Report Summary 1. Report Type - Index Daily Review [1] 2. Date - May 27, 2025 [2] 3. Researchers - Nie Jiayi (Index Futures), contact: 021 - 60635735, niejiayi@ccb.ccbfutures.com, Futures Practitioner Qualification Number: F03124070 [3] - He Zhuoqiao (Macroeconomics and Precious Metals), contact: 18665641296, hezhuoqiao@ccb.ccbfutures.com, Futures Practitioner Qualification Number: F3008762 [3] - Huang Wenxin (Macroeconomics, Treasury Bonds, and Container Shipping), contact: 021 - 60635739, huangwenxin@ccb.ccbfutures.com, Futures Practitioner Qualification Number: F3051589 [3] 4. Market Review and Outlook 4.1 Market Review - On May 26, the Wind All - A Index rose with shrinking volume. It opened higher, then oscillated downward, rebounded in the afternoon, and closed up 0.14%, with over 70% of stocks rising. Among index spot, CSI 300 and SSE 50 opened slightly higher, then oscillated downward, and closed down 0.57% and 0.46% respectively. CSI 500 and CSI 1000 also opened slightly higher, oscillated downward, and then rebounded, closing up 0.29% and 0.65% respectively, indicating better performance of small - and medium - cap stocks. In index futures, futures generally outperformed spot. The main contracts of IF and IH closed down 0.39% and 0.32% respectively, while the main contracts of IC and IM closed up 0.59% and 0.90% respectively (based on the previous trading day's closing price). In terms of sectors, Media, Computer, and Environmental Protection led the gains, rising 2.14%, 1.39%, and 1.22% respectively. Comprehensive, Pharmaceutical Biology, and Automobile led the losses, with declines of - 0.86%, - 1.08%, and - 1.78% respectively [6] 4.2 Market Outlook - Overseas, Trump said on the 23rd that he would impose a 50% tariff on EU goods starting from June 1st, but on the 25th, he extended the tariff negotiation deadline to July 9th at the EU's request. The US stock market opened lower and then rebounded. Domestically, the Q1 macro data showed some resilience, and with the easing of Sino - US relations, the Q2 outlook has also improved. However, the improvement rhythm of domestic demand and the real estate recovery situation still need to be observed. Overall, with the suspension of Sino - US tariff policies and domestic policy support, the capital market is expected to rise steadily. But affected by overseas markets and the pressure from the upper trading - intensive area, it is recommended that previous long positions take profit at an appropriate time and maintain a medium - low position. In terms of market style, the long - term technology narrative logic remains, and with the approval of an additional 60 billion yuan on May 7th to support the long - term entry of insurance funds into the market, high - growth technology stocks and dividend - paying sectors may be more dominant. Strategically, the long - term performance of IH and IM is favored [7][8] 5. Data Overview - There are multiple charts showing domestic major index performance, market style performance, industry sector performance (Shenwan Primary Index), trading volume of Wind All - A, trading volume of index spot, trading volume and open interest of index futures, basis trend of main contracts, inter - delivery spread trend, statistics of major ETF fund shares, and statistics of major ETF trading volume, all sourced from Wind and the Research and Development Department of CCB Futures [10][12][14] 6. Industry News - On the 23rd, Trump proposed to impose a 50% tariff on EU goods starting from June 1st, stating that the EU was established to take advantage of the US in trade and that the US - EU negotiation had made no progress. On the 25th, he extended the tariff negotiation deadline to July 9th at the EU's request and said the conversation was "very pleasant" [26]

主力资金净流出的行业有21个，汽车行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金30.76亿元，其次 是医药生物行业，净流出资金为25.75亿元，净流出资金较多的还有非银金融、电力设备、食品饮料等 行业。 环保行业今日上涨1.22%，全天主力资金净流入2.53亿元，该行业所属的个股共133只，今日上涨的有 111只，涨停的有1只；下跌的有18只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有64只，其 中，净流入资金超千万元的有11只，净流入资金居首的是正和生态，今日净流入资金1.03亿元，紧随其 后的是惠城环保、森远股份，净流入资金分别为5185.08万元、4493.32万元。环保行业资金净流出个股 中，净流出资金居前的有渤海股份、圣元环保、福龙马，净流出资金分别为2504.99万元、2334.67万 元、1801.60万元。（数据宝） 环保行业资金流入榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 605069 | 正和生态 | 10.02 | 27.71 | 10263.11 | | 30 ...

