Group 1 - On September 24, Nanshan Aluminum conducted a block trade of 300,000 shares, with a transaction amount of 1.098 million yuan, accounting for 0.26% of the total transaction amount for the day [1] - The transaction price was 3.66 yuan, which represents a discount of 4.69% compared to the market closing price of 3.84 yuan [1]

Sales and Market Expansion - The company is expanding sales channels in automotive lightweighting, aerospace, power, defense, and electronics sectors, leveraging green brand benefits and scale effects [1] - The company is actively developing its recycling aluminum business, with a successful launch of a fully automated recycling aluminum demonstration line producing over 20 types of recycled products [1] Capital Expenditure and Resource Acquisition - Future capital expenditures will focus on technological innovation, mineral resources, advanced materials, and green low-carbon strategies, with an emphasis on resource acquisition and development of aluminum-based new materials [2] - The company has successfully acquired exploration rights for the Zhaotong Sunbai bauxite mine and is advancing exploration rights in Wenshan and Heqing [2] Cost Management - The company is implementing a dynamic cost measurement mechanism and exploring the most economical operation modes to reduce production costs and improve operational efficiency [3] - Initiatives include the "100 Yuan Cost Reduction Action" for alumina and "Extreme Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvement Action" for electrolytic aluminum [3] Dividend Policy - The company plans to implement a mid-term dividend in 2025, amounting to approximately 1.11 billion yuan, which represents about 40.10% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 [4] - Future dividend distribution will consider industry characteristics, development stages, strategic planning, and significant funding arrangements [4]

美国最大铝生产商美国铝业公司(AA.US)首席执行官比尔·奥普林格(Bill Oplinger)于周一接受采访时发出 警示：进口关税将扼杀美国铝需求，这与特朗普政府宣称"关税将重振本土产业"的说法形成直接对立。 作为美国铝业的领军企业，美国铝业的警告凸显了市场对关税政策的长期担忧。铝作为广泛应用于窗框 制造、福特F-150皮卡等产品的基础金属，其价格飙升将显著推高建筑及制造业成本。经济学家担忧， 这种成本压力将传导至终端消费，引发通胀并最终抑制市场需求。 奥普林格指出，受美国总统唐纳德·特朗普对进口铝加征50%关税的影响，美国国内铝价已大幅攀升。 他强调，若政策不作调整，最终将由美国消费者或企业股东为这部分涨价买单。 受美国铝需求疲软影响，美国铝业股价今年以来已累计下跌逾17%。目前，美国铝需求正受到出口大幅 下滑与工业用途缩减的双重拖累，市场疲软态势明显。 这一表态是对其1月言论的升级，当时他仅称关税将对需求产生"抑制效应"。回顾政策脉络，特朗普政 府在3月率先对进口铝征收25%关税，又于6月将税率翻倍至50%，宣称此举为保护美国铝产业、重振生 产所必需。奥普林格透露，这一税率已使美国铝业每年承担约8.5亿 ...

B. Riley将美国铝业的目标价从38美元上调至40美元，维持"买入"评级。(格隆汇) ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The AD Index adjusted during the day, and the commodity index performed weakly. The main contract of SHFE aluminum continued to decline, with the 2511 contract closing down 0.41% at 2877. The spread between the October and November contracts turned to par, and the far - month contracts still maintained a slight contango structure. The import window remained closed, and the spot import loss narrowed by 200 to about - 1530 yuan/ton [7]. - The production of domestic bauxite in the north has not resumed, and the probability of resuming production this year is low. There is upward pressure on the price of northern bauxite, but the spot price of downstream alumina is falling, and the willingness to suppress prices is increasing. The price of imported bauxite has not changed much in the short term and is still oscillating at the bottom. Pay attention to the changes in the mining rights policy before the election in Guinea [7]. - Alumina adjusted with the sector, and the callback amplitude deepened. At this price, some manufacturers are again on the verge of profit and loss, and cost support is gradually emerging. The short - selling risk is relatively high, and it is recommended to wait and see in the short term. The trend of cast aluminum alloy continues to follow SHFE aluminum. With the peak season and the termination of the tax refund policy in the scrap aluminum industry, continue to pay attention to the strategy of going long AD and short AL [7]. - The operating capacity of electrolytic aluminum remains at a high level. The peak season of "Golden September" has arrived, but the inflection point of inventory has not appeared. With the decline in the absolute price and the pre - holiday stocking demand of aluminum processing enterprises, it is expected that the inventory pressure will be relieved. SHFE aluminum has returned to the previous oscillation range, and pay attention to the support at the 20,500 level in the short term [7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - **SHFE Aluminum**: The main 2511 contract of SHFE aluminum closed down 0.41% at 20,685. The 10 - 11 spread turned to par, and the import window remained closed with the spot import loss narrowing [7]. - **Bauxite**: Northern domestic bauxite production has not resumed, with low probability of resuming this year. There are both upward and downward pressures on bauxite prices. Imported bauxite is oscillating at the bottom. Pay attention to Guinea's mining rights policy [7]. - **Alumina**: It adjusted with the sector, with a deeper callback. Cost support is emerging at the price of 2877, and short - selling risk is high. Short - term waiting and seeing is recommended [7]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy**: Its trend follows SHFE aluminum. Pay attention to the long AD short AL strategy due to the peak season and policy changes [7]. - **Electrolytic Aluminum**: Operating capacity is high. Although the peak season has arrived, the inventory inflection point is delayed. It is expected that inventory pressure will ease. Pay attention to the 20,500 support level [7]. 3.2 Industry News - **EGA's IPO**: Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA) is preparing for a potential IPO, which is expected to be one of the largest listings in the Middle East. Its valuation is estimated to be between $10 billion and $15 billion. It has entrusted several banks for the IPO and hired Rothschild as a consultant. Dubai and Abu Dhabi are competing for the listing location. The IPO will test international investors' attitude towards Middle East aluminum assets and further consolidate the UAE's position in the aluminum supply chain [8][10]. - **Japanese Aluminum Can Demand**: In 2025, the demand for aluminum cans in Japan (including domestic and imported) was about 2.091 billion, remaining the same as the previous year and staying at the 2 - billion - can level for 10 consecutive years [9]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy Futures**: On September 22, 2025, the standard warehouse receipt generation business of cast aluminum alloy futures was officially launched. The total registered volume of cast aluminum alloy warehouse receipts on the first day was 3,878 tons, with different regional registrations [9].

