Investment Rating - The report assigns a neutral investment rating to the company, indicating a performance expectation within a range of -5% to 5% relative to the benchmark index [12]. Core Insights - The company is projected to experience revenue growth from 77,272.06 million in 2024 to 96,171.81 million in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 11.13% in the final year [8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 8,777.34 million in 2024 to 11,274.38 million in 2027, with a notable growth of 12.95% in 2025 [8]. - The company's EBITDA is forecasted to rise from 47,337.91 million in 2024 to 63,532.81 million in 2027, indicating strong operational performance [8]. Financial Summary Income Statement - Revenue is projected to grow from 77,272.06 million in 2024 to 96,171.81 million in 2027, with a growth rate of 11.13% in 2027 [8]. - Operating profit is expected to increase from 22,382.02 million in 2024 to 26,157.73 million in 2027 [8]. - The net profit margin is forecasted to remain stable, with net profit margins of 11.36% in 2024 and 11.72% in 2027 [8]. Balance Sheet - Total assets are expected to grow from 659,739.17 million in 2024 to 862,466.11 million in 2027 [7]. - Total liabilities are projected to increase from 450,371.21 million in 2024 to 602,519.54 million in 2027 [7]. - The equity attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 110,217.03 million in 2024 to 131,495.29 million in 2027 [7]. Cash Flow Statement - Operating cash flow is projected to increase from 40,720.53 million in 2024 to 55,439.92 million in 2027 [7]. - The net cash increase is expected to show a decline, with a negative cash flow of -6,860.67 million in 2025 [7]. Key Financial Ratios - The company's P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 21.25 in 2024 to 16.55 in 2027, indicating potential undervaluation [8]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 7.96% in 2024 to 8.57% in 2027 [8]. - The debt-to-equity ratio is expected to remain high, with a net debt ratio of 173.92% in 2024 and 196.38% in 2027 [8].

中国广核电力股份有限公司 2025 年上半年，公司管理的核电机组实现上网电量约 1133.60 亿千 瓦时，同比增长 6.93%；公司子公司实现上网电量 892.65 亿千瓦时，同 比增长 8.82%；公司管理核电机组平均利用小时数为 3784 小时，同比提 升 125 小时。 上半年，公司已按计划完成 8 个年度大修和 2 个十年大修，其中包 括 2024 年开始的 1 个年度换料大修。上半年大修总天数约为 414 天， 较去年同期减少约 109 天。根据公司大修计划的总体安排，预计全年大 修天数将较去年有所减少，贡献增量电量。 上半年，公司累计上网电量等效燃煤发电减少标煤消耗约 3409 万吨、减排二氧化碳约 1.07 亿吨，为助力国家实现"双碳"目标贡献 | 核电力量。 | | --- | | 2025 年上半年，公司参与市场化交易比例约为 56.1%，较去年同期 | | 略有提升，受全市场交易价格总体下降影响，公司上半年市场化交易平 | | 均电价总体有所下降。 | | 财务业绩方面，公司上半年实现营业收入人民币 391.67 亿元，同 | | 比下降 0.5%。实现归母净利润为人民币 59.52 亿 ...

上 市 公 司 2025 年 08 月 28 日 中国核电 (601985) —— 电量同比稳步增长，绿电增资引战业绩承压 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 08 月 28 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 9.03 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 12.18/8.66 | | 市净率 | 1.6 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 1.99 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 170,516 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,843.60/12,571.37 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 06 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 5.51 | | 资产负债率% | 69.97 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 20,568/18,883 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 公用事业 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 08-28 09-28 10-28 11-28 12-28 01-28 02-28 03-31 04- ...

| | | | 77272.06 | 81789.53 | 86537.87 | 96171.81 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3.09 | 5.85 | 5.81 | 11.13 | | 8777.34 | 9913.75 | 10215.03 | 11274.38 | | -17.38 | 12.95 | 3.04 | 10.37 | | 42.91 | 41.30 | 40.35 | 39.59 | | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.55 | | 21.25 | 18.82 | 18.26 | 16.55 | | 1.69 | 1.58 | 1.50 | 1.42 | | 2.41 | 2.28 | 2.16 | 1.94 | | 市场数据 | 2025-08-27 | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 601985 | | A 股收盘价(元) | 9.07 | | 上证指数 | 3,800.35 | | 总股本(万股) | 2,056,800 | | 实际流通 A 股(万股) | 1,888,328 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿元) | 1, ...

