Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking it as the first rating given [5]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leader in the small modulus gear industry and is expanding into humanoid robotics as a second growth curve [1]. - The company has established a solid foothold in the overseas market and is leveraging its technological advantages to capture opportunities in the new energy transmission sector [2]. - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth from its robotics business, which is anticipated to open new revenue streams [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has been focused on small modulus gear research and production since its establishment in 1995, achieving significant technological breakthroughs [1]. - It has built a stable supply chain relationship with international giants like Bosch and Makita, maintaining a nearly 20-year partnership with Bosch [1]. - The company has established sales networks in markets like Germany and is expanding production capacity in Southeast Asia to strengthen its overseas market position [1]. 2. New Energy Transmission Sector - The company is developing high-precision gears and precision reducers for the new energy vehicle sector, capitalizing on the industry's demand for high-quality components [2]. - Investments include a production line in Vietnam with an annual capacity of 8 million sets of small modulus gears and a new line in Malaysia for high-precision transmission gears [2]. - The company is expected to accelerate revenue growth in the new energy transmission sector, with improving gross margins [2]. 3. Humanoid Robotics Business - The company is leveraging its expertise in planetary and harmonic reducers to enter the humanoid robotics market [3]. - It has developed a self-researched harmonic reducer that is set to achieve mass production in the second half of 2024, with core production equipment imported from Japan [3]. - Collaborations with Tsinghua University's Star Dynamics have led to the development of micro-reducers for dexterous hands, which are now in small-batch production [3]. 4. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 640 million yuan, 890 million yuan, and 1.35 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits expected to reach 41 million yuan, 72 million yuan, and 118 million yuan respectively [3]. - The company is expected to benefit from a strong growth elasticity and valuation reappraisal potential [3]. 5. Business Structure and Product Lines - The company has diversified its business into five key areas, including intelligent furniture drives, new energy transmission gears, and precision reducers [19]. - In 2024, the revenue breakdown shows that gears account for 47.53%, precision reducers for 25.71%, and pneumatic tools for 24.13% of total revenue [20][21]. - The company has a robust product matrix that supports its competitive position in various emerging application scenarios [21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 170 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 40% [2] - High-end products and solutions showed remarkable growth, with high-end product sales increasing by 59% year-on-year, and sales of high-end digital oscilloscopes (bandwidth ≥ 2GHz) rising by 52% [2] - The gross profit margin improved to 56.2%, up 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased to 2.3%, down 4.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company announced a share buyback plan of no less than 30 million yuan and no more than 50 million yuan, aimed at employee stock incentive plans [4] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023 is 670.54 million yuan, with a projected growth of 6.34% year-on-year, and net profit forecast of 107.95 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.72% [1] - The company expects to achieve a total revenue of 919.70 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 18.55%, and net profit of 134.04 million yuan, indicating a significant recovery with a growth rate of 45.22% [1][10] - The company’s R&D expenses are expected to increase significantly due to the establishment of R&D centers in Xi'an, Shanghai, and Malaysia [3]

