Report Title - 2025/26 Annual Global Agricultural Product Supply and Demand Situation Forecast - Interpretation of the May 2025 USDA Supply and Demand Report [1] Core Viewpoint - Based on the data from the May USDA global agricultural product supply and demand report, the report analyzes the supply and demand situations of global grains, oilseeds, US livestock and dairy products, and global soft commodities (cotton) in the 2025/26 period, providing an overview of the future trends of these major agricultural products [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Section Summaries 1. Grains - **Overall**: In the 2025/26 period, global grain production is expected to reach 2.89676 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 57.28 million tons; total supply will increase by 27.85 million tons to 3.66349 billion tons; total consumption will increase by 38.44 million tons to 2.90735 billion tons; ending stocks will slightly decrease by 10.6 million tons to 756.14 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will drop by 0.72% to 26.01%. Global grains will continue to draw down stocks [4] - **Corn and Coarse Grains**: Production is expected to be 1.54952 billion tons, a year-on-year increase of 47.47 million tons; total supply will increase by 16.84 million tons to 1.86594 billion tons; total consumption will increase by 27.92 million tons to 1.5606 billion tons; ending stocks will slightly decrease by 11.08 million tons to 305.34 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will drop by 0.97% to 19.57%. The US corn planting area will increase by 4.7 million acres to 95.3 million acres, production is expected to increase by 1 billion bushels to 15.82 billion bushels, ending stocks will increase by 385 million bushels to 1.8 billion bushels, and the stock-to-use ratio will rise from 9.28% in the previous year to 11.64% [6] - **Wheat**: Production is expected to be 808.52 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 8.81 million tons; total supply will increase by 4.9 million tons to 1.07373 billion tons; total consumption will increase by 4.38 million tons to 808 million tons; ending stocks will slightly increase by 520,000 tons to 265.73 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will drop by 0.11% to 32.89%. The global wheat supply-demand pattern is basically stable [13] - **Rice**: Production is expected to be 838.71 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.9 million tons; total supply will increase by 6.1 million tons to 723.82 million tons; total consumption will increase by 6.14 million tons to 538.75 million tons; ending stocks will slightly decrease by 400,000 tons to 185.07 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will drop by 0.4% to 34.35%. The global rice supply-demand pattern has improved [17] 2. Oilseeds - **Overall**: In the 2025/26 period, global oilseed production is expected to be 692.1 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 14.94 million tons; total supply will increase by 20.12 million tons to 833.4 million tons; total consumption will increase by 18.42 million tons to 580.49 million tons; ending stocks will rise by 1.94 million tons to 143.24 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will drop by 0.4% to 24.68%. Global oilseed supply is relatively abundant [20] - **Protein Meal**: Production is expected to be 400.2 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 12.48 million tons; total supply will increase by 15.56 million tons to 422.5 million tons; total consumption will increase by 14.82 million tons to 394.78 million tons; ending stocks will rise by 960,000 tons to 23.31 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will remain basically flat at 5.9%. The global protein meal market maintains a tight balance [23] - **Oils**: Production is expected to be 234.5 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.78 million tons; total supply will increase by 5.08 million tons to 263.6 million tons; total consumption will increase by 4.93 million tons to 228.94 million tons; ending stocks will remain the same as the previous year at 29.14 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will drop by 0.2% to 12.73%. Driven by biodiesel, global oil demand has improved, and the stock-to-use ratio has slightly decreased [23] - **Soybeans**: Production is expected to be 426.8 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 5.95 million tons; total consumption will increase by 13.76 million tons to 424.05 million tons; ending stocks will rise by 7.88 million tons to 123.18 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will drop by 0.7% to 29.32%. South American production increases will offset the decline in US soybean production [25] - **Soybean Oil**: Production is expected to be 70.77 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.2 million tons; total consumption will increase by 1.84 million tons to 69.22 million tons; ending stocks will rise by 360,000 tons to 6.06 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will rise by 0.3% to 9.32%. The global soybean oil market is basically balanced, stocks will slightly increase, and the global oil market will maintain a tight balance [27] - **Soybean Meal**: Production is expected to be 287.6 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.52 million tons; total consumption will increase by 11.55 million tons to 283.37 million tons; ending stocks will rise by 730,000 tons to 18.39 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will remain basically flat at 6.5%. Global soybean meal demand is growing significantly, and the market will maintain a tight balance with strong supply and demand [29] 3. US Livestock and Dairy Products - **Beef**: Production is expected to be 11.43 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 580,000 tons; total consumption will decrease by 540,000 tons to 12.57 million tons; ending stocks will drop by 10,000 tons to 260,000 tons. Although both production and demand have declined, the US beef market will generally remain in a boom cycle [32] - **Dairy Products**: Production is expected to be 103.37 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 270,000 tons; domestic consumption is expected to be 85 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 820,000 tons; the stock-to-use ratio will drop by 0.28% to 6.51%. The dairy stock-to-use ratio will further decline, dairy prices will be low, supply growth will slow down, and consumption will increase [35] 4. Soft Commodities (Cotton) - In the 2025/26 period, global cotton production is expected to be 2.565 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 71,000 tons; total consumption will increase by 30,000 tons to 2.57 million tons; ending stocks will remain basically the same as the previous year at 1.706 million tons, and the stock-to-use ratio will drop by 0.8% to 66.38%. The global cotton market will continue to have an oversupply situation, and the high stock-to-use ratio will put pressure on cotton prices [37]

