交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证号：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 玻璃早报 2025-12-16 每日观点 玻璃： 1、基本面：生产利润修复乏力但供给收缩不及预期；地产拖累下游深加工订单偏弱，库存同期历 史高位；偏空 2、基差：浮法玻璃河北沙河大板现货948元/吨，FG2605收盘价为1039元/吨，基差为-91元，期货 升水现货；偏空 3、库存：全国浮法玻璃企业库存5822.70万重量箱，较前一周减少2.04%，库存在5年均值上方运 行；偏空 4、盘面：价格在20日线下方运行，20日线向下；偏空 5、主力持仓：主力持仓净空，空减；偏空 6、预期：玻璃基本面疲弱，短期预计震荡偏弱运行为主。 影响因素总结 利多： 1、沙河地区"煤改气" ，行业冷修，产量损失。 利空： 1、地产终端需求依然疲弱，玻璃深加工企业订单 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [8][66] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the need for stable real estate market policies, including controlling inventory and improving supply, as highlighted in the Central Economic Work Conference [3][13] - It notes that the easing of monetary and fiscal policies in China is expected to support the real estate market's recovery, with a focus on stabilizing transactions and prices [3][6] - The report anticipates a turning point in the building materials sector's capacity cycle due to supply-side reforms and a recovery in home-buying willingness driven by lower interest rates [6][13] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The report outlines several key policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, including the encouragement of purchasing existing homes for affordable housing and reforms to the housing provident fund system [3][13] - It mentions that the sales area of commercial housing has been declining since its peak in 2021, indicating the market is entering a bottoming phase [3][6] Recent High-Frequency Data - As of December 12, 2025, the average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement is 341.1 CNY/ton, showing a 0.3% increase week-on-week but a 17.9% decrease year-on-year [4][14] - The average ex-factory price of glass (5.00mm) is 1091.4 CNY/ton, reflecting a 1.0% decrease week-on-week and a 19.5% decrease year-on-year [4][25] Sector Review - The report indicates that the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34%, while the Shenzhen Composite Index rose by 0.18%. The building materials index decreased by 1.41% [5][52] - Among sub-sectors, fiberglass manufacturing increased by 1.11%, while cement manufacturing decreased by 1.21% [5][52] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three main investment lines: high-quality companies benefiting from stock renovations, undervalued stocks with long-term alpha attributes, and leading cyclical building materials companies showing signs of bottoming [6][58]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [8][64] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the need for stable real estate market policies, including controlling inventory and encouraging the construction of quality housing [3][13] - It highlights that the construction materials sector is expected to benefit from supply-side reforms and a potential recovery in housing demand due to lower interest rates and supportive policies [6][13] - The report notes that the market is becoming increasingly sensitive to policy easing as the sales area of commercial housing has been declining for over three years [3][6] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The central economic work conference has outlined measures to stabilize the real estate market, including promoting the construction of quality housing and reforming the housing provident fund system [3][13] - The report anticipates that the construction materials sector will see a turning point in the capacity cycle due to supply-side reforms and improved purchasing intentions driven by lower interest rates [6][13] Recent High-Frequency Data - As of December 12, 2025, the average price of bulk P.O 42.5 cement is 341.1 CNY/ton, a 0.3% increase from last week but a 17.9% decrease year-on-year [4][14] - The average price of glass (5.00mm) is 1091.4 CNY/ton, down 1.0% from last week and down 19.5% year-on-year [4][22] Sector Review - The construction materials index has decreased by 1.41%, with sub-sectors like glass manufacturing and cement manufacturing showing declines of 1.79% and 1.21%, respectively [5][51] - The report suggests that the construction materials sector's fundamentals and valuations are expected to recover further, with specific recommendations for stocks in the sector [6][51]

旗滨集团表示，未来三年公司在足额预留盈余公积金以后，每年以现金方式分配的利润（含年度、中期 分配）高于当年实现的可供分配利润的50%。记者发现，公司最近3年以现金方式累计分配的利润不少 于当年可分配利润的50%。 记者发现，除了旗滨集团，上市湘企邵阳液压、华锐精密也于近期发布分红公告。其中邵阳液压于12月 10日发布公告，表示单一年度以现金方式分配的利润不少于当年度实现的可分配利润的10%。同日，公 司发布公告拟6亿元并购新承航锐，深化公司在高端制造产业的布局。华锐精密于12月2日发布公告表 示，今年前三季度，公司实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润137445757.34 元，截至2025年9月30日，公 司合并报表期末可供分配利润为659000092.36 元（以上财务数据未经审计）。经董事会决议，公司拟向 全体股东每10股派发现金红利6元（含税），合计拟派发现金红利56140920.60 元（含税）。 长沙晚报掌上长沙12月15日讯（全媒体记者 刘军）今年以来，上市公司以现金分红等方式积极回馈投 资者。截至12月12日，A股上市公司现金分红总额达到2.47万亿元，已超过2024年全年的现金分红总 额。并且，不 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证号：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 玻璃早报 2025-12-15 每日观点 玻璃： 1、基本面：生产利润修复乏力但供给收缩不及预期；地产拖累下游深加工订单偏弱，库存同期历 史高位；偏空 2、基差：浮法玻璃河北沙河大板现货948元/吨，FG2601收盘价为935元/吨，基差为13元，期货贴 水现货；偏多 3、库存：全国浮法玻璃企业库存5822.70万重量箱，较前一周减少2.04%，库存在5年均值上方运 行；偏空 4、盘面：价格在20日线下方运行，20日线向下；偏空 5、主力持仓：主力持仓净空，空增；偏空 6、预期：玻璃基本面疲弱，短期预计震荡偏弱运行为主。 影响因素总结 利多： 1、沙河地区"煤改气" ，行业冷修，产量损失。 利空： 主要逻辑和风险点 1、主要逻辑：玻璃供给低位企稳 ...

