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港交所技術指標中立,窩輪牛熊點部署先穩陣?
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 19:32
Niki:港交所近兩日公佈業績,其實業績股的話都建議投資者可以留意一下。上周我們提過在業績附近,股價的幅度或波動會比較大,窩輪的機會是存在, 有很大的空間可以操作。港交所有兩大因素可以分析,第一港股整體的成交金額有沒有上升?今日來看有2000多億的成交額,甚至早前超過3000多億的成交 金額,屬於近期比較高的水平。對比A股兩市的總成交金額突破2萬億,至於A股指數方面升到今年的高位。所以整體股市氣氛都持續高漲的。對於港交所是 帶來正面的利好的。第二個基本因素是新股上市。今年都有不少大的IPO來港股上市。所以港交所是直接受惠的。回到港交所的股價來看,近期都在今年的 股價高位徘徊。雖然今日有些調整,都不是特別明顯。整體看港交所的基本因素是不錯的,值得大家關注。港交所方面都有相關的產品可以給大家參考。雖 然近期窩輪的資金流不明顯,但從大環境方面做出判斷是有機會部署。值得去關注一下中銀認購證17568,行使價530.5元,到期日在明年1月份,槓桿7倍。 認沽證的話,參考中銀認沽證18983,行使價368.48元,在明年1月份到期,槓桿7倍。 市場消息指,港交所近期新上市嘅幾隻新股反應唔錯,帶動成交活躍,呢個動態都引來唔 ...
香港交易所(00388.HK):2Q25成交延续强势表现 关注总市值及换手率持续改善强化港交业绩弹性
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 19:30
投资收益对净利润贡献超3 成,保证金规模提升带动投资收益同步上行。2Q25 港交所投资收益15.4亿港 元/yoy+31%/qoq+16%,净利润贡献度为35%。投资收益分拆:公司资金:1H25 公司资金投资收益同比 提升16%至10.4 亿港元,主因美元兑港元因汇率上行而产生非经常性汇兑收益1.63 亿港元。保证金及结 算所基金:主营保证金规模提升带动投资收益提升13%。 投 资分析意见:上调25E 盈利预测,维持买入评级。我们预计随着更多境外优质中国资产回流港股、 中国内地-中国香港两地互联互通延伸至IPO 层面,港股市场市值进一步扩容,交投活跃度有望再提 升,因此我们上调港股ADT 假设和IPO 数量假设,从而上调港交所盈利预测,我们预计港交所2025- 2027E净利润分别为169、179、188 亿港元(原25E 预测为165 亿港元),yoy 分别+30%、+6%、+5%, 维持买入评级。 机构:申万宏源研究 研究员:罗钻辉/金黎丹 事件:8 月20 日,港交所披露1H25 年报,业绩符合预期。1H25 港交所实现总营收140.8 亿港 元/yoy+33%;主营收129.5 亿港元/yoy+34% ...
香港交易所(0388.HK):各项业务表现强劲 中期业绩创同期新高
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 19:30
Core Insights - Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue and other income reaching HKD 14.076 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.53%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at HKD 8.519 billion, up 39.1% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Revenue from trading and trading system usage fees increased by 49.12%, while listing fees rose by 12.55%, settlement and clearing fees by 48.47%, and custody and agency service fees by 23.25% [1] - Market data fees and investment income also saw growth, with increases of 6.20% and 14.04% respectively, contributing to a diversified revenue stream [1] Market Activity - Significant growth in trading activity was observed, with average daily turnover in the stock market increasing by 122.1% year-on-year, and daily turnover for Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect rising by 31.6% and 196.0% respectively [2] - Derivatives market trading fees grew by 13.8%, driven by increased activity in stock options and warrants [2] - The commodity market also saw a 3.8% increase in average daily turnover for LME metal contracts, leading to a 5.7% rise in trading fees [2] Listing and Investment Income - The number of new listings in the first half of 2025 reached 44, with fundraising amounts increasing by 716.4%, contributing to a 29.6% rise in listing fees [2] - Investment income from margin and clearing house funds increased by 13.02%, with net investment income rising by 15.87% due to increased fund size and favorable exchange rate movements [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from ongoing connectivity policies, with projected revenues of HKD 28.344 billion, HKD 30.343 billion, and HKD 32.226 billion for 2025-2027, alongside net profits of HKD 17.618 billion, HKD 18.876 billion, and HKD 20.046 billion [3] - Corresponding PE ratios are forecasted to be 31.75, 29.63, and 27.90 times for the same period, indicating a positive investment outlook [3]
香港交易所(00388.HK):增量资金助力 港股市场提振业绩
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 19:30
2021 年初至2025 年7 月底,各类中介机构的持股数量变化:港股通累计增持769.68 亿股、中资中介累 计增持46.52 亿股、港资中介累计减持36.91亿股、国际中介累计减持494.76 亿股,南向资金保持强买入 力度,国际中介则从7 月初以来减少净卖出。从交易额占比的角度,根据港交所公告,2025H1 港股通 ADT 为1713 亿港元,占港股ADT 比重为38.4%。一级市场角度,中国内地赴港上市公司数量、募资额 已经居于主导地位。2025 年以来,批量A 股新经济、新消费赴港上市,大量A 股上市公司赴港二次上 市,2025H1港股IPO 金额达1090 亿港元,重回世界第一。 其他业务:联交所衍生品亦受益于港股市场表现,期交所衍生品业务、商品业务、数据及连接业务、投 资收益等业务保持稳健发展。 财务表现:EBITDA 利润率创新高,轻资产模式突出。体现为资本开支少、主要支出为人力支出,同时 盈利质量较高,净利润主要用于股东回报。2025H1,公司营业支出29.73 亿港元,其中职员薪酬支出 19.52 亿港元、占比65.6%。 轻资产模式下高毛利特征明显,EBITDA 利润率常年维持70%以上 ...
