核电

Search documents
周期掘金 年报一季报总结电话会议
2025-05-06 02:28
Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview Chemical Industry - In 2024, the chemical sector's revenue decreased by 2.7% year-on-year, with net profit down by 4.3%, but showed a significant quarter-on-quarter growth of 180% [1][4] - Sub-sectors performing well include tires and synthetic leather, while potassium fertilizer and oil trading faced challenges [1][4] - In Q1 2025, growth was observed in fiberglass, modified plastics, and potassium fertilizer, while soda ash, petrochemicals, and polyurethane remained under pressure [1][5] - Key factors affecting the tire sector include raw material price fluctuations and overseas tariff risks [6] Power Industry - In 2024, electricity consumption growth was relatively high, with a 6.7% increase, but Q1 2025 saw limited impact from temperature changes [11] - Thermal power profitability improved due to declining coal prices, although profits remained stable due to electricity price and consumption limits [11][13] - Wind power generation increased by 15.7% in 2024, but utilization hours decreased; solar power competitiveness significantly improved with a 45.3% year-on-year growth in Q1 2025 [14] - Recommendations include focusing on leading companies in renewable energy such as China Yangtze Power and Longyuan Power [1][22] Real Estate Industry - The real estate sector is in a contraction phase, with many companies experiencing declines in cash short-term debt ratios and net debt ratios [24] - Central and state-owned enterprises hold a significant share of net profits, but most real estate companies saw declines in net profits [25] - There is potential for recovery in housing transaction volumes, particularly in first-tier and some second-tier cities, with recommendations for improvement-oriented companies like Binjiang Group and Greentown China [28] Transportation Industry - The transportation sector saw revenue and net profit growth in 2024, driven by increases in shipping, aviation, and express delivery [29] - The express delivery sector experienced a significant volume increase of 21.5% in 2024, with continued growth of 21.6% in Q1 2025, despite ongoing price competition [30] - The aviation sector showed a notable profit increase in 2024, but Q1 2025 saw a return to losses, with significant performance from Huaxia Airlines [31] Non-ferrous Metals - In Q1 2025, the copper sector's revenue decreased by 7.8%, but net profit increased by 22% quarter-on-quarter [36] - The aluminum sector faced a revenue decline, but profits improved due to falling prices of alumina [36] - Investment recommendations focus on defensive strategies, prioritizing precious and energy metals [36] Key Insights - The chemical sector is experiencing mixed performance across sub-sectors, with a focus on raw material costs and demand fluctuations [1][6] - The power industry is transitioning towards renewable energy, with significant growth in solar and wind sectors [14][22] - The real estate market is stabilizing, with potential recovery in specific urban areas, highlighting the importance of cash flow management [24][28] - The transportation sector is benefiting from increased demand, particularly in express delivery, despite competitive pricing pressures [30][32] - Non-ferrous metals are facing challenges from tariffs and supply-demand imbalances, with a cautious investment outlook [36]
政策解读 | 民营经济参与能源领域发展建设进入快车道
Zhong Guo Dian Li Bao· 2025-05-06 02:17
民营经济参与能源领域发展建设进入快车道 电力规划设计总院能源政策与市场研究院院长凡鹏飞 2023年12月召开的中央经济工作会议提出,要促进民营企业发展壮大,在市场准入、要素获取、公平执 法、权益保护等方面落实一批举措。民营企业具有发展运营灵活性和创新能力优势,近年来在引领科技 创新方向、健全完善供应链产业链、带动地方经济发展等方面逐步发挥越来越大的作用。近日,《国家 能源局关于促进能源领域民营经济发展若干举措的通知》(以下简称《通知》)印发,从支持民营企业 提升发展动能、推动民营企业公平参与市场、提升能源政务服务水平方面出台十项具体举措,这为下一 步在能源领域促进民营企业发展、提升其参与度等方面将发挥重要作用。 一、促进能源领域民营经济发展具有重要意义 (一)提升能源基础设施建设运营效率:激活市场"鲶鱼效应"。民营经济参与能源基建的核心价值在于 打破传统垄断格局,通过市场化机制重构资源配置逻辑。民营企业通过灵活的投融资机制和市场化管理 模式,可以显著缩短投资决策周期并优化资源配置效率,这种效率提升不仅有利于加速能源基础设施的 规模化布局,更有利于通过混合所有制改革实现国有资产保值增值。 (二)提高能源市场参与 ...
核电审批维持高位,景气上行再获确认
Changjiang Securities· 2025-05-06 01:45
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨公用事业 [Table_Title] 核电审批维持高位,景气上行再获确认 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 4 月 27 日,国务院召开的常务会议决定核准浙江三门三期工程等 10 台核电机组。其中,广核 集团 4 台机组获得核准,中国核电、国家核电、华能核电分别有 2 台机组获得核准。此次核准 完成后,中广核集团与中国核电核准在建及待建机组分别达到 20 台、19 台,国家核电以及华 能核电在建项目将分别达到 9 台和 7 台。本次核准项目中 8 台机组均采用"华龙一号"技术。 随着"华龙一号"机组的持续投产入列,核电上市公司的 ROE 水平有望同步得到提振。随着 核电建设的加速,中国核电、中国广核等上市公司有望深度受益于行业的景气度提升。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490517080003 SAC:S0490520120001 SAC:S0490520110001 SAC:S0490523080003 SFC:BQT627 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.955 ...
