Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that Alibaba Health achieved a strong revenue growth of 17% in the first half of the fiscal year 2026, driven by robust growth in original prescription drugs and the comprehensive effects of real-time retail on Taobao [2] Group 1: Financial Performance - Alibaba Health's revenue and adjusted earnings per share forecasts for fiscal year 2026 have been raised by 3% and 9% respectively, reflecting better-than-expected performance in the first half of the year [2] - The revenue forecast for fiscal year 2027 has also been increased by 3%, while the adjusted earnings per share estimate remains largely unchanged [2] Group 2: Valuation and Ratings - Based on the fiscal year 2026 forecast of a 2.5x enterprise value/revenue multiple, Morgan Stanley maintains a target price of HKD 6.5 for December 2026 and retains a "Neutral" rating [2] - Goldman Sachs anticipates that Alibaba Health's fiscal year 2026 performance guidance still has upside potential and has raised its target price to HKD 5.2 [3]

责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 香港联交所最新资料显示，11月26日，摩根大通增持阿里健康（00241）约1.71589632亿股，每股作价 6.069港元，总金额约为10.41亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约16.88亿股，最新持股比例为10.43%。 客户端 香港联交所最新资料显示，11月26日，摩根大通增持阿里健康（00241）约1.71589632亿股，每股作价 6.069港元，总金额约为10.41亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约16.88亿股，最新持股比例为10.43%。 责任编辑：卢昱君 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 ...

Investment Rating - The report recommends an "Outperform" rating for leading pharmaceutical and biotech companies with robust pipelines, as well as high-quality CXOs and internet healthcare firms [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of innovative drug leaders such as BeiGene and Innovent Biologics, which have shown significant revenue growth in Q3 2025, with BeiGene achieving USD 1.41 billion in revenue (up 41% year-on-year) and Innovent exceeding CNY 3.3 billion (up 40% year-on-year) [39][40]. - The CXO sector experienced a pullback in November, with notable declines in stocks like WuXi AppTec and Tigermed, attributed to profit-taking after strong performance in the first three quarters of 2025 and concerns over geopolitical risks [42]. - The report emphasizes the importance of upcoming clinical data readouts from major conferences such as ESMO Asia and ASH, which could serve as catalysts for stock performance [10]. Summary by Sections Top Picks - The report lists top picks including Hansoh Pharma, 3SBio, Kelun-Biotech, Innovent, Akeso, JD Health, and WuXi AppTec, all rated as "Outperform" [1][4][35]. Performance Overview - The Hong Kong stock picks portfolio gained an average of 5.2% in November 2025, outperforming the Hang Seng Healthcare Index, which declined by 0.1% [5][36]. - The top three performers in the portfolio were Hansoh Pharma (+12.9%), BeiGene (+10.2%), and Innovent (+10.0%) [5][36]. Market Trends - The innovative drug sector has shown resilience, benefiting from previous corrections and strong earnings catalysts from leading companies [39]. - The report notes that the recent implementation of key industry policies, including the 11th National Centralized Drug Procurement, has led to significant price reductions for selected products, impacting market dynamics [38]. Clinical Developments - Significant clinical progress is noted for companies like 3SBio, which is advancing its SSGJ707 (PD-1/VEGF) with Pfizer, planning to initiate multiple clinical trials [41]. - The report also highlights the potential of innovative therapies in oncology, with companies like BeiGene and Innovent expanding their product pipelines and market presence [32][40].

Core Insights - The National Health Commission has released the "Adult Health Examination Project Recommendation Guidelines (2025 Edition)" which emphasizes the importance of personalized health assessments and medical examinations [2][3] - JD Health's health examination center has quickly adapted to these guidelines by optimizing the entire examination process, moving from standardized screening to personalized risk assessment and medical-level physical examinations [2] Group 1 - The guidelines categorize adult health examination projects into "basic examination items" and "chronic disease risk screening items," specifying applicable populations and assessment standards for each category [3] - JD Health's examination center utilizes an intelligent system to display examination items according to national standards, providing easy-to-understand medical explanations to help users comprehend the significance and necessity of each test [3] Group 2 - JD Health has implemented a "real doctor full-process cloud accompaniment" service, allowing for personalized consultations and risk assessments based on individual lifestyle, medical history, and family genetics [2] - The health examination center has expanded its presence in various districts in Beijing and Shenzhen, focusing on digital upgrades and enhancing service experiences in line with the guidelines [3]