证券时报·数据宝统计，截至上午10:28，今日沪指涨0.38%，A股成交量380.43亿股，成交金额4647.56亿 元，比上一个交易日减少6.31%。个股方面，4041只个股上涨，其中涨停56只，1192只个股下跌，其中 跌停3只。从申万行业来看，传媒、计算机、环保等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为1.98%、1.29%、1.25%；汽 车、医药生物、电力设备等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为0.84%、0.71%、0.12%。（数据宝） 今日各行业表现（截至上午10:28） | 申万行业 | 行业涨跌（%） | 成交额（亿元） | 比上日（%） | 领涨（跌）股 | 涨跌幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 传媒 | 1.98 | 156.89 | 12.43 | 冰川网络 | 11.80 | | 计算机 | 1.29 | 352.14 | -0.48 | 智莱科技 | 20.00 | | 环保 | 1.25 | 53.04 | 2.40 | 森远股份 | 11.46 | | 有色金属 | 0.98 | 218.79 | 14.29 | 天力复合 | 5.08 | | 交通 ...

【 机构观点综评 】 方正证券指出，展望后市，小微盘占优行情特征或将延续。博时基金认为，存款 挂牌利率下移，汇率约束的缓解，货币市场以及短端利率补降可能会延续。 一、焦点锐评 1．LPR迎来年内首降，六大行同步调降存款利率 二、权益市场 1.中信证券：特朗普政策不确定性仍是大类资产配置主线 中信证券明明认为，大类资产配置方面，特朗普政策不确定性仍然是大类资产配置的主线，未来需要关 注外贸政策缓和或焦点转向内政的可能性。而在目前特朗普影响市场的模式中，"特朗普看跌期权"仍然 生效。在今年底至明年初之前，美债或为4%~5%区间震荡行情；黄金仍然是最具确定性的资产；特朗 普影响下美股的胜率仍然偏低；美元或偏弱震荡。但若特朗普政策焦点转向内部，美股和美债的拐点可 能提前到来。 2.方正证券：小微盘占优行情特征或延续 方正证券指出，展望后市，小微盘占优行情特征或将延续，主要判断依据包括：一是当前资本市场无系 统性风险，整体上A股风险偏好在不断回升。二是工业品价格持续收缩、上市公司盈利仍在筑底，经济 转型探索新方向过程仍在延续。三是流动性持续宽裕，无风险利率处于历史低位。四是新质生产力持续 发展，并购重组进一步释放市场活 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [7]. Core Insights - In April, the total electricity consumption in China increased by 4.7%, with hydropower shifting from growth to decline, while the decline in thermal power remained stable [3][20]. - The Inner Mongolia Energy Bureau has solicited opinions on a competitive allocation management method for renewable energy projects, which will allow all grid-connected electricity to enter the power market [4][64]. - Shanghai is accelerating its green fuel transition, focusing on biomass fuel research and the establishment of green methanol production bases [5][71]. Summary by Sections Electricity Consumption and Generation - In April, total electricity consumption reached 772.1 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%, with industrial consumption showing varied growth rates across sectors [3][20]. - The first industry saw a significant increase in electricity consumption by 13.8%, while the second industry grew by 3.0% and the third industry by 9.0% [19][20]. - Hydropower generation decreased by 6.5% year-on-year, while nuclear power and wind power saw increases of 12.4% and 12.7%, respectively [20][40]. Policy Developments - The Inner Mongolia competitive allocation management method aims to standardize the pricing and allocation of renewable energy projects, enhancing market efficiency and encouraging participation from various enterprises [4][64][65]. - Shanghai's initiatives include the development of biomass fuel and the integration of agricultural waste into green methanol production, supported by new technology research guidelines [5][71][74]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends specific companies within the thermal power sector, such as Jiangsu Guoxin, and suggests cautious investment in others like Sheneng Co. and Zhejiang Energy [5]. - For the hydropower sector, it recommends companies like Yangtze Power and suggests cautious investment in Huaneng Hydropower and Qianyuan Power [5].

