Group 1: Tourism Market Trends - The tourism market is experiencing a surge in activity as the New Year and Spring Festival holidays approach, with diverse holiday durations contributing to varied consumer scenarios and growth momentum [1] - Data from Qunar indicates that many cities across the country are hosting New Year's concerts, significantly boosting local cultural and tourism consumption [2] - Hotel bookings in popular cities for the New Year period have increased by over 300%, with Guangzhou, Nanning, and Shanghai leading the way [3] Group 2: Travel Preferences and Destinations - The domestic travel market is witnessing a dual trend of "ice and snow" tourism alongside "warm winter" tourism, with significant increases in booking numbers for both types of destinations [4] - The popularity of "whole house" villa rentals for New Year celebrations has surged, with bookings increasing by 140%, and the post-00s generation becoming the main consumers of homestays [5] - International travel is also expanding, with destinations like Phuket, Bangkok, and Jeju Island becoming popular alternatives due to recent travel adjustments in Japan [7] Group 3: Specific Destination Highlights - Nanning has emerged as a top destination for New Year celebrations, with hotel bookings increasing by 1700% compared to the previous year, surpassing major cities like Shanghai and Beijing [2] - The recent release of "Zootopia 2" has positively impacted ticket sales at Shanghai Disneyland, which saw a 520% increase compared to 2025 [2] - The introduction of a 30-day visa-free policy for Chinese citizens to Russia has led to a spike in interest for travel to destinations like Murmansk, with many related products already sold out for the upcoming holiday period [7]

格隆汇12月15日｜香港旅发局15日表示，今年1至11月共录得约4500万访港旅客人次，按年增加12%， 已超越2024年全年访港旅客量的总数。前11个月访港中国内地旅客占约3450万人次，按年增11%。非中 国内地旅客录得约1000万人次，按年增16%，其中短途及长途市场均录得接近两成增长。 ...

财经频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 香港旅发局公布的最新数据显示，11月初步访港旅客数字为418.92万人次，同比升17%。其中内地旅客 304.13万人次，同比增19%，非中国内地旅客114.79万人次，同比增14%。 今年首11月共录得约4500万访港旅客人次，同比增加12%，亦已超越2024 年全年访港旅客量的总数。 首11月访港中国内地旅客占约3450万人次，同比多11%；非中国内地旅客录得约1000万人次，同比增加 16%，其中，短途及长途市场均录得接近两成增长。 责任编辑：栎树 ...

新华社消息，第二十七届哈尔滨冰雪大世界将于2025年12月17日10时开园。作为世界级冰雪旅游目的 地，其开园消息瞬间点燃了全国游客的出游热情。同程旅行(00780)平台数据显示，截至12月15日上午9 点，与"哈尔滨冰雪大世界"相关的搜索热度相较前日同期暴涨5倍，而12月以来，哈尔滨冰雪大世界相 关搜索热度持续攀升，带动冬季旅游热潮，哈尔滨荣登平台冬季热门旅游目的地榜首。 冰雪大世界的璀璨冰灯与恢弘雪雕，无疑是今冬哈尔滨吸引游客的"金字招牌"。同程旅行平台上，相关 门票套餐预订热度在预售期就呈现爆发式增长。冰雪大世界开园的火爆，也进一步带动了哈尔滨整体旅 游热度，其中哈尔滨极地公园表现尤为亮眼。同程旅行平台数据显示，自11月冰雪旅游季预热启动以 来，哈尔滨极地公园的搜索热度始终居高不下，近一周景区门票预订热度同比去年增长近4倍。 基于对冬季旅游市场的深刻洞察，同程旅行今年创新打破省界限制，整合黑龙江、吉林、辽宁三省的优 质冰雪资源，为游客打造多样化的冰雪体验线路。比如，同程旅行与哈尔滨机场联合上线了空空中转和 空铁中转百元免减活动，即从其他城市飞哈尔滨，然后再转高铁或飞机前往牡丹江等东北城市，可获得 100 ...