未知机构:中信证券新材料行业跟踪点评关注自主可控同时有明显增量的核聚变核电半导体-20250506
未知机构· 2025-05-06 01:45
【中信证券新材料】行业跟踪点评:关注自主可控同时有明显增量的核聚变&核电、半导体及机器人材料 (2025/5/6) 关税影响暂时趋于缓和,但中期展望贸易形势仍旧较为复杂,我们看好以内需为主导,景气度长期向上的可控 核聚变、核电、军工等标的,同时建议关注机器人材料在政策引导下的板块回暖,以及半导体相关材料和零部件 自主可控和国产替代的持续演绎。 可控核聚变:5月1日BEST项目工程总装工作正式 【中信证券新材料】行业跟踪点评:关注自主可控同时有明显增量的核聚变&核电、半导体及机器人材料 (2025/5/6) 核聚变关键零部件在国内均有成熟供应体系,受外部冲击较小,作为新基建可拉动产业链需求释放。 建议关注国光电气、合锻智能、永鼎股份等。 核电:中越、中马联合声明提及核电合作,我们判断核电出口预期加强,有望进一步打开市场空间,建议关注 大西洋、中核科技、中密控股等。 人形机器人:板块回调较早且幅度较深,政策驱动下反弹趋势更为确定,建议关注南山智尚、同益中、福莱新 材、聚杰微纤。 半导体:美国特朗普政府可能最快于本周公布针对半导体加征关税的细节,市场预估税率可能高达25%~ 100%,国内将加快科技自立自强步伐,国 ...
中国核电:2024年报&2025一季报点评:所得税影响24年业绩,25Q1核电业绩增长强劲-20250506
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-06 00:23
证券分析师 袁理 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电力 中国核电(601985) 2024 年报&2025 一季报点评:所得税影响 24 年业绩,25Q1 核电业绩增长强劲 买入(维持) | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 74,957 | 77,272 | 81,782 | 86,582 | 97,201 | | 同比(%) | 5.15 | 3.09 | 5.84 | 5.87 | 12.26 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 10,624 | 8,777 | 10,044 | 10,398 | 11,591 | | 同比(%) | 17.91 | (17.38) | 14.43 | 3.52 | 11.48 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.52 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.56 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 17.87 | 21.63 | 18.90 | 18.26 | ...
中国核电(601985):2024年报、2025一季报点评:所得税影响24年业绩,25Q1核电业绩增长强劲
Soochow Securities· 2025-05-05 23:31
| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 74,957 | 77,272 | 81,782 | 86,582 | 97,201 | | 同比(%) | 5.15 | 3.09 | 5.84 | 5.87 | 12.26 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 10,624 | 8,777 | 10,044 | 10,398 | 11,591 | | 同比(%) | 17.91 | (17.38) | 14.43 | 3.52 | 11.48 | | EPS-最新摊薄(元/股) | 0.52 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.56 | | P/E(现价&最新摊薄) | 17.87 | 21.63 | 18.90 | 18.26 | 16.38 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电力 中国核电(601985) 2024 年报&2025 一季报点评:所得 ...
探寻自主三代核电技术从1到41背后的蜕变故事:华龙十年,如何打造核电“国家名片”
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-05-05 22:52
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant achievements and advancements of China's "Hualong One" nuclear technology over the past decade, showcasing its transition from a follower to a leader in the global nuclear power industry, with a focus on safety, efficiency, and international collaboration [1][11]. Group 1: Development and Achievements - "Hualong One" has seen the successful operation of 7 units domestically and internationally, with a total of 41 units either in operation or under construction globally [1][2]. - The first "Hualong One" unit has achieved nearly 1000 days of safe operation, generating approximately 65 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity, demonstrating its operational excellence [7][11]. - The construction of the first unit was completed in just 68.7 months, setting a global record for the construction of third-generation nuclear power plants [4]. Group 2: Technical Innovations - The "Hualong One" design features a rated power of over 1100 MWe, a lifespan of 60 years, and advanced safety measures, including the ability to withstand a magnitude 9 earthquake and protection against large aircraft impacts [2][3]. - The development process involved the establishment of a comprehensive standard system and a robust intellectual property framework, including over 700 domestic patents and 65 international patents [3]. Group 3: International Expansion - The "Hualong One" technology has been successfully implemented in the K-2/K-3 units at the Karachi Nuclear Power Plant in Pakistan, providing clean electricity for approximately 2 million people and creating over 60,000 local jobs [9][10]. - The project is recognized as a model for international energy cooperation, significantly contributing to Pakistan's energy structure and reducing carbon emissions [9]. Group 4: Talent Development - The establishment of the Hualong International Training Center aims to cultivate skilled personnel for the nuclear industry, with 538 operators and 293 senior operators trained to date [8][10]. - The training initiatives support the ongoing development and international deployment of "Hualong One" technology, enhancing the competitiveness of the Chinese nuclear industry [10].
