部分个股累计调整超过两成。 市场预期俄乌冲突可能结束，国际金价走势重挫。 10月22日上午收盘，沪金（au7777）下跌4.75%，报收943.3元/克；伦敦现货黄金盘中最低报4002美元/ 盎司；金矿股同样集体跳水，山东黄金（600547.SH）、中金黄金（600489.SH）、赤峰黄金 （600988.SH）等收盘跌幅逼近或超过4%。 回顾本轮行情，因为美国政府关停、贸易摩擦升温、央行大举买入等因素，黄金和金矿股连续上涨近两 个月，随后在10月14日见顶，目前累计调整已经超过一周，部分个股跌幅超过20%；而沪金期货则在10 月21日于1002元/盎司点位见顶；10月21日欧洲领导人发表联合声明，支持通过谈判推动俄乌停火，市 场对冲突结束有一定预期，金价随后大跌。 光大证券国际策略师伍礼贤向第一财经分析，昨晚金价明显回调，导致金矿股股价下跌。此前金价涨至 接近4400美元/盎司时，涨势过于急促，出现短线回调属于正常且健康现象，预计金价可能维持在高位 震荡，从中线来看，全球对黄金的配置意愿仍然较强。黄金股与金价走势具有较高相关性，但这种相关 性并非绝对对等关系，因为股票与商品资产性质不同，股价还与整体大盘表现 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zhaojin Mining (01818) with a target price of HKD 43.72, anticipating upward revisions in profit forecasts due to the clear production timeline and gradual capacity release of the offshore gold mine [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of RMB 12.43 billion, a significant year-on-year increase of 53.73% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached approximately RMB 2.12 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 140.43% [2] - For the third quarter alone, the company reported operating revenue of approximately RMB 5.08 billion, a year-on-year increase of 59.03% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 25.73% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the third quarter was about RMB 678 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 106.69% [2] Group 2: Market Conditions - The international gold price remained strong in the third quarter of 2025, with an average price of USD 3,459 per ounce, marking a year-on-year increase of 39.88% [2] - The rising gold prices significantly boosted the company's revenue, which is the primary reason for the substantial year-on-year growth in performance [2] - The company is expected to benefit from a "Davis Double Play" effect, where production growth coincides with price increases, enhancing both performance and market value [2] Group 3: Asset Value Realization - The offshore gold mine is the largest single gold mine discovered in China, with proven gold reserves exceeding 560 tons and an average grade of 4.20 grams per ton, making it a rare large-scale gold mine [3] - The ore dressing system of the offshore gold mine successfully completed a water trial run in the first half of the year, indicating initial industrial production capability, with full production expected to be achieved gradually from 2026 to 2027 [3] - Once fully operational, the offshore gold mine is anticipated to produce at least 15 tons of gold, with low comprehensive costs per kilogram due to its scale and high-grade characteristics, positioning it as a core engine for the company's future leap in development [3]

10月21日周二，现货黄金价格盘中一度暴跌6.3%，逼近4000美元关口，创下逾12年来最大单日跌幅，这一波动被视为"5西格玛"（5 sigma）级别 的罕见事件。 现货白银跌幅更甚，一度下挫8.7%。这轮突如其来的抛售终结了此前一周金银价格连创历史新高的势头。高盛交易员评价道： 黄金走势图看起来就像一只崩盘的"妖股"（meme stock）。 而黄金市场的剧烈动荡迅速传导至相关股票。主要黄金生产商巴里克矿业、纽蒙特矿业和Agnico Eagle Mines的股价在周二早盘均下跌超过8%。 连续数周的强劲涨势戛然而止，昨日金银市场经历了惊心动魄的一天。 高盛交易员提供的一些市场观察也印证了这一点：在金价每天上涨约50美元的日子里，"我们几乎没有收到任何客户的问询"；黄金是客户中最受 欢迎的多头头寸，在多数客户调查中，超过80%的受访者认为金价在年底前会上涨；同时，越来越多非大宗商品领域的账户也开始配置黄金。 Adam Gillard据此认为，一场头寸的"清洗"或许是不可避免的。 ETF成为抛售主战场 交易所交易基金（ETF）在此次市场波动中扮演了核心角色，成为投资者快速建立和清算头寸的主要工具。 据高盛的数据 ...