Core Viewpoint - The company has shown a mixed performance with a decline in cash flow and net profit, while also increasing its workforce and government subsidies contributing to net profit. Group 1: Financial Performance - As of May 23, 2025, the company's stock price is 5.91 yuan, down 1.01% from the previous week, with a total market capitalization of 18.315 billion yuan [1] - The net profit for the first quarter of 2025 is 282 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.72% [2][3] - The operating cash flow net amount for 2024 decreased by 2.27% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 16.14% [3] Group 2: Workforce and Structure - The total number of employees in 2024 increased by 37% year-on-year, but the proportion of production staff decreased to 51% [2][3] - By the end of 2023, the total number of employees was 4,632, with production staff numbering 2,511; by the end of 2024, the total is expected to be 4,578, with production staff at 2,415 [1] Group 3: Government Subsidies and Borrowing - In 2024, government subsidies accounted for 27% of net profit [2][3] - The short-term borrowing scale decreased by 94.07% year-on-year, while cash funds decreased by 63.42% [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government has introduced a series of financial policies aimed at stabilizing the market and boosting confidence, focusing on supporting the real economy and addressing potential risks in specific sectors like real estate and small and medium enterprises [1] Key Investment Directions - Strategic emerging industries will be a core pillar for future development, with emphasis on sectors like artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and new energy vehicles, supported by specialized credit mechanisms and insurance funds for technology investments [2] - The digital transformation of the manufacturing sector will be prioritized, particularly through the "AI+" initiative, enhancing smart manufacturing and industrial internet platforms [3] - Infrastructure development will focus on green and low-carbon projects, with financial support for green infrastructure and resource recycling initiatives [4][5] - Agricultural modernization and rural revitalization will receive continued policy support, including increased funding for agricultural machinery updates and rural environment improvements [6] - The healthcare sector will see investments aimed at enhancing medical service capabilities, including the modernization of medical equipment and facilities [7] - Education modernization will be supported through funding for updating teaching equipment and improving cultural and sports facilities [8] Emerging Characteristics in Key Industries - In the industrial sector, funding will focus on equipment updates and smart transformations in traditional industries like steel and non-ferrous metals, aligning with national policies for industrial modernization [9] - The environmental sector will play a crucial role in the green transition, with investments in advanced low-carbon technologies and projects aimed at improving waste management and pollution control [10][11] - The agricultural sector will continue to receive support for machinery updates and technological innovations, enhancing productivity and income for farmers [12] - The healthcare sector will benefit from policies aimed at upgrading medical equipment and enhancing healthcare service delivery [13] - The education sector will see increased funding for updating educational facilities and equipment, supporting the modernization of teaching and research [14] - The digital asset management sector will receive comprehensive financial support, promoting the development of the digital economy [15][16] Diverse Funding Support Types - The introduction of long-term special bonds and local government bonds will provide significant funding for infrastructure and development projects, with a focus on new and emerging industries [17][18] - The scale of local government special bonds is set to reach 4.4 trillion yuan in 2025, reflecting the government's commitment to infrastructure investment and economic stability [18][20] - Central budget investments are