December 30, 2025 11:42 PM GMT M Update Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. | Asia Pacific ePV Subsidy Continuity Confirmed, Uncertainty Removed Key Takeaways 2026 large-scale equipment renewal and consumer goods trade-in policy for electric passenger vehicles (ePV): Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ Jack Lu Equity Analyst Jack.Lu@morganstanley.com +852 2848-5044 Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. (300750.SZ, 300750 CS) Top Pick China Energy & Chemicals | China Stock Rating Overweight Industry View In ...

Core Viewpoint - SES AI Corporation (NYSE:SES) is experiencing a decline in share prices due to profit-taking after a recent surge, with a notable drop of 6.28% to close at $1.79 per share [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - SES AI's share price fell for the third consecutive day, indicating a trend of profit-taking among investors following a Christmas rush [1]. - The company reported a 6.28% decrease in share price on Tuesday, closing at $1.79 [1]. Group 2: Product Development - SES AI presented its latest version of Molecular Universe (MU-1.5) at the 5th annual Battery World, showcasing new features based on proprietary molecular databases [2]. Group 3: Strategic Partnerships - SES AI announced plans to collaborate with Top Material to enhance cell manufacturing capacity in Korea, targeting applications in drones and urban air mobility (UAM), with a definitive agreement expected in Q1 2026 [3]. - The partnership aims to establish a secure and cost-efficient battery supply chain for drone customers and ensure compliance with the US National Defense Authorization Act [4]. - CEO Qichao Hu emphasized the long-standing relationship with Top Material, highlighting their role in scaling manufacturing capacity to meet growing demand [5].

Core Insights - HPQ Silicon Inc. has undergone a strategic realignment in 2025, focusing on the commercialization of advanced materials and technologies, particularly in fumed silica, battery materials, and hydrogen production [1][2][3] Fumed Silica Development - The Fumed Silica Reactor (FSR) has progressed from pilot commissioning to industrial validation, demonstrating the ability to produce fumed silica in a single, lower-energy, and lower-carbon process [5][6][7] - Key achievements include successful pilot-scale production and independent confirmation of the material's equivalence to commercial products, supporting the premise of a streamlined manufacturing route [6][7] - The global demand for fumed silica is increasing, particularly in energy storage and advanced materials, positioning HPQ favorably in the market [8][9] Battery Materials Initiative - HPQ advanced its silicon-based anode materials through a partnership with Novacium SAS, achieving significant performance milestones in commercially sized lithium-ion cells [10][11] - The GEN3 silicon-based anode materials demonstrated over 1,000 charge cycles with at least 30% better capacity retention compared to leading graphite-based cells [10] - The launch of the HPQ ENDURA+ battery platform and successful certification for commercial distribution mark a transition from R&D to commercial production [13][14] Hydrogen Production Initiatives - HPQ is developing the METAGENE™ hydrogen production platform, which converts industrial by-products into hydrogen, expanding its technology portfolio into clean hydrogen production [17][18] - The initiatives are at earlier stages of commercialization but have confirmed technical viability and strategic relevance for decentralized energy systems [19][20] Strategic Focus and Partnerships - HPQ has increased its equity interest in Novacium to strengthen long-term alignment and exposure to battery materials and hydrogen technologies [22][24] - The company has clarified its exclusive licensing agreement with Novacium to enhance commercialization pathways for its technologies [23] Conclusion and Future Outlook - HPQ concluded the Quartz Reduction Reactor (QRR) program to reallocate resources towards initiatives with clearer commercialization timelines, reflecting a disciplined approach to capital allocation [25][26][27] - As HPQ enters 2026, the focus will be on advancing technologies that have reached readiness and evaluating commercial scale-up opportunities to generate sustainable long-term value [28][29]