香港交易所(0388.HK):市场交投活跃 关注业绩与估值弹性
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 19:30
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported strong performance in H1 2025, with total revenue of HKD 14.076 billion (YoY +33%) and net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 8.519 billion (YoY +39%) [1] Revenue Breakdown - Trading fees and system usage fees increased by 49%, settlement and clearing fees by 48%, listing fees by 13%, custody and agency services fees by 23%, market data fees by 6%, and net investment income by 14% [1] - Revenue from the cash market, equity securities and financial derivatives, commodities, data and connectivity, and corporate projects grew by 62%, 15%, 8%, 5%, and 28% respectively [1] Quarterly Performance - In Q2 2025, total revenue reached HKD 7.219 billion (YoY +33%, QoQ +5%), and net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 4.442 billion (YoY +41%, QoQ +9%), both setting new quarterly records [1] Market Activity - The Hang Seng Index saw a cumulative increase of 20% in H1 2025, with the average daily turnover in the cash market reaching HKD 240.2 billion, more than double that of H1 2024 [2] - The average daily turnover for the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect was HKD 171.3 billion (YoY +32%), while the Hong Kong Stock Connect averaged HKD 111 billion, nearly three times that of H1 2024 [2] IPO Activity - In H1 2025, 44 companies went public in Hong Kong, raising HKD 109.4 billion, which is over eight times the amount raised in H1 2024, driven by an increase in listings from mainland and international issuers [2] Derivatives Market - The derivatives market maintained an upward trend, with average daily turnover for structured products reaching HKD 17.4 billion (YoY +72%) and trading fees increasing by 64% [2] - Average daily contracts traded for derivatives reached 1.7 million (YoY +11%), with a decrease in futures contracts but an increase in stock options [2] Commodity Division - The LME trading and settlement fees grew, with average daily trading volume for metal contracts at 715,000 lots (YoY +3%) and trading fees of HKD 766 million (YoY +6%) [3] Investment Income - Investment income increased due to a rise in the average amount of self-owned funds to HKD 36.4 billion (YoY +8%) and an annualized investment return of 5.73% (YoY +0.40 percentage points) [3] - Margin requirements increased, leading to an average amount of margin and clearing funds of HKD 227.2 billion (YoY +15%) [3] Future Outlook - HKEX is expected to maintain high profit growth in 2025, with revised net profit forecasts of HKD 18.8 billion and HKD 20 billion for 2025 and 2026 respectively, reflecting YoY increases of 44% and 6% [4] - The anticipated PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 29.7, 27.9, and 26.5 times respectively, maintaining a "recommended" rating [4]
香港交易所(0388.HK)2025年半年报点评:市场活跃度高涨驱动业绩高增 新股市场重回全球首位
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 19:30
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with significant increases in both revenue and net profit, driven by heightened market activity and a resurgence in IPO fundraising [1][2]. Revenue Performance - For H1 2025, HKEX achieved revenue of HKD 14.076 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.5%, and a net profit of HKD 8.519 billion, up 39.1% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached HKD 7.219 billion, reflecting a 33.2% year-on-year growth and a 5.3% quarter-on-quarter increase, while net profit was HKD 4.442 billion, up 40.8% year-on-year and 9.0% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Revenue Structure - The revenue sources for HKEX include trading and trading system usage fees, settlement and clearing fees, listing fees, custodial services, investment income, and market data fees [1]. - In H1 2025, trading fees, settlement fees, and custodial service fees accounted for 62.0% of total revenue, an increase of 5.9 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Market Activity - The stock market showed robust activity, with the average daily turnover of Hong Kong stocks reaching HKD 222.8 billion, a 122% increase year-on-year, marking a new half-year high [2]. - The average daily turnover for the Stock Connect program was HKD 111 billion, up 196% year-on-year, indicating a significant increase in participation from mainland investors [2]. IPO Market - In H1 2025, HKEX's listing fees amounted to HKD 4.35 billion, a 1% increase year-on-year, with total IPO fundraising reaching HKD 109.4 