香港联交所最新资料显示，11月26日，摩根大通增持阿里健康(00241)约1.71589632亿股，每股作价 6.069港元，总金额约为10.41亿港元。增持后最新持股数目约16.88亿股，最新持股比例为10.43%。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 5.69, reflecting a 5.0% increase from the previous target price [2][7]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 16.70 billion for FY9/25, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.0%. The gross profit margin improved to 25.1%, and the adjusted net profit increased by 38.7% to RMB 1.36 billion [3][14]. - The self-operated pharmaceutical business generated revenue of RMB 14.38 billion, growing by 18.6% year-on-year, driven by increases in pharmaceutical and medical device categories. The number of self-operated SKUs expanded significantly [18][14]. - The pharmaceutical e-commerce platform business reported revenue of RMB 1.84 billion, up 7.5% year-on-year, with improvements in operational capabilities and a significant increase in the number of merchants [18][14]. - The healthcare and digital services business generated revenue of RMB 480 million, reflecting an 8.2% year-on-year growth, with a notable increase in contracted healthcare professionals [18][14]. - The company has optimized its supply chain efficiency, with a reduction in fulfillment costs and an overall operating expense ratio of 18.3%, down 0.9 percentage points [15][14]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for FY26 and FY27 are set at RMB 34.90 billion and RMB 39.38 billion, respectively, indicating year-on-year growth of 14.1% and 12.8% [16][7]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts for FY26 and FY27 are RMB 2.48 billion and RMB 2.83 billion, representing growth rates of 27.1% and 14.3% [16][7]. - The company's equity value is projected to be HKD 92.08 billion, corresponding to a share price of HKD 5.69 per share based on a DCF valuation [16][7].

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300290 | 末科科技 | 25.19 | -3.60% | 17.04万 | 4.29 乙 | | 300007 | 汉威科技 | 48.15 | -3.12% | 13.18万 | 6.38亿 | | 300049 | 福瑞股份 | 67.36 | -2.91% | 3.46万 | 2.36 Z | | 688246 | 嘉和美康 | 23.51 | -2.81% | 2.35万 | 5524.15万 | | 300018 | 中元股份 | 10.84 | -2.78% | 16.76万 | 1.82亿 | | 600797 | 浙大网新 | 10.84 | -2.43% | 50.11万 | 5.45 Z | | 300166 | 东方国信 | 10.65 | -2.38% | 30.53万 | 3.26亿 | | 002315 | 焦点科技 | 44.24 | -2.32% | 5.92万 | 2.63亿 | | 300730 | 科创 ...

瑞银又指，阿里健康与主要竞争对手京东健康(06618)之间的差距正在扩大，而后者似乎已在用户认知 度与药品供应链建立了竞争优势，并在全渠道布局抢得先机，并认为阿里健康目前对应明后两年调整后 32倍、27倍市盈率，可能无法充分支撑对其2025至2028财年收入及调整后盈利年复合增长率分别13%、 19%的预测。 瑞银发布研报称，将阿里健康(00241)相对估值方法由市销率改为调整后市盈率，将阿里健康2026至 2028财年盈利预测上调17%至21%，以反映更强劲的第一方平台销售增长。基于2027财年23倍调整后市 盈率，将目标价从3.8港元上调至4.7港元，但维持"沽售"评级。 自5月下调阿里健康评级以来，公司的第一方平台销售(1P)增长超越该行预期，但认为当中更多是药品 供应从线下转向线上的结构性变化，而非公司战略转向侧重第一方平台或第一方平台药品销售，亦相信 同行的龙头企业均能从此结构性趋势中尽早获利。 ...

瑞银又指，阿里健康与主要竞争对手京东健康(06618)之间的差距正在扩大，而后者似乎已在用户认知 度与药品供应链建立了竞争优势，并在全渠道布局抢得先机，并认为阿里健康目前对应明后两年调整后 32倍、27倍市盈率，可能无法充分支撑对其2025至2028财年收入及调整后盈利年复合增长率分别13%、 19%的预测。 智通财经APP获悉，瑞银发布研报称，将阿里健康(00241)相对估值方法由市销率改为调整后市盈率，将 阿里健康2026至2028财年盈利预测上调17%至21%，以反映更强劲的第一方平台销售增长。基于2027财 年23倍调整后市盈率，将目标价从3.8港元上调至4.7港元，但维持"沽售"评级。 自5月下调阿里健康评级以来，公司的第一方平台销售(1P)增长超越该行预期，但认为当中更多是药品 供应从线下转向线上的结构性变化，而非公司战略转向侧重第一方平台或第一方平台药品销售，亦相信 同行的龙头企业均能从此结构性趋势中尽早获利。 ...

大华继显的Sunny Chen和Carol Dou报告称，阿里健康的收入和经调整净利润在2026财年至2028财年期 间可能会继续增长。他们指出，阿里巴巴集团旗下的这家医疗健康公司公布的上半财年业绩超出市场预 期。该公司还重申了其2026财年收入和经调整净利润增长目标，分别为同比增长10%-15%和20%-30%。 这些分析师称，增长可能受到创新药业务的持续势头、与阿里巴巴的协同效应加深以及人工智能采用率 提高的推动。他们预计，2026财年至2028财年，收入的复合年增长率为13%，经调整净利润的复合年增 长率为24%。大华继显维持对该股的买入评级和7.80港元的目标价。 本文源自：金融界AI电报 ...