Group 1: Domestic Chip Replacement - The rise of domestic AI chip manufacturers is marked by significant stock price increases, with companies like Cambrian Technology surpassing major brands like Kweichow Moutai [1] - The market anticipates more AI chip companies to go public, with notable performances from companies like Moer Thread and Muxi, indicating strong investor interest in domestic chip alternatives [1] - The domestic market share for smart computing chips is projected to grow from approximately 20% in 2024 to about 60% by 2029, reflecting a shift towards local production [2] Group 2: AI Edge Computing - The emergence of AI in hardware is expected to redefine traditional devices, with predictions that mobile phones and apps may become obsolete in favor of AI-driven edge devices [3] - The global edge AI market is forecasted to grow from 321.9 billion yuan to 1.22 trillion yuan between 2025 and 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 40% [4] - The focus of competition is shifting from hardware specifications to AI experience and ecosystem collaboration, indicating a transformation in the value chain [5] Group 3: Quantum Computing Advances - Quantum technology is recognized as a strategic frontier for technological revolution, with significant breakthroughs expected in the coming years [6] - China's advancements in quantum communication and computing are positioning it alongside global leaders, with the "Zu Chongzhi No. 3" quantum computer expected to maintain a competitive edge [7] - The practical application of quantum computing in fields like finance and protein simulation is anticipated to grow, marking a critical step towards commercialization [6] Group 4: Commercial Space Acceleration - The commercial space sector is entering a new phase of rapid evolution, supported by government policies and increased capital investment [8] - The global commercial space market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 10.5% over the next five years [8] - The demand for satellite launches is expected to surge, with significant increases in the number of satellites being deployed [9] Group 5: Solid-State Battery Development - Solid-state batteries are gaining attention as a transformative technology for electric vehicles, with major manufacturers announcing plans for testing and production [10] - The timeline for mass production is set for 2027, with initial production expected to be in small batches [11] - The industry faces challenges in cost and manufacturing processes, with a consensus that semi-solid batteries will precede full solid-state solutions [10] Group 6: L3 Autonomous Driving - The introduction of L3 autonomous driving is accelerating due to supportive policies and decreasing costs in the supply chain [12] - The commercial application of L3 technology is expected to expand significantly in 2026, with several manufacturers already in the approval process [13] - The transition from assisted to fully automated driving represents a critical milestone for the industry, with ongoing improvements in technology and data accumulation [13] Group 7: Real Estate Debt Restructuring - Major real estate companies like Country Garden and Sunac have successfully completed debt restructuring, indicating a shift in the industry’s approach to financial challenges [14] - The total scale of debt restructuring in 2025 reached approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, significantly alleviating short-term repayment pressures for affected companies [14] - The focus for 2026 will be on balancing risk management and transformation within the real estate sector, with expectations for continued progress in debt resolution [15] Group 8: "15th Five-Year Plan" Initiatives - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes high-quality development and technological self-reliance as key objectives for the next five years [16] - The plan outlines initiatives to enhance the modern industrial system and promote strategic emerging industries, including quantum technology and renewable energy [17] - Increasing the resident consumption rate is highlighted as a crucial goal, with measures aimed at boosting consumer spending and improving living standards [18]

Core Viewpoint - The technology theme is identified as the undisputed investment focus for 2025, with listed companies accelerating their development in both intrinsic and extrinsic ways to forge new productive forces [1] Group 1: Technological Advancements - Listed companies have made significant breakthroughs in key areas such as AI, semiconductors, biomedicine, high-end equipment, and communications this year [2] - Notable achievements include the world's first four-channel ultra-low noise semiconductor single-photon detector by GuoDun Quantum, and the approval of the world's first "rice-based" innovative drug by HeYuan Bio [2] - The trend of humanoid robots continues to gain momentum, with companies like Green Harmonic and Estun launching advanced components and robots for industrial applications [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Mergers - The total market capitalization of A-shares reached 107.32 trillion yuan, with the electronics sector leading at 12.42% of the market share, an increase of nearly 3 percentage points since the beginning of the year [3] - Companies are increasingly using mergers and acquisitions (M&A) as a strategy for resource reallocation and transformation, with significant activity in the semiconductor and information technology sectors [5] - In 2023, there were 1,104 new M&A disclosures in the Shenzhen market, totaling 553.7 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 54% [5] Group 3: Transition to New Productive Forces - Companies are focusing on transitioning to new productive forces, with examples like Wanlong Optoelectronics planning to acquire a leading infrastructure digital service provider [4] - The trend of cross-industry transformation is supported by policies, as seen with Songfa Co. transitioning from ceramics to shipbuilding and high-end equipment manufacturing [5] - The emphasis on high-quality development is evident as industries shift from "scale involution" to "quality upgrades," particularly in sectors like photovoltaics and new energy vehicles [6] Group 4: Innovation and Sustainability - Companies are investing heavily in R&D, with a total of 1.16 trillion yuan spent in the first three quarters of 2025, maintaining a scale above 1 trillion yuan for three consecutive years [2] - The ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) concept is gaining traction, with companies like Shede Liquor pioneering ecological brewing practices [6] - The government is promoting innovation and technology integration, with plans to support the establishment of innovation consortia and enhance the development of high-tech enterprises [7]

