Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Outperform" compared to the market, indicating a potential increase of over 10% relative to the market index in the next six months [4][50]. Core Insights - In 2024, the SW electronics industry is expected to achieve a revenue of CNY 3,329.907 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.90%. The gross margin is projected to be 15.47%, a slight decline of 0.31 percentage points, primarily due to raw material cost pressures. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be CNY 129.296 billion, a significant increase of 43.07% year-on-year, indicating improved profitability [1][13]. - In Q1 2025, the industry is anticipated to generate revenue of CNY 823.831 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 17.98%, and a net profit of CNY 34.263 billion, reflecting a 29.58% increase year-on-year, marking the highest growth in nearly three years for Q1 [1][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The SW electronics industry is experiencing a recovery in performance, with 2024 showing a significant improvement in revenue and net profit. The overall expense ratio has decreased, indicating better cost control [1][13]. - Q1 2025 has set new records for revenue and net profit, both achieving double-digit year-on-year growth [1][19]. 2. Subsector Analysis - **Semiconductors**: The sector is expected to recover in 2024, with Q1 2025 continuing this upward trend. Key subsectors like integrated circuit manufacturing and analog chip design have returned to profitability, driven by demand from terminal recovery and AI computing [2][20]. - **Consumer Electronics**: Performance is mixed, with revenue growth outpacing profit growth due to raw material cost pressures. New product launches and promotional events are expected to boost demand [2][24]. - **Optoelectronics**: The panel sector has returned to profitability, aided by improved supply dynamics and production strategies. All subsectors showed revenue growth in Q1 2025, reflecting overall recovery [2][29]. - **Components**: The sector benefits from the high demand in the AI computing supply chain, with significant revenue and profit growth in Q1 2025 [3][34]. - **Electronic Chemicals**: This sector has shown steady revenue growth, with improved profitability in Q1 2025 due to the overall recovery in the semiconductor industry [3][40]. - **Other Electronics**: This sector's performance has improved, but profit growth has lagged behind revenue growth due to cost pressures [3][46]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The SW electronics industry is expected to see overall growth in 2024 and Q1 2025, with varying performance across subsectors. Key areas to watch include digital chip design, advanced packaging, and PCB sectors, which are showing signs of improved profitability [3][46].

Group 1 - The core index, the China Securities Hong Kong and US Listed Global Smart Car Theme Index, reported a value of 5461.69 points, with a recent one-month increase of 8.39%, a three-month decrease of 10.04%, and a year-to-date decline of 9.83% [1] - The index comprises 50 listed companies involved in smart automotive sectors such as perception positioning, decision planning, control execution, smart cockpit, and vehicle networking, reflecting the overall performance of these companies in the Hong Kong and US markets [1] - The index is based on a starting point of 1000.0 points as of December 30, 2016 [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings of the index include Li Auto-W (9.52%), NVIDIA Corp (9.44%), Xpeng Motors-W (8.84%), Tesla Motors Inc (8.59%), Marvell Technology Group Ltd (6.26%), Rivian Automotive Inc. (5.6%), Lucid Group Inc (3.64%), Aurora Innovation Inc. (3.61%), Baidu Group-SW (3.27%), and Analog Devices Inc (3.19%) [2] - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Nasdaq Global Select Market (60.44%), followed by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (29.66%), Nasdaq Capital Market (5.02%), and New York Stock Exchange (4.88%) [2] - In terms of industry distribution, passenger vehicles account for 23.02%, digital media for 3.27%, optical optoelectronics for 3.05%, and automotive parts and tires for 0.32% [2] Group 3 - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [3] - Weight factors are adjusted in accordance with the sample changes, and generally remain fixed until the next scheduled adjustment [3] - Special circumstances may lead to temporary adjustments, including the removal of samples that are delisted or undergo mergers, acquisitions, or splits [3]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Technology Index increased by over 5%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by more than 3% [1] - Sunny Optical Technology surged approximately 17%, and AAC Technologies experienced a rise of around 16% [1]

证券研究报告 | 策略研究 gszqdatemark 2025 05 12 年 月 日 投资策略 财报过后，供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 一、策略专题：供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 4 月 30 日，A 股 2024 年报与 2025 一季报披露完毕，我们结合最新数据 对供给出清、出口链与高股息行业进行再梳理。 从供需格局的角度，有两类行业值得关注，第一类是左侧思路的"供给出 清"行业，即库存与产能均处于较为明显的出清状态，在需求能够保持稳 定甚至高速增长的背景下，上述行业有望凸显盈利弹性，25Q1 具备上述 特征的行业主要包括塑料、通用设备、游戏、种植业、小金属、光学光电 子、通信服务。 即国内需求存在压力的情况下，海外收入占比较高的出口链有望取得独立 景气，我们结合 2024 年上市公司主营构成与海关总署披露的出口数据对 各行业海外收入占比进行测算，当前全球出口链重点行业包括其他家电、 消费电子、航运港口、小家电、工程机械等。 第二类行业是右侧思路的"强势扩产"行业，即营收高速增长反映需求旺 盛，同时产能扩张处于较高水平，未来有望通过提高产量推动利润扩张， 25Q1 具备上述特征的行业主要包括其他电子 ...

