数据来源：沪深交易所等。注："全市场首只"是指首只跟踪创业板人工智能指数的ETF。 华龙证券指出，受益于AI基础设施建设对以太网交换机和高速光模块的强劲需求，以及光互连技术在AIscale-up网络中的应用推广，光模块市场规模有望持 续快速增长。2024年全球光模块TOP10榜单显示，中国厂商已在该领域占据主导地位（占7席）。高速光模块需求提升有望带动行业盈利能力提升，关注光 模块龙头厂商。 风险提示：创业板人工智能ETF华宝被动跟踪创业板人工智能指数，该指数基日为2018.12.28，发布日期为2024.7.11。创业板人工智能指数2020-2024年年度 涨跌幅分别为：20.1%、17.57%、-34.52%、47.83%、38.44%，指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整，其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。文中 指数成份股仅作展示，个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议，也不代表管理人旗下任何基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估的本基金风险等级为 R4-中高风险，适宜积极型（C4）及以上的投资者，适当性匹配意见请以销售机构为准。任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不限于个股、评论、预测、图表、 指标、理论、任 ...

Core Viewpoint - The public fund industry has witnessed a record-breaking annual return, with Yongying Technology Smart Selection achieving a total return of 233.29%, surpassing the previous record held by Wang Yawei for 18 years [1][6]. Group 1: Fund Performance - Yongying Technology Smart Selection, managed by Ren Jie, secured the top position in the 2025 public fund rankings with a return of 233.29% [3][6]. - The second place was taken by Zhonghang Opportunity Navigation, managed by Han Hao, with a return of 168.92% [3][4]. - The third place was claimed by Hongtu Innovation Emerging Industry, managed by Liao Xinghao, with a return of 148.64% [3][4]. - A total of 90 funds achieved returns exceeding 100% in 2025, with 75 of these being actively managed equity funds, indicating a highly competitive environment [9]. Group 2: Market Trends - The A-share market saw all major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 18.41% and the ChiNext Index leading with nearly 50% annual growth [2]. - The total market capitalization of A-shares reached a new high of nearly 109 trillion yuan [2]. - Various sectors experienced active market trends, with robotics, innovative pharmaceuticals, and hard technology sectors leading the charge [2]. Group 3: Fund Management Insights - The success of Yongying Technology Smart Selection is attributed to its concentrated holdings in high-performing sectors, particularly in CPO, with top ten holdings accounting for 73.25% of the fund's net value [8]. - The fund's top four holdings saw significant gains, with the first holding, Xinyi Sheng, increasing by 187.96% in the fourth quarter [8]. - The active management capabilities of funds have allowed them to outperform passive index products in a volatile market [3]. Group 4: ETF Market Developments - The ETF market in China reached a total scale of 6.03 trillion yuan in 2025, marking a significant increase from 3.73 trillion yuan at the beginning of the year [10]. - The top-performing ETFs included the Guotai Communication ETF with a return of 125.81% and the Guotai Communication Equipment ETF with 121.37% [10][14]. - Gold-themed ETFs also performed well, with several funds achieving returns exceeding 90% [12]. Group 5: Fixed Income + Fund Growth - The "Fixed Income +" strategy saw substantial growth, with the total scale of related funds reaching 2.52 trillion yuan, a 50% increase from the end of 2024 [15]. - The median return for fixed income + funds in 2025 was 10.2%, with the top performer, Southern Changyuan Convertible Bond, achieving a return of 48.77% [16][18].

| 序号 | 证券名称 | 年内涨跌幅(%) | 基金管理人 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 通信ETF | 125.8065 | 国泰 | | 2 | 通信设备ETF | 121.3740 | 를 잡 | | 3 | 创业板人工智能ETF国泰 | 106.4220 | 国泰 | | ব | 矿业ETF | 106.1093 | 国泰 | | 5 | 创业板人工智能ETF南方 | 105.4422 | 南方 | | 6 | 创业板人工智能ETF华宝 | 105.0146 | 华宇 | | 7 | 有色矿业ETF招商 | 102.6887 | 摺商 | | 8 | 工业有色ETF | 100.3783 | 方家 | | 9 | 有色金属ETF | 99.9676 | 南方 | | 10 | 5G通信ETF | 99.4741 | 华夏 | | 11 | 5GETF | 97.8723 | 領学 | | 12 | 有色金属ETF基金 | 97.1875 | 表直 | | 13 | 有色50ETF | 96.2485 | 汇添富 | | 14 | 有色ETF基金 | 94.995 ...