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Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant reliance of the U.S. artificial intelligence (AI) industry and national defense on Chinese battery technology, emphasizing the challenges posed by this dependency amid ongoing U.S.-China technological competition [1][2]. Industry Overview - China holds a dominant position in the lithium battery sector, which is increasingly viewed as a national security threat by the West, extending beyond the automotive industry [2][6]. - Approximately 6,000 independent battery components in U.S. military weapon projects depend on Chinese supply chains, indicating a critical vulnerability [6]. U.S. Response and Policy Changes - The U.S. government, under the Trump administration, has shown a growing interest in developing a domestic battery industry to reduce reliance on China, with high-level meetings and funding initiatives being reported [7][8]. - The U.S. Department of Energy has approved funding of up to $500 million for battery materials and recycling projects, reflecting a shift in policy focus towards battery technology [7]. Challenges in Domestic Production - Experts estimate that it will take at least five years for U.S. manufacturers to produce sufficient lithium iron phosphate batteries to meet domestic demand, with longer timelines needed to establish a complete supply chain [8][10]. - The U.S. faces significant challenges in competing with China due to higher environmental standards and the complexity of refining key minerals [8]. Strategic Importance of Batteries - The article underscores the strategic importance of batteries in modern warfare, with military applications increasingly reliant on advanced battery technology sourced from China [14][15]. - The U.S. military is recognizing the need for a robust battery strategy, as future military capabilities will heavily depend on battery technology [14][15]. Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The article notes that the demand for batteries is expected to grow significantly, driven by applications in AI, data centers, and military technologies, which could reshape the competitive landscape [10][11]. - The U.S. is exploring partnerships with countries like Japan to bolster its battery manufacturing capabilities, indicating a strategic pivot in international trade relations [7].

The US has been a political minefield for Chinese battery makers. Here's how Ford was able to navigate it and expand its partnership with CATL https://t.co/bY8wtPkstz ...

| M | | | | --- | --- | --- | | | | Update | | December 19, 2025 03:33 AM GMT | | | | Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. Asia | Morgan Stanley Asia Limited+ | | | Pacific | Jack Lu Equity Analyst | | | | Jack.Lu@morganstanley.com | +852 2848-5044 | | ESS Tariff and ITC Eligibility in | Kaylee Xu | | | | Equity Analyst | | | | Kaylee.Xu@morganstanley.com | +852 2239-1506 | | 2026 | Yiyi Wang Research Associate | | | | Yiyi.Wang@morganstanley.com | +852 3963-4169 | December 19, 2025 03:33 AM GMT Contemp ...

December 18, 2025 03:47 AM GMT Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. Ltd. | Asia Pacific Truck Electrification - A New High Key Takeaways Exhibit 1: China's monthly electric heavy-duty truck sales and penetration rate 2024 2025 Units China eHDT monthly sales 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 China eHDT historical penetration rate Jul-25 Jan-25 Jul-24 Jan-24 Jul-23 Jan-23 Jul-22 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Source: CPCA, Morgan Stanley Research Exhibit 2: China's monthly electric light-duty truck sales and penetr ...