Core Insights - Mainland China's cloud infrastructure services market reached $13.4 billion in Q3 2025, growing 24% year on year, marking the second consecutive quarter of growth above 20% [1] - Sustained demand for AI is driving adoption and generating spillover effects across core cloud infrastructure services, accelerating the shift in cloud resource consumption toward production workloads [1] - Leading cloud providers are continuing to build out AI capabilities in response to this growing demand [1]

Core Insights - The competition for AI leadership among major cloud providers is intensifying, with Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon leading in different segments of the AI stack [1] Microsoft (Azure) - In Q2 FY2026, Microsoft's Cloud revenue rose 26% to US$51.5 billion, driven by a 39% increase in Azure and other cloud revenue [2] - Microsoft's capital expenditure (CAPEX) surged 66% YoY to US$37.5 billion, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth [2] - The backlog for Azure reached US$625 billion, up 110% YoY, indicating strong demand for Azure services [3] - OpenAI contributed 45% to Microsoft's backlog, while the non-OpenAI segment grew 28% YoY, reflecting broad-based demand [3] - Microsoft is developing custom AI accelerators and integrating AI into its product suites, similar to Alphabet's strategy [3] - The company has extended the useful life of older GPUs through advanced software, akin to NVIDIA's CUDA approach [4] Alphabet (Google Cloud Platform - GCP) - In Q4 2025, Alphabet's Cloud revenue increased 48% YoY to US$17.7 billion, with GCP growing at an even higher rate [5] - Alphabet's CAPEX in Q4 2025 rose 95% YoY to US$27.9 billion, with total CAPEX for 2025 reaching US$91.4 billion [5] - GCP's backlog grew 55% sequentially to US$240 billion in Q4 2025, with projected CAPEX for 2026 expected to be US$175 billion to US$185 billion [6] - Revenue from GCP's AI products grew nearly 400% YoY in Q4 2025, with costs to run its AI models reduced by 78% [7] - 14 of Alphabet's AI-powered products have annual revenues exceeding US$1 billion, indicating significant adoption [8] Amazon (AWS) - AWS revenue surged 24% YoY to US$35.6 billion in Q4 2025, marking the fastest growth in 13 quarters [9] - Amazon's CAPEX reached US$39.5 billion in Q4 2025, a 42% YoY increase, with total CAPEX for 2025 at US$131.8 billion [9] - Projected CAPEX for 2026 is expected to be around US$200 billion, driven by demand for core and AI workloads [10] - Amazon's backlog increased 40% YoY to US$244 billion, reflecting strong demand [10] - AWS's Trainium and Graviton chips are generating a US$10 billion annual revenue run rate, growing at triple-digit percentages YoY [13] - Amazon Bedrock, a service for building AI applications, is utilized by over 100,000 companies and has a multi-billion-dollar annualized revenue run rate [13] - Amazon Connect reached a US$1 billion annualized revenue run rate in Q4 2025, growing at 30% YoY [13]