Core Viewpoint - The livestock farming index in China has shown a slight decline, with specific stocks experiencing mixed performance, while external factors such as foot-and-mouth disease in South Africa are impacting the industry [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of May 13, 2025, the China Livestock Farming Index (930707) decreased by 0.38%, with stocks like Luyouli (300381) and Jinxinnong (002548) showing gains of 1.07% and 1.05% respectively, while Ruipubio (300119) led the decline with a drop of 2.66% [1]. - The Livestock ETF (516760) fell by 0.80%, with a latest price of 0.62 yuan, but it ranked first in weekly performance among comparable funds as of May 12, 2025 [1]. - The Livestock ETF had a turnover rate of 1.07% during the trading session, with a total transaction value of 1.4475 million yuan, and an average daily transaction of 4.6547 million yuan over the past year [3]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The South African Department of Agriculture confirmed the spread of foot-and-mouth disease to provinces like KwaZulu-Natal, prompting China's Ministry of Agriculture to urge livestock farmers to restrict animal transport and implement a 28-day quarantine for new animals [1]. - Everbright Securities identified three main investment themes: (1) Planting: Rising prices of staple crops like corn and wheat are expected to benefit major planting companies; (2) Seeds: Improved demand in the seed industry due to favorable planting conditions; (3) Agricultural Chemicals: Improved planting profits are likely to reduce agricultural input cost pressures, expanding the agricultural chemicals market [1]. Group 3: Valuation Metrics - The Livestock ETF closely tracks the China Livestock Farming Index, which includes companies involved in animal feed, veterinary drugs, and livestock farming, reflecting the overall performance of related listed companies [3]. - As of May 12, 2025, the Livestock Farming Index's price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) was 12.26, indicating it is at a historical low, being below 99.43% of the time over the past year [3]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the Livestock Farming Index accounted for 69.38% of the index, with Hai Da Group (002311) having the highest weight at 11.24% [3][5].

Group 1 - The article highlights the significant role of local credit cooperatives in supporting agricultural and livestock development in the Fuhai County of Xinjiang, particularly through loans and financial services [1][2] - Martinbek Reyimu, a local farmer, expanded his planting area from 80 acres to 2,100 acres with the help of a loan from the Fuhai County Agricultural Credit Cooperative, which increased from 100,000 yuan to 1 million yuan [1] - The Fuhai County Agricultural Credit Cooperative has issued a total of 496 million yuan in spring farming loans, an increase of 94 million yuan or 23.38% compared to the same period last year, exceeding their planned target by 124% [2] Group 2 - The article describes the peak lambing season for camels from March to May, during which local livestock farmer Jeken Shaliti has developed a unique camel breeding operation with a current stock of 150 camels [2] - Jeken Shaliti utilized a credit loan of 300,000 yuan from the Fuhai County Agricultural Credit Cooperative to expand his breeding operation, highlighting the cooperative's role in providing accessible financial support [2] - The cooperative's efforts are part of a broader initiative to support rural revitalization and enhance agricultural productivity in the region [2]