Group 1 - The A-share market closed for 2025 with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.09%, marking an 11-day winning streak and an annual increase of 18.41%, the highest in 10 years [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.58% but recorded an annual gain of 29.87%, while the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.23% with an impressive annual rise of 49.57% [1] - The STAR 50 Index saw an annual increase of 35.92%, and the North Exchange 50 Index rose by 38.8% for the year [1] Group 2 - Various sectors such as computing hardware, non-ferrous metals, banking, battery supply chain, innovative pharmaceuticals, commercial aerospace, and robotics contributed to the Shanghai Composite Index reaching above 4000 points during the year [1] - The CPO Index had the largest gain among concept indices, increasing over 180% cumulatively [1] - In the ETF market, the commercial aerospace sector continued its upward trend, with multiple satellite ETFs rising over 7%, while the low-altitude economy sector also performed well with gains of 4.6% [1] Group 3 - In terms of annual performance, AI hardware and non-ferrous themed ETFs showed remarkable results, with the Guotai Fund Communication ETF, the Fortune Fund Communication Equipment ETF, and the Guotai Fund Mining ETF rising by 125.81%, 121.37%, and 106.11% respectively [2] - The AI hardware sector experienced a pullback, with the Growth ETF and the Double Innovation ETF both declining by 2% [2] - The energy storage battery sector also faced a downturn, with the energy storage battery ETF dropping by 1.97% [2]

来源：国际金融报 如果要为2025年的公募基金市场寻找一个年度"题眼"，答案或许并非某位明星基金经理或某只爆款产 品，而是"指数"二字。 全市场ETF规模破6.6万亿 回顾2025年，公募指数基金在全市场规模的权重正大幅提升。Wind数据显示，截至2025年三季度末， 全市场非货币ETF、ETF联接基金及其他场外指数基金总规模合计已逼近8万亿元，年内增长2.1万亿 元。 在A股结构性行情下，主动权益类基金表现分化加剧，指数基金却成了"主角"。其中，ETF更以现象级 速度"吸金"，成为指数化投资的急先锋。数据显示，截至2024年年末，全市场ETF规模合计4.66万亿 元，其中，股票型ETF规模合计2.9万亿元。仅仅过了三个季度，截至2025年三季度末，全市场ETF规模 已突破6.6万亿元，其中，股票型ETF规模已突破3.7万亿元。 股票型ETF仍是资金最青睐的类型，但与往年"宽基独大"不同，在成长风格主导下，行业和主题ETF今 年大放异彩。截至2025年12月25日，全市场股票型ETF中，行业ETF最新场内份额3260.41亿份，相比 2024年年末的2220.51份增长超千亿份；主题ETF最新场内份额7712 ...

Market Strategy - The Shanghai Composite Index has experienced seven consecutive days of gains, indicating a market that is entering a period of oscillation and upward movement, although the overall increase remains limited [2][7] - The report suggests a focus on structural investments rather than index-heavy strategies, recommending broad-based ETFs that reflect mid-cap blue-chip characteristics [7] - Key sectors identified for investment include advanced manufacturing, non-bank financials, technology, and cyclical industries, which are expected to attract incremental capital and serve as the backbone of the market during this upward trend [7] Industry Strategy - The coal industry is highlighted, with coking coal prices expected to rebound due to seasonal inventory replenishment by downstream steel and coking plants, which is anticipated to support prices in the short term [4][7] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the coking coal sector for investment opportunities, particularly as downstream purchasing behavior shifts from a wait-and-see approach to active procurement [7] - Recommended stocks in the coal sector include Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry (601225) and Jincheng Anthracite Mining Group (601001), both rated for increased holdings [7] Thematic Strategy - The humanoid robot sector is noted for significant advancements in motion control technology, with mass production expected to accelerate in 2026 [5][7] - Recent demonstrations by Tesla and Yush Robot showcase rapid progress in humanoid robot capabilities, indicating a shift in market focus towards actual production rather than just technological advancements [7] - Companies with strong manufacturing and management capabilities in the components sector are expected to benefit from this trend, with Top Group (601689) recommended for purchase [7]