Core Insights - The core message of the article emphasizes that AI has become the primary driver of cloud computing development, transforming cloud infrastructure from merely supporting IT to being essential for the deployment and scalability of AI applications [1] Group 1: Cloud Infrastructure Modernization - By 2027, over 85% of organizations in China will transition traditional cloud environments to new platforms that accommodate AI workloads, indicating that traditional IaaS/PaaS models are insufficient for scaling AI applications [2] - The modernization of cloud infrastructure is a prerequisite for enterprises to develop intelligent business operations [2] Group 2: AI-Driven Cloud Operations - By 2027, 80% of China's top 500 enterprises will deploy agent-based AI platforms to automate IT cloud operations, providing large-scale, continuous monitoring, analysis, and fault recovery capabilities with minimal human intervention [3][4] Group 3: AI Cloud Service Providers - By 2029, at least 30% of high-grade GPU resources will be provided by AI cloud service providers that offer cloud characteristics, flexible billing, APIs, and software services, distinguishing them from traditional GPU resource providers [5][6] Group 4: Edge AI and Private Cloud Platforms - By 2028, embodied intelligence will experience explosive growth, with cloud service providers deploying AI infrastructure and agents at the enterprise edge to support 60% of business scenarios [7] - To meet data privacy needs and reduce risks associated with public large language models, 60% of organizations in China will adopt private cloud platforms that offer greater control over data governance by 2028 [8][9] Group 5: AI Cost Governance and Heterogeneous Cloud Infrastructure - By 2028, companies that do not integrate AI investments into their cost governance will face a 30% increase in costs and lower overall returns on AI-related projects [10] - Over 80% of organizations in China will adopt heterogeneous cloud infrastructure by 2028 to balance mixed CPU, GPU, and storage technologies, optimizing the cost-effectiveness of AI workloads [11] Group 6: Cloud Risk Management and AI Workload Automation - By 2029, 50% of organizations implementing digital autonomy in China will migrate sensitive workloads to new cloud platforms to mitigate risks and enhance autonomy due to geopolitical uncertainties [12] - By 2029, 60% of organizations will use cloud-based AI integration tools to assess cost and performance metrics, deploying AI agents to automate workload collaboration and optimize workload substitution [13] Group 7: Intelligent SaaS Platforms - By 2029, 50% of Chinese enterprises will adopt SaaS platforms for real-time workflows, integrating predefined app functions with AI agents to create modular and interactive solutions [14] - The SaaS model is evolving towards a combination of "applications + agents," reflecting a shift in the cloud computing market from a growth phase to a capability reconstruction phase [15]

6 February 2026 | 12:52AM EST Equity Research Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) Q4'25 Review: Investments Aimed at Compounded Platform Growth Aligned with Long-Term Strategic Initiatives Around AI & Commerce BUY Eric Sheridan +1(917)343-8683 | eric.sheridan@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Alex Vegliante, CFA +1(212)934-1878 | alex.vegliante@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Emma Huang +1(212)902-7229 | emma.huang@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC | AMZN | | --- | | 12m Price Target: $280.00 | | Price: $222.69 | | Upside: 25. ...

J P M O R G A N North America Equity Research 06 February 2026 Overweight AMZN, AMZN US Price (05 Feb 26):$222.69 ▼Price Target (Dec-26):$265.00 Prior (Dec-26):$305.00 Internet - Large Cap / Mid & Small Cap Doug Anmuth AC (1-212) 622-6571 douglas.anmuth@jpmorgan.com Bryan M. Smilek (1-212) 622-8886 bryan.smilek@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities LLC Key Changes (FYE Dec) | | Prev | Cur Δ | | --- | --- | --- | | Adj. EPS - 26E ($) | 11.74 | 9.25 -21.2% | | Adj. EPS - 27E ($) | 13.45 | 11.19 -16.8% | Quarter ...