来源：市场资讯 （来源：环球豪源基金） NEWS 近日，紫金矿业发布公告称，今年前三季度，公司实现营业收入约2542亿元(人民币)，同比增长10.33%；实现归属于 上市公司股东的净利润约378.64亿元，同比增长55.45%。 公告还显示，今年第三季度，紫金矿业实现营业收入约864.89亿元，同比增长8.14%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利 润约145.72亿元，同比增长57.14%。 截至10月21日收盘，该公司总市值近8000亿元，稳居全球矿业公司前三位，在A股全市场市值排名中位列第16位。 高盛9月发布的一份报告显示，当前除了各国央行购金，在美元走弱的环境下，个人和私营投资者将投资分散至黄金趋 势明显。 中国黄金储量之王：紫金矿业以近4000吨储量领跑行业 黄金作为重要的避险资产和储备资源，其储量是衡量黄金上市公司投资价值的重要指标。根据最新数据，中国黄金行 业中资源储量居前的上市公司格局明朗，紫金矿业以绝对优势位居榜首。 紫金矿业是国内黄金行业的绝对龙头，截至2024年底，黄金储量高达3973吨，占全国黄金储量的显著比重。 该公司不仅是国内第一，也是全球第六大黄金生产商，2024年矿产金产量达到72 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in gold mining stocks, which have fallen more sharply than gold prices, driven by market expectations of an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict and subsequent drops in international gold prices [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On October 22, the Shanghai gold (au7777) fell by 4.75%, closing at 943.3 yuan per gram, while London spot gold hit a low of 4002 USD per ounce [1] - Gold mining stocks, including Shandong Gold (600547.SH), Zhongjin Gold (600489.SH), and Chifeng Gold (600988.SH), experienced collective declines, with closing drops nearing or exceeding 4% [1] - The recent market trend saw gold and gold mining stocks rise for nearly two months due to factors such as U.S. government shutdowns, escalating trade tensions, and significant central bank purchases, peaking on October 14 before a correction began [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - Industry experts believe that despite the short-term sharp decline in gold prices, the expectations of monetary easing remain a medium-term positive for precious metals [1] - For gold mining stocks, the larger previous gains have led to earlier and more significant corrections, with additional fundamental factors to consider, as some companies reported third-quarter results that fell short of expectations [1]

光大证券国际策略师伍礼贤向第一财经分析，昨晚金价明显回调，导致金矿股股价下跌。此前金价涨至 接近4400美元/盎司时，涨势过于急促，出现短线回调属于正常且健康现象，预计金价可能维持在高位 震荡，从中线来看，全球对黄金的配置意愿仍然较强。黄金股与金价走势具有较高相关性，但这种相关 性并非绝对对等关系，因为股票与商品资产性质不同，股价还与整体大盘表现相关，不同个股本身也存 在不同消息，例如黄金上涨期间，若某只股票所属矿山停产或维修，或者业绩不如预期，也会对股价产 生影响。 红蚁资本投资总监李泽铭认为，金矿股通常会出现过度炒作现象，10月中旬前本轮金矿股股价升幅大于 黄金升幅。金矿股下跌主要由于金价及其他贵金属价格出现较大幅度调整，黄金大跌属于罕见的单日回 调，必然影响金矿股走势，金矿股跟随金价调整无可避免。另外，金矿股陆续公布三季度业绩，部分公 司不如市场预期，这让很多投资者感到疑惑，金矿股利润并未完全受益于金价涨幅。目前来看，金价回 调是暂时性的，随着全球局势升温、对货币不信任情绪加剧以及避险需求增加，中长远来看金价仍有上 涨动力，经历本轮回调后，金矿股仍有机会吸引中长线资金进入。 博时基金基金经理王祥说，交易 ...

