Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in April dropped to 49%, indicating a contraction, while the non-manufacturing business activity index and the composite PMI output index remained in the expansion zone at 50.4% and 50.2% respectively, reflecting a stable economic foundation despite external uncertainties [1][5]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI decreased by 1.5 percentage points in April, attributed to external environmental changes and seasonal factors, as March is typically a peak season for manufacturing [1][2]. - The new orders index for manufacturing was significantly higher than the new export orders index, indicating stable domestic demand despite a decline in export orders [2]. - High-tech manufacturing sectors continued to expand, showing resilience in production activities [5]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing PMI stood at 50.4%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, but still indicating stable expansion [3]. - The construction sector showed robust activity, particularly in infrastructure, with the civil engineering business activity index rising over 5 percentage points to above 60% [3]. - Consumer sectors, including travel and leisure, experienced increased activity, with indices for air transport and entertainment rising above 55% and 51% respectively [3]. Economic Outlook - The composite PMI output index was at 50.2%, down 1.2 percentage points, but still above the critical point, indicating overall production expansion [5]. - Experts suggest that despite short-term disruptions from global uncertainties, the economic foundation remains solid, supported by a large domestic market and effective policy measures [2][4]. - The business activity expectation index for non-manufacturing remained high at over 56%, reflecting optimism among enterprises regarding future market conditions [4][6].

中国银河证券宏观经济研究 文/中国银河证券首席宏观分析师 张迪 、 中国银河证券宏观经济分析师助理 铁 伟奥 国 家 统 计 局 最 新 数 据 显 示 ， 2 0 2 5 年 4 月 份 ， 我 国 制 造 业 采 购 经 理 指 数 （PMI）为4 9 . 0%（前值50 . 5%），美国滥施关税影响初现。不过4月政 治局会议已经给出三大重要信号：一是保持国内储备政策的弹性；二是强 化底线思维，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期；三是加紧加快既定 政策的落实落地，加大加力重点领域的政策实施力度。 以下文章来源于中国银河宏观 ，作者中国银河宏观 中国银河宏观 . 国家统计局4月30日发布数据显示，2025年4月份，制造业采购经理指数（PMI）为49.0%（前值50.5%）。建筑业商务活动指数为51.9%，比上月下降1.5个百 分点；服务业商务活动指数为50.1%，比上月下降0.2个百分点。关税的影响已全面传导至制造业企业。 供需同时收缩，出口影响较为严峻。 4月生产指数49.8%（前值52.6%）。新订单指数49.2%，新出口订单44.7%，分别下降2.6和4.3pct。4月需求下降较大， 尤其是新出口订单 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Hainan Airport plans to acquire a controlling stake in Hainan Meilan International Airport Co., Ltd. for RMB 2.339 billion, which will enhance its position as a major player in the airport industry and support its strategic focus on airport operations [1][2][4] - After the acquisition, Hainan Airport will hold at least 50.19% of Meilan Airport's shares, making it the controlling shareholder and marking a significant step towards a more integrated airport operation model [1][2] - The acquisition aligns with Hainan Airport's strategy to reduce its reliance on real estate, with airport management revenue expected to exceed 60% of total revenue post-transaction, facilitating a shift from real estate to aviation industry classification [2][4] Group 2 - Hainan Airport aims to leverage the historical opportunity of the Hainan Free Trade Port's upcoming customs closure by enhancing its airport operations and integrating resources across three major airports on the island [3] - The company plans to expand its international flight routes significantly, targeting 90 routes by 2025, which will increase international passenger throughput to 2.4 million, thereby attracting more businesses to the region [3] - The integration of airport resources will create a unique flow entry point for "airport + duty-free" operations, maximizing the benefits from the Free Trade Port policies [3] Group 3 - Hainan Airport emphasizes value management and has implemented a value management system to enhance investor returns, including a recent share buyback and the resumption of annual profit dividends [4] - The acquisition of Meilan Airport is a key component of the company's value management strategy, responding to market expectations for airport consolidation and enhancing its operational scale and competitiveness [4] - The transaction is expected to improve the company's revenue and asset scale, further focusing on its core airport operations and supporting the development of the Hainan Free Trade Port [4]

