里昂发布研报称，领展房产基金(00823)2026财年上半年业绩逊预期。公司已采取应对措施，该行相信 增量负面影响将从2027财年起逐步消退。该行因香港及内地商场表现差于预期，下调领展2026财年、 2027财年及2028财年盈利预测分别4.5%、1.6%及0.3%。因美国国债收益率下降，将目标价由50.5港元上 调至51港元，维持跑赢大市评级。 里昂指，由于领展在其覆盖的香港地产股中拥有最高收益率，认为负面因素已基本反映在股价中，目前 已具备吸引力的组合，包括具备防御性的高收益率，以及潜在纳入互联互通。 ...

今年以来，在国家发展改革委等有关部委的指导下，国家开发银行围绕助力中欧班列基础设施能力提 升，加大工作推动力度，综合运用人民币融资窗口、新型政策性金融工具等多种金融产品和服务，投贷 联动助力畅通中欧班列骨干通道，提升枢纽节点承载能力和重点口岸通行能力，完善配套设施，并为中 欧班列相关运营企业提供融资支持。今年前三季度，国家开发银行向中欧班列项目发放75.9亿元贷款， 有效发挥了支持中欧班列高质量发展的主力银行作用。 支持中欧班列高质量发展是国家开发银行服务高质量共建"一带一路"的重要内容。 近年来，国家开发银行支持中欧班列境内通道瓶颈路段升级及扩能改造和重点口岸站建设，促进中欧班 列境内通道网络不断完善；服务节点城市综合物流能力建设，促进中欧班列开行由"点对点"向"枢纽对 枢纽"转变，加快形成"干支结合、枢纽集散"的高效集疏运体系；通过稳外贸、国际物流供应链专项贷 款等金融产品，为中欧班列运营主体提供支持，助推中欧班列货运能力稳步提升。 《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》提出，提升中欧（亚）班列发展水 平。国家开发银行将深入贯彻落实党的二十届四中全会精神，以高质量共建"一带一路"八项 ...

此次"粤车南下"政策是在"港车北上""澳车北上"基础上优化升级的，将进一步推动三地人员往来、经济融合与旅游消费升级。 央视网消息（新闻联播）：11月15日零时起，"粤车南下"政策正式实施，符合条件的广东私家车车主可驾车经港珠澳大桥珠海公路口岸驶入香港口岸自 动化停车场。当天零时，首辆获准的广东牌照私家车经车体检查、人脸识别，通过"一站式"查验通道顺利通关，耗时不足1分钟。 ...

（点击图片观看视频） 11月8日上午，第十五届全运会一项跨越粤港澳三地的比赛——公路自行车男子个人赛进行，这是全运会历史上首个跨境自行车赛事，100多名运动员在骑行 中6次穿越口岸，却无需1秒停顿。 第十五届全国运动会是首次由粤港澳三地联合承办的体育盛会，从"无感通关"的跨境赛事到"刷脸"通关的便捷观赛体验，大湾区正以体育赛事为媒，推动三 地规则衔接、通关便利、设施联通等水平不断提高。 除了运动员比赛中的"无感通关"，多个口岸都为全运会打造了"绿色通道"，在香港，所有已登记的赛事注册人员，可以通过16条"专属出入境通道"，解锁7 秒刷脸、丝滑通关的体验。 湾区融合向未来 运动员和观众丝滑通关的背后，其实是大湾区如今基础设施的"硬联通"和规则机制的"软联通"，而这样的联通也在不断延伸。 港珠澳大桥、深中通道、黄茅海跨海通道等串珠成链，广深港高铁"公交化"运营，大湾区"半小时交通圈"和"一小时生活圈"正从蓝图走入现实。 "粤车南下"香港政策11月15日将实施，内地居民驾车到香港国际机场、往来粤港两地经商、就业、探亲、旅游等都将更加方便。"港车北上""澳车北上"政策 落地实施以来，"北上"港澳单牌车已超过768万辆 ...

Core Insights - The Chongqing Connectivity Initiative (CCI) has achieved significant milestones over the past decade, including 347 government and commercial cooperation projects worth $26 billion and cross-border financing totaling $21.7 billion, resulting in 33 innovative institutional outcomes [1][5] Group 1: Project Achievements - The CCI has established itself as a key platform for China-Singapore cooperation, particularly in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative, facilitating high-level openness and development in western China [1][3] - Notable projects include the Raffles Hospital, the Chongqing Hanhai Ocean Park, and the Chongqing Multi-Modal Transport Demonstration Base, showcasing successful bilateral investment and cooperation [2][3] Group 2: Financial Innovations - The initiative has pioneered new financial models, such as the first real estate investment trust in Asia and green cross-border bonds, enhancing cost efficiency for over 100 western enterprises [3] - The Chongqing-New Singapore air corridor has expanded flight frequency from 5 to 24 weekly, with over 1,900 flights recorded from January to October, marking a 20.2% year-on-year increase [3] Group 3: Data and Connectivity - The establishment of the Chongqing International Internet Data Dedicated Channel has tripled the efficiency of cross-border data transmission, facilitating data sharing across multiple provinces [3][5] - The "Land-Sea New Corridor" has successfully shipped over 1 million standard containers to 581 ports in 127 countries and regions, enhancing international trade [3] Group 4: Educational and Research Initiatives - The National University of Singapore has set up a research institute in Chongqing, fostering innovation and education by incubating 45 tech companies and training 103 PhD students [5] - Regular events such as the "Singapore-Chongqing Week" and the "Chongqing-Singapore Experience Week" have been established to promote cultural and economic exchanges [5]