Accessible version Amazon.com Cloud leader all in on capacity build; Buy Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 275.00 USD | Price: 222.69 USD AWS drives 4Q beat, but 1Q outlook leaves more to desire 4Q sales of $213bn was above Street at $211bn, while GAAP profit of $25.0bn beat Street at $24.8bn (and would have been $27.4bn excluding one-time charges). AWS growth of 24% accelerated q/q and beat expectations at 22% as capacity adds drove revenues. The 1Q sales guide for $173.5bn-$178.5bn bracketed Street at $176bn an ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Transcript Industry Overview - The focus is on the **Global Cloud Capital Expenditures (Capex)**, which is projected to reach **$735 billion** in 2026, marking a **60% year-over-year (Y/Y) growth**. This is the third consecutive year of such growth in the cloud sector [2][4][8]. Core Insights - The **2026 cloud capex** forecast is **$120 billion** higher than previous estimates, driven by strong guidance from major players like **Google (GOOGL)**, **Amazon (AMZN)**, and **Meta (META)** [4][11]. - Despite a projected **57% Y/Y growth** in 2026, which indicates a deceleration from 2025, it still represents an unprecedented growth rate for the top 11 cloud spenders [4][11]. - The **aggregate cloud capex** for 2025-2026 is now estimated at **$1.2 trillion**, which is **$500 billion** higher than forecasts made a year ago, equating to **26% of total revenue** for these companies [4][8]. - The **capital spending intensity** among the top 11 cloud providers has increased to over **25%** of total revenue, which is **three times** the average from 2014 to 2023 [8][11]. Company-Specific Guidance - **Meta** has guided for a capex of **$115-135 billion** in 2026, reflecting a **73% Y/Y increase** at the midpoint, focusing on AI infrastructure [11]. - **Google** anticipates a capex of **$175-185 billion** (+97% Y/Y at midpoint), with significant investments in AI and cloud infrastructure [11]. - **Amazon** expects to spend around **$200 billion** in 2026 (+52% Y/Y), primarily for AWS, driven by growth in both AI and non-AI workloads [11]. - **Microsoft** did not provide specific capex guidance but indicated a decline in Q/Q capex due to normal variability in cloud infrastructure buildouts [11]. Additional Insights - The **monthly tokens processed** by major cloud service providers (CSPs) are growing exponentially, indicating a surge in demand for AI inference [19][20]. - The **US top 4 hyperscalers** are expected to see cloud revenue growth accelerate to the **30-35% range** over the next several quarters, the strongest growth since 2020 [22]. - The **non-AI cloud capex** growth is projected to accelerate to **80% Y/Y in 2025**, followed by nearly **60% Y/Y growth** expected in 2026 [24]. Conclusion - The overall outlook for cloud capex remains robust, with significant investments anticipated from major players in the industry. This trend is expected to benefit component suppliers with high exposure to cloud capex, indicating potential investment opportunities in this sector [5][8].

Key Takeaways Cloud computing remains a dominant investment theme, particularly so during the AI era. For those seeking exposure, Zacks Thematic Screens can lend a hand. Zacks Thematic Screens lets you dive into 30 dynamic investment themes shaping the future. Whether you're interested in cutting-edge technology, renewable energy, or healthcare innovations, our themes help you invest in ideas that matter to you..Let’s take a closer look at the ‘Cloud Computing’ theme and analyze a stock within, namely Micro ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a significant increase in capital expenditure by major overseas tech companies, with a projected total of $660 billion by 2026, marking a 60% year-on-year growth primarily aimed at AI computing power development [2][10] - ByteDance has launched a new AI product, Seedance 2.0, on its platform, which has garnered extensive evaluation and discussion within the AI industry, potentially accelerating the commercialization of AI-driven short films and series [2][10] Group 2 - The ChiNext AI Index has significantly outperformed its peers, achieving a cumulative increase of 322.31% in 2023, surpassing other AI indices such as the Sci-Tech Innovation AI Index and the CS Artificial Intelligence Index [3][12][13] - The ChiNext AI Index allocates approximately 60% of its portfolio to computing power (including optical modules and IDC) and about 40% to AI applications, indicating a balanced focus on both computing and application aspects of AI [5][16] - Within the computing power segment, the ChiNext AI Index emphasizes investments in the upstream "seller" segment of the AI industry chain, with over 44% of its allocation in CPO optical modules [5][16]

证券研究报告 TMT [Table_Title] 海外云厂商持续加码资本开支 TMT 行业周报（2 月第 1 周） [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 02 月 09 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：李时樟 执业证书：S1030522060001 电话：18065826333 邮箱：lisz@csco.com.cn 分析师：罗晴 执业证书：S1030524110001 电话：13603091122 邮箱：luoqing@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 [Table_S 行业观点： ummary] 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 3) 风险提示：AI 大模型进展不及预期、AI 应用不及预期。 [Table_Industry] [Table_ReportType] [Table_BaseData] 1) 周度市场回顾。TMT 板块内一级行业上周（2/2-2/6）涨跌 幅为：传媒（-3.24%）、计算机（-3.27%）、电子（-5.23%）、 通信（-6.95%）。板块内涨幅靠前的三级子行业分别为通信 线缆及配套（3.62%）、安防设备（1.93%）、其他通信设备 ...