中国宏桥(01378)发布公告，于2025年9月23日斥资1300.92万港元回购股份51.25万股，每股回购价格为 24.94-26港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guangyuan Hongchangsheng Aluminum Co., Ltd. has successfully registered its "Aista" brand as a delivery brand for Shanghai aluminum futures, marking a significant step in its risk management and enhancing its market influence in the electrolytic aluminum sector [1][2]. Group 1 - Guangyuan Hongchangsheng is a leading enterprise in the green hydropower aluminum and aluminum processing industry in Sichuan Province, with an electrolytic aluminum production capacity of 120,000 tons per year and prebaked anode carbon production capacity of 120,000 tons per year [1]. - The company began participating in the futures market systematically in 2021 to utilize futures tools for hedging against price fluctuations in the aluminum product market [1]. - The successful registration of the "Aista" brand as a delivery brand for Shanghai aluminum futures on August 11 this year makes it the second delivery brand in Sichuan Province [1]. Group 2 - The first delivery of the "Aista" brand standard warehouse receipt for Shanghai aluminum futures was completed in cooperation with Yong'an Futures, marking a new milestone in the company's risk management using financial derivatives [2]. - This delivery enhances Guangyuan Hongchangsheng's pricing power and brand influence in the electrolytic aluminum market, while also optimizing inventory allocation, sales rhythm, and capital efficiency [2]. - The company aims to deepen its "integration of production and finance" development model and will continue to strengthen its understanding and application of futures and derivative tools to support high-quality development in the aluminum industry [2].