Core Insights - The main highlight in the A-share market is the significant rally in the consumer sector, particularly in the liquor and food and beverage segments, driven by a surprising rise in the October CPI data, which provided an entry point for funds [1][3][7] CPI Impact Analysis - The increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in October is primarily attributed to rising prices of food and liquor, along with a recovery in certain service consumption demands [3] - For sectors like liquor and dairy, a higher CPI indicates improved profit expectations due to demand elasticity and price increase effects, enhancing companies' gross profit margins [4] - The rise in CPI supports a recovery in fund preferences for consumer goods, making them a dual-purpose investment choice amid inflation expectations [5] - The fourth quarter leading up to the Spring Festival is a peak consumption season, providing a time advantage for early positioning [6] Market Rotation Mechanism - Fund rotation in the A-share market typically follows three dimensions: sustained high prosperity (consumption, pharmaceuticals), undervalued rebound (cyclical, financial), and policy catalysts with new themes (infrastructure, technology growth) [8] - Following the consumer sector's initiation, short-term funds are likely to differentiate within the consumer line (liquor → dairy → food processing → catering and tourism) before switching to low-positioned sectors with catalysts, such as chemical resources, brokerage, and digital economy [8][9] Potential Beneficiary Sectors 1. **Investment Policies**: Infrastructure, low-altitude economy, and digitalization sectors are expected to benefit from new investment policies, particularly in railways, nuclear power, and digital transformation [10] 2. **Southbound Funds**: The cumulative net purchase of southbound funds has exceeded 50 billion HKD, with significant inflows into Hong Kong stocks, indicating potential for increased investment in related ETFs and dual-listed companies [12] 3. **Brokerage Strategies**: Brokerages are optimistic about various sectors, including their own, old economy stocks, and technology growth, providing diverse investment directions [13] Fund Flow Signals - The total transaction volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was below 2.2 trillion, with a potential increase to 2.5 trillion indicating a successful continuation of market momentum [14][15] Focus Areas for Strategy - Key sectors to monitor include the consumer chain (liquor, dairy, food processing), policy-driven sectors (low-altitude economy, digital transformation), and brokerage financials [16][17] - The strategy emphasizes capturing the initial wave of fund inflows during specific time windows, with a bullish outlook for the market if transaction volumes increase [18]

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported strong financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, driven by record trading volumes in the cash market and leading global IPO fundraising [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, HKEX achieved revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 21.85 billion and HKD 13.42 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 36.6% and 44.8% respectively [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded revenue and net profit of HKD 7.78 billion and HKD 4.90 billion, with year-on-year growth of 44.7% and 55.8%, and quarter-on-quarter increases of 8% and 10% [1]. - Q3 net profit reached a historical high, with various segments such as trading, listing, clearing, and data services showing substantial year-on-year growth [1]. Market Activity - The average daily trading (ADT) for Hong Kong stocks in the first three quarters of 2025 was approximately HKD 256.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 126.3%, with Q3 ADT reaching HKD 286.4 billion, up 142.3% year-on-year [2]. - The Hong Kong IPO market saw 69 new listings in the first three quarters, raising HKD 188.3 billion, a significant year-on-year increase of 238.7% [2]. - As of the end of October, HKEX's IPO fundraising exceeded USD 26 billion, ranking first globally [2]. Investment Income - Margin investment income increased by 16% due to a 47% year-on-year growth in the margin scale of the Hong Kong clearing company [2]. - The company redeemed its external portfolio in Q2 2025, which negatively impacted investment income, with external portfolio returns down 39% year-on-year [2]. Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about the deepening of mutual market access and the appreciation of the Renminbi, leading to an upward revision of the net profit forecast for 2025 to HKD 18 billion, maintaining a "buy" rating [3].

