises and improve the capabilities of testing platforms to support innovation [5][7]. - Continued efforts will be made to address external uncertainties and structural contradictions within the industry to ensure stable and high-quality development [3].