来源：兵哥事务所 我们算一笔账。 如果一个年轻人研究生毕业后顺利参加工作，工资第一年为25万，工资每年递增2%，这个增速考虑和 未来中长期的通货膨胀率相当。 工作到60岁后退休开始领取退休金，退休金为第60岁工资的90%，此后退休金继续按照2%的速度递 增，持续到90岁结束。 这份工作是不是很完美了？ 我们对这笔现金流进行折现，折现率我这里按照股权资产的回报率计算。 1999年到2024年，纳斯达克指数的年化收益率高达12.5%，标普500指数为9.2%。 沪深300指数成立于2004-12-31，基准点是1000点，现在点位是4645点。我们按照21年计算，年化收益 率是7.6%，是不是也挺高的？ 我们按照4%的折现率计算，这份工作的现金价值是877.8万，如果按照8%的折现率计算，这份工作的现 金价值是455.9万。 这就是这份工作，也是一个在社会上处于中上地位的人，一辈子的财务价值。 50岁，1900亿美元。 54岁，7520亿美元，成为人类历史上首位突破7000亿美元的富豪。此时，他的财富已超过全球富豪榜第 二至第四名（拉里·佩奇、拉里·埃里森、杰夫·贝索斯）的财富总和。 稳妥期间，我们再把首付+车的 ...

Market Strategy - The Shanghai Composite Index has experienced a seven-day consecutive rise, indicating a shift towards a market structure that favors mid-cap blue-chip stocks while maintaining a cautious approach to overall index performance [2][7] - The report suggests focusing on mid-cap blue-chip characteristics in investment strategies, particularly in sectors like advanced manufacturing, non-bank finance, technology, and cyclical industries, which are expected to attract incremental capital [7] Industry Strategy - The coal industry is highlighted, with coking coal prices expected to rebound due to seasonal inventory replenishment by downstream steel and coking plants, which is anticipated to support prices in the short term [4][7] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the coking coal sector for investment opportunities, particularly as downstream purchasing behavior shifts from a wait-and-see approach to active procurement [7] Thematic Strategy - The humanoid robot sector is projected to see significant advancements in motion control technology in 2025, with mass production expected to accelerate in 2026 [5][7] - The report notes that companies with strong manufacturing and management capabilities in the components sector are likely to benefit from the rapid evolution of humanoid robots [7]

2025年最后5个交易日，沪指7连阳向4000点迈进，深证成指、创业板指录得5连涨，两市成交额小幅放 量至1.92万亿元，全市场超3700只个股上涨。 | 序号 代码 | | 名称 | 两日图 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 159231 | 通用航空ETF华宝 | 0.632 | 0.022 | 3.61% | | 2 | 512810 | 军工EIF华宇 | 0.763 | 0.022 | 2.97% | | 3 | 159851 | 金融科技ETF | 0.830 | 0.015 | 1.84% | | 4 | 601778 | 晶科科技 | 3.79 | 0.05 | 1.34% | | 5 | 512170 | 医疗ETF | 0.349 BART W | 0.004 | 1.16% | | 6 | 515710 | 食品饮料ETF华宝 | 0.599 | 0.005 | 0.84% | | 7 | 562030 | 信创ETF基金 | 0.517 | 0.004 | 0.78% | | 8 | 159292 | ...

5.83万亿元ETF市场加速生态升级。 自中国证监会发布《促进资本市场指数化投资高质量发展行动方案》（简称《行动方案》）已近一年，国内指 数化投资领域正经历从"规模扩张"到"质量跃升"的关键转型，市场生态与功能定位发生深刻变革。 2025年，指数化投资不仅在投资者结构与底层资产维度实现突破，更在优化资源配置、提升上市公司质量、服 务居民财富管理、引导中长期资金入市、维护市场稳定等五大核心领域展现出不可替代的战略价值，标志着中 国资本市场正式迈入指数化投资高质量发展的"起势之年"。 制度保障和创新引擎提供双重支撑 《行动方案》的落地，为指数化投资提供了制度保障和创新引擎的双重支撑。 今年，相关各方通过优化ETF审批流程、完善指数编制规则等举措，打破产品供给瓶颈。 ETF注册发行效率大幅提升。目前，对于跟踪成熟指数的ETF产品，基金管理人可直接向证监会申请注册。中 国证监会优化ETF注册及上市审核流程，取消ETF注册环节提交证券交易所无异议函的要求，实施ETF快速注 册机制，原则上自受理之日起5个工作日内完成注册。产品注册完成后，基金管理人根据交易所相关规则和要 求，向交易所申请发售和上市。 《推动公募基金高质量 ...