billion, a remarkable 716% increase year-on-year, reclaiming the top position in the global IPO market [2]. - A total of 44 companies were listed in the Hong Kong market during the first half of 2025, including the largest IPO globally since 2023 [2]. Derivatives Market - The trading fees from derivatives, including warrants and options, totaled HKD 1.298 billion in H1 2025, a 14% increase year-on-year, with average daily trading volume rising by 11% [3]. - Investment income from margin and clearing funds reached HKD 1.831 billion, a 13% increase year-on-year, driven by an increase in average margin size [3]. Strategic Outlook - HKEX is expected to benefit from a favorable capital market environment and ongoing reforms aimed at attracting high-quality companies to list in Hong Kong [4]. - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027, projecting EPS of HKD 13.72, 15.03, and 16.90 respectively, with a target price of HKD 494 based on a 36x PE valuation for 2025 [4].
港交所:致力提升市场效率 但延长交易时间需审慎
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-08-21 14:16
Group 1 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is open to suggestions regarding extending trading hours, but emphasizes the need for careful consideration due to the significant impact on the overall market [2] - HKEX CEO Charles Li indicated that while the exchange is committed to providing more convenience for investors, any changes to trading hours would require input from all market participants [2] - The potential risks associated with a 24-hour trading mechanism were highlighted, including the lack of time to rectify errors that could occur during continuous trading [2]
港交所:延长交易时间影响大需审慎
Group 1 - The CEO of Hong Kong Stock Exchange Group, Charles Li, emphasized the significant impact of extending trading hours on the overall market and the need for caution [1] - The exchange is open to suggestions regarding extended trading hours but acknowledges the challenges and the necessity to consult all market participants [1] - Currently, the exchange has extended the trading hours for its derivatives market until 3 AM from Tuesday to Saturday, and is developing a new platform to enhance trading, clearing, and risk management capabilities [1]
港交所研究24小时交易机制 外资持续看好中国市场
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 11:30
Group 1 - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is exploring the possibility of implementing a 24-hour trading mechanism to enhance market efficiency and attract more foreign investment [1] - Recent data shows that South Korean retail investors' holdings in Hong Kong stocks have reached $2.4 billion, the highest level in four years, indicating growing foreign interest in the Chinese market [1] - Goldman Sachs released a report titled "Bullish on China, Excitement Beyond," expressing a positive outlook on the Chinese market [1] Group 2 - The performance of the ChiNext board has significantly declined, with a drop of 1%, while technology and AI-related ETFs have faced large-scale sell-offs, particularly those related to innovation [2] - Despite the recent downturn, the ChiNext AI ETF has increased by 81% over the past year, raising concerns about potential risks of a significant correction [2] - The NetWave Ten-Year Investment Plan has shown impressive performance, with a return rate of 113% this year and a cumulative excess profit of 2122.46% from March 2023 to August 2025 [2] Group 3 - The market is experiencing a divergence trend, with large broad-based ETFs performing strongly while small and medium-sized innovation sectors face correction pressure [2] - Regulatory bodies are actively seeking opinions on antitrust guidelines in the public utility sector, reflecting a focus on market competition [2] - New regulations on merger loans are being gradually implemented by the financial regulatory authority, providing new guidance for future merger transactions [2]
果然财经|港交所将研究24小时交易机制,两百多家企业递表港股
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-08-21 11:18
Group 1 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported record high revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue and other income reaching HKD 14.076 billion, a 33% increase compared to the first half of 2024 [1] - HKEX's CEO, Charles Li, mentioned the consideration of extending trading hours, noting that Nasdaq plans to implement a 24-hour trading mechanism five days a week starting in the second half of 2026 [1] - Over 200 companies have submitted applications to list on the Hong Kong stock market [1]