Core Viewpoint - Despite a decline in the manufacturing PMI to 49% in April, the overall economic output in China continues to expand, indicating a long-term positive trend in the economy [1][5]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI decreased by 1.5 percentage points from the previous month, falling below the critical point due to high growth in previous months and changes in the external environment [1]. - The new export orders index dropped to 44.7%, a decrease of 4.3 percentage points, indicating a tightening of foreign demand [1]. - The manufacturing production index was recorded at 49.8%, down by 2.8 percentage points, reflecting a slight decline in overall production [2]. High-Tech Manufacturing - The high-tech manufacturing PMI stood at 51.5%, significantly above the overall manufacturing level, with both production and new orders indices above 52% [3]. - Industries such as food processing, pharmaceuticals, and beverages also showed strong performance, with production and new orders indices above 53% [3]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index was at 50.4%, slightly down by 0.4 percentage points, but still indicating stable expansion [3]. - The aviation transport and entertainment sectors saw significant increases in their business activity indices, both exceeding 55% [4]. Economic Outlook - The comprehensive PMI output index for April was 50.2%, indicating continued economic expansion despite a 1.2 percentage point decline from the previous month [4]. - The government emphasizes the need to stabilize employment, businesses, and market expectations to ensure high-quality development in response to external uncertainties [5].

文 ： 华创证券研究所副所长 、首席宏观分析师 张瑜（执业证号：S0360518090001） 联系人： 陆银波（15210860866） 报告摘要 PMI 数据：制造业 PMI 回落至荣枯线以下 4 月制造业 PMI 为 49.0% ，前值为 50.5% 。具体分项来看： 1 ） PMI 生产指数为 49.8% ，前值为 52.6% ，回落 2.8 个百分点。 2 ） PMI 新订单指数为 49.2% ，前值为 51.8% 。 PMI 新出口订单指数为 44.7% ，前值为 49.0% 。 3 ） PMI 从业人员指数为 47.9% ，前值为 48.2% 。 4 ）供货商配送时间指数 为 50.2% ，前值为 50.3% 。 5 ） PMI 原材料库存指数为 47.0% ，前值为 47.2% 。 其他行业： 1 ）建筑业：建筑业商务活动指数为 51.9% ，比上月下降 1.5 个百分点。 2 ）服务业：服务业 商务活动指数为 50.1% ，比上月下降 0.2 个百分点。 3 ）综合产出： 4 月，综合 PMI 产出指数为 50.2% ，比上月下降 1.2 个百分点，仍高于临界点。 PMI 点评：三类行业继续 ...

宏观研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【宏观快评】 三类行业继续保持扩张态势 ——4 月 PMI 数据点评 ❖ PMI 数据：制造业 PMI 回落至荣枯线以下 4 月制造业 PMI 为 49.0%，前值为 50.5%。具体分项来看：1）PMI 生产指数 为 49.8%，前值为 52.6%，回落 2.8 个百分点。2）PMI 新订单指数为 49.2%， 前值为 51.8%。PMI 新出口订单指数为 44.7%，前值为 49.0%。3） PMI 从业 人员指数为 47.9%，前值为 48.2%。4）供货商配送时间指数为 50.2%，前值为 50.3%。5）PMI 原材料库存指数为 47.0%，前值为 47.2%。 其他行业：1）建筑业：建筑业商务活动指数为 51.9%，比上月下降 1.5 个百 分点。2）服务业：服务业商务活动指数为 50.1%，比上月下降 0.2 个百分点。 3）综合产出：4 月，综合 PMI 产出指数为 50.2%，比上月下降 1.2 个百分点， 仍高于临界点。 ❖ PMI 点评：三类行业继续保持扩张态势 （一）外部环境急剧变化影响下，部分指标出现下滑 4 月，受前期制造业较快增长形成较高基数叠加 ...

Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - In April, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) decreased to 49.0%, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a contraction in the manufacturing sector [1] - All 13 sub-indices related to manufacturing showed a decline, with the production index, new orders index, and new export orders index experiencing significant drops, reflecting a contraction in demand [2][4] - The overall economic output remains stable, with the composite PMI output index at 50.2%, indicating continued expansion despite the decline in manufacturing PMI [1][4] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index stood at 50.4%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, but still above the critical point, indicating ongoing expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [1][8] - Key indices in the non-manufacturing sector, such as new orders and new export orders, also saw declines, but the construction and service industries showed resilience, particularly in tourism and entertainment [6][8] - The business activity expectation index has remained above 55% for seven consecutive months, indicating a stable optimistic outlook among enterprises for future market conditions [8] Group 3: Economic Policy and Outlook - Analysts emphasize the need for more proactive macroeconomic policies, including increased government investment in public goods to stimulate market demand and improve employment and income levels [5] - The overall economic environment is influenced by external uncertainties, including trade tensions, which necessitate a focus on stabilizing employment, enterprises, and market expectations [1][4] - The second quarter is expected to see stable performance in the non-manufacturing sector, supported by the release of economic stabilization policies [8]

