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南方基金:避险情绪降温,一文速览全球资产最新动向!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-25 02:07
Core Viewpoint - The announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran may serve as a significant turning point, leading to a reduction in global market risk aversion and a subsequent rise in asset prices, particularly in global stock markets while oil and gold prices decline [1][2]. Direct Impact - The geopolitical risk premium in oil prices has been eliminated, resulting in a decrease in international oil prices due to reduced fears of supply disruptions from escalating conflicts in the Middle East [2]. - As risk aversion diminishes, funds are flowing back from safe-haven assets like gold into higher-growth risk assets such as global equities, indicating a lower level of market uncertainty [2]. Transmission Effects - The easing of tensions in the Middle East may trigger a transmission chain in the global macroeconomic landscape [3]. - The transmission chain can be summarized as follows: 1. Easing Middle East tensions → Oil price decline [4] 2. Oil price decline → Reduced inflationary pressures in the U.S., as oil prices significantly influence U.S. inflation metrics [5]. 3. Reduced inflation → Increased likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, as persistent inflation has been a barrier to rate cuts [6]. 4. Enhanced rate cut expectations → Improved global liquidity, particularly benefiting emerging markets, with Hong Kong stocks potentially attracting more international capital due to their low valuation [6]. Market Opportunities - In light of improved liquidity and rising risk appetite, Hong Kong stocks are expected to enter a significant "allocation window" [6]. - The technology sector in Hong Kong, which includes leading companies in internet, consumer electronics, and biotechnology, is likely to benefit from the anticipated global liquidity improvement and represents higher growth potential [6][8]. - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology Index has shown strong growth, with a total return of 227% since the end of 2014, indicating its potential as a tool for capturing structural opportunities in the Hong Kong technology sector [8].
科技创新力量崛起 市场动能持续改善 外资聚焦中国市场结构性机遇
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-24 20:23
● 本报记者魏昭宇 随着2025年上半年接近尾声,瑞士百达、高盛、路博迈基金、摩根士丹利等多家外资资管机构相继发 声,看好中国市场结构性机遇。其中,人工智能、生物科技、消费等板块成为外资机构热议的话题。 有外资人士称,中国政府的政策立场明确且得当,有助于形成稳定、可预期的政策环境,降低股市风险 溢价。同时,支持资本市场、鼓励分红回购、推动中长期资金入市的政策,对降低股市无风险利率至关 重要。 中国资产表现可圈可点 展望全球市场,瑞士百达在2025年下半年全球宏观经济与金融市场展望中表示,全球经济格局正发生结 构性变化:中国科技创新力量崛起;美国政策不确定性削弱市场信心;欧洲市场或因相对宽松的融资环 境和货币政策而获得新的发展机遇。在此背景下,投资者面临风险资产波动加剧的挑战,分散化投资策 略重要性日益凸显。 路博迈基金表示,2025年即将过去二分之一,中国资产的表现可圈可点。"中国制造业在2025年展现出 其难以替代的优势。从DeepSeek等高科技企业到机器人技术的突破,这些领域不仅体现了中国制造业 的技术实力,也彰显出其在全球供应链中的关键地位。此外,中国出口的韧性也表明,中国制造业在全 球市场上具有强大 ...
今天暴涨的原因
表舅是养基大户· 2025-06-24 13:30
今天市场不太需要解释了吧,涨的人头晕目眩,标题里暴涨两个字,应该没用错吧? 上证指数重新回到3400点以上,还没突破3月中旬的高点,但事实上,由于A股年内创纪录的高分红, 包含了分红的上证收益指数,下图,已经 创下年内新高了 ,这才是更公允的指标。 所以,这的确是一个扬眉吐气的日子,那些平日里天天说A股没有投资价值,港股即将A股化的小黑子,我都不知道今天还能找到什么吐槽的 点。 当然,上证只涨了1%,属于是涨的最差的宽基了,今天最火热的,还是成长板块,而成长板块的大涨,还有两个"副作用"。 而今天大涨的原因,有几个,可以依次盘一盘。 第一,当然是中东局势缓和,伊以停火的消息 ,今天不仅是A股H股大涨,韩国股市也涨近3%,日本、欧洲都涨超1%,美股期货也继续上涨, 虽然下午开始,停火的消息反反复复,但从原油、黄金、风险资产的价格来看,市场还是定价,整体朝缓和的方向发展,只不过涉及的三方,有 些需要面子,有些需要梯子。 第二,外围这边,美国降息的预期在抬升 ,而今天日中,还有国内7月降息的小作文,这两天,美联储的鲍师傅要去国会接受质询,主要课题就 是回答一个问题,为什么不降息? 而川宝这边,也煽风点火,下图 ,希 ...
