【导读】日本股市开盘大涨；黄金再创历史新高，纽约期金首破4000美元大关 一起来关注下海外市场的最新情况。 日本股市开盘大涨 10月7日，日本股市继续大涨，日经225指数一度突破48500关口，最新报48449.85，日内涨1.05%。 个股方面，藤仓大涨超7%，爱德万测试、软银集团、DISCO等跟涨。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 = | 总市'三 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 藤仓 | 15595.0 | 7.55% | 46140亿 | | 5803.T | | | | | 三井金属 | 13985.0 | 5.83% | 8030亿 | | 5706.T | | | | | 汤浅蓄电池 | 3822.0 | 4.74% | 3839亿 | | 6674.T | | | | | DISCO | 56490.0 | 4.61% | 61261亿 | | 6146.T | | | | | 日本制钢 | 10280.0 | 4.38% | 7650亿 | | 5631.T | | | | | 住友房地产开发 | 7184.0 | 4.52% | 33621亿 | | 8830. ...

Economic Indicators - The ISM Services PMI fell from 52 in August to 50 in September, indicating stagnation in service sector expansion, below the market expectation of 51.7[2] - The Services PMI corresponds to an annualized GDP growth rate of 0.4%[2] - The Manufacturing PMI increased slightly from 48.7 in August to 49.1 in September, above the market expectation of 49, indicating a slowdown in contraction[2] Employment and Inflation - The employment index in the services sector rose from 46.5 to 47.2, showing a slower contraction[2] - The price index for services increased from 69.2 to 69.4, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures[2] - The number of initial unemployment claims decreased at the end of September compared to the beginning of the month, suggesting stability in the job market[1] Government Shutdown Impact - The government shutdown in October is expected to lead to 700,000 federal employees being furloughed, with an estimated GDP impact of 0.1-0.2 percentage points for each week of shutdown[1] - The Federal Reserve's October meeting may reference September data, with a 96.2% market expectation for no rate cut in October due to improved employment data and high inflation[1] Future Projections - The Federal Reserve is likely to pause rate cuts in October but may consider a rate cut in December as economic slowdown continues[1]

商务部新闻发言人就墨西哥近日连续对我发起多起反倾销调查答记者问。 墨西哥近日连续对中国的浮法玻璃、自粘胶带、聚氯乙烯涂塑布和钢制螺栓发起反倾销调查。 10月3日，商务部新闻发言人回应称，我们注意到，墨西哥经济部应国内企业申请，近日连续对我浮法玻璃、聚氯乙烯涂塑布等产品发起4起反倾销调查。中方坚决 反对损害中方正当权益的保护主义行为，将密切关注墨方调查进展，敦促墨方在调查中严格遵守世贸组织规则，保障中国企业的合法权益。 今年以来，墨西哥对中国产品的反倾销调查已达11起，几乎为去年立案总数的两倍，而中方一直审慎克制发起贸易救济调查。中方认为，在当前美方滥施关税的背 景下，各国应共同反对单边主义，不应放任保护主义蔓延，更不应在他人胁迫下以各种名目对华设限。 商务部已依据《对外贸易法》和《对外贸易壁垒调查规则》有关规定，就墨西哥拟对华提高进口关税和其他贸易投资限制措施启动贸易投资壁垒调查。中方将根据 调查结果和实际情况，采取包括贸易、投资领域在内的一切必要措施，坚决维护企业合法权益。 此前，9月25日，商务部新闻发言人曾就对墨西哥相关涉华限制措施启动贸易投资壁垒调查答记者问。 商务部新闻发言人表示，中方认为，在当前美 ...

Core Insights - The US manufacturing sector continued to contract in September, with the PMI at 49.1, indicating a seventh consecutive month of contraction despite a slight improvement from August's 48.7 [1][2] - The output index returned to expansion at 51, a significant increase of 3.2 percentage points from August, while the new orders index fell to 48.9, ending a brief expansion [1][2] - Employment in manufacturing remains weak, with the employment index at 45.3, indicating eight months of contraction, as companies resort to layoffs or hiring freezes [1][2] Manufacturing Sector Performance - The manufacturing PMI has been below the neutral mark of 50 for seven months, reflecting ongoing weakness in the sector [2] - Only five out of 18 manufacturing categories reported growth, including petroleum, primary metals, textiles, metal products, and other manufacturing, while 11 sectors, such as wood, plastics, chemicals, transportation equipment, and electronics, reported declines [2] - The overall economic expansion continues, with the PMI reading corresponding to an annualized GDP growth of approximately 1.9% [2] Price and Inventory Trends - The price index for September was 61.9, indicating continued upward pressure on raw material costs, despite a decrease of 1.8 percentage points from the previous month [1] - The inventory index fell to 47.7, suggesting increased pressure on companies to reduce inventory levels [1] - Customer inventories are generally low, which may benefit production in the future, but current business confidence is still affected by tariffs and global trade uncertainties [2]