2025.10.22 10月22日上午收盘，沪金（au7777）下跌4.75%，报收943.3元/克；伦敦现货黄金盘中最低报4002美元/ 盎司；金矿股同样集体跳水，山东黄金（600547.SH）、中金黄金（600489.SH）、赤峰黄金 （600988.SH）等收盘跌幅逼近或超过4%。 回顾本轮行情，因为美国政府关停、贸易摩擦升温、央行大举买入等因素，黄金和金矿股连续上涨近两 个月，随后在10月14日见顶，目前累计调整已经超过一周，部分个股跌幅超过20%；而沪金期货则在10 月21日于1002元/盎司点位见顶；10月21日欧洲领导人发表联合声明，支持通过谈判推动俄乌停火，市 场对冲突结束有一定预期，金价随后大跌。 对黄金未来走势，业内人士认为，尽管短线暴跌，但货币宽松预期对贵金属的中期利好并未动摇，依然 值得看好；对金矿股而言，因为此前涨幅更大，回调时间更早幅度更大，也有更多基本面因素要考虑， 因为部分企业三季报不如预期。 光大证券国际策略师伍礼贤向第一财经分析，昨晚金价明显回调，导致金矿股股价下跌。此前金价涨至 接近4400美元/盎司时，涨势过于急促，出现短线回调属于正常且健康现象，预计金价可能维持在高位 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent decline in gold prices and gold mining stocks due to market expectations of a potential end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, despite previous upward trends driven by various economic factors [3][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - On October 22, gold prices fell significantly, with Shanghai gold (au7777) down 4.75% to 943.3 yuan per gram, and London spot gold hitting a low of 4002 USD per ounce [3]. - Gold mining stocks also experienced sharp declines, with companies like Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold seeing closing drops of nearly or over 4% [3]. - The recent rally in gold prices lasted nearly two months, driven by factors such as U.S. government shutdowns, trade tensions, and central bank purchases, but peaked on October 14, leading to a correction of over a week [3]. Group 2: Analyst Insights - Analysts believe that despite the short-term drop in gold prices, the medium-term outlook remains positive due to expectations of monetary easing, which is favorable for precious metals [4]. - The correlation between gold mining stocks and gold prices is strong but not absolute, as stock prices are also influenced by overall market performance and specific company news [4]. - There is a tendency for gold mining stocks to be overhyped, with their price increases outpacing gold prices prior to mid-October, leading to a necessary correction [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The recent drop in gold prices is viewed as temporary, with potential for future increases driven by rising global tensions, growing distrust in currencies, and increased demand for safe-haven assets [4]. - As gold mining companies release their third-quarter earnings, some results have not met market expectations, causing investor uncertainty regarding the profitability of these stocks [4]. - The upcoming U.S.-China talks are being monitored closely, as any positive developments could dampen demand for gold and silver as safe-haven assets [5].

Core Viewpoint - Jefferies' research report indicates that Zijin Mining's net profit after tax for Q3 reached 14.6 billion yuan, representing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11% and a year-on-year increase of 57%, slightly exceeding the firm's expectations [1] Financial Performance - The recurring net profit after tax was 12.5 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6% and a year-on-year increase of 50%, aligning with the firm's expectations [1] - Gold production for the period was 23.8 tons, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7% and a year-on-year increase of 26%, with a cumulative year-on-year increase of 20% for the first three quarters of the year [1] Production Guidance - Following the recent acquisition of the Raygorodok gold mine in Kazakhstan, the company is expected to exceed its annual gold production guidance of 85 tons, with the latest estimate reaching approximately 89 tons [1] - However, copper production guidance has been revised down from 1.15 million tons to 1.10 million tons for the year, and to 1.07 million tons for 2024 [1] - The impact on profitability is expected to be limited, as rising copper prices may offset the decline in production [1] Target Price Adjustment - Jefferies has raised the target price for Zijin's H-shares from 29.6 HKD to 38.1 HKD, and for A-shares from 27.3 CNY to 35.2 CNY, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

港股黄金股普跌，潼关黄金跌超9%，中国白银集团、中国黄金国际跌超8%，集海资源跌近8%，山东黄 金、灵宝黄金、招金矿业跌超6%，紫金黄金国际跌超5%，紫金矿业、赤峰黄金、珠峰黄金跌超4%。 昨日，现货黄金价格一度暴跌逾6.3%，创十余年来最大单日跌幅。 花旗银行预计，美国政府停摆结束及中美协议公布可能推动黄金在未来2-3周内进入震荡整理阶段。花 旗银行表示短期内看跌黄金（此前看涨，现转为看跌），设定0-3个月目标价为4000美元/盎司。 港股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>>责任编辑：栎树 ...