云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司 Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co.,LTD. 会议资料 股票代码：605296 股票简称：神农集团 中国 昆明 二〇二五年五月 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司 会议须知 为维护全体股东的合法权益，确保云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司(以 下简称"公司")股东会的正常秩序和议事效率，保证股东会的顺利进行，根据 《中华人民共和国公司法》 《中华人民共和国证券法》 《公司章程》及《股东会议 事规则》的规定，特制定本次股东会须知如下： 一、为能够及时统计出席会议的股东（或股东代表）所代表的持股总数，请 现场出席股东会的股东和股东代表于会议开始前 30 分钟到达会议地点，并携带 身份证明、股东账户卡、加盖法人公章的《营业执照》复印件（法人股东)、授 权委托书(股东代理人)、持股凭证等原件，以便签到入场；参会资格未得到确认 的人员，不得进入会场。 二、为保证本次会议的正常秩序，除出席会议的股东（或股东代表）、董事、 监事、高级 ...

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of compliance and integrity in tax practices as foundational elements for business sustainability and economic vitality [1][4] - The tax authority in Hechi City is implementing a dynamic credit management system that transforms tax credit into a valuable digital asset, enhancing competitive advantages for compliant businesses [1][2] Group 1: Dynamic Credit Management - Tax credit is evolving from a mere evaluation metric to a transferable and value-added digital asset, with Hechi's tax department focusing on both incentivizing compliance and providing flexible remediation [1][2] - Baima Original Breed Pig Agricultural Company has achieved a "Triple A" tax credit rating for three consecutive years, benefiting from a full-cycle "green channel" that allows for expedited services and enhanced competitive positioning [1][2] Group 2: Targeted Compliance Guidance - The tax authority is conducting practical training sessions to clarify tax exemption policies for agricultural products, making complex regulations more accessible to businesses [3] - A risk prevention guide has been developed to help businesses identify and manage high-frequency tax risks, enhancing their ability to respond to potential issues [3] Group 3: Tax-Enterprise Co-Governance - The modern tax governance model focuses on building mutual trust and win-win scenarios between tax authorities and businesses, with tailored support for companies transitioning to different tax categories [5][6] - Collaborative efforts between tax authorities and financial institutions aim to alleviate financing challenges for businesses, promoting a culture of integrity in tax practices [6]

Group 1 - The World Bank's project in Guangxi has provided significant financial support to local agricultural cooperatives, enhancing their productivity and profitability [1][2] - The Lianqiang Agricultural Cooperative has expanded its mango planting area to over 2,000 acres, achieving an annual online sales volume of over 300,000 pounds of mangoes [1] - The average yield of different mango varieties has increased from 1,000 pounds per acre to between 2,000 and 4,000 pounds per acre, with prices rising from a few cents to between 2 and 6 yuan per pound [1] Group 2 - The Xianwang Cooperative in Liushuo Village has benefited from a 3 million yuan investment, leading to an increase in breeding stock and modern farming equipment [2] - The cooperative has 151 member households and has distributed over 100,000 yuan in dividends over the past four years, indicating strong financial performance [2] - Among the cooperatives funded by the World Bank project, 57 have achieved profitability, exceeding the initial target of 40 [2] Group 3 - The Dongyang Agricultural Cooperative has developed a green circular agriculture model, integrating grass planting, processing, beef cattle breeding, and organic fertilizer production [3] - The Guangxi Fresh Friend Agricultural Development Company has established partnerships with 26 cooperatives to create mango planting bases, benefiting 5,899 farming households [3] - The project has facilitated the acquisition of substandard mangoes for juice production, transforming them into a profitable product [3]

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码：000735 证券简称：罗牛山 公告编号：2025-019 罗牛山股份有限公司 2025年4月畜牧行业销售简报 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、2025年4月份生猪销售情况 公司2025年4月销售生猪6.52万头，环比增长19.59%，同比下降4.32%；销售收入12,492.74万元，环比增 长14.59%，同比增长12.72%。 2025年1-4月，公司累计销售生猪20.80万头，同比下降19.96%；累计销售收入41,715.49万元，同比增长 0.36%。 （一）上述披露仅包含公司生猪养殖业务销售情况，不含其它业务。 上述数据未经审计，与定期报告披露的数据可能存在差异，因此上述数据仅作为阶段性数据供投资者参 考。 二、风险提示 罗牛山股份有限公司 董 事 会 2025年5月09日 特此公告。 三、其他提示 （三）生猪市场价格变动的风险是整个生猪生产行业的系统风险，对任何一家生猪生产者来说，都是客 观存在的、不可控制的外部风险。 《证券时报》、《中国证券报》以及巨潮资讯网（www. ...