Core Viewpoint - Western Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) and is optimistic about the deepening of mutual market access and the appreciation of the Renminbi, raising the forecast for 2025 net profit to HKD 18 billion [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, HKEX reported revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 21.85 billion and HKD 13.42 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 36.6% and 44.8% respectively [1] - In Q3 2025, HKEX achieved revenue and net profit of HKD 7.78 billion and HKD 4.90 billion, with year-on-year increases of 44.7% and 55.8%, and quarter-on-quarter increases of 8% and 10% [1] - Q3 net profit reached a historical high, slightly exceeding previous expectations [1] Group 2: Market Activity - The Hong Kong cash market achieved record trading volumes, with an average daily turnover (ADT) of approximately HKD 256.4 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 126.3% [2] - In Q3 2025, the ADT reached approximately HKD 286.4 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 142.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 20% [2] - The Southbound and Northbound ADT reached HKD 125.9 billion and RMB 206.4 billion respectively, with year-on-year increases of 284.9% and 143.5% [2] Group 3: IPO and Derivatives Market - In the first three quarters of 2025, the Hong Kong market saw 69 new IPOs, raising a total of HKD 188.3 billion, which is a year-on-year increase of 238.7% [2] - As of the end of October, the total IPO fundraising amount exceeded USD 26 billion, ranking first globally [2] - The average daily trading volume of derivatives and LME continued to grow, with average daily contract numbers and commodity ADV increasing by 11% and 4% year-on-year respectively [2] Group 4: Investment Income - Margin investment income growth is a key support for investment income, with margin scale increasing by 47% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025 [2] - The company fully redeemed its external portfolio in Q2 2025 to raise funds for headquarters property, leading to a 39% year-on-year decline in external portfolio income for Q1-Q3 2025 [2] - The average overnight HIBOR in October has rebounded to 2.8% from a low of 0.02% at the end of June, but may still show volatility due to potential Fed rate cuts and the impact of external portfolio redemption on annual investment income [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][3] Core Insights - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported record high profits driven by high trading activity, with revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reaching HKD 218.5 billion and HKD 134.2 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 36.6% and 44.8% [1][6] - In Q3 2025 alone, the company achieved revenues and net profits of HKD 77.8 billion and HKD 49.0 billion, marking year-on-year increases of 44.7% and 55.8%, and quarter-on-quarter increases of 8% and 10% [1][6] - The report highlights significant growth in various segments, including trading, listing, clearing, custody, data, and investment income, with year-on-year increases of 57.3%, 17.1%, 65.7%, 24.9%, 8.1%, 10.3%, and 4.4%, respectively [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the average daily trading (ADT) in the Hong Kong stock market was approximately HKD 2,564 billion, a year-on-year increase of 126.3%, with Q3 ADT reaching HKD 2,864 billion, up 142.3% year-on-year and 20% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The number of IPOs in the Hong Kong market reached 69 in the first three quarters of 2025, raising HKD 1,883 billion, a year-on-year increase of 238.7% [2] - The report notes that the average daily trading volume for derivatives and LME continued to grow, with contract numbers and commodity ADV increasing by 11% and 4% year-on-year, respectively [2] Investment Income - Margin investment income was a key support for overall investment income, with a 16% increase in margin investment income driven by a 47% year-on-year increase in margin size [3] - The report indicates that external portfolio returns were down 39% year-on-year due to the redemption of external portfolios, which may impact overall investment income for the year [3] Future Outlook - The report expresses optimism regarding the deepening of mutual market access and the appreciation of the Renminbi, leading to an increase in the company's valuation [3] - The forecast for net profit for 2025 has been raised to HKD 180 billion [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan raises the profit forecast for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388) and maintains a "buy" rating, citing strong trading activity in the Hong Kong stock market and expectations for continued market engagement due to the return of quality Chinese assets and the extension of cross-border connectivity to IPOs [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025 (9M25), Hong Kong Exchanges reported total revenue of HKD 21.85 billion, a year-on-year increase of 37%, with main revenue at HKD 20.44 billion, up 41% [2]. - Net profit for 9M25 reached HKD 13.42 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 45% [2]. - In the third quarter of 2025 (3Q25), main revenue was HKD 7.48 billion, up 54% year-on-year and 13% quarter-on-quarter, while net profit was HKD 4.90 billion, increasing by 56% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue sources for 9M25 include: trading fees at HKD 7.83 billion (39%), clearing and settlement fees at HKD 5.27 billion (26%), investment income at HKD 3.89 billion (19%), listing fees at HKD 1.27 billion (6%), and market data fees at HKD 0.87 billion (4%) [3]. - Year-on-year growth rates for various fees include: trading fees +57%, clearing and settlement fees +66%, listing fees +17%, and market data fees +8% [3]. Trading Activity - The average daily turnover (ADT) for Hong Kong stocks in 9M25 was HKD 238.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 132%, with 3Q25 ADT reaching a record high of HKD 267.9 billion, up 150% year-on-year [3]. - Southbound ADT for 9M25 was HKD 125.9 billion, up 229%, while northbound ADT was RMB 206.4 billion, up 67% [3]. IPO Market - In 9M25, the Hong Kong IPO market raised HKD 188.3 billion, three times the amount raised in the same period last year, with 69 new IPOs [5]. - As of the end of 3Q25, there were 297 IPO applications in process, compared to 84 at the end of 2024 [5]. Investment Income - Investment income for 3Q25 was HKD 1.02 billion, down 16% year-on-year and 34% quarter-on-quarter, contributing 21% to net profit [6]. - The decline in investment income was attributed to reduced external fund composition and narrowed exchange rate gains [6].