智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研究报告称，截至4月30日上午，A股上市公司2024年年报和2025年 一季报业绩基本披露完毕(披露率99.8%)。受政策效果持续显现以及科技创新趋势驱动，整体A股盈利增 速转正。大类行业中信息技术、消费服务增速相对领先，TMT、资源品和中游制造业边际改善。推荐 关注业绩增速相对较高、自由现金流边际改善的领域。 招商证券主要观点如下： 利润端：一季度上市公司业绩边际改善。根据一致可比口径和整体法测算，A股2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1 单季度净利润增速依次为3.7%/-15.7%/3.2%，非金融石油石化2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1单季度净利润增速 为-10.5%/-50.2%/4.5%。 收入端：全部A股单季度收入增速较24Q4放缓，但仍高于24Q3，延续改善。全部A股 2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1单季度收入增速依次为-2.0%/1.4%/-0.3%，非金融石油石化板块 2024Q3/2024Q4/2025Q1单季度收入增速依次为-2.9%/1.2%/0.5%。海外营收增幅扩大，海外营收占收入 的比例持续提升。 25年一季度A股盈利回暖主要受 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has shown stable revenue growth, with opportunities arising from high-demand sectors such as rail transit, nuclear power, marine engineering, and data centers [5] - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 529 million yuan (up 4.06% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 54.66 million yuan (down 9.76% year-on-year) [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 4.00 yuan per 10 shares, totaling an expected distribution of 29.36 million yuan [5] - The company’s cooling systems and ventilation business generated revenues of 109.52 million yuan (up 5.54% year-on-year) and 40.87 million yuan (up 3.59% year-on-year) respectively in 2024 [5] - The company has a strong order backlog, with 507 million yuan in hand as of December 31, 2024, including 141 million yuan in the nuclear power sector [5] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price as of April 29, 2025, was 37.50 yuan, with a market capitalization of 2,752.50 million yuan and a circulating market value of 1,422.40 million yuan [3] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company’s projected operating revenue for 2025 is 600 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 13.57% [6] - The estimated net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 61 million yuan, with an EPS of 0.83 yuan per share [7] - The company’s P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 45.11, 36.86, and 29.77 respectively [7] Business Opportunities - The company is expected to benefit from the growing wind turbine market, projected to reach 136.6 billion yuan by 2030 [5] - The company’s products have been recognized in national energy-saving and carbon reduction technology equipment directories, enhancing its market position [5] - The establishment of a new factory in Mexico is part of the company’s strategy to accelerate overseas expansion [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 1.567 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.40%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 392 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 13.21% [1][4]. - The company's gross margin and net margin for 2024 are projected to be 48.34% and 25.10%, respectively, with slight declines compared to the previous year [1]. - The company has shown stable management of operating expenses, with a net operating cash flow of 322 million yuan in 2024, up 3.03% year-on-year [1]. - The international business segment is rapidly growing, with a revenue of approximately 200 million yuan in 2024, marking a growth of about 50% [2]. - The company has increased its market share in domestic large petrochemical projects, contributing to the growth of its incremental business [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.567 billion yuan, a 14.40% increase from the previous year, and a net profit of 392 million yuan, up 13.21% [1][5]. - The revenue for Q4 2024 was 424 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.39%, with a net profit of 122 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 23.42% [1]. - The revenue for Q1 2025 is projected to be 410 million yuan, a 21.99% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 94 million yuan, up 13.84% [1]. Business Segments - The equipment manufacturing segment generated a revenue of 658 million yuan in 2024, growing 17.68% year-on-year, primarily driven by international business growth [2]. - The rubber and plastic sealing segment achieved a revenue of 180 million yuan, a 26.79% increase, with a gross margin of 40.34% [3]. - The special valve segment reported a revenue of 141 million yuan, up 37.28%, with a gross margin of 49.52% [3]. Profitability and Valuation - The company’s profitability is expected to decline slightly due to an increase in the proportion of incremental business and a slight decrease in the gross margin of existing businesses [1][2]. - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 419 million yuan, 484 million yuan, and 558 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18, 15, and 13 [4][5].

Economic Performance - In the first quarter, Shaoxing's GDP reached 200.9 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.2%, ranking first in the province [1] - The three major industries showed growth: primary industry added value of 3.9%, secondary industry 7.4%, and tertiary industry 7.1% [1] - Industrial production increased significantly, with a 12.0% year-on-year growth in the added value of large-scale industries [1] Industry Insights - The top ten industries in Shaoxing showed a growth pattern of "eight positive and two negative," with significant increases in high-tech sectors such as computer and electronic equipment manufacturing [1] - Traditional industries also performed well, with chemical raw materials and textile manufacturing growing by 22.1% and 12.0% respectively [1] - The added value growth rates for large, medium, small, and micro enterprises were 3.8%, 10.0%, 16.5%, and 35.6% respectively [1] Future Growth Potential - Shaoxing aims to reach a GDP of 1 trillion yuan within five years, having set a target in early 2022 [2] - The city recorded a GDP of 779.1 billion yuan in 2023, with a growth rate of 7.8%, and is projected to reach 836.9 billion yuan in 2024, growing at 6.5% [2] - Fixed asset investment in Shaoxing grew by 4.1% year-on-year, with a notable 15.5% increase when excluding real estate development [2] Trade and Market Challenges - Shaoxing's foreign trade faced challenges, with a total import and export volume of 88.4 billion yuan in the first quarter, down 16.4% year-on-year [2] - Exports decreased by 15.3% to 81.2 billion yuan, while imports fell by 27.1% to 7.2 billion yuan [2] - The local government is actively seeking to support export enterprises in overcoming tariff barriers and expanding market access [3] Strategic Initiatives - Shaoxing is implementing a low-altitude economy development plan, with a significant investment of 2.05 billion yuan for the first phase of a low-altitude infrastructure project [3] - The city is looking to transform its economy by learning from successful peers like Changzhou, which has excelled in advanced manufacturing [3]