| | | 5月8日重要公告摘要 | | --- | --- | --- | | 类型 | 公司 | 主要内容 | | 今日聚焦 | 中芯国际 | 季度净利润同比增长167% | | | 招商银行 | 拟150亿元设立金融资产投资公司 | | | 中信银行 | 拟100亿元设立全资子公司信银金融资产投资有限公司 | | | 国科恒泰 | 四位股东拟合计减持不超4. 7%公司股份 | | 投资8签约 | 宁波华翔 | 与象山工投、上海智元合作 拟在机器人等领域加强合作 | | | 金诚信 | 拟投资2.31亿美元建设Alacran铜金银矿项目 | | 股权变动 | 耐普矿机 | 拟认购瑞士Veritas Resources AG股权 | | 增减持&回购 | 东华软件 | 实控人及其一致行动人拟减持不超1%公司股份 | | 经营&业绩 | 金新农 | 4月生猪销售收入1.39亿元 | | | 立华股份 | 4月销售肉鸡收入11. 25亿元 | | 合同&项目中标 | 国网信通 | 全资子公司拟合计中标4. 77亿元国家电网采购项目 | | 股价异动 | 中航成飞 | 不存在公司应披露而未披露的重大事项 | | ...

Group 1 - The company is a rare quality beef listed entity with stable beef and lamb resources from New Zealand [1] - The company was formerly known as Shanghai Meilin Zhengguanghe Co., Ltd., and is a core meat industry enterprise under Bright Food Group, with various well-known brands [1] - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue increased by 8.46% year-on-year to 6.154 billion yuan, and net profit attributable to the parent company rose by 66.82% to 166 million yuan, benefiting from the rising beef prices [1] Group 2 - The domestic beef cattle breeding industry is undergoing significant capacity reduction, with a projected turning point in supply expected in 2025 [2] - In January 2025, beef cattle slaughter increased by 6% month-on-month and 39% year-on-year, while the breeding stock decreased by 22% year-on-year [2] - The company anticipates a significant rebound in beef prices starting in 2025, with a potential peak price increase of 80% compared to the bottom price at the end of 2024 [2] Group 3 - The company's beef business is expected to benefit from the price reversal, with a cautious estimate of an increase in net profit by approximately 520 million yuan if prices rise by 22% from the bottom [3] - The subsidiary Silver Fern Farms has a production volume of 350,000 to 400,000 tons of beef and lamb annually, accounting for 30% of New Zealand's total output, primarily exporting to China and the U.S. [3] - The company forecasts net profits of 496 million, 601 million, and 705 million yuan for 2025-2027, with annual profit growth rates of 129.7%, 21.1%, and 17.3% respectively [3]

Group 1 - The China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) decreased by 0.21% as of May 8, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3] - Leading gainers included Bio-Stock (600201) up 2.30%, Yiduoli (300381) up 1.61%, and Tianma Technology (603668) up 0.76%, while Meihua Biological (600873) led the declines down 1.28% [3] - The Livestock ETF (516760) fell by 0.32%, with the latest price at 0.62 yuan [3] Group 2 - The agricultural sector is entering a busy season with winter wheat in the grain-filling stage and winter rapeseed being harvested, while corn and rice are in peak spring sowing [3] - Among bond issuers in the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector, 13 companies reported year-on-year net profit growth, with Wens Foodstuffs and Muyuan Foods showing significant increases of 250.43% and 554.07% respectively [3] Group 3 - In the seed industry, a new batch of genetically modified varieties is undergoing preliminary review, with attention on the expansion of biological breeding [4] - As of April 30, the national average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn were 2456, 3545, and 2314 yuan per ton, reflecting week-on-week changes of +0.7%, -10.7%, and +1.4% respectively [4] - The China Livestock Breeding Index tracks companies involved in livestock feed, veterinary drugs, and livestock farming, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 69.38% of the index [4] Group 4 - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index include Haida Group (002311), Muyuan Foods (002714), and Wens Foodstuffs (300498), with respective weights of 11.24%, 10.10%, and 10.08% [6] - The performance of these stocks varied, with Haida Group down 0.30%, Wens Foodstuffs down 0.47%, and Muyuan Foods up 0.28% [6]