2025 年 7 月 10 日 碳酸锂：矿端存增量预期，仓单回升但总量偏低 邵婉嫕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0015722 shaowanyi@gtht.com 刘鸿儒（联系人） 期货从业资格号：F03124172 liuhongru@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 碳酸锂基本面数据 | | | | T | T-1 | T-5 | T-10 | T-22 | T-66 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 2509合约（收盘价） | 64,400 | 520 | 440 | 3,520 | 3,440 | -11,560 | | | | 2509合约（成交量） | 350,125 | -195,280 | -190,310 | -16,618 | 284,794 | 346,679 | | | | 2509合约（持仓量） | 326,895 | -11,139 | 1,321 | -23,511 | 138,865 | 309,525 | | | 盘面 | 2511合约（收盘价） | 64,080 | 540 | 520 ...

碳酸锂企业风险管理策略建议 | 行为 导向 | 情景分析 | 策略推荐 | 套保工具 | 买卖方向 | 推荐比例 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 库存 | 产品库存偏高，担心库存 | 为防止库存减值，可以根据库存情况，做空碳酸锂 期货来锁定成品利润 | LC2511 | 卖出 | 70% | | 管理 | 有减值风险 | 卖出看涨期权 | 场外/场内期权 | 卖出 | 30% | | | | 买入虚值看跌期权 | 场内/场外期权 | 买入 | | | 采购 管理 | 未来有采购计划，担心原 料有上涨风险 | 为防止未来碳酸锂价格上涨，依据采购计划买入碳 酸锂远期合约，锁定采购成本 | 远月碳酸锂合约 | 买入 | 依据采购计 划 依据采购计 | | | | 卖出看跌期权 | 场内/场外期权 | 卖出 | | | | | | | | 划 | | | | 买入虚值看涨期权 | 场内/场外期权 | 买入 | | source： 南华研究 【核心矛盾】 当前锂矿、锂盐和电芯市场均承压于显著的库存压力，去库存进程进展缓慢，中长期供需失衡的格局尚未出 现实质性缓解。当前 ...

TORONTO, Canada, July 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Fury Gold Mines Limited (TSX and NYSE American: FURY) (“Fury” or the “Company”) is pleased to announce drill results from the maiden drill program, totaling 825 metres (m) in 5 holes, on its Ninaaskumuwin lithium discovery at the Elmer East project located in the Eeyou Istchee James Bay region of Quebec (Figure 1). The drilling targeted a spodumene-bearing pegmatite outcrop, which returned surface samples of up to 3.92% Li2O. Highlights from the drill camp ...

国家统计局：PPI同比降幅比上月扩大0.3个百分点。治理企业低价无序竞争力度加大，落后产能退出和产品品质提升逐步推进，汽柴油车整车制造、新能源车整车制造价格环比分别上涨0.5%和0.3%，同比降幅比上月分别收窄1.9个和0.4个百分点。光伏设备及电子元器件制造价格同比下降10.9%，降幅收窄1.2个百分点；锂离子电池制造价格同比下降4.8%，降幅收窄0.2个百分点。 ...

Core Points - Lithium Argentina AG will release its second quarter 2025 earnings results on August 11, 2025, before market open [1] - A webcast and conference call will be held on the same day at 10:00am ET to discuss the earnings results [1] - The webcast will be accessible through the Investor Relations section of the company's website [1] Company Overview - Lithium Argentina operates the Cauchari-Olaroz lithium brine operation in Argentina in partnership with Ganfeng [2] - The company is advancing additional lithium resources in the region [2] - Lithium Argentina is listed on both the TSX and NYSE [2]

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for companies IGO, NST, NEM, CMM, BGL, VAU, WGX, and PNR, while recommending a "Sell" rating for MIN and RRL [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential upside for various companies based on their current pricing and NAV valuations, with IGO showing a 2% downside to its price target and NST having a 14% upside [4]. - The report emphasizes the strong performance of gold and lithium sectors, with specific companies positioned favorably for growth [4][8]. Company Summaries - **IGO**: Rated "Buy" with a market cap of US$2.1 billion, current price A$4.32, and a 12-month price target of A$5.03, indicating a 2% downside [4]. - **NST**: Rated "Buy" with a market cap of US$17.4 billion, current price A$18.56, and a 12-month price target of A$22.53, indicating a 14% upside [4]. - **NEM**: Rated "Buy" with a market cap of US$66.7 billion, current price A$90.58, and a 12-month price target of A$98.83, indicating a 7% upside [4]. - **CMM**: Rated "Buy" with a market cap of US$2.7 billion, current price A$9.44, and a 12-month price target of A$10.09, indicating a 6% upside [4]. - **BGL**: Rated "Buy" with a market cap of US$0.9 billion, current price A$0.93, and a 12-month price target of A$0.97, indicating a 29% upside [4]. - **MIN**: Rated "Sell" with a market cap of US$3.2 billion, current price A$24.44, and a 12-month price target of A$20.30, indicating an 18% downside [4]. - **RRL**: Rated "Sell" with a market cap of US$2.2 billion, current price A$4.53, and a 12-month price target of A$4.24, indicating a 1% downside [4]. Commodity & FX Forecasts - The report includes forecasts for various commodities, with gold expected to reach US$3,503 per ounce in Q4 2025 and lithium carbonate projected at US$8,005 per ton in 2025 [8]. - Nickel prices are forecasted to stabilize around US$7.17 per pound in Q4 2025, while copper is expected to be around US$4.52 per pound [8].