今年首11月共录得约4500万访港旅客人次，同比增加12%，亦已超越2024 年全年访港旅客量的总数。 首11月访港中国内地旅客占约3450万人次，同比多11%；非中国内地旅客录得约1000万人次，同比增加 16%，其中，短途及长途市场均录得接近两成增长。 智通财经APP获悉，香港旅发局公布，11月初步访港旅客数字为418.92万人次，同比升17%。其中内地 旅客304.13万人次，同比增19%，非中国内地旅客114.79万人次，同比增14%。 ...

本文来自格隆汇专栏：国泰海通策略方奕，作者：方奕、张逸飞、陶前陈、苏徽 摘要 在较长时间的横盘震荡后，中国"转型牛"将重振旗鼓，拾级而上。11月24日上证指数跌至3800点悲观之际，国泰海通策略团队判断"关键位置：进入击球 区，布出先手棋"，近两周以来创业板指已基本收复失地。对于后市，国泰海通比市场共识更乐观：部分投资者以"跨周期"解读政策不积极存在谬误， 2025年超常规是相较以2024年尾部风险暴露。面向2026年，中央经济工作会议明确"巩固拓展经济稳中向好势头"，并要求财政政策"更加积极"与"内需主 导"，首次提出"推动投资止跌回稳"（2025年负增长），并时隔十年重提房地产"去库存"；中财办副主任韩文秀表示将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策， 继续实施"国补"与靠前实施"十五五"重点项目，隐含了实现"十五五"良好开局的开门红重要性。考虑近期经济活动转淡与房地产销售面积下滑加快，政策 预期有望上修。在人民币稳定的前提下，2026年初中国央行降息预期有望提高。在交易层面，保收益降仓位已经步入尾声，岁末年初的再配置与机构资金 回流有望改善市场流动性和活跃成交，跨年攻势已经开始了。 春季行情规律：大盘搭台小盘唱戏 ...

【 宏观】 稳中求进，修炼内功——2025年12月中央经济工作会议学习体会 中央经济工作会议 12 月 11-12 日在北京举行，会议贯彻了 12 月 8 日中央政治局会议对经济工作的定调，部署了 2026 年经济工作的八大重点任务。 总体来看，会议充分肯定了今年的经济工作，总结当前经济面临的机遇与挑战，下调对外风险评价，重视短期的扩大内需和中长期的"内功"修炼。预计 2026 年宏观政策有望延续积极基调，但不搞大水漫灌强刺激，做好"逆周期"调节的同时，也会注重"跨周期"调节。 具体来看，会议新闻稿有以下六个亮点： 第一，政策基调偏温和，聚焦内部形势和中长期问题。 总体基调由 2024 年底经济工作会议的"稳中求进，以进促稳、守正创新"，转变为"坚持稳中求进、 提质增效，发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应"。表态上偏温和，预计 2026 年宏观政策有望延续 2025 年基调，整体积极，但也不会大水漫灌强刺激。 第二，明确财政和货币政策具体方向，表达出政策态度的连续性。财政政策方面， 一是，保持必要的财政赤字、债务总规模和支出总量，预计赤字率维持在 4% 左右。二是，提出"规范税收优惠和财政补贴政策"，是从制度层面 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that after a prolonged period of sideways movement, China's "transformation bull market" is set to regain momentum and reach new heights, with a focus on technology, brokerage insurance, and consumption sectors [5][6]. Market Outlook - The Shanghai Composite Index fell to 3,800 points on November 24, but recent trends indicate a recovery, particularly in the ChiNext Index. The team believes that the market consensus is overly pessimistic regarding policy interpretations, and anticipates a more optimistic outlook for 2026, with a focus on stabilizing economic growth and promoting investment [6][10]. - The central economic work conference emphasizes a more proactive fiscal policy and a focus on domestic demand, marking a shift towards stabilizing investment and addressing real estate inventory issues [6][10]. Spring Market Trends - Historical analysis shows that spring market trends typically occur from December to April, with a notable shift in focus from large-cap to small-cap stocks post-Spring Festival. The article highlights the importance of this period for positioning in the market, especially for sectors with strong industrial trends [7][10]. Industry Comparisons - The article identifies key sectors for investment: 1. **Technology Growth**: AI advancements and infrastructure shortages present opportunities in internet, media, and computing sectors, as well as manufacturing with global competitive advantages [8][16]. 2. **Financial Sector**: Capital market reforms are expected to boost brokerage and insurance sectors, enhancing their investment appeal [8][19]. 3. **Cyclical Consumption**: After three years of adjustment, the consumption sector shows signs of recovery, particularly in food and beverage, agriculture, and tourism [8][19]. Thematic Recommendations - **Commercial Aerospace**: The upcoming launch of the Long March 12 rocket and accelerated satellite networking present investment opportunities in aerospace infrastructure and technology [21][22]. - **Energy Transition**: The focus on expanding green energy applications and building a new energy system highlights investment potential in smart grids and new energy storage solutions [23][24]. - **AI Applications**: The push for AI integration across industries suggests significant growth potential in internet and data center sectors [24]. - **Domestic Consumption**: The emphasis on building a strong domestic market and enhancing consumer spending indicates opportunities in sports events, tourism, and emerging consumer goods [25][27].