天眼查App显示，近日，河北陆港航空物流有限公司成立，法定代表人为高皓天，注册资本300万人民 币，由石家庄陆港科技集团有限公司全资持股。 序号股东名称持股比例1石家庄陆港科技集团有限公司100% 经营范围含航空运输货物打包服务;航空运输设备销售;航空商务服务;航空运营支持服务;货物进出口;进 出口代理;技术进出口;日用品销售;国内货物运输代理;互联网销售（除销售需要许可的商品）;技术服 务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交流、技术转让、技术推广;道路货物运输站经营;会议及展览服务;销售 代理;国内贸易代理;外卖递送服务（除依法须经批准的项目外，自主开展法律法规未禁止、未限制的经 营活动）许可项目：公共航空运输;通用航空服务;民用机场运营;城市配送运输服务（不含危险货物）; 道路货物运输（不含危险货物）;道路货物运输（网络货运）;公共铁路运输（依法须经批准的项目，经 相关部门批准后方可开展经营活动，具体经营项目以批准文件或许可证件为准） 企业名称河北陆港航空物流有限公司法定代表人高皓天注册资本300万人民币国标行业交通运输、仓储 和邮政业>航空运输业>航空客货运输地址河北省石家庄市裕华区体育南大街399号亿博大厦5 ...

天眼查App显示，近日，云梭低空智能科技（江苏）有限公司成立，法定代表人为舒银龙，注册资本 1000万人民币，由云梭智行低空智能科技（江苏）有限公司全资持股。 经营范围含许可项目：通用航空服务；公共航空运输；民用航空器驾驶员培训（依法须经批准的项目， 经相关部门批准后方可开展经营活动，具体经营项目以审批结果为准）技术服务、技术开发、技术咨 询、技术交流、技术转让、技术推广；航空商务服务；航空运输设备销售；广告发布；会议及展览服 务；科普宣传服务；旅游开发项目策划咨询；露营地服务；体育场地设施经营（不含高危险性体育运 动）；体育竞赛组织；体育赛事策划；体验式拓展活动及策划；租赁服务（不含许可类租赁服务）；业 务培训（不含教育培训、职业技能培训等需取得许可的培训）；婚庆礼仪服务；摄像及视频制作服务 （除依法须经批准的项目外，凭营业执照依法自主开展经营活动） 企业名称云梭低空智能科技（江苏）有限公司法定代表人舒银龙注册资本1000万人民币国标行业交通运 输、仓储和邮政业>航空运输业>航空客货运输地址江苏省泰州市医药高新技术产业开发区凤凰西路168 号1号楼402-3企业类型有限责任公司（自然人投资或控股的法人独资） ...

一是结构上产需同步向好。 一季度，外需增速高于生产和内需。"抢出口"效应下以人民币计价的出口同比增 速达6.9%。内需提振政策效果延续，社零和投资分别增长4.6%、4.2%。其中，基建（11.5%）和制造业投资 （9.1%）保持高增，房地产投资（-9.9%）拖累减弱。生产端工业增加值增长6.5%，增速为2022年以来的次高 值。值得注意的是，供给强于需求的格局仍在继续，一季度产能利用率（74.1%）和产销率（94.6%）均略超 季节性回落。 图1：3月内外需求增速均有提升 资料来源：Wind，招商银行研究院 图2：消费提振，投资分化 资料来源：Wind，招商银行研究院 二是节奏上前稳后高。 3月多数经济数据增速较1-2月改善。生产加快修复，3月规模以上工业增加值同比增速 上行1.8pct至7.7%。需求端以基建投资好转最为显著，3月增速大幅提升2.6pct至12.6%。社零增速表现亮眼，3 月增速提升1.9cpt至5.9%，达到2020年以来的最高值【注释1】。制造业投资增速微升，房地产投资增速微 降。 图3：房地产销售降幅略有收窄，投资降幅再度扩张 一、总览：供需两旺 一季度我国经济开局良好，实际GDP同比 ...