Group 1 - The company achieved an operating revenue of 40.973 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.43% [2] - The company has 26 nuclear power units in operation with a total installed capacity of 25 million kilowatts, generating 99.861 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity, a year-on-year increase of 12.01% [2] - The company is actively developing nuclear energy projects, with the approval of the Zhejiang Sanmen Nuclear Power Units 5 and 6, and is coordinating with local governments to report site applications to the National Energy Administration [2] Group 2 - The company has 19 units under construction or approved for construction, with an installed capacity of 21.859 million kilowatts, and successfully completed the hot functional test for the Zhangzhou Unit 2 [2] - In the renewable energy sector, the company generated 21.915 billion kilowatt-hours from its renewable energy units, a year-on-year increase of 35.76% [2] - The company is focusing on strategic emerging industries, including the establishment of a fully automated production line for rigid perovskite and the launch of the "Hefei No. 1" isotope brand [3]

Core Viewpoint - UBS has upgraded China General Nuclear Power (01816) from "Sell" to "Neutral" due to its favorable position in accelerating the deployment of Small Modular Reactors (SMR) in China and potential benefits from advancements in nuclear fusion technology [1] Summary by Categories Company Positioning - China General Nuclear Power is well-positioned to benefit from the rapid deployment of SMR technology in China [1] - The company may also gain from breakthroughs in nuclear energy technology in the long term [1] Financial Outlook - UBS has raised the target price for China General Nuclear Power from HKD 2.3 to HKD 3.4, indicating a reasonable current valuation with limited downside [1] - Despite the upgrade, UBS remains cautious about the company's short-term outlook due to risks associated with declining market electricity prices and rising uranium procurement costs [1] Earnings Forecast - UBS anticipates continued pressure on earnings until 2026, with its earnings per share forecast for 2025 to 2027 being approximately 11% lower than the market consensus [1]

国金证券股份有限公司张君昊,唐执敬近期对中国广核（003816）进行研究并发布了研究报告《电价拖累 业绩，管理在建机组达20台》，给予中国广核买入评级。 中国广核 业绩简评 8月27日晚间公司披露25年中报，1H25实现营收391.7亿元，同比-0.5%；实现归母净利润59.5亿元，同 比-16.3%。2Q25实现营收191.4亿元，同比-5.2%；实现归母净利润29.3亿元，同比-16.5%。 经营分析 | 报告日期 | 机构简称 | 研究员 | 沂三年业绩 | 研报数 | 覆盖时长 | 2025预测 | 2026预测 | 2027预测 | 目标价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 预测准确度 | | | 净利润(元) | 净利润(元) | 净利润(元) | (70) | | 2025-07-09 | 中信证券 | 李樹 | - | -- | - | 99.28 G | 103.07 Z | 108.89 Z | 4.00 | | 2025-04-28 | 方正证券 | 我 | -- | -- | ...

◼ 8 月 27 日晚间公司披露 25 年中报，1H25 实现营收 391.7 亿 元，同比-0.5%；实现归母净利润 59.5 亿元，同比-16.3%。2Q25 实现营收 191.4 亿元，同比-5.2%；实现归母净利润 29.3 亿元， 同比-16.5%。 ◼ 我们预计公司 2025~2027 年 分 别 实 现 归 母 净 利 润 100.8/101.5/115.2 亿元，EPS 分别为 0.20/0.20/0.23 元，对 应 PE 分别为 19 倍、19 倍和 17 倍，维持"买入"评级。 ◼ 核电站安全运营风险、核电机组检修影响电量风险、电力价格 波动风险等。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 240828 241128 250228 250531 | 公司基本情况 (人民币) | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入(百 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the company [3] Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was CNY 39.167 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 0.53%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 5.952 billion, down 16.3% year-on-year [6][8] - The decline in performance is attributed to falling electricity prices and rising costs, but the acceleration of the Huizhou nuclear power project is expected to drive future growth [6][8] - The company managed to achieve a stable increase in nuclear power generation due to reduced maintenance downtime, with a total on-grid electricity of 113.36 billion kWh in the first half of 2025, up 6.93% year-on-year [6][8] - The average nuclear power price (excluding tax) was CNY 0.343 per kWh, reflecting a decrease of 7.3% year-on-year [6][8] Financial Data and Valuation - The company is projected to have total revenue of CNY 85.88 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 1% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be CNY 10.042 billion in 2025, a decrease of 7% year-on-year, followed by growth of 6% and 12% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [7][11] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 19.0x for 2025, 17.9x for 2026, and 16.0x for 2027 [7][11] Operational Highlights - The company is managing 28 operational nuclear power units and has 20 units under construction or approved for construction, with a total installed capacity of 3,179.8 MW and 2,422.2 MW respectively [6][8] - The company plans to acquire 82% of the Huizhou Nuclear Power project and 100% of several other projects, which is expected to contribute positively to future earnings [6][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Add" for the company, indicating a positive outlook for the stock price in the near term [3]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 40.973 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.43%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.66% to 5.666 billion yuan, primarily due to a decline in the equity stake in a subsidiary [1][6]. - The nuclear power segment showed strong performance with a 12.01% increase in electricity generation, totaling 99.861 billion kWh, benefiting from reduced maintenance losses and new unit commissioning [6]. - The renewable energy segment experienced a significant increase in electricity generation by 35.81% to 21.553 billion kWh, although rising costs impacted profitability [6]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 79.913 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 3% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 10.031 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 14% increase [2]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.6x for 2025, with projections of 17.1x and 15.4x for 2026 and 2027, respectively [7]. Performance Summary - The company has a total market capitalization of 186.6 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of 171.3 billion yuan [3]. - The return on equity (ROE) stands at 7.5%, and the debt-to-asset ratio is 70% [3]. - The company has 19 nuclear units under construction or approved, with a total installed capacity of 21.859 million kW, indicating strong growth potential [6].