晨会速递 分析师点评 市场数据 总量研究 【宏观】财政发力，社融回稳——2025 年 11 月金融数据点评 得益于财政加力，11 月金融数据有所回稳，具体表现为地方债供给提速减少了对社 融增速的拖累，以及财政支出加快转化为一般存款从而支撑货币供应表现。但信贷结 构短期化更多反映了银行调节指标的需求，以及内生性增长动能不足的顽疾。此次金 融数据的亮点则在于，流动性环境友好，企业债融资大幅增长对社融构成积极贡献。 风险提示：财政刺激政策落地不及预期；流动性投放有缺口导致资金面出现波动。 【策略】新一轮政策部署护航，A 股跨年行情可期——策略周专题（2025 年 12 月第 2 期） 2025 年 12 月 15 日 | | 商品市场 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | SHFESHFE 黄金 | 970.66 | 1.33 | | SHFESHFE 燃油 | 2368 | -0.59 | | SHFESHFE 铜 | 94080 | 2.03 | | SHFESHFE 锌 | 23605 | 2.65 | | SHFESHFE 铝 | 22170 | 0.91 | | ...

Group 1: Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The core contradictions affecting the glass and soda ash markets include potential glass production line cold repairs from December to the Spring Festival, which may impact far - month pricing and market expectations; the near - month 01 contract of glass will follow the delivery logic with a focus on warehouse receipt games, while soda ash is cost - priced with limited upward valuation elasticity; currently, the high inventory of glass in the middle - stream needs to be digested, and soda ash is in a state of supply - demand surplus [2]. - For short - term trading, the 01 contract's game is about warehouse receipts, and the 05 contract is more about expectations. With unclear short - term drivers, it is advisable to observe [6]. Group 3: Summary by Chapters Chapter 1: Core Contradictions and Strategy Suggestions 1.1 Core Contradictions - Glass: Some glass production lines may undergo cold repairs from December to the Spring Festival, affecting far - month pricing. The near - month 01 contract follows the delivery logic, and the middle - stream high inventory and off - season demand suppress spot prices [2]. - Soda ash: It is cost - priced. Although there are occasional supply cut - backs, new production capacities are pending, and the output remains at a medium - high level. With the expectation of glass cold repairs, the rigid demand for soda ash is expected to decline [2]. 1.2 Trading Strategy Suggestions - Trend judgment: There are still differences in the near - term spot market. The cold repair expectation and middle - stream high inventory require observation of the persistence of unexpected cold repairs and spot feedback. Cost and supply expectations affect far - month pricing. - Strategy suggestion: The 01 contract's game is about warehouse receipts, and the 05 contract is more about expectations. Observe due to unclear short - term drivers [6]. 1.3 Basic Data Overview - Glass: The average price of glass spot decreased slightly. The prices of the 01, 05, and 09 contracts all declined, with the 05 contract dropping by 3.51%, the 09 contract by 3.02%, and the 01 contract by 2.2% [8][9]. - Soda ash: The prices of the 01, 05, and 09 contracts of soda ash also declined, with the 05 contract dropping by 2.34%, the 09 contract by 2.31%, and the 01 contract by 0.91% [11][12]. Chapter 2: This Week's Important Information and Next Week's Focus Events 2.1 This Week's Important Information - Bullish information: Some glass production lines are expected to undergo cold repairs in December, and the National Development and Reform Commission will control high - energy - consuming and high - emission projects from next year, leading to potential supply - side policy expectations [12]. - Bearish information: The high inventory of glass in the middle - stream persists, and there is still room for price cuts, affecting the delivery price of the 01 contract. New production capacities of soda ash are expected to be put into operation, and the expectation of glass cold repairs will reduce the rigid demand for soda ash [13]. 2.2 Next Week's Important Events - Monitor whether there are further clear instructions on industrial policies, glass production and sales, spot prices, and soda ash spot transactions [18]. Chapter 3: Market Interpretation Unilateral Trends and Capital Movements - The long - short game of the glass 01 contract may continue until near delivery. The increase in near - term cold repairs and middle - stream high inventory lead to differences in the spot market, while far - month supply cuts and cost increases may affect market pricing and expectations [15]. Basis and Calendar Spread Structure - Glass: The 1 - 5 spread of glass began to narrow this week, showing a positive spread trend, mainly because the near - month contract has a low valuation and short - sellers