证券研究报告 | 策略研究 gszqdatemark 2025 05 12 年 月 日 投资策略 财报过后，供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 一、策略专题：供给出清、出口链与高股息再梳理 4 月 30 日，A 股 2024 年报与 2025 一季报披露完毕，我们结合最新数据 对供给出清、出口链与高股息行业进行再梳理。 1.3 高股息：交运与消费部分行业股息率有明显抬升 我们结合各行业 2025 年现金分红情况与最新的 PE（ TTM）对预期股息率 进行测算，高股息重点行业包括煤炭开采、油气开采、炼化与贸易、航运 港口、白色家电等。值得提示的是，今年交运与消费部分行业股息率相对 上年有明显抬升，包括航运港口、物流、白色家电、装修建材等。 二、策略观点：变盘仍未结束，静待方向明确 大势研判：本周 A 股市场继续凸显韧性，ETF 保持净流出态势反映护盘资 金入场力度减少，而 A 股仍然稳中有升，同时成交量能保持在万亿以上。 此前我们指出，受海内外因素影响，市场处于变盘点，需要密切关注风格 是否出现切换：特朗普对华态度出现缓和、4 月政治局会议落地、A 股 2024 年报与 2025 一季报将完整披露。而目前来看，我们 ...

Core Viewpoint - The 20th "China Optics Valley" International Optoelectronics Expo marks a significant event in the global optoelectronics industry, showcasing China's advancements and leadership in this field [1][10]. Industry Overview - Wuhan is recognized as the birthplace of China's first optical fiber and has played a pivotal role in advancing the optoelectronics industry over the past fifty years [1]. - The city has established itself as a global leader in optical communication technologies, with companies like Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable Joint Stock Limited Company (YOFC) showcasing cutting-edge innovations such as hollow core fibers [7][10]. Technological Advancements - YOFC is the only company globally that has independently mastered three mainstream optical fiber preform preparation technologies and has successfully industrialized them [7]. - The industry has seen significant breakthroughs, including the creation of world records in optical transmission capacity by companies like FiberHome Technologies Group [9]. Innovation and Growth - Wuhan's optical electronics industry has achieved a remarkable growth trajectory, with the sector's scale surpassing 765.5 billion yuan, 820.9 billion yuan, and 977.4 billion yuan in recent years, making it the largest industry in Hubei province [14]. - The city ranks 13th globally in the 2024 Global Innovation Index, reflecting a 30-position increase since 2018, indicating a strong focus on technological innovation [10]. Industry Collaboration and Future Plans - The expo features nearly a hundred core technologies debuting in the optoelectronics field, with leading enterprises and "little giant" companies participating [10]. - Plans such as the "World Optics Valley Construction Action Plan" and the "Three-Year Action Plan for Breakthrough Development of Optoelectronic Information Industry" have been initiated to further enhance the industry [21][22].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guangxun Technology, has established itself as a leading supplier in the optical communication device sector in China, benefiting from the rapid growth of the global AI industry and the increasing demand for optical modules [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, Guangxun Technology reported total revenue of 2.222 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 72.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 million yuan, up 95.02% [1][3]. - For the full year 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 8.272 billion yuan, a 36.49% increase compared to the previous year, with a net profit of 661 million yuan, reflecting a 6.82% growth [3]. Group 2: Industry Position and Growth - Guangxun Technology is recognized as a pioneer in the optical device and module sector, with a significant market share of 5.3% in the global optical device market, ranking fifth [3]. - The company has invested over 700 million yuan in research and development in 2024, marking a more than 20% increase from the previous year, which has enhanced its competitive edge and technological capabilities [3]. Group 3: Product Development and Innovation - The company launched a leading 1.6T silicon photonics optical module at the 49th Global Optical Communication Conference in March 2024, which is compatible with mature CMOS processes and supports high-speed data transmission [2]. - Guangxun Technology's first phase of its high-end optical electronic device industrial base was successfully completed by the end of 2024, featuring an automated production line for 400G and 800G high-speed optical modules [2]. - A second phase project has been announced with a total investment of 6.75 billion yuan, focusing on the research and industrialization of 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T optical modules, which is a key development direction for the next 3-5 years [2].