（央视财经《天下财经》）2026年春节9天超长假期叠加灵活拼假优势，激发中国游客出境游热情。旅 游平台数据显示，相关机票与住宿预订量同比显著增长，自然休闲类目的地最受游客青睐。 近日记者在北京多家旅行社门店了解到，春节出境游咨询与报名热度攀升，家庭出游及亲友结伴游占比 较高。 线上住宿平台同样火热。数据显示，春节出境住宿搜索热度同比翻倍，新西兰、挪威、泰国、意大利、 澳大利亚跻身热搜前列，皇后镇、挪威极光及峡湾、南欧海岸线等户外自然目的地最受关注。 爱彼迎中国及亚太战略财务负责人 李映文：户外今年非常热门，很多人搜索国家公园附近的民宿，或 者是搜索参与徒步、体验极光的活动。新西兰目前成为国人最热门的目的地，不仅吸引了很多渴望探险 的户外爱好者，也是很多带娃出行家庭的首选。 消费者：今年利用春节假期，包括自己的年假，计划去南美旅行，以巴西、阿根廷为主。 转载请注明央视财经 2026年春节期间，热门出境目的地机票预订同比增长80.2%，酒店预订量上涨1.2倍。泰国、马来西亚、 越南、新加坡、澳大利亚、西班牙等地最受欢迎。此外，长线目的地和个性化小团游需求明显提升。 携程北京三元桥门店店长 杜丹：像北欧加冰岛追极光 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - A shares fluctuated last week, with the communication, national defense and military industry, and electronics sectors performing well. It is recommended to allocate in a balanced and growth - biased style, emphasizing technology - growth style funds and also considering large - finance and pro - cyclical assets [1][3][4]. - In the stock market, China's stock market is expected to enter a cross - year offensive, and the index will take a new step upwards. In the bond market, it is expected that credit risks will be generally controllable in 2026, and the rhythm of low spreads and high volatility may continue [14][15]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Last Week's Market Review - **A - share Market**: A shares fluctuated last week (20251208 - 20251212). The communication, national defense and military industry, and electronics sectors performed well. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.34% to 3889.35, and the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.84% to 13258.33. Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 9 industries rose and 22 fell. The top - performing industries were communication, national defense and military industry, electronics, machinery, and power equipment, with weekly increases of 6.27%, 2.8%, 2.63%, 1.38%, and 1.19% respectively [6][7]. - **Bond Market**: The bond market rose. On December 10, 2025, the National Bureau of Statistics released the November 2025 price data. The CPI rebounded to 0.7% year - on - year, and the PPI fell to - 2.2% year - on - year. The overall price level still needed to be boosted. The new progress of Vanke's bond extension drove the bond market to recover and rise. The yields of 1 - year and 10 - year treasury bonds and national development bonds all declined [8]. - **US Stock Market**: US stocks fluctuated. The Federal Reserve announced a 25 - basis - point interest rate cut on Wednesday, which was in line with market expectations. However, on Friday, negative news from two major technology giants, Broadcom and Oracle, triggered concerns about the AI bubble again. Coupled with some Fed officials' opposition to easing monetary policy, the technology sector was under significant pressure. The Dow Jones Industrial Index rose 1.05%, the S&P 500 Index fell 0.63%, and the Nasdaq Index fell 1.62% [6][9]. - **Commodity Market**: Oil prices fell, and gold and silver prices rose. The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicted that by 2026, the global oil supply would exceed demand by 381.5 million barrels per day. The energy index fell 6.42%, and the prices of various oil products declined. The precious metals index rose 2.38%, with COMEX gold rising 2.05% and COMEX silver rising 5.13% [9]. 