民营企业家走进潮州法院,“零距离”破题营商难点
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 09:50
Core Viewpoint - The event organized by the Chaozhou Municipal United Front Work Department and the Chaozhou Intermediate People's Court aimed to enhance communication between the judiciary and private enterprises, fostering a law-based business environment and promoting a clear and friendly government-business relationship [1][4]. Group 1: Judicial Support for Private Enterprises - Private entrepreneurs shared their legal challenges and discussed ways to optimize the law-based business environment during the meeting [4]. - The Chaozhou Intermediate Court committed to improving execution mechanisms and increasing efficiency to protect the legal rights of winning enterprises [7]. - The court emphasized its focus on intellectual property issues, pledging to enhance scrutiny of litigation qualifications and to address malicious lawsuits effectively [7]. Group 2: Innovations in Judicial Processes - The establishment of a green channel for enterprise-related cases significantly shortened the trial period, allowing businesses to resolve disputes more efficiently [7]. - Representatives from private enterprises expressed confidence in the court's reforms and services, believing these changes would contribute to the high-quality development of Chaozhou's economy [7]. Group 3: Ongoing Communication and Support - The Chaozhou Municipal United Front Work Department plans to strengthen communication with judicial departments, establishing a regular liaison mechanism to address the judicial needs of private enterprises [13]. - The department will also enhance services for private enterprises and create platforms for cooperation to support the high-quality development of the private economy [13]. Group 4: Legal Education and Awareness - The event included a legal lecture that detailed the "Private Economy Promotion Law," helping participants understand the judiciary's role in supporting private enterprises [16].
生命科学从业有奖调研:赢小米双肩包、蓝牙音箱、苹果耳机等大奖
仪器信息网· 2025-06-24 02:41
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of plasmid extraction in the life sciences industry, highlighting the need to understand the challenges faced by professionals in this area [1]. Group 1: Survey Details - A survey is being conducted to gather insights from life science professionals regarding their experiences with plasmid extraction [2]. - The survey is open from June 20 to July 6, with various prizes available for participants, including 50 Xiaomi backpacks, 50 stylish umbrellas, 10 Xiaomi Bluetooth speakers, and 3 Apple AirPods Max valued at 3,999 yuan each [2]. Group 2: Participation and Rewards - Participants can join the survey by scanning a QR code or clicking on a link provided at the end of the article, which takes approximately 30 seconds to complete [4]. - After the survey closes, the organizers will verify the responses and select winners for the prizes [5]. - The list of winners will be announced in an article published on July 18 on the "Instrument Information Network" public account [6].
“稀土警告”成噩梦,美国又拉盟友打“芯片牌”,网友:急红眼了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 02:17
Group 1 - The U.S. Department of Commerce plans to revoke the exemption licenses for SK Hynix, Samsung, and TSMC in China, which could disrupt the semiconductor supply chain and halt technological upgrades in their factories [1][2] - SK Hynix's factory in Wuxi accounts for nearly 50% of global DRAM chip production, while Samsung's Xi'an factory produces 42% of its global 3D NAND flash memory output [1][2] - The U.S. claims this action is a reciprocal measure against China's rare earth export restrictions, but the underlying intention is to prevent China from circumventing restrictions through foreign factories [1][2] Group 2 - Despite U.S. technology blockades, China's semiconductor industry is making significant advancements, with companies like SMIC achieving mass production of 14nm processes and Cambricon launching AI chips that rival NVIDIA's products [4][6] - Domestic companies are increasing their market share in semiconductor equipment, with domestic plasma etching equipment gaining certification from TSMC, raising market share from 5% to 15% [6][10] - The Chinese biotech sector is also breaking through, with the development of a new weight-loss fungus strain that has gained national patent recognition and is now being exported to Southeast Asia and Europe [8][10] Group 3 - The potential U.S. ban on semiconductor exports could lead to significant price fluctuations in global memory chip markets, affecting both Chinese and U.S. companies [11][13] - NVIDIA's CEO has warned that the short-sighted strategy of the U.S. could ultimately harm American interests [11][13] - The ongoing technological competition between the U.S. and China is seen as a critical moment for the global semiconductor industry, with the outcome uncertain [13]
拨康视云-B(02592.HK)预计7月3日上市 引入富策控股及Reynold Lemkins作为基石
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-23 22:53
Group 1 - The company, Bokan Vision Cloud-B (02592.HK), plans to globally offer 60.582 million shares, with 6.0585 million shares available in Hong Kong and 54.5235 million shares for international offering, at a price of HKD 10.10 per share [1] - The subscription period for the shares is from June 24 to June 27, 2025, with trading expected to commence on July 3, 2025 [1] - The company is a clinical-stage ophthalmic biotechnology firm focused on developing various therapies for eye diseases, with a history dating back to its establishment in 2015 [2] Group 2 - The company has two core products: CBT-001 for treating pterygium and CBT-009 for treating myopia in adolescents, with ongoing clinical trials for both products [2] - A cornerstone investment agreement has been established, with cornerstone investors agreeing to subscribe for shares totaling approximately HKD 179 million [3] - The estimated net proceeds from the global offering are approximately HKD 522.2 million, with 62.4% allocated for the continued clinical development of CBT-001 and 27.6% for CBT-009 [3]