Revenue and Profit Performance - In Q1 2025, 265 listed companies on the Beijing Stock Exchange achieved total operating revenue of CNY 40.358 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.81%[16] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 2.612 billion, down 7.50% year-on-year[16] - Among the companies, 162 reported revenue growth, with 78 companies exceeding 20% growth and 18 companies surpassing 50% growth[16] Market Trends and Index Performance - As of April 29, 2025, the North Exchange 50 Index rose by 1.70% in April, with a maximum increase of 8.38% during the period[17] - Year-to-date, the North Exchange 50 Index has increased by 24.57%, with a peak increase of 39.52%[17] - A total of 131 stocks rose, while 134 stocks fell, with no stocks remaining flat during April[17] Valuation Metrics - The average PE (TTM) for the North Exchange 50 Index was 58.99 times, with a median of 59.76 times as of April 29, 2025[23] - The ChiNext Index had an average PE of 30.10 times, while the Sci-Tech Innovation Board had an average PE of 79.68 times[23] Trading Activity - The total trading volume for the North Exchange in April 2025 was CNY 586.958 billion, with a volume of 28.832 billion shares traded[24] - The average margin financing and securities lending balance for March 2025 was CNY 5.277 billion, a decrease of 2.95% month-on-month[26] Investment Recommendations - Focus on high-growth new productivity sectors and competitive niche leaders[16] - Emphasize innovation-driven sectors such as semiconductors, military, AI, and satellite internet for domestic substitution and technological breakthroughs[16] - Anticipate benefits for consumer-related companies as policies aim to boost domestic demand and consumption[16] Risks - Potential risks include slower-than-expected policy implementation affecting market stability[38] - Short-term stock price surges may lead to overheating market sentiment, prompting irrational investment behavior[38]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 14.40% year-on-year in 2024, reaching 1.567 billion yuan, and a net profit growth of 13.21%, totaling 392 million yuan. This performance is considered stable despite a low downstream market sentiment [1][9]. - The international business is rapidly expanding, with a significant increase in revenue from the equipment manufacturing sector, which is projected to grow by 17.68% to 658 million yuan in 2024, driven by international market developments [2]. - The company has shown strong performance in the rubber and plastic sealing and special valve segments, with revenue growth of 26.79% and 37.28% respectively in 2024, indicating successful market expansion and product development [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company is projected to have a gross margin of 48.34% and a net margin of 25.10%, with slight declines in profitability due to increased contributions from lower-margin businesses [1]. - The operating cash flow for 2024 is expected to be 322 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.03% [1]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from the existing business segments, including petrochemical and coal chemical sectors, is expected to grow modestly, with specific increases of 1.82%, 6.64%, and 9.18% for different segments [2]. - The company’s international business is anticipated to grow by approximately 50%, contributing around 200 million yuan to the total revenue [2]. Profitability Metrics - The company’s net profit for 2025 is forecasted to be 419 million yuan, with a projected PE ratio of 18 times [4][5]. - The gross margin for the rubber and plastic sealing segment is expected to be 40.34%, while the special valve segment is projected to have a gross margin of 49.52% [3]. Future Projections - The company’s net profit is expected to reach 484 million yuan in 2026 and 558 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 15 and 13 times [4][5]. - The revenue growth rates for the years 2025 to 2027 are projected to be 12.4%, 13.3%, and 14.1% respectively [5].

证券研究报告 机械设备 | 通用设备 非金融|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 04 月 30 日 证券分析师 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | | | | | | 04 | 29 | 日 | 月 | | 2025 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | 11.52 | | | | | | | | | 年 内 最 | 最 | 高 | / | | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | | | | | | 2,5 ...

| 排名 | 股票名称 | 主力资金净流入(亿元) | 主力资金净流入率(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 常山北明 | 9.89 | 48.40 | | 2 | 瑞芯微 | 5.84 | 21.96 | | 3 | 探路者 | 3.39 | 20.86 | | ব | 塞力斯 | 3.26 | 12.59 | | 5 | 南方精工 | 3.23 | 19.72 | | 6 | 贵州茅台 | 3.10 | 9.25 | | 7 | 海南华铁 | 3.09 | 11.28 | | 8 | 川润股份 | 2.81 | 50.09 | | g | 兴森科技 | 2.37 | 18.83 | | 10 | 汇川技术 | 2.13 | 8.24 | | 排名 | 板块名称 | 主力资金净流出（亿元） | 主力资金净流出率(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ー | 银行 | -20.86 | -6.54 | | 2 | 基础化工 | -14.32 | -2.50 | | 3 | 有色金属 | -11.65 | -4.18 | | ব | 电新行业 | ...