2. Last Week's Fund Market Review - **Stock - type Funds**: Stock - type funds rose 0.38% last week. Some funds heavily invested in overseas computing power, chip semiconductors, and other sectors performed well. Index funds related to communication equipment, artificial intelligence, and semiconductors performed well [6][10][11]. - **Bond - type Funds**: Bond - type funds rose 0.07% last week. Among them, partial - debt bond funds and convertible - bond funds with equity assets in sectors such as electronics and military industry performed well [10][11]. - **QDII Funds**: Among QDII funds, those mainly investing in the global technology field performed well. Equity - type QDII funds fell 1% last week, and QDII bond - type funds fell 0.07% [12]. - **Other Funds**: The annualized yield of money funds was 1.21%. Gold ETFs and their linked funds rose 0.8%, and commodity - type funds rose 0.84% [12][13]. 3. Future Investment Strategy - **Macro - situation**: The Fed cut interest rates by 25BP, and it is expected that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates in 2026. The Fed chair's replacement may affect the pace of interest rate cuts. It is predicted that US bond yields will first decline and then rise in 2026, and US stocks will still have continuous support [14]. - **Stock Market**: China's stock market will enter a cross - year offensive, and the index will take a new step upwards. It is recommended to focus on technology, securities, and some consumer sectors [14][15]. - **Bond Market**: In 2026, it is expected that credit risks will be generally controllable, and the rhythm of low spreads and high volatility may continue. It is recommended to mainly focus on short - and medium - term credit sinking to dig for coupons and pay attention to the trading opportunities of medium - and long - term bonds at phased highs caused by events or policy shocks [15][16]. - **Fund Investment**: For stock - hybrid funds, it is recommended to allocate in a balanced and growth - biased style, emphasizing technology - growth style funds and also considering large - finance and pro - cyclical assets. For bond funds, it is recommended to focus on flexible fixed - income products. For money funds, there are no trending investment opportunities. For commodity funds, gold ETFs can be appropriately allocated [4][17]. 4. Latest Fund Market Developments - **Regulatory Policy**: The regulatory authorities issued the "Draft for Soliciting Opinions on the Code of Conduct for the Sale of Publicly Offered Securities Investment Funds", aiming to standardize the fund sales behaviors of fund companies' direct sales and agency sales institutions [18]. - **Industry Development**: The public fund index - enhancement business has entered a fast - track development. As of December 10, 168 new index - enhancement funds have been established this year, with a total new - issuance scale of over 92 billion yuan, exceeding the total new - issuance of index - enhancement products in the past three years [20]. - **New Fund Products**: 23 new funds were established last week, with an average subscription period of about 13 days and an average raised share of 792 million shares, with a total raised share of 18.218 billion shares [21]. - **Fund Dividends**: 84 funds will conduct equity registration in the coming week. The most notable one is Huashang Advantage Industry A, which will distribute a dividend of 2.347 yuan per 10 shares [22].