Core Viewpoint - Foremost Clean Energy Ltd. is set to conduct a large-scale 5,000 line-kilometer MobileMT™ airborne geophysical survey across its GR and Blackwing Uranium Properties in the Athabasca Basin, aimed at identifying high-grade uranium mineralization [1][3]. Company Overview - Foremost Clean Energy Ltd. is a North American uranium and lithium exploration company, holding an option to earn up to a 70% interest in 10 uranium properties covering over 330,000 acres in the Athabasca Basin [13]. - The company is focused on systematic exploration programs to make significant discoveries in collaboration with Denison [13]. Survey Details - The airborne survey will cover approximately 5,000 line-kilometers with a line spacing of 200 meters and tie lines spaced at 2,000 meters [5]. - The MobileMT™ system will penetrate depths of 1 to 2 kilometers, utilizing natural electromagnetic fields and high-sensitivity magnetic and VLF sensors [5]. Technical Highlights - The survey is expected to provide critical data to guide future ground programs and drill targeting on the GR and Blackwing properties [4]. - The GR property is bisected by the Grease River Shear Zone, while the Blackwing property is intersected by the Black Bay Fault, both of which are believed to enhance the potential for uranium mineralization [2][7]. Management and Equity Grant - Foremost has approved the issuance of 413,100 Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) as part of its annual compensation review, aimed at attracting and retaining high-performing individuals [8]. - The RSUs will vest in three equal installments from April 1, 2026, to April 1, 2028, contingent on continued service [9].

Vancouver, British Columbia--(Newsfile Corp. - July 7, 2025) - Wealth Minerals Ltd. (TSXV: WML) (OTCQB: WMLLF) (SSE: WMLCL) (FSE: EJZN) (the "Company" or "Wealth") announces that it has entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (the "MOU") with Voith Hydro Holding GmbH & Co KG ("Voith Hydro") to develop the Pabellón Lithium Project (see press releases of February 6, 2025 and March 18, 2025) jointly with the Quechua Indigenous Community of Ollagüe ("CIQO") and further partners.Under the terms of this MOU, ...

Industry Overview - Copper production globally amounts to 26 million metric tons annually, with three-quarters used in electrical wiring, highlighting its critical role in technology and infrastructure [2][3] - The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has increased demand for various materials, including rare earth metals, which are now significant in the U.S.-China trade dynamics [4] Company Insights - Albemarle Corp. (ALB) is identified as a leading lithium miner, currently trading at 0.8 times book value, significantly below its long-term average, making it a potential investment opportunity [7][8] - ALB is expected to maintain 20% EBITDA margins and positive free cash flow, indicating resilience despite current market pressures [8] - Plug Power Inc. (PLUG) has seen a drastic decline in stock price, down 91% from previous highs, but recent developments in AI and hydrogen fuel cell technology may present a turnaround opportunity [14][15][17] - USA Rare Earth Inc. (USAR) is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for rare earth materials, with projected revenues increasing from $39 million next year to $166 million by 2027 [22][25] Market Trends - The lithium market is currently experiencing a glut due to overproduction by Chinese miners, leading to an 80% price drop, which may persist into the next year [6] - The demand for utility-scale batteries is rising as AI data centers require substantial backup power, creating opportunities for companies like Albemarle and Plug Power [9][10] - The U.S. reliance on China for rare earth minerals is significant, with USAR aiming to reduce this dependency through domestic production [22][25]

Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. has successfully acquired the remaining 40% stake in Mali Lithium B.V. for USD 34.27 million, enhancing its lithium resource supply and operational capabilities [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The company approved the acquisition of Mali Lithium's stake during the 78th meeting of the fifth board of directors on May 6, 2025 [1] - The acquisition was executed through Ganfeng International, a wholly-owned subsidiary, using its own funds [1] - The total payment for the acquisition has been completed, and the share transfer has been finalized, resulting in the company holding 100% of Mali Lithium [1] Group 2: Operational Impact - Mali Lithium's Goulamina spodumene project has commenced production with an annual capacity of 506,000 tons of lithium concentrate [1] - The establishment of a shipping route for lithium ore exports from Mali to China has been successfully initiated, marking a significant step in the company's resource layout in Africa [1] - This acquisition is expected to provide a stable and high-quality lithium resource supply, improving the company's self-sufficiency in lithium resources and enhancing profitability [1]