一季度可再生能源占新增装机约九成 支持民企投资能源基础设施举措出台
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-05-05 21:45
Group 1: Energy Supply and Consumption - The National Energy Administration reported that energy supply is sufficient, consumption is growing, and the overall supply-demand situation is relaxed with stable prices showing a downward trend [1] - In the first quarter, renewable energy accounted for 90% of new installed capacity, with an increase of 76.75 million kilowatts, representing a year-on-year growth of 21% [1] - Renewable energy generation reached 816 billion kilowatt-hours in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 18.7%, making up 35.9% of total electricity generation [1] Group 2: Nuclear Energy Development - The operational and approved nuclear power installed capacity in China exceeds 120 million kilowatts, with a projected nuclear power generation of 450.9 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024, accounting for 4.5% of total generation [1] - The government plans to support the development of advanced nuclear technologies, including fourth-generation reactors and small modular reactors [1] Group 3: Hydrogen Energy Sector - Hydrogen energy is a key focus, with a projected production and consumption scale exceeding 36.5 million tons in 2024, making China the world's largest producer [2] - Over 600 renewable energy electrolysis hydrogen production projects are planned, and more than 540 hydrogen refueling stations have been established [2] - Approximately 24,000 fuel cell vehicles have been promoted as part of the ongoing demonstration applications [2] Group 4: Investment in Energy Sector - Energy investments have shown rapid growth, with a 12.9% year-on-year increase in investment in key energy projects in the first two months [2] - Investments in offshore wind, new energy storage, power grids, and nuclear power are growing quickly [2] Group 5: Support for Private Enterprises - The National Energy Administration has issued a notice to support private enterprises in enhancing development momentum and fair market participation [3] - Private enterprises account for over 80% of operators with more than 10,000 charging facilities, indicating their significant role in the energy sector [3] - New nuclear power projects approved recently have at least 10% shareholding from private enterprises, highlighting their increasing involvement in energy infrastructure [3]
北交所策略专题报告:国常会核准10台核电新机组,北交所财报披露收官
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-05-04 09:29
国常会核准 10 台核电新机组,北交所财报披露收官 北交所策略专题报告 2025 年 05 月 04 日 北交所研究团队 zhuhaibin@kysec.cn 证书编号:S0790522080007 国常会核准 10 台核电新机组,关注北证内核电稀缺标的 2025 年 4 月 27 日国务院常务会议决定核准浙江三门三期工程等核电项目,共计 5 个工程、10 台新机组。北交所内目前核能相关的标的共有 10 家,截至 2025 年 4 月 30 日总市值 215.67 亿元,所涵盖的产品包含爆炸复合板、核电电缆、核 电用风机等环节。基康仪器(830879.BJ)产品与服务分为精密传感器、数据采 集仪器、智能传感终端以及基于精密传感器的行业应用提供软件与物联网服务四 大系列。核电方面产品应用于红沿河、防城港、漳州等核电站建设,2024 年内 在太平岭核电站、三澳核电站、海阳核电站等项目中签订了监测设备供应合同。 2024 全年,基康仪器实现营收 3.57 亿元,同比+8.57%;归母净利润 0.77 亿元, 同比+5.99%。2025Q1 实现营收 0.78 亿元+19%,归母净利润 1956.16 万元+45%。 ...
双碳研究 | 核电引爆澳大利亚大选:能源转型路线激辩
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-03 17:54
核电引爆澳大利亚大选: 能源转型路线激辩 【France24网 5月1日报道】 澳大利亚作为风光资源与关键矿产大国,自视为零碳转型先锋,但在即将于本周六举行的澳大利亚大选 前,是否首次引入核电成为政治博弈焦点。这场争议令人联想到总理安东尼·阿尔巴尼斯(Anthony Albanese)三年前承诺终结的"气候战争"——当时政坛因减排目标长期拉锯。 尽管坐拥全球最大铀矿储量,澳大利亚已立法禁止核电25年。反对党领袖彼得·达顿(Peter Dutton)近 期提出将在2050年前投资2000亿美元建造七座核电站的激进方案,主张放缓风光项目、扩大天然气开 发,推翻现政府清洁能源目标。他声称核电"比可再生能源成本更低且更可靠",并在领导人辩论中表 示:"我承诺发展核能,不是为了选票,而是因为这符合国家的最佳利益。" 为摆脱化石燃料依赖,多国正加大核电布局。美国、法国、英国等31国已承诺到2050年将核能产能提升 至目前三倍,凸显核电在全球能源转型中的战略地位。 澳大利亚保护基金会(Australian Conservation Foundation)核能分析师戴夫·斯威尼(Dave Sweeney)表 示,此时调整能源 ...