中华交易服务香港生物科技指数上涨2.7%,前十大权重包含百济神州等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-06-23 14:20
Group 1 - The core index, the CESHKB, increased by 2.7% to 7293.11 points with a trading volume of 11.568 billion [1] - The CESHKB has risen by 15.52% in the past month, 19.54% in the past three months, and 58.49% year-to-date [1] - The index is compiled by China Securities Index Co., Ltd. under the commission of China Securities Trading Service Co., Ltd. and aims to reflect the overall performance of biotechnology companies listed in Hong Kong [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the CESHKB include: CanSino Biologics (10.91%), Innovent Biologics (9.99%), BeiGene (9.73%), WuXi Biologics (9.42%), 3SBio (8.11%), Zai Lab (6.05%), WuXi AppTec (5.56%), Kelun-Biotech (5.15%), Kingstar Bio (4.37%), and Ascentage Pharma-B (3.89%) [1] - The CESHKB is entirely composed of stocks listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a 100% allocation [2] - The index's holdings are exclusively in the healthcare sector, specifically in pharmaceuticals and biotechnology, also at a 100% allocation [2]
AI、新消费、创新药引领港股,长线外资如何配置?
第一财经· 2025-06-23 03:01
Core Viewpoint - The rise of DeepSeek has initiated a "revaluation of Chinese assets," extending beyond the tech sector to new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals, which are leading the Hong Kong stock market this year [1]. Group 1: Investment Opportunities - International funds' allocation to China remains at historical lows, but there is a growing willingness among global investors to increase their exposure to Chinese assets [1]. - The consensus among industry experts is that both US and Chinese stock markets present investment opportunities this year, with Hong Kong stocks potentially outperforming A-shares [3]. - The MSCI China Index currently has a PE ratio of 11 and a PB ratio of 1.4, indicating that Hong Kong stocks are undervalued compared to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq [4]. Group 2: New Consumption Trends - The consumer sector in Hong Kong has gained more attention than the internet sector this year, with companies like Pop Mart, Mixue Group, and Laoputang being highlighted as key players [6]. - The rise of "self-consumption" reflects a shift in consumer preferences towards quality and high-end experiences, suggesting that companies targeting younger and lower-tier city consumers may have greater opportunities [6][8]. - High valuations in the consumer sector are driven by innovation and the ability to create new IP, rather than merely competing on price [6]. Group 3: Innovative Pharmaceuticals - The Chinese pharmaceutical industry is experiencing a resurgence after three years of stagnation, with global pharmaceutical companies seeking assets in key therapeutic areas [10]. - The Hong Kong healthcare sector has risen by 54% this year, with the Chinese biotech index up 68.6%, significantly outperforming the MSCI China Index [10]. - The trend of "licensing out" innovative drugs is expected to continue, driven by high-value overseas orders and improved geopolitical conditions [11][12].
AI、新消费、创新药引领港股,长线外资如何配置
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-22 13:34
Group 1 - International capital allocation to China remains at historical lows, but there is a growing willingness among global investors to increase exposure to Chinese assets, particularly in innovative sectors like AI, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1][2] - The consensus among industry experts is that both US and Chinese stock markets present investment opportunities this year, with Hong Kong stocks potentially outperforming A-shares [2][3] - The current valuation of the MSCI China Index is at a PE of 11 and PB of 1.4, indicating that Hong Kong stocks are undervalued compared to the high valuations of US stocks, which are reliant on AI narratives [3] Group 2 - The consumer sector in Hong Kong has gained significant attention, surpassing the internet sector in popularity, with companies like Pop Mart and Miko Group being highlighted as key players [4][5] - The growth potential of new consumption in China is linked to the ability to create new IP and resonate with consumers, as well as the capacity to expand internationally [5] - The Chinese pharmaceutical industry is experiencing a resurgence, with significant interest from global pharmaceutical companies seeking assets in key therapeutic areas, leading to a 54% increase in the Hong Kong healthcare sector this year [6][7] Group 3 - The "outbound licensing" theme in innovative pharmaceuticals is gaining traction, driven by high-value overseas licensing deals and increasing recognition of Chinese biotech firms by multinational companies [7][8] - Recent financing activities in the biotech sector, such as the significant capital raises by companies like Hengrui Medicine and Junshi Biosciences, indicate a robust investment environment [7] - The potential for Chinese pharmaceutical companies to enhance their global commercialization capabilities through strategic partnerships is seen as a key growth driver, although challenges remain in terms of innovation and execution [8]