shifted to far - month contracts. - Soda ash: It generally maintains a C - structure. This week, the 1 - 5 calendar spread of soda ash strengthened from around - 70 to around - 30. With the launch of new production capacities, the long - term outlook has deteriorated again [20]. Chapter 4: Valuation and Profit Analysis 4.1 Upstream and Downstream Profit Tracking - Glass: Natural gas - fired production lines are in loss, while petroleum coke and coal - gas production lines have a small profit. - Soda ash: The cash - flow cost of the ammonia - soda process in Shandong is around 1,240 yuan/ton, and that of the combined - soda process in Central China is around 1,170 yuan/ton [33][34]. 4.2 Import and Export Analysis - Glass: The monthly average net export of float glass is 6 - 7 million tons, accounting for 1.4% of the apparent demand, with limited impact. - Soda ash: The monthly average net export of soda ash is 18 - 21 million tons, accounting for 5.8% of the apparent demand, and the export in October exceeded 21 million tons, maintaining high expectations [36]. Chapter 5: Supply, Demand, and Inventory 5.1 Supply - side and Projections - Glass: The daily melting volume of glass has dropped to around 155,000 tons, and some cold - repair production lines are yet to be realized in December, with an expected further decline in daily melting volume [43]. - Soda ash: The current daily production of soda ash has slightly rebounded to around 104,000 - 105,000 tons. New production capacities are expected to be put into operation, increasing the long - term supply pressure [46]. 5.2 Demand - side and Projections - Glass: Terminal demand remains weak, downstream replenishment is limited in the off - season, and the middle - stream maintains high - level low - price replenishment. The 01 contract mainly focuses on warehouse receipt games [49]. - Soda ash: The rigid demand for soda ash is temporarily stable, and downstream enterprises mainly replenish inventory at low prices. With the expectation of glass cold repairs, the rigid demand for soda ash is expected to weaken [58][59]. 5.3 Inventory Analysis - Glass: The manufacturer's inventory is 58.227 million weight boxes, a month - on - month decrease of 1.216 million weight boxes (- 2.05%), and a year - on - year increase of 22.26%. The inventory days are 26.3 days, a decrease of 0.5 days from the previous period. The middle - stream inventories in Shahe and Hubei remain high [65]. - Soda ash: The total inventory of soda ash is 1.4943 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 44,300 tons. The upstream inventory is being depleted, and the replenishment of light and heavy soda ash is good [65].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 12 14 年 月 日 建筑材料 作者 分析师 沈猛 执业证书编号：S0680522050001 邮箱：shenmeng@gszq.com 分析师 陈冠宇 2025 年 12 月 8 日至 12 月 12 日建筑材料板块（SW）下跌 1.90%，其中 水泥（SW）下跌 1.21%，玻璃制造（SW）下跌 1.99%，玻纤制造（SW） 下跌 2.32%，装修建材（SW）下跌 2.27%，本周建材板块相对沪深 300 超额收益-1.01%。本期建筑材料板块（SW）资金净流入额为-8.10 亿元。 【周数据总结和观点】 本周中央经济工作会议强调，要着力稳定房地产市场，因城施策控增量、 去库存、优供给，鼓励收购存量商品房重点用于保障性住房等。深化住房 公积金制度改革，有序推动"好房子"建设。加快构建房地产发展新模式。 积极有序化解地方政府债务风险，督促各地主动化债，不得违规新增隐性 债务。优化债务重组和置换办法，多措并举化解地方政府融资平台经营性 债务风险。根据 wind 统计，2025 年 11 月地方政府债总发行量 9126.91 亿元，发行金额环比 ...

2020-2025年1-10月中国夹层玻璃产量统计图 上市企业：旗滨集团（601636）,南玻Ａ（000012）,福耀玻璃（600660）,金晶科技（600586）,凯盛新能 （600876）,耀皮玻璃（600819）,山东药玻（600529）,亚玛顿（002623） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国夹层玻璃行业市场现状调查及发展趋向研判报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年10月中国夹层玻璃产量为1344万平方米，同比下降9.1%；2025年1-10 月中国夹层玻璃累计产量为13423万平方米，累计增长4.6%。 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese flat glass industry is experiencing a mixed performance in production, with a slight year-on-year increase in October 2025, but a cumulative decline observed from January to October 2025 [1]. Group 1: Industry Overview - In October 2025, China's flat glass production reached 82.5 million weight cases, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.3% [1]. - From January to October 2025, the cumulative production of flat glass in China was 805.427 million weight cases, reflecting a cumulative decline of 4.4% [1]. Group 2: Related Companies - Listed companies in the flat glass sector include Qibin Group (601636), Nanshan Glass A (000012), Jinjing Technology (600586), Kaisheng New Energy (600876), Yaopi Glass (600819), Shandong Pharmaceutical Glass (600529), Yamaton (002623), and Fuyao Glass (600660) [1].