Group 1: Xi Di Wei - Xi Di Wei achieved total revenue of 545.51 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 38.58%, with a gross profit of 169.67 million yuan, up 17.59% [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 177.68 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.56%, but a net loss of 27.26 million yuan, indicating a narrowing of losses [1] - The company's smart visual perception business, particularly the voice coil motor driver chips, is a major growth driver, with expected shipment value reaching 541.92 million yuan in 2024 [1] Group 2: Bo Si Software - Bo Si Software is actively embracing AI, developing a vertical scene strategy with diverse AI products, including medical collaboration tools and digital procurement solutions [2] - The company achieved total revenue of 2.14 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.79%, while net profit decreased by 7.44% [2] - Bo Si Software has made progress in electronic voucher business in medical and administrative sectors, promoting in over 20 regions [2] Group 3: Jia Man Apparel - Jia Man Apparel plans to adopt a cooperative model for adult shoes after the expiration of the Hush Puppies authorization, focusing on classic casual styles for men's and women's clothing [3] - The design and sales teams consist of company veterans and external hires, with positive feedback from franchisees regarding the 2025 autumn/winter product designs [3] - The company maintains a relatively stable dividend ratio and does not rule out increasing the dividend ratio in the future [3] Group 4: Hong Jing Optoelectronics - Hong Jing Optoelectronics reported high growth in panoramic/sports camera business and new ventures in Q1 2025, although gross margins declined due to high costs of new camera module chips [4] - The smart automotive business serves major clients like Desay SV and Baolong Technology, with end customers including Chery, Geely, and Xpeng [4] - The company aims to implement a "3+N" product strategy to expand into AI hardware and machine vision fields [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in 2024 revenue due to delays in defense product deliveries, but showed a recovery in Q1 2025 with a notable increase in revenue and profitability [1][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 41%, primarily due to delays in defense product deliveries. However, revenue from civilian products reached 760 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was -210 million yuan, a shift from profit to loss, mainly due to delayed defense product deliveries and increased R&D investments [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 310 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 960,000 yuan, marking a return to profitability [1]. Profitability Analysis - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 9.8%, a decrease of 6.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was -15.9%, a decline of 19 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to delays in defense product deliveries [1]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin improved to 19.2%, an increase of 6.6 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 0.4%, an increase of 4.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a rapid recovery in profitability [1]. Expense Analysis - The expense ratio for 2024 was 26.2%, an increase of 11.7 percentage points year-on-year. The breakdown includes a sales expense ratio of 0.7%, a management expense ratio of 12.9%, a R&D expense ratio of 13.1%, and a financial expense ratio of -0.52% [2]. Industry Insights - The defense sector is experiencing rapid advancements in information technology and increasing demand for precision-guided munitions. The company is a leader in this niche market with high product barriers [2]. - The company possesses strong core technology in laser-guided munitions and is actively expanding into infrared, television, radar, and composite guidance technologies, anticipating a continuous release of demand as the penetration of precision-guided weapons increases [2]. - The optical materials and components industry is seeing a shift towards China, with the company’s subsidiary covering the entire industry chain from materials to infrared lenses, holding a global market share of approximately 15% and a Chinese market share of about 30% [3]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.3 billion yuan, 3 billion yuan, and 3.8 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 80 million yuan, 110 million yuan, and 140 million yuan during the same period, with a CAGR of 31% [4].

Economic Growth - In 2024, Hubei's GDP grew by 5.8% year-on-year, reaching a total economic volume of 6 trillion yuan [1] - In the first quarter of 2024, Hubei's GDP increased by 6.3%, marking the highest growth rate in nearly 12 quarters [1] Technological Innovation - Hubei has established a robust technological innovation framework, including 1 national laboratory, 8 major scientific facilities, and 525 new R&D institutions [2] - The province has achieved breakthroughs in various fields, including the development of artificial blood vessels and 8-inch silicon-based gallium nitride substrates [2] Talent Development - Hubei aims to cultivate and attract a significant number of talents, including 10 strategic scientists and 1,000 outstanding young scientific talents over the next 3 to 5 years [3] - The province will publish an annual list of major scientific projects to attract global talent [3] Industrial Foundation - Hubei is focusing on enhancing its industrial competitiveness through the "51020" advanced manufacturing cluster strategy, which includes 5 trillion-level pillar industries and 20 billion-level characteristic industries [4][5] - The province has become a leading base for optical electronic chips and a significant player in the commercial aerospace and new energy vehicle sectors [5] Open Economy - Hubei's geographical advantages facilitate its role as a hub for domestic and international trade, with new international cargo routes being established [7][8] - The province is actively integrating into the new development pattern, enhancing its logistics capabilities and expanding its international trade network [8] Ecological Development - Hubei prioritizes ecological sustainability, with 67.8% of its energy capacity coming from clean energy sources in 2024 [11] - The province is also a key player in carbon trading, with a cumulative transaction of 5 billion tons of carbon quotas, ranking first globally [11] Regional Collaboration - Hubei is enhancing regional cooperation, particularly through the development of urban clusters like the Wuhan metropolitan area, which is expected to exceed 4 trillion yuan in economic output [12][13] - The province is also fostering collaboration with neighboring regions to create a synergistic economic environment [12]