projected to increase to 735 billion yuan in 2025, targeting major construction projects and public services [21] Project Planning Recommendations - The new financial policies present opportunities for reduced financing costs and improved access to funding in key sectors such as technology innovation and green development [22] - Companies should align their investment strategies with national priorities, focusing on emerging industries and sectors supported by government policies [26] - Utilizing policy-driven financing tools and enhancing core competitiveness will be essential for companies to thrive in the evolving economic landscape [28]

FICC日报 | 2025-05-23 市场成交缩量，上证50走势偏强 市场分析 政策支持小微企业。国内方面，金融监管总局正联合科技部研究制定科技保险高质量发展政策文件，并推动保险 资金参与国家重大科技任务。证监会将支持突破关键核心技术的科技企业适用"绿色通道"。央行表示，目前已有 近100家机构发行超2500亿元科技创新债券。海外方面，特朗普的减税法案在众议院以微弱优势通过，将交由参议 院审议。该法案计划在未来十年内减税逾4万亿美元，并削减至少1.5万亿美元支出。该法案将把美国债务上限提高 4万亿美元，低于参议院所希望的5万亿美元。 股指回调。现货市场，A股三大指数震荡收跌，上证指数跌0.22%收于3380.19点，创业板指跌0.96%。行业方面， 板块指数跌多涨少，仅银行、传媒、家用电器行业收红，美容护理、社会服务、基础化工、环保行业跌幅居前。 当日沪深两市成交金额小幅回落在1.1万亿元。证监会发行监管司司长表示，证监会将持续优化科技企业境内上市 的环境，会实施更加灵活精准的新股发行逆周期调节机制，把握好新股发行的节奏。继续发挥好创新试点的相关 制度，支持优质红筹科技企业回归境内上市。海外市场，美联储理事 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.2%, the CSI 300 decreased by 0.1%, the STAR 50 dropped by 0.5%, the CSI 1000 declined by 1.1%, the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.0%, and the Hang Seng Index fell by 1.2% on Thursday [4] - The best-performing sectors on Thursday were banking (+1%), media (+0.1%), and home appliances (0%), while the worst-performing sectors included beauty care (-2.0%), social services (-1.8%), basic chemicals (-1.7%), environmental protection (-1.5%), and real estate (-1.4%) [4] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1,102.7 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 3.88 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [4] Important Insights Fixed Income Credit Bonds - The core viewpoint indicates that the main value of sci-tech bonds lies in contributing incremental value to the bond market, with an expected annual issuance close to 1.9 trillion yuan, which alleviates asset scarcity issues [5] - In terms of pricing, sci-tech bonds have an average yield spread of approximately 10 basis points compared to ordinary bonds issued by the same entity, suggesting that the market pricing for sci-tech bonds has not changed due to policy shifts [5] Macroeconomic Analysis - The core viewpoint highlights that the fiscal situation in April 2025 showed improvement, with national public budget revenue increasing by 1.9% year-on-year (compared to 0.3% in March), and public budget expenditure rising by 5.8% year-on-year (compared to 5.7% in March) [6] - The second budget also improved, with government fund budget revenue growth recorded at 8.1%, returning to positive growth [6] - The report suggests that to address potential uncertainties, the central government has reserved sufficient tools and policy space, including the possibility of issuing special government bonds and special bonds [6]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw most major indices decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.22% closing at 3380.19 points, the Shenzhen Component down 0.72% at 10219.62 points, the Sci-Tech 50 down 0.48% at 990.71 points, and the ChiNext Index down 0.96% at 2045.57 points [1] - Overall, there were 4451 stocks that declined, while only 882 stocks rose, and 77 stocks remained flat [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 11027 billion, a decrease of 707.55 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, all sectors except for banking, media, and household appliances experienced declines today [1] - The sectors that led the decline included beauty care, social services, basic chemicals, environmental protection, real estate, and electric equipment [1] Sector Highlights - The top-performing concept sectors today included selected banking, smart speakers, multimodal models, central enterprise banks, ChatGPT, online gaming, K-12 education, selected air transport, Kimi, selected insurance, IGBT, Chinese corpus, short drama games, internet celebrity economy, and central enterprise automobiles [1]