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Futures Exchange is actively transforming its "dual carbon" strategy into market language, facilitating the green and low-carbon transition of industries through the development of new products and price indices [1][4]. Group 1: Development of Green Products - The Shanghai Futures Exchange has launched green products such as casting aluminum alloy futures and options, and newsprint futures and options, to support the low-carbon transition of industries [1][2]. - The first trading of casting aluminum alloy futures and options is set for June 2025, which plays a crucial role in recycling waste aluminum and significantly reduces energy consumption and emissions [1][2]. - The exchange emphasizes enhancing delivery standards and brand certification to promote high-quality development and resource efficiency in the aluminum industry [1]. Group 2: Market Participation and Impact - Several entities in the industry are actively engaging with the casting aluminum alloy futures pricing model, which fills a gap in the recycled metal derivatives market and provides hedging tools for recycled aluminum companies [2]. - The introduction of newsprint futures and options in September 2025 aims to manage raw material costs and price volatility, enhancing operational stability for companies in the paper industry [2]. Group 3: Hydrogen Price Index System - The "China Hydrogen Price Index System," launched in September 2022, serves as a benchmark for monitoring the hydrogen market and aids in establishing a national hydrogen trading system [3]. - The release of the "China Green Hydrogen Price Index" in September 2024 further supports the green and low-carbon transition of industries [3]. Group 4: International Cooperation and Sustainable Development - The Shanghai Futures Exchange and Shanghai International Energy Exchange joined the United Nations Sustainable Stock Exchanges (UNSSE) initiative in May 2025, marking a significant step in enhancing international cooperation in green finance [4][5]. - This initiative aligns with the central government's emphasis on advancing green finance and sustainable development goals, contributing to the exchange's long-term growth and global influence [4][5]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The Shanghai Futures Exchange plans to continue developing green products and services, focusing on market-driven approaches to promote green standards and facilitate resource allocation towards low-carbon sectors [5].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current core contradiction in the alumina market lies in the conflict between the tight supply of domestic bauxite, low shipments from Guinea, and the high absolute level of bauxite inventory. The alumina market is in a state of supply surplus, and prices are expected to remain weak in the short - term [2]. - For electrolytic aluminum, the marginal demand in the peak season has improved, but the probability of a lackluster peak season is high. After a short - term price correction, the price is expected to remain volatile at a high level, with inventory being the key focus [3]. - In the case of cast aluminum alloy, the market is influenced by both positive and negative factors on the fundamental side. It is expected to maintain high - level volatility in the short - term, and attention should be paid to the registration of standard warehouse receipts [6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Price Forecast - Alumina: The latest price is 2877 yuan/ton, with a monthly price forecast range of 2850 - 3100 yuan/ton, a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 14.78%, and a historical percentile of 10.14% over 3 years [1]. - Electrolytic aluminum: The latest price is 20685 yuan/ton, with a monthly price forecast range of 20600 - 21200 yuan/ton, a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 6.45%, and a historical percentile of 18.82% over 3 years [1]. - Aluminum alloy: The latest price is 20280 yuan/ton, with a monthly price forecast range of 19900 - 20800 yuan/ton, a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 5.96%, and a historical percentile of 30.26% over 3 years [1]. 3.2 Risk Management Strategies - **Alumina** - Inventory management: When the finished - product inventory is high and there are concerns about price drops, sell 75% of the alumina main futures contract at 3200 yuan/ton. - Raw material management: When the raw material inventory is low and there are concerns about price increases, buy 50% of the alumina main futures contract at 2850 yuan/ton [1]. - **Electrolytic aluminum** - Inventory management: When the finished - product inventory is high and there are concerns about price drops, sell 90% of the Shanghai Aluminum main futures contract at 21300 yuan/ton. - Raw material management: When the raw material inventory is low and there are concerns about price increases, buy 50% of the Shanghai Aluminum main futures contract at 20500 yuan/ton [1]. - **Aluminum alloy** - Inventory management: When the finished - product inventory is high and there are concerns about price drops, sell 80% of the aluminum alloy main futures contract at 20700 yuan/ton. - Raw material management: When the raw material inventory is low and there are concerns about price increases, buy 50% of the aluminum alloy main futures contract at 19900 yuan/ton [1]. 3.3 Core Contradictions - **Alumina**: The core contradiction in the bauxite market is the conflict between tight domestic supply, low Guinea shipments, and high inventory levels. The main factor affecting alumina prices is supply surplus, and the surplus state is expected to continue [2]. - **Electrolytic aluminum**: The marginal demand in the peak season has improved, but the probability of a lackluster peak season is high. The price is affected by factors such as inventory and downstream purchasing sentiment, and is expected to remain volatile at a high level [3]. - **Cast aluminum alloy**: The market is influenced by both positive and negative factors on the fundamental side. On one hand, raw material prices provide cost support, and pre - holiday restocking demand is positive; on the other hand, demand is weak, and inventory is accumulating [6]. 3.4 Price and Spread Data - **Price**: The prices of various aluminum, alumina, and aluminum alloy contracts have shown different degrees of change, such as a - 0.29% daily decline in the Shanghai Aluminum main contract to 20685 yuan/ton [1][7]. - **Spread**: The spreads between different contracts of aluminum, alumina, and aluminum alloy have also changed, for example, the spread between Shanghai Aluminum continuous and consecutive contracts has shown significant fluctuations [13]. 3.5 Inventory Data - **Aluminum**: The total Shanghai Aluminum warehouse receipts are 68960 tons, a decrease of 2.55%. The total LME aluminum inventory is 513850 tons, a decrease of 0.01% [29]. - **Alumina**: The total warehouse receipts for alumina in warehouses are 151006 tons, a decrease of 0.79% [29].

Core Viewpoint - Nanshan Aluminum International (02610) experienced a decline of over 5%, reaching a low of 39.32 HKD, marking a new low in over a month [1] Company Summary - As of the latest update, Nanshan Aluminum International's stock price fell by 5.39% to 39.66 HKD, with a trading volume of 25.55 million HKD [1] - The company is set to face a lock-up expiration on September 25, with a total of 35.1363 million shares being unlocked [1] - Key cornerstone investors, including Glencore International AG and others, have a lock-up commitment that ends on September 24, 2025 [1] Market Activity - On September 18, shareholders of Nanshan Aluminum International deposited shares into Huatai Hong Kong, with a market value of 9.32 billion HKD, representing 37.36% of the total [1]