Group 1: PMI and Economic Indicators - In September 2025, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating an improvement in manufacturing sentiment[1] - The production index for September was reported at 51.9%, up from 50.8% in August, reflecting a significant rebound in production activity[2] - The supply-demand gap widened to 2.2 percentage points, indicating that production continues to outpace demand[2] Group 2: Price and Inventory Trends - The PMI for factory prices and raw material purchase prices decreased to 48.2% and 53.2%, respectively, with a notable drop in factory prices attributed to changes in consumer subsidy policies[3] - The average price of rebar, hot-rolled coils, and wire rods fell by 1.83%, 1.48%, and 4.1% month-on-month, reaching 3264 CNY/ton, 3406 CNY/ton, and 3205 CNY/ton respectively[3] - Finished goods inventory index increased by 1.4 percentage points to 48.2%, indicating a tight balance in inventory levels[4] Group 3: Business Performance by Size - Large enterprises saw an increase in their index by 0.5 percentage points to 50.8%, while small enterprises rose by 1.6 percentage points to 48.2%[4] - Medium-sized enterprises experienced a slight decline of 0.1 percentage points to 48.8%[4] - The construction sector's business activity index rose to 49.3%, but both housing and civil engineering indices remained below 50%, indicating ongoing challenges[4] Group 4: Future Outlook - The September PMI rebound and production expansion suggest economic resilience, but the continuous contraction in PMI over six months highlights underlying economic pressures[5] - The fluctuation in inventory indices indicates that the economy has not yet stabilized to provide firms with consistent expectations[5] - Future export pressures and the impact of subsidy policies on production and pricing remain critical factors for economic health[7]

截至6月30日，中大力德股东户数5.68万，较上期增加8.67%；人均流通股3459股，较上期增加19.63%。 2025年1月-6月，中大力德实现营业收入5.16亿元，同比增长2.08%；归母净利润4637.15万元，同比增长 6.50%。 分红方面，中大力德A股上市后累计派现1.60亿元。近三年，累计派现6198.02万元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，中大力德十大流通股东中，鹏华碳中和主题混合A（016530）位 居第三大流通股东，持股441.96万股，相比上期减少254.55万股。华夏中证机器人ETF（562500）位居 第四大流通股东，持股263.57万股，相比上期增加96.12万股。香港中央结算有限公司位居第七大流通股 东，持股212.32万股，相比上期增加4.82万股。天弘中证机器人ETF（159770）位居第九大流通股东， 持股106.93万股，为新进股东。中航趋势领航混合发起A（021489）位居第十大流通股东，持股92.21万 股，为新进股东。永赢先进制造智选混合发起A（018124）、前海开源嘉鑫混合A（001765）退出十大 流通股东之列。 责任编辑：小浪快报 9月30日， ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, marking its first coverage [6]. Core Insights - The company is a global leader in the anchor chain industry, with significant growth potential driven by the floating wind power sector [5][4]. - The company has a strong market position, benefiting from the increasing demand in shipbuilding and offshore platform investments [5][2]. - The company has shown impressive order growth, with a 68.1% increase in new orders for mooring chains in the first half of 2025 compared to the entire year of 2024 [3]. Company Overview - Jiangsu Yaxing Anchor Chain Co., Ltd. was established in 1981 and has developed into a leading manufacturer of ship chains and mooring chains, with a revenue composition of 71.6% from ship chains and 27.0% from mooring chains as of 2024 [1][26]. - The company has a production capacity of 350,000 tons, including 160,000 tons of ship chains and 110,000 tons of offshore platform mooring chains [26]. Industry Trends - The global shipbuilding industry is experiencing a growth cycle, with new ship orders increasing by 58.8% in 2024, and China's share of new orders rising to 66.9% [2][48]. - Offshore oil and gas exploration investments are projected to continue growing, with an expected investment of $220 billion in 2025, reflecting a 5.0% year-on-year increase [3]. - The floating wind power market is anticipated to see explosive growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 54.9% from 2024 to 2029 [4]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.25 billion, 2.61 billion, and 3.03 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.3%, 15.7%, and 16.4% respectively [5][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to grow from 342 million yuan in 2025 to 488 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 21.1%, 19.9%, and 19.2% [5][10].

从基金十大重仓股角度 9月30日，顺博合金涨5.43%，截至发稿，报7.77元/股，成交1.25亿元，换手率3.96%，总市值52.02亿 元。顺博合金股价已经连续4天上涨，区间累计涨幅5.44%。 资料显示，重庆顺博铝合金股份有限公司位于重庆市合川区草街拓展园区，成立日期2003年3月21日， 上市日期2020年8月28日，公司主营业务涉及循环经济领域再生铝合金锭（液）系列产品的生产和销 售。主营业务收入构成为：铝合金锭(液)93.30%，压延铝材5.28%，其他(补充)1.11%，铝合金锭受托加 工费0.31%，铝粒0.01%。 数据显示，华泰柏瑞基金旗下1只基金重仓顺博合金。华泰柏瑞中证2000指数增强A（019923）二季度 持有股数37.12万股，占基金净值比例为0.67%，位居第六大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约14.85 万元。连续4天上涨期间浮盈赚取14.11万元。 华泰柏瑞中证2000指数增强A（019923）成立日期2024年1月12日，最新规模9847.54万。今年以来收益 47.6%，同类排名884/4220；近一年收益85.88%，同类排名405/3846；成立以来收益72.29% ...

9月30日，银龙股份涨5.08%，截至发稿，报10.76元/股，成交1.20亿元，换手率1.35%，总市值92.25亿 元。 资料显示，天津银龙预应力材料股份有限公司位于天津市北辰区双源工业区双江道62号，成立日期1998 年3月17日，上市日期2015年2月27日，公司主营业务涉及预应力混凝土用钢材、轨道板及装备的研发、 生产与销售。主营业务收入构成为：钢丝43.28%，钢绞线34.93%，轨道交通用混凝土制品销售及配套 服务14.45%，其他5.56%，钢材、板材等1.41%，钢棒0.37%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，国联基金旗下1只基金重仓银龙股份。国联钢铁A（168203）二季度持有股数73.58万股，占 基金净值比例为3.32%，位居第七大重仓股。根据测算，今日浮盈赚取约38.26万元。 国联钢铁A（168203）成立日期2021年1月1日，最新规模1.56亿。今年以来收益19.27%，同类排名 2873/4220；近一年收益26.96%，同类排名2475/3846；成立以来亏损45.09%。 国联钢铁A（168203）基金经理为陈薪羽、杜超。 截至发稿，陈薪羽累计任职时间6年63天，现任基 ...

9月29日，中集集团公告，公司拟以集中竞价交易方式回购股份。回购金额不低于3亿元且不超过5亿 元；回购价格不超12.01元/股。资金来源为自有资金，回购期限为3个月内。 中集集团当前最新价为8.05元，今年以来，中集集团股价累计上涨5.88%。此次公告拟定的最高回购价 格，比现价高49.19%。 股票回购往往被视为一种稳价措施。指上市公司用现金等方式从股票市场买回自家公司已经发行在外的 一定数额的股票。一般来讲，回购后可以注销，也可以用于实施员工持股计划或股权激励计划等。 资料显示，中国国际海运集装箱(集团)股份有限公司位于广东省深圳市南山区蛇口港湾大道2号中集集 团研发中心8楼,香港德辅道中199号无限极广场3101-2室，成立日期1980年1月14日，上市日期1994年4 月8日，公司主营业务涉及制造修理集装箱及其有关业务。主营业务收入构成为：集装箱制造28.57%， 物流服务17.85%，能源、化工及液态食品装备17.10%，道路运输车辆12.82%，海洋工程10.53%，其他 7.51%，空港与物流装备、消防与救援设备4.10%，循环载具1.76%，金融及资产管